ACUS11 KWNS 282316
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282315=20
TXZ000-290045-
Mesoscale Discussion 1057
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0615 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024
Areas affected...Portions of the Lower Trans-Pecos and Edwards
Plateau
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345...
Valid 282315Z - 290045Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345
continues.
SUMMARY...A severe threat of large hail and severe wind gusts will
continue across portions of the Lower Trans-Pecos and Edwards
Plateau
DISCUSSION...A right moving supercell, along with another deepening
updraft on its western flank, will continue to progress eastward
into Crockett and Val Verde Counties over the next hour. The
downstream convective environment will remain favorable for updraft organization, with deep effective shear around 45-55 kt, and steep
mid level lapse rates contributing to around 3500 J/kg of MLCAPE.
Large hail around 1.5 to 2.5" will remain the main severe threat
with these thunderstorms. However, severe wind gust potential may
increase through the evening hours as a deeper cold pool develops
with merging updrafts.
..Barnes.. 05/28/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4_6VSzWxStAGtijXQLSjKwLGLN9zIRc0lKw38TuWdvxF0AaQQqrKSgnCIR7bs8EpcQ9FWvCAb= h7yw4j0unS753-AWRQ$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 30010201 30150211 30780225 31100225 31150144 30840081
30700007 30280014 29900042 29820081 29800110 29850172
30060210 30010201=20
=3D =3D =3D
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