• Re: Is Debian sending people away?

    From Antonio Terceiro@21:1/5 to Antonio Terceiro on Wed Mar 23 14:40:01 2022
    On Wed, Mar 23, 2022 at 10:05:59AM -0300, Antonio Terceiro wrote:
    I scrapped the data from https://nm.debian.org/public/people/, removed
    the rows with "(unknown)" in the "Since" column and the ones where
    "Account Name" is "None chosen yet". The number of people joining the
    project is not actually decreasing in the last 10 years. In fact, the
    data seems to display a growth trend since ... all those initiatives
    that started like 10 years ago, like Code of Conduct etc?¹

    2000 65 ████████████████████▏ 2001 104 ████████████████████████████████▏
    2002 54 ████████████████▊
    2003 109 █████████████████████████████████▊
    2004 57 █████████████████▋
    2005 62 ███████████████████▎
    2006 59 ██████████████████▎
    2007 71 ██████████████████████ 2008 118 ████████████████████████████████████▌
    2009 109 █████████████████████████████████▊
    2010 155 ███████████████████████████████████████████████▉
    2011 40 ████████████▍
    2012 121 █████████████████████████████████████▍
    2013 64 ███████████████████▉
    2014 87 ██████████████████████████▉
    2015 75 ███████████████████████▎
    2016 107 █████████████████████████████████▏
    2017 162 ██████████████████████████████████████████████████
    2018 128 ███████████████████████████████████████▋
    2019 107 █████████████████████████████████▏
    2020 99 ██████████████████████████████▋
    2021 128 ███████████████████████████████████████▋
    2022 17 █████

    A correction: I also removed the rows for removed and emeritus status,
    because in those cases the date represents when they left. The actual
    numbers reduce a bit but the shape is still very similar:

    n
    2000 63 ██████████████████████████████▋
    2001 101 █████████████████████████████████████████████████▏
    2002 51 ████████████████████████▉
    2003 43 ████████████████████▉
    2004 22 ██████████▊
    2005 45 █████████████████████▉ 2006 45 █████████████████████▉ 2007 50 ████████████████████████▍
    2008 36 █████████████████▌
    2009 57 ███████████████████████████▊
    2010 48 ███████████████████████▍
    2011 27 █████████████▏
    2012 74 ████████████████████████████████████
    2013 43 ████████████████████▉
    2014 37 ██████████████████
    2015 49 ███████████████████████▉
    2016 87 ██████████████████████████████████████████▎
    2017 77 █████████████████████████████████████▌
    2018 67 ████████████████████████████████▋
    2019 63 ██████████████████████████████▋
    2020 74 ████████████████████████████████████
    2021 103 ██████████████████████████████████████████████████
    2022 16 ███████▉

    Now, if I use only the data from those removed/emeritus DDs, we can
    verify how much people _are_ leaving:

    n
    2000 2 █
    2001 3 █▌
    2002 3 █▌
    2003 66 ███████████████████████████████▎
    2004 34 ████████████████▏
    2005 17 ████████▏
    2006 12 █████▊
    2007 20 █████████▌
    2008 81 ██████████████████████████████████████▎
    2009 52 ████████████████████████▋
    2010 106 ██████████████████████████████████████████████████
    2011 12 █████▊
    2012 5 ██▍
    2013 10 ████▊
    2014 38 ██████████████████
    2015 19 █████████
    2016 17 ████████▏
    2017 46 █████████████████████▊ 2018 60 ████████████████████████████▍
    2019 26 ████████████▍
    2020 25 ███████████▉
    2021 10 ████▊
    2022 1 ▌

    We have less people leaving than arriving, so at least based on this
    dataset, Debian is _not_ shrinking.

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  • From Antonio Terceiro@21:1/5 to All on Wed Mar 23 15:10:01 2022
    On Wed, Mar 23, 2022 at 11:40:41AM +0100, Ingo Jürgensmann wrote:
    Am 23.03.2022 um 09:03 schrieb Martin Steigerwald <martin@lichtvoll.de>:

    So I leave it at stating my disagreement. I hope this much is still
    allowed here.
    [...]
    I consider large parts of Debian to be a toxic environment to me, where
    I always have to fear being attacked for just expressing my point of
    view. And I disagree with double standards. Some may express their point of view without being attacked, others may not. Regardless of whether their language is respectful or not. At least that has been my
    experience in the last years.

    Same over here. I also think that Debian as a project has become very toxic.

    It became exactly what it tried to prevent by all those initiatives
    that started like 10 years ago, like Code of Conduct etc.

    I see many old DDs became inactive or stepped down as a DD in the past
    years, yet not many new DDs joining or being as active as the old DDs
    been in the past. But this could also a misinterpretation of mine.

    It is a misinterpretation.

    I scrapped the data from https://nm.debian.org/public/people/, removed
    the rows with "(unknown)" in the "Since" column and the ones where
    "Account Name" is "None chosen yet". The number of people joining the
    project is not actually decreasing in the last 10 years. In fact, the
    data seems to display a growth trend since ... all those initiatives
    that started like 10 years ago, like Code of Conduct etc?¹

    2000 65 ████████████████████▏
    2001 104 ████████████████████████████████▏
    2002 54 ████████████████▊
    2003 109 █████████████████████████████████▊
    2004 57 █████████████████▋
    2005 62 ███████████████████▎
    2006 59 ██████████████████▎
    2007 71 ██████████████████████ 2008 118 ████████████████████████████████████▌
    2009 109 █████████████████████████████████▊
    2010 155 ███████████████████████████████████████████████▉
    2011 40 ████████████▍
    2012 121 █████████████████████████████████████▍
    2013 64 ███████████████████▉
    2014 87 ██████████████████████████▉
    2015 75 ███████████████████████▎
    2016 107 █████████████████████████████████▏
    2017 162 ██████████████████████████████████████████████████
    2018 128 ███████████████████████████████████████▋
    2019 107 █████████████████████████████████▏
    2020 99 ██████████████████████████████▋
    2021 128 ███████████████████████████████████████▋
    2022 17 █████

    ¹ of course correlation is not causation, I am not saying the perceived
    growth is happening *because* of the CoC etc.

    Mailing lists seem to be really quiet compared to older times, traffic
    on IRC is also far less traffic than it used to be. Maybe
    communication shifted to other media or maybe DDs are more silent
    because they fear to be punished in some way or another for what they
    say.

    I see that being thrown around a lot, yet nobody has never received any
    real sanction in the project for giving their opinion on a topic, but
    for attacking, insulting, or hurting people, being told that was the
    case, and the insisting in the same behavior, with that cycle repeating
    itself a few times.

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  • From Andrey Rahmatullin@21:1/5 to Antonio Terceiro on Wed Mar 23 15:10:01 2022
    On Wed, Mar 23, 2022 at 10:34:21AM -0300, Antonio Terceiro wrote:
    We have less people leaving than arriving, so at least based on this
    dataset, Debian is _not_ shrinking.
    If you are just counting the number of DDs, which is not the same as
    actual activity, then it's relatively common knowledge that all GRs
    recorded on the website, besides several very old ones, show roughly the
    same number of DDs: ~1000.

    --
    WBR, wRAR

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  • From Diederik de Haas@21:1/5 to All on Wed Mar 23 17:07:06 2022
    On woensdag 23 maart 2022 14:05:57 CET Antonio Terceiro wrote:
    of course correlation is not causation, I am not saying the perceived
    growth is happening *because* of the CoC etc.

    Indeed. It could also be *in spite of*.
    There's an equal amount of evidence for that: zero.

    Mailing lists seem to be really quiet compared to older times, traffic
    on IRC is also far less traffic than it used to be. Maybe
    communication shifted to other media or maybe DDs are more silent
    because they fear to be punished in some way or another for what they
    say.

    I see that being thrown around a lot, yet nobody has never received any
    real sanction in the project for giving their opinion on a topic,

    Self-censorship is also a thing.
    I could say there's a correlation between self-censorship and lower ML traffic,
    but for that there's also an equal amount of evidence: zero
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