• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1483

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 29 23:37:16 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 292337
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 292336=20
    MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-300100-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1483
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0636 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

    Areas affected...portions of extreme southeast Kansas into far
    northeast Oklahoma...southwestern Missouri...and extreme
    northwestern Arkansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 486...

    Valid 292336Z - 300100Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 486
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
    Watch 486. Severe wind and hail remain the primary threats. The best
    chance for severe wind/hail in the near-term exists with a cluster
    of storms along the KS/OK border

    DISCUSSION...Several thunderstorm clusters have developed along the
    cold front, with a mature, dominant cluster progressing across
    southeast KS toward OK. This cluster has a history of large hail and
    severe gusts, and these storms continue to track southward into a
    strongly unstable airmass. As such, additional instances of severe
    wind and hail should continue with this cluster over the next
    several hours. These storms may progress just south of the WW 486
    bounds, potentially necessitating the need of an additional
    downstream Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance. There is also a
    slight chance for storms to initiate along a stationary boundary
    across extreme northern Arkansas. Should this occur, multicells may
    result, posing a threat of severe wind and hail.

    ..Squitieri.. 06/29/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8RqKEjhttzhMS2AwBWDziZos2r2uRWkAfr59NeUoW0x-t_tv9Xu5WygsmXYSsi_MExy3km2Mp= eBamJiJ8BcG3Wa68FA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

    LAT...LON 36129340 35979454 36139561 36539611 36829615 36959601
    37249515 37459431 37409285 36809240 36359264 36129340=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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