• Re: iphone sales fall short

    From badgolferman@21:1/5 to nospam on Thu Feb 2 23:05:39 2023
    nospam wrote:

    In article <trhcum$12nlo$1@dont-email.me>, badgolferman ><REMOVETHISbadgolferman@gmail.com> wrote:

    Apple (AAPL) reported its Q1 earnings after the closing bell on
    Feb. 2, missing analysts' expectations on the top and bottom line
    as iPhone sales came up short, declining more than 8%
    year-over-year.

    in the earnings call, tim cook said iphone sales would have grown had
    there not been supply shortages.

    There were supply shortages in 2021 as well but I remember you telling
    us they were killing it then.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to REMOVETHISbadgolferman@gmail.com on Thu Feb 2 17:52:51 2023
    In article <trhcum$12nlo$1@dont-email.me>, badgolferman <REMOVETHISbadgolferman@gmail.com> wrote:

    Apple (AAPL) reported its Q1 earnings after the closing bell on Feb. 2, missing analysts' expectations on the top and bottom line as iPhone sales came up short, declining more than 8% year-over-year.

    in the earnings call, tim cook said iphone sales would have grown had
    there not been supply shortages.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From badgolferman@21:1/5 to All on Thu Feb 2 22:20:06 2023
    Apple (AAPL) reported its Q1 earnings after the closing bell on Feb. 2,
    missing analysts' expectations on the top and bottom line as iPhone sales
    came up short, declining more than 8% year-over-year.

    According to IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, shipments of Apple’s iPhone fell 14.9% year-over-year, from 85 million units in Q4 2021
    to 72.3 million units in Q4 2022.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-misses-q1-earnings-expectations-as-iphone-sales-fall-short-213355848.html

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to badgolferman on Thu Feb 2 18:20:32 2023
    In article <xn0nxmkz623vfek003@reader443.eternal-september.org>,
    badgolferman <REMOVETHISbadgolferman@gmail.com> wrote:

    Apple (AAPL) reported its Q1 earnings after the closing bell on
    Feb. 2, missing analysts' expectations on the top and bottom line
    as iPhone sales came up short, declining more than 8%
    year-over-year.

    in the earnings call, tim cook said iphone sales would have grown had
    there not been supply shortages.

    There were supply shortages in 2021 as well but I remember you telling
    us they were killing it then.

    take it up with tim. i quoted what he said on the earnings call, which
    just ended.

    apple was hit hard in november/december due to the covid shutdown, and
    things are now back to where they'd like.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From sms@21:1/5 to badgolferman on Thu Feb 2 15:32:15 2023
    On 2/2/2023 2:20 PM, badgolferman wrote:
    Apple (AAPL) reported its Q1 earnings after the closing bell on Feb. 2, missing analysts' expectations on the top and bottom line as iPhone sales came up short, declining more than 8% year-over-year.

    According to IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, shipments of Apple’s iPhone fell 14.9% year-over-year, from 85 million units in Q4 2021 to 72.3 million units in Q4 2022.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-misses-q1-earnings-expectations-as-iphone-sales-fall-short-213355848.html

    All the major smartphone companies had declines <https://9to5google.com/2023/01/26/smartphone-decline-q4-2022/>.

    What's troubling is the market share declines for Apple and Samsung.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to scharf.steven@geemail.com on Thu Feb 2 18:34:12 2023
    In article <trhh61$13d17$1@dont-email.me>, sms
    <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote:


    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Andy Burnelli@21:1/5 to nospam on Fri Feb 3 01:03:03 2023
    nospam wrote:

    apple was hit hard in november/december due to the covid shutdown, and
    things are now back to where they'd like.

    Adult observation...

    What I find interesting is how much the iKooks use Apple high earnings to "prove" to themselves that Apple is the "smartest choice" they ever made.

    Apple is a well run company, and it's a marketing house par excellence.
    (They could sell igloos to an Inuit - much like Coca Cola & Pepsi can.)

    But just the fact Apple makes money is _not_ proof of a good product.

    It's proof of excellent marketing & perhaps the stupidity of consumers;
    but it's NOT proof of a good product. (Bernie Madoff made money too.)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Jolly Roger@21:1/5 to Andy Burnelli on Fri Feb 3 03:55:27 2023
    On 2023-02-03, Andy Burnelli <nospam@nospam.net> wrote:
    nospam wrote:

    apple was hit hard in november/december due to the covid shutdown, and
    things are now back to where they'd like.

    Adult observation...

    iKooks
    "smartest choice"
    They could sell igloos to an Inuit
    stupidity

    Arlen is such an "adult", y'all.

    --
    E-mail sent to this address may be devoured by my ravenous SPAM filter.
    I often ignore posts from Google. Use a real news client instead.

    JR

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris@21:1/5 to nospam on Fri Feb 3 07:44:21 2023
    nospam <nospam@nospam.invalid> wrote:
    In article <trhh61$13d17$1@dont-email.me>, sms
    <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote:


    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 3 07:01:20 2023
    In article <trie0l$1arh1$1@dont-email.me>, Chris <ithinkiam@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    wrong. what matters is the long term, not a single quarter, which the
    trolls will cite as doom and gloom, despite no evidence to support it.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Chris on Fri Feb 3 07:53:24 2023
    On 2023-02-03 02:44, Chris wrote:
    nospam <nospam@nospam.invalid> wrote:
    In article <trhh61$13d17$1@dont-email.me>, sms
    <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote:


    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single quarter. China's recent Covid strategy is an absolute failure, and
    these results are an indicator in part.

    (Note that the M2 Mini/M2 Max MacBook Pro rollout was delayed - the announcement video was filmed much earlier in Q4 (prior to Oct) or Q1
    (Oct-Dec) but they delayed the release into Q2 - likely because of
    supply and/or manufacturing issues).

    Apple made oodles of profits for its shareholders in any case - which is
    why the stock price hardly moved. Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    The sad thing is the stock didn't plunge. That would be a good time to
    snap up short minded stock sales to hold long term. Got some dividend
    cash that needs a new home.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to bitbucket@blackhole.com on Fri Feb 3 09:01:55 2023
    In article <9t7DL.556651$iS99.444139@fx16.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single quarter. China's recent Covid strategy is an absolute failure, and
    these results are an indicator in part.

    exactly.

    (Note that the M2 Mini/M2 Max MacBook Pro rollout was delayed - the announcement video was filmed much earlier in Q4 (prior to Oct) or Q1 (Oct-Dec) but they delayed the release into Q2 - likely because of
    supply and/or manufacturing issues).

    that was a major reason why mac sales were down. people were waiting
    for an announcement that ultimately happened a few weeks ago.

    Apple made oodles of profits for its shareholders in any case - which is
    why the stock price hardly moved. Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    The sad thing is the stock didn't plunge. That would be a good time to
    snap up short minded stock sales to hold long term. Got some dividend
    cash that needs a new home.

    the stock was down more than 8 last night in after-hours trading,
    although it's down just 3ish in pre-market this morning, after spiking
    up yesterday, before earnings.

    the rest of the market is also down in pre-market, so perhaps that's
    not a big deal. analysts are fickle beings.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ken Blake@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 16:07:32 2023
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 07:53:24 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single quarter.

    If this was a great quarter, you'd be saying the exact opposite of that.

    Apple made oodles of profits for its shareholders in any case - which is
    why the stock price hardly moved. Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not
    meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about.

    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to nospam on Fri Feb 3 10:23:53 2023
    On 2023-02-03 09:01, nospam wrote:
    In article <9t7DL.556651$iS99.444139@fx16.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single
    quarter. China's recent Covid strategy is an absolute failure, and
    these results are an indicator in part.

    exactly.

    (Note that the M2 Mini/M2 Max MacBook Pro rollout was delayed - the
    announcement video was filmed much earlier in Q4 (prior to Oct) or Q1
    (Oct-Dec) but they delayed the release into Q2 - likely because of
    supply and/or manufacturing issues).

    that was a major reason why mac sales were down. people were waiting
    for an announcement that ultimately happened a few weeks ago.

    I'm still waiting on the next iMac announcement before I make my buy
    decision. The M2 Mini Mac Pro, at high spec, is very good.

    Could be it's in high production already just waiting for enough build
    up for a release announcement. Or maybe a fall launch of a M3 version.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From News@21:1/5 to Ken Blake on Fri Feb 3 11:28:13 2023
    On 2/3/2023 11:07 AM, Ken Blake wrote:
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 07:53:24 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single
    quarter.

    If this was a great quarter, you'd be saying the exact opposite of that.

    Apple made oodles of profits for its shareholders in any case - which is
    why the stock price hardly moved. Apple doesn't care much about meeting
    "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not
    meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about.

    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.


    Indeed, in today's buy-side/sell-side froth, companies live by the
    quarter, die by the quarter.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris@21:1/5 to nospam on Fri Feb 3 16:46:15 2023
    nospam <nospam@nospam.invalid> wrote:
    In article <trie0l$1arh1$1@dont-email.me>, Chris <ithinkiam@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    wrong. what matters is the long term, not a single quarter,

    It's a snapshot, which may be an indicator of direction. Hence, they host a call for these quarterly figures. If it didn't matter Tim Apple wouldn't
    have addressed the figures at all.

    which the
    trolls will cite as doom and gloom, despite no evidence to support it.

    What trolls think, if they are capable, matters not. Industry and markets
    do care and make decisions based on quarterlies, especially for companies
    as large as Apple.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Chris@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 16:51:19 2023
    Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:
    On 2023-02-03 02:44, Chris wrote:
    nospam <nospam@nospam.invalid> wrote:
    In article <trhh61$13d17$1@dont-email.me>, sms
    <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote:


    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single quarter.

    All data are useful.

    China's recent Covid strategy is an absolute failure, and
    these results are an indicator in part.

    Exactly. Therefore useful.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From sms@21:1/5 to Ken Blake on Fri Feb 3 09:12:24 2023
    On 2/3/2023 8:07 AM, Ken Blake wrote:
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 07:53:24 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    <snip>

    Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not
    meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about.

    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.

    "Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations" may be
    the most clueless thing that poster has ever written. And that's saying
    a lot!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to All on Fri Feb 3 13:11:55 2023
    In article <trjdon$1gvmh$1@dont-email.me>, Chris <ithinkiam@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    wrong. what matters is the long term, not a single quarter,

    It's a snapshot,

    exactly.

    which may be an indicator of direction.

    only if taken in context, including other quarters and the economy.

    overall, apple is very well managed and overall growing, however, there
    are other factors at play.

    there was an unexpected covid shutdown which had a major adverse effect
    on iphone production, which as tim said, had that not happened, iphone
    sales would have increased over last year.

    things are back to normal, so presumably next quarter will be strong.

    the stock market is happy with the results today, up roughly 3%.

    Hence, they host a
    call for these quarterly figures. If it didn't matter Tim Apple wouldn't
    have addressed the figures at all.

    they're required to report them.

    which the
    trolls will cite as doom and gloom, despite no evidence to support it.

    What trolls think, if they are capable, matters not. Industry and markets
    do care and make decisions based on quarterlies, especially for companies
    as large as Apple.

    anyone making a purchase decision based on a single quarterly report is foolish, no matter how big or small it might be.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to scharf.steven@geemail.com on Fri Feb 3 13:11:52 2023
    In article <trjf9o$1gvf6$2@dont-email.me>, sms
    <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote:

    Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about.

    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.

    "Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations" may be
    the most clueless thing that poster has ever written. And that's saying
    a lot!

    there you go bashing people again and demonstrating just how clueless
    you are about apple.

    it's actually fairly accurate.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to News on Fri Feb 3 13:35:20 2023
    On 2023-02-03 11:28, News wrote:


    Indeed, in today's buy-side/sell-side froth, companies live by the
    quarter, die by the quarter.

    Something Apple could care less about - their internal planning is 5+
    years. They have to make "guidance" and "earnings" calls, but Apple
    doesn't care about the stock price day to day, quarter to quarter.
    Reacting to such is bad for business. Something quick-buck Wall Street
    hates.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Chris on Fri Feb 3 13:38:02 2023
    On 2023-02-03 11:46, Chris wrote:
    nospam <nospam@nospam.invalid> wrote:
    In article <trie0l$1arh1$1@dont-email.me>, Chris <ithinkiam@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    wrong. what matters is the long term, not a single quarter,

    It's a snapshot, which may be an indicator of direction. Hence, they host a call for these quarterly figures. If it didn't matter Tim Apple wouldn't
    have addressed the figures at all.

    Look at Apple over the long term and tell anyone 1 quarter matters.
    Wear your snicker-proof suit.

    which the
    trolls will cite as doom and gloom, despite no evidence to support it.

    What trolls think, if they are capable, matters not. Industry and markets
    do care and make decisions based on quarterlies, especially for companies
    as large as Apple.

    For companies as large as Apple quarterly results matter little. Esp.
    as, despite lower volumes of sales, those sales carry large margins in
    any case.

    If Apple had declining sales in a sector over several quarters it would
    be time to ask harder questions.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Ken Blake on Fri Feb 3 13:32:28 2023
    On 2023-02-03 11:07, Ken Blake wrote:
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 07:53:24 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single
    quarter.

    If this was a great quarter, you'd be saying the exact opposite of that.

    Not at all. I'm a long term long holder.


    Apple made oodles of profits for its shareholders in any case - which is
    why the stock price hardly moved. Apple doesn't care much about meeting
    "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not
    meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about.

    Apple is so far out there, that Apple don't care if analysts don't set realistic levels for metrics. They don't have to. The analysts report
    to their bosses and their bosses should not be too impressed.

    And pro long term investors get it:

    "Apple is an ungodly well managed company."
    -Charlie Munger.


    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.

    I doubt it. Waste of money. Apple does care that _shareholders_
    understand them - they have a fiduciary duty to.

    If analysts do a poor job for their bosses, that is not Apple's concern.
    Nor should it be.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Chris on Fri Feb 3 13:41:37 2023
    On 2023-02-03 11:51, Chris wrote:
    Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:
    On 2023-02-03 02:44, Chris wrote:
    nospam <nospam@nospam.invalid> wrote:
    In article <trhh61$13d17$1@dont-email.me>, sms
    <scharf.steven@geemail.com> wrote:


    All the major smartphone companies had declines

    yep.

    it's also disingenuous to focus on only one quarter, rather than the
    long term outlook.

    not at all.

    Never good to evaluate a company in the consumer space based on a single
    quarter.

    All data are useful.

    Indeed - but not to make a sell decision based on a sole quarter.

    If there was news bad enough to justify that, you would hear it long
    before the earnings call.


    China's recent Covid strategy is an absolute failure, and
    these results are an indicator in part.

    Exactly. Therefore useful.

    Already known long ahead of time and Apple guidance throughout the
    pandemic has repeated the challenges of the supply chain. Thus, if one
    wanted to trade out of Apple based on that, they were long gone before
    the earnings call.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to bitbucket@blackhole.com on Fri Feb 3 13:59:07 2023
    In article <rDcDL.168128$PXw7.97682@fx45.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:

    On 2023-02-03 12:12, sms wrote:
    "Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations" may be
    the most clueless thing that poster has ever written. And that's saying
    a lot!

    Coming from you, your lack of discernment is not surprising.

    How it works:

    -Apple issue guidance from time to time

    -Analysts listen to that _and_ gather whatever other data they can.

    -Analysts then provide and/or publish their reports.

    analysts deliberately make up numbers for their own benefit and that of
    their clients.

    If they get it wrong, why would Apple care?

    they don't, nor should they.

    Apple made oodles of margin despite the lower sales volume.

    they did indeed.

    And anyone who believes Apple's next quarter won't be immensely
    profitable (again) is a fool.

    yep.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to bitbucket@blackhole.com on Fri Feb 3 13:42:31 2023
    In article <ItcDL.556698$iU59.534129@fx14.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:


    Indeed, in today's buy-side/sell-side froth, companies live by the
    quarter, die by the quarter.

    Something Apple could care less about - their internal planning is 5+
    years. They have to make "guidance" and "earnings" calls, but Apple
    doesn't care about the stock price day to day, quarter to quarter.
    Reacting to such is bad for business. Something quick-buck Wall Street hates.

    yep, and they've even stated as much.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to sms on Fri Feb 3 13:45:43 2023
    On 2023-02-03 12:12, sms wrote:
    On 2/3/2023 8:07 AM, Ken Blake wrote:
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 07:53:24 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    <snip>

    Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not
    meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those
    analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about.

    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.

    "Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations" may be
    the most clueless thing that poster has ever written. And that's saying
    a lot!

    Coming from you, your lack of discernment is not surprising.

    How it works:

    -Apple issue guidance from time to time

    -Analysts listen to that _and_ gather whatever other data they can.

    -Analysts then provide and/or publish their reports.

    If they get it wrong, why would Apple care?

    Apple made oodles of margin despite the lower sales volume.

    And anyone who believes Apple's next quarter won't be immensely
    profitable (again) is a fool.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to nospam on Fri Feb 3 14:03:26 2023
    On 2023-02-03 13:59, nospam wrote:
    In article <rDcDL.168128$PXw7.97682@fx45.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:

    On 2023-02-03 12:12, sms wrote:
    "Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations" may be
    the most clueless thing that poster has ever written. And that's saying
    a lot!

    Coming from you, your lack of discernment is not surprising.

    How it works:

    -Apple issue guidance from time to time

    -Analysts listen to that _and_ gather whatever other data they can.

    -Analysts then provide and/or publish their reports.

    analysts deliberately make up numbers for their own benefit and that of
    their clients.

    I don't believe that - an analyst with a bad track record would not last
    long in his profession. OTOH, none bat 1.000 - nowhere near it.


    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Thomas@21:1/5 to nospam on Fri Feb 3 11:22:34 2023
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 10:42:31 AM, nospam wrote:

    Indeed, in today's buy-side/sell-side froth, companies live by the
    quarter, die by the quarter.

    Something Apple could care less about - their internal planning is 5+
    years. They have to make "guidance" and "earnings" calls, but Apple
    doesn't care about the stock price day to day, quarter to quarter.
    Reacting to such is bad for business. Something quick-buck Wall Street
    hates.

    yep, and they've even stated as much.

    Are you really so stupid that you don't know what "could care less" means?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Thomas@21:1/5 to sms on Fri Feb 3 11:33:49 2023
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 9:12:24 AM, sms wrote:

    Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not
    meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those
    analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about.

    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.

    "Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations" may be
    the most clueless thing that poster has ever written. And that's saying
    a lot!

    That poster was so stupid that not only doesn't that poster (Alan Browne?)
    not know that every company cares greatly about setting & meeting analysts' expectations but he's too stupid to know how to properly speak English.

    Assuming English isn't his second language and assuming this Alan Browne
    isn't a child below about third grade, then the fact he still doesn't know
    what "could care less" means is a sure indicator that he's extremely dumb.

    Not only what he said but how he said it belies his total incomprehension.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Thomas@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 11:20:47 2023
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 10:35:20 AM, Alan Browne wrote:

    Indeed, in today's buy-side/sell-side froth, companies live by the
    quarter, die by the quarter.

    Something Apple could care less about - their internal planning is 5+
    years. They have to make "guidance" and "earnings" calls, but Apple
    doesn't care about the stock price day to day, quarter to quarter.
    Reacting to such is bad for business. Something quick-buck Wall Street hates.

    If this poster, Alan Browne, is so ignorant that he can't even understand
    what "could care less" means, then he's too stupid to understand Apple.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Thomas on Fri Feb 3 14:40:52 2023
    On 2023-02-03 14:20, Thomas wrote:
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 10:35:20 AM, Alan Browne wrote:

    Indeed, in today's buy-side/sell-side froth, companies live by the
    quarter, die by the quarter.

    Something Apple could care less about - their internal planning is 5+
    years. They have to make "guidance" and "earnings" calls, but Apple
    doesn't care about the stock price day to day, quarter to quarter.
    Reacting to such is bad for business. Something quick-buck Wall Street
    hates.

    If this poster, Alan Browne, is so ignorant that he can't even understand what "could care less" means, then he's too stupid to understand Apple.

    ROFL - pedantic over what doesn't matter and clueless about Apple. You
    smell like sms. Anything to that?


    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Thomas on Fri Feb 3 14:43:57 2023
    On 2023-02-03 14:33, Thomas wrote:
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 9:12:24 AM, sms wrote:

    Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations.

    You don't know much about business economics if you believe that not
    meeting your expectations (which Apple previously helped set with those
    analysts) isn't something that Apple management cares very dearly about. >>>
    There are large specialist teams at Apple focused solely on just that.

    "Apple doesn't care much about meeting "analysts" expectations" may be
    the most clueless thing that poster has ever written. And that's saying
    a lot!

    That poster was so stupid that not only doesn't that poster (Alan Browne?) not know that every company cares greatly about setting & meeting analysts' expectations but he's too stupid to know how to properly speak English.

    Assuming English isn't his second language and assuming this Alan Browne isn't a child below about third grade, then the fact he still doesn't know what "could care less" means is a sure indicator that he's extremely dumb.

    Not only what he said but how he said it belies his total incomprehension.

    Clearly you have anger issues. The topic is Apple, not a little grammar mistake I made. But that gave you a nice bone to latch onto and drag
    around the yard triumphantly while making an over the top ad hominem attack.

    You smell of coward.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Thomas@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 11:53:17 2023
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 2:40:52 PM, Alan Browne wrote:

    If this poster, Alan Browne, is so ignorant that he can't even understand
    what "could care less" means, then he's too stupid to understand Apple.

    ROFL - pedantic over what doesn't matter and clueless about Apple. You
    smell like sms. Anything to that?

    If from this discussion about what you said, you finally end up learning
    what your own words mean, I'll then take your insults as a compliment.

    Maybe you're not a native English speaker because once most English
    speakers get past about third grade, by then they have developed the
    inherent mental capacity to understand what "could care less" means.

    Please look it up before you respond with further insults. Thank you.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Ken Blake on Fri Feb 3 14:58:40 2023
    On 2023-02-03 14:39, Ken Blake wrote:
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 13:32:28 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    If analysts do a poor job for their bosses, that is not Apple's concern.

    It's not worth trying to convince you of what you obviously can't possibly even begin to understand about how much every public company, including Apple, very much cares about whether or not they met analyst's quarterly expectations & to come up with a believable reason as to why they didn't.

    Nope. Let me improve on what I wrote earlier.

    -Apple provide information to shareholders as they are obligated to do

    -Apple issue press releases about all manner of things Apple as they
    choose to do. Because it's a public company, positive statements
    therein are considered to be as accurate and truthful as possible and
    even then - where it may influence investors - a safe-harbour
    boilerplate is appended.

    -Apple, at earning calls and shareholder meetings, or any other time it
    is warranted, issue guidance - information typically construed to
    contain enthusiasm from investors.

    -Analysts, whether working for fund managers, other investors,
    publishers, etc. gather all of the information they possibly can from
    all sources they possibly can and develop their analysis.

    At this point, when they get it wrong, Apple does not care. It is not
    Apple's fault when analysts do dumb.

    I'll grant that Apple may pay lip service to hoping analysts get it
    right, but that is pro forma.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Big Dog on Fri Feb 3 15:00:14 2023
    On 2023-02-03 14:43, Big Dog wrote:
    On 2/3/2023 1:41 PM, Alan Browne wrote:

    All data are useful.

    Indeed - but not to make a sell decision based on a sole quarter.

    Everything you say shows you don't understand anything that is said.

    Funny how all these new names are popping up around here around this
    subject.

    Go ahead and short Apple based on the past quarter.

    (And you too have a certain familiar whiff about you).

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ken Blake@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 19:39:56 2023
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 13:32:28 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    If analysts do a poor job for their bosses, that is not Apple's concern.

    It's not worth trying to convince you of what you obviously can't possibly
    even begin to understand about how much every public company, including
    Apple, very much cares about whether or not they met analyst's quarterly expectations & to come up with a believable reason as to why they didn't.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Big Dog@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 14:43:06 2023
    On 2/3/2023 1:41 PM, Alan Browne wrote:

    All data are useful.

    Indeed - but not to make a sell decision based on a sole quarter.

    Everything you say shows you don't understand anything that is said.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Thomas@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 11:54:44 2023
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 11:43:57 AM, Alan Browne wrote:

    You smell of coward.

    If from this discussion about what you said, you finally end up learning
    what your own words mean, I'll then take your insults as a compliment.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Thomas on Fri Feb 3 15:08:18 2023
    On 2023-02-03 14:54, Thomas wrote:
    On Friday, February 3, 2023 at 11:43:57 AM, Alan Browne wrote:

    You smell of coward.

    If from this discussion about what you said, you finally end up learning
    what your own words mean, I'll then take your insults as a compliment.

    Yep, the little doggie has got the bone in his jaw and is running from
    the actual subject as it is all he has. Burnt out. Sticking with it.

    Coward.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to bitbucket@blackhole.com on Fri Feb 3 15:06:27 2023
    In article <2UcDL.484485$8_id.479140@fx09.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:


    analysts deliberately make up numbers for their own benefit and that of their clients.

    I don't believe that - an analyst with a bad track record would not last
    long in his profession.

    they last long because they make money for their clients (and
    themselves).

    OTOH, none bat 1.000 - nowhere near it.

    true. they're nowhere near that.

    one of the mac web sites (i forget which one) compared predictions of
    financial analysts versus various apple fans and pundits. the analysts generally did much worse than those who follow apple and are familiar
    with what they do and don't do (and why). that's not that surprising
    since analysts can't focus only on one company.

    <https://appleinsider.com/articles/18/05/02/why-was-iphone-x-so-successf ul-at-999-despite-a-mountain-a-false-reporting>
    Reporting by Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal and Japan's Nikkei
    created and perpetuated an absurd fiction that Apple's iPhone X was
    a "disappointing," "overpriced" product with "weak" sales, when it
    reality it remained Apple's most popular iPhone every week this
    quarter across 14 percent growth in iPhone sales in a business where
    no other company "mostly" sells their most expensive flagships, and
    where overall demand for smartphones is actually shrinking globally.
    ...
    Last year, iPhone 7 was falsely maligned for supposed "sluggish
    sales." Nikkei similarly claimed Apple had decimated its orders, but
    it actually achieved new growth and the highest ever sales for an
    iPhone.

    The same nonsense news cycle occurred for iPhone 6s. And prior
    to that, iPhone 5c was lambasted as a failure but was actually a
    top-selling smartphone model beating out other flagships and
    attracting a higher percentage of Android switchers.

    <https://appleinsider.com/articles/18/01/23/after-speculative-reports-of- slow-sales-iphone-x-is-now-said-to-be-in-the-high-end-of-the-industry-ra

    Just one week after delivering a widely-distributed report
    speculatively suggesting that 'weak demand' might result in Apple
    canceling production of iPhone X this summer, analysts are now
    lining up to shift their stories in the days before Apple releases
    its actual fiscal Q1 performance data for the winter quarter. In a
    remarkable turn, iPhone X is suddenly said to be selling well, and
    scuttlebutt about slashed component orders is again looking
    uninformed.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Ken Blake on Fri Feb 3 15:10:56 2023
    On 2023-02-03 15:03, Ken Blake wrote:
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 14:58:40 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    At this point, when they get it wrong, Apple does not care.

    That is the part you don't show any ability to understand is very wrong.

    It is not Apple's fault when analysts do dumb.

    You don't have the acuity to understand so I will leave it alone at that.


    Clearly you've gotten yourself snookered and you're bailing.


    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to nospam on Fri Feb 3 15:14:52 2023
    On 2023-02-03 15:06, nospam wrote:
    In article <2UcDL.484485$8_id.479140@fx09.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:


    analysts deliberately make up numbers for their own benefit and that of
    their clients.

    I don't believe that - an analyst with a bad track record would not last
    long in his profession.

    they last long because they make money for their clients (and
    themselves).

    To make money for their clients, they'd have to get it right as often as possible.


    OTOH, none bat 1.000 - nowhere near it.

    true. they're nowhere near that.

    What you cite are specific cases. That's not a batting record which
    should have "all at bats" in it. (Sorry if my baseball analogies are
    poor, not my favourite sport at all).

    Generally, professional analysts have to do a good job over the long
    term - or seek work elsewhere.



    one of the mac web sites (i forget which one) compared predictions of financial analysts versus various apple fans and pundits. the analysts generally did much worse than those who follow apple and are familiar
    with what they do and don't do (and why). that's not that surprising
    since analysts can't focus only on one company.

    <https://appleinsider.com/articles/18/05/02/why-was-iphone-x-so-successf ul-at-999-despite-a-mountain-a-false-reporting>
    Reporting by Bloomberg, the Wall Street Journal and Japan's Nikkei
    created and perpetuated an absurd fiction that Apple's iPhone X was
    a "disappointing," "overpriced" product with "weak" sales, when it
    reality it remained Apple's most popular iPhone every week this
    quarter across 14 percent growth in iPhone sales in a business where
    no other company "mostly" sells their most expensive flagships, and
    where overall demand for smartphones is actually shrinking globally.
    ...
    Last year, iPhone 7 was falsely maligned for supposed "sluggish
    sales." Nikkei similarly claimed Apple had decimated its orders, but
    it actually achieved new growth and the highest ever sales for an
    iPhone.

    The same nonsense news cycle occurred for iPhone 6s. And prior
    to that, iPhone 5c was lambasted as a failure but was actually a
    top-selling smartphone model beating out other flagships and
    attracting a higher percentage of Android switchers.

    <https://appleinsider.com/articles/18/01/23/after-speculative-reports-of- slow-sales-iphone-x-is-now-said-to-be-in-the-high-end-of-the-industry-ra

    Just one week after delivering a widely-distributed report
    speculatively suggesting that 'weak demand' might result in Apple
    canceling production of iPhone X this summer, analysts are now
    lining up to shift their stories in the days before Apple releases
    its actual fiscal Q1 performance data for the winter quarter. In a
    remarkable turn, iPhone X is suddenly said to be selling well, and
    scuttlebutt about slashed component orders is again looking
    uninformed.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ken Blake@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Fri Feb 3 20:03:48 2023
    On Fri, 3 Feb 2023 14:58:40 -0500, Alan Browne wrote:

    At this point, when they get it wrong, Apple does not care.

    That is the part you don't show any ability to understand is very wrong.

    It is not Apple's fault when analysts do dumb.

    You don't have the acuity to understand so I will leave it alone at that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to bitbucket@blackhole.com on Fri Feb 3 15:55:13 2023
    In article <1XdDL.113011$Olad.46115@fx35.iad>, Alan Browne <bitbucket@blackhole.com> wrote:

    analysts deliberately make up numbers for their own benefit and that of >>> their clients.

    I don't believe that - an analyst with a bad track record would not last >> long in his profession.

    they last long because they make money for their clients (and
    themselves).

    To make money for their clients, they'd have to get it right as often as possible.

    not when they manipulate the market for quick gains.




    OTOH, none bat 1.000 - nowhere near it.

    true. they're nowhere near that.

    What you cite are specific cases.

    and there are a lot of them to cite. it happens *far* too often to be a
    fluke. there's a very clear pattern, almost like clockwork.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to badgolferman on Sat Feb 4 11:06:10 2023
    On 2023-02-02 17:20, badgolferman wrote:
    Apple (AAPL) reported its Q1 earnings after the closing bell on Feb. 2, missing analysts' expectations on the top and bottom line as iPhone sales came up short, declining more than 8% year-over-year.

    According to IDC’s Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, shipments of Apple’s iPhone fell 14.9% year-over-year, from 85 million units in Q4 2021 to 72.3 million units in Q4 2022.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-misses-q1-earnings-expectations-as-iphone-sales-fall-short-213355848.html


    Something I meant to mention yesterday, and next quarter's results may
    show this.

    It seems pretty clear that people are deeper into upgrade fatigue than
    ever before - esp. on flagship phones.

    The incremental improvements, year to year, are less and less "need"
    than bell and whistle.

    So I suspect (as has been the trend over the last few years) that people
    are keeping their phones longer and longer with each passing year.

    And this has also contributed to the slowdown in sales (and not just for Apple).

    We'll see in 3 months...

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)