• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1992

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Aug 19 18:16:29 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 191816
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 191815=20
    OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-191945-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1992
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0115 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025

    Areas affected...central Indiana into western and northern Ohio

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 191815Z - 191945Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon
    from central Indiana to northern Ohio.

    DISCUSSION...Rapid destabilization has occurred ahead of the front
    from central Indiana to northern Ohio. However, very weak mid-level
    lapse rates will likely limit the overall convective intensity. Some
    stronger mid-level flow (~30-40 knots) is being sampled by the KCLE
    VWP. However, flow is weaker across Indiana which will be more
    representative of the shear along the front this afternoon.=20

    A few stronger storms may result in damaging wind gusts, but
    overall, expect the threat to remain mostly marginal/isolated.

    ..Bentley/Gleason.. 08/19/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-6QbHo_6_62v4C5laU-DT6pOJ6-T6TmBmUFuePgT7--QIzOF9Wh0DWAHlFIb4B1jfI6WJq66l= NHsGb3arehA-FK0Hh4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

    LAT...LON 39568748 39958663 40288589 40658499 41008419 41408328
    41508269 41578226 41528181 40928168 40238243 39808293
    39368362 39108440 38928542 38628654 38718705 38958734
    39568748=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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