One in five future thyroid cancers linked to excess weight

Date:
December 9, 2021
Source:
University of New South Wales
Summary:
The prevalence of obesity has doubled in Australia in the last
two decades. As a result, overweight and obesity will likely be
associated with 10,000 thyroid cancers in the next decade.



FULL STORY ========================================================================== Avoiding excess weight, especially obesity, should be a priority for
thyroid cancer prevention, the first study to evaluate future thyroid
cancer burden in Australia has found.


==========================================================================
The world-first study published in the International Journal of Cancer
and led by Dr Maarit Laaksonen from UNSW's School of Mathematics and Statistics, found that one in five future thyroid cancers in Australia
is attributable to current levels of overweight and obesity.

Dr Laaksonen, a senior lecturer in Data Science, says this is concerning
as the prevalence of obesity in Australia has doubled during the last two decades, with 75 per cent of Australian men and 60 per cent of Australian
women being overweight or obese.

"This finding translates to close to 10,000 thyroid cancers in the
next 10 years," Dr Laaksonen says. "Obesity explains 75 per cent of
this burden in Australia." The main authority for cancer research,
the International Agency for Research on Cancer, has concluded that body fatness is a causal risk factor of thyroid cancer.

But Dr Laaksonen says this is the first time a study has evaluated the
thyroid cancer burden attributable to current levels of overweight and
obesity and compared this burden by sex.



========================================================================== Thyroid cancer is one of the few cancers that is 2-3 times as common in
women as in men, but Dr Laaksonen says the study found that the future
thyroid cancer burden attributable to overweight/obese is higher for
men compared with women.

Being overweight or obese explains two in five thyroid cancers in men,
and one in 10 thyroid cancers in women.

"It is still not well understood what causes the sex difference in
overweight/ obesity-related thyroid cancer risk," Dr Laaksonen says.

"But our findings add evidence to the urgent need to halt and reverse the current global trend in weight gain, especially obesity and especially
in men." Dr Maarit Laaksonen Dr Laaksonen says while this study defines
what is linked to one in five thyroid cancers in Australia, it's not
well understood what explains the remainder.



========================================================================== "Other lifestyle factors do not appear to be implicated but ionizing
radiation exposure, iodine deficiency and some genetic factors and family history are known to increase the thyroid cancer risk. Thyroid cancer is
a bit like prostate cancer that its risk factors are not yet very well understood." The study findings were based on seven Australian cohort
studies involving 370,000 participants, which enabled the evaluation of
less common cancers such as thyroid cancer.

"We linked the data from these seven studies, which all ascertained the participants' Body Mass Index [BMI] at study baseline, with national
cancer and death databases, which allowed us to estimate the strength
of BMI-cancer and BMI-death associations during the follow-up," Dr
Laaksonen says.

"We estimated up-to-date prevalence of overweight and obesity in the
Australian population from the latest National Health Survey from
2017-2018, and then combined the strength of association and exposure prevalence estimates to estimate population attributable fractions [PAF].

The PAFs describe what fraction of future cancers at the population level
is explained by current exposure. We did this by applying advanced PAF
methods which I developed." The advanced PAF methods allow for unbiased disease burden estimates, as well as for the comparison of preventable
disease burden by population subgroups in the study. "These methods
require access to large cohort data," Dr Laaksonen says.

As prevalence of overweight/obesity is higher in men than women it adds
to the sex difference in thyroid cancer burden.

"Finally, we multiplied the PAF estimates by the projected numbers of
thyroid cancers in the next ten years (2021-2030) to get the absolute
numbers of thyroid cancers that are expected to occur due to body
fatness," Dr Laaksonen says.

The aim of the project, which was jointly funded by the National Health
and Medical Research Council and the Cancer Institute NSW, was to evaluate
for the first time preventable future burden of cancer in Australia and
its determinants.

The team involved in this study includes collaborators and representatives
of the seven cohort studies on which the study was based on.

They are from various Australian universities, institutes and Cancer
Councils.

Dr Laaksonen has previously published findings on preventable lung,
colorectal, breast, endometrial, ovarian, pancreatic, kidney, bladder
and head and neck cancers.

The data scientist is a member of an international team that has recently received a $550,000 grant from the World Cancer Research Fund to expand
the cancer burden analyses internationally.

"This grant is a fantastic opportunity to use my methods to inform global cancer control. Our collaboration includes experts at Cancer Council
Victoria, University of Melbourne, University of New South Wales and
Harvard University," she says.

Her next steps include a study on the preventable burden of stomach and oesophageal cancers, and a summary paper on preventable cancer burden
in Australia across all cancers.

========================================================================== Story Source: Materials provided by
University_of_New_South_Wales. Original written by Diane Nazaroff. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.


========================================================================== Journal Reference:
1. Maarit A. Laaksonen, Robert J. MacInnis, Karen Canfell, Jonathan
E. Shaw,
Dianna J. Magliano, Emily Banks, Graham G. Giles, Julie E. Byles,
Tiffany K. Gill, Paul Mitchell, Vasant Hirani, Robert G. Cumming,
Claire M.

Vajdic. Thyroid cancers potentially preventable by reducing
overweight and obesity in Australia: a pooled cohort
study. International Journal of Cancer, 2021; DOI: 10.1002/ijc.33889 ==========================================================================

Link to news story: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2021/12/211209095631.htm

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