• MEDIA: The Impact of Immigration on U.S. Fertility

    From John D Groenveld@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 28 12:11:12 2025
    Morris Dees and $PLC certified deplorable, Jason Richwine on whether
    Donald Trump has ordered Susie Wiles to release her (and Bill Stepien
    before her (and Brad Parscale before him)) MAGA marketing research to
    Peter Thiel's VP JD Vance and whether it suggests affordable family
    formation is popular with legacy American prole voters: <URL:https://cis.org/Richwine/Impact-Immigration-US-Fertility>
    | Diversity. Immigration could also affect native fertility by
    | increasing the nation's ethnic diversity. A new working paper out of
    | Boston College documents a negative association between diversity in
    | a locality and the number of children that residents have.1 The
    | relationship holds across many places and time periods, under a
    | variety of model specifications. It may be due to "homophily", the
    | statistical tendency for similar people to associate with each
    | other, in that diversity can make finding a same-ethnicity marriage
    | partner more difficult. It may also be due to the broader decline in
    | community engagement that political scientist Robert Putnam observed
    | in diverse areas. In any case, a back-of-the-envelope calculation
    | suggests that the increase in diversity caused by immigration could
    | have lowered native TFR enough to fully negate the impact of
    | immigrants' higher fertility on the national TFR.2

    What will be the foreign born population in Howard Lutnick's Census.GOV
    head counts and share of the American labor market in Lori Chavez-
    DeRemer's BLS.GOV surveys at the end of Donald Trump's second term and
    how does Peter Thiel expect Vance to sell the hard facts on the ground
    to legacy American proles who thought they voted against their
    dispossession in 2024?
    John
    groenveld@acm.org
    --
    "Principled conservative Nikki Haley takes courageous stand against
    crony capitalism. It's unprincipled for Boeing to receive government
    aid. The principled position is to profit from the many wars which
    she agitated for." - Monopolists for Equality <URL:https://twitter.com/monopoly4equal/status/1241763204432265216>

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