• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1518

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 3 04:08:21 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 030408
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030407=20
    ILZ000-MOZ000-030530-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1518
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1107 PM CDT Tue Jul 02 2024

    Areas affected...Northern MO...Western IL

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498...

    Valid 030407Z - 030530Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 498
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Locally damaging winds will accompany convection as it
    propagates across northeast MO into western IL.

    DISCUSSION...Weak MCV has evolved within remnant convection that
    tracked across eastern KS into northwest MO, just east of Kansas
    City over Ray County. This feature may be partly responsible for
    organized squall line that currently extends from near Sedalia to
    Randolph County. Larger MCS appears to be evolving along the nose of
    LLJ which is forecast to translate downstream into central IL later
    tonight. This activity is currently propagating through the main
    instability axis which should continue to support robust updrafts,
    at least into extreme western IL before weaker buoyancy is
    encountered. Locally damaging winds are the primary concern with
    this cluster of storms.

    ..Darrow.. 07/03/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_uhdsebyNslwq3VGaJoqS6cNLNJ9PJaU-_0Wd4IqwgCdk4A9OpTi_P9b7m8TAB81FphyyQi4L= 7-nSb3A6CvPSO9cy1w$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...SGF...EAX...

    LAT...LON 40009254 39819037 39179067 38599223 38549363 40009254=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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