ACUS11 KWNS 292210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292210=20
INZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-292345-
Mesoscale Discussion 1480
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0510 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024
Areas affected...Parts of eastern IL and IN
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20
Valid 292210Z - 292345Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...An isolated severe wind/hail threat may develop and remain quasi-stationary across parts of Indiana and eastern Illinois. With
an expected localized nature to the severe threat and low confidence
in sustaining a longer-duration risk, severe thunderstorm watch
issuance appears unlikely but trends will be monitored.
DISCUSSION...In the wake of a small bowing cluster over southeast
IN, residual outflow to its west/north converging with a leading
cold front have supported isolated thunderstorm development across
parts of IN into east-central/southeast IL. Much of central IN is
void of cu in the wake of this cluster, suggesting that storms that
can be sustained to the west and north will struggle to spread east.
Deep-layer shear is stronger across northern IN, with MLCAPE greater
back into IL, which will aid in an isolated severe hail/wind threat.
However, low-level convergence along this leading boundary should
wane for a time before a reinforcing cold front, currently over
northern IL, shifts southeast later this evening.
..Grams/Smith.. 06/29/2024
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5GVfm-R8Gg17V6xWb0ygEHYxNjsp6AD0_LEBU-Wxu0jZJjom61t96-9ieEmM1ISTyHhJWbk3O= kgPFmrIZXL0aD2z2pQ$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...LSX...
LAT...LON 39308596 38908603 38568702 38568818 38778893 39358889
39738891 40488769 41318640 41638586 41768547 41608511
41258513 40838595 40258698 39928740 39308596=20
=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at
cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.
--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)