ACUS11 KWNS 150610
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150609=20
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-150745-
Mesoscale Discussion 0191
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0109 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025
Areas affected...Western OH into central/southern IN and central KY
Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely=20
Valid 150609Z - 150745Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent
SUMMARY...Broken band of severe storms will spread east of the
current tornado watches, with the potential for a new watch by 07z
from western OH into southern IN and central KY.
DISCUSSION...A broken band of supercells with a history of tornadoes
and damaging winds will continue to spread eastward through the
early morning hours. 70-80 kt south-southwesterly flow in the
lowest 2 km AGL, sampled by regional VWPs, will support continued
moistening near and just above the surface, in advance of the
ongoing convection. Though buoyancy will be weaker with time and
eastward extent and storm mode should evolve into more line segments
and clusters, destabilization should remain sufficient for a threat
for wind damage and a few tornadoes. A new tornado watch will
likely need to be considered for areas from southern IN and western
OH into central KY by roughly 07z.
..Thompson/Smith.. 03/15/2025
...Please see
https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5hb957p5l0beT2dxYlpVAD5QnDBGrJO6_mNuoVGnxaRzyTtGQqBSIiVAUXn1qK3kGdrxI5S5g= vLu9Yvn7eDjqn2U02g$ for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...
LAT...LON 40048669 40578592 40538397 39708414 37498512 36838572
36688615 36708670 37028704 38938666 40048669=20
=3D =3D =3D
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