• Coal use is at an All-Time High, World-Wide

    From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to All on Fri May 24 08:43:45 2024
    Do Greens chant that we are at an energy transition to renewables?
    Are they lying or just ignorant, pick your preference, then head to:

    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/05/down-with-coal.php

    and see the "Electricity production by source" chart (page down
    twice). There you will see that, world-wide, coal-powered electricity generation is at an all-time high, and is increasing every year. Same
    for Gas.

    In the USA, coal is declining, but is entirely outstripped by the
    booming China and India usage -- keep your eye on the vertical axes,
    China's is twice that of the USA. India is on the same curve as China
    but about 20 years behind.

    The Truth is impossible for most Greens to conceive. Don't be like
    the Greens.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to Willy Nilly on Sat May 25 03:59:28 2024
    On 2024-05-24, Willy Nilly <wn@nosuch.com> wrote:
    Do Greens chant that we are at an energy transition to renewables?
    Are they lying or just ignorant, pick your preference, then head to:

    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/05/down-with-coal.php

    and see the "Electricity production by source" chart (page down
    twice). There you will see that, world-wide, coal-powered electricity generation is at an all-time high, and is increasing every year. Same
    for Gas.

    In the USA, coal is declining, but is entirely outstripped by the
    booming China and India usage -- keep your eye on the vertical axes,
    China's is twice that of the USA. India is on the same curve as China
    but about 20 years behind.

    The population of India and China are each about 4 times the poulation of the USA so it is to be expected that both China and India will be powering
    through more coal than the USA.

    However that is irrelevent when it comes to world production of CO2.

    The "under developed" countries are where the Western world was at the start
    of the Industrial Revolution and the Western world became wealthly on coal
    and oil. India and China etc are now doing the same and as any parent
    desirse the best for their children they care not about CO2 but about making like better.

    India, has started on the path to being world world force.

    The Truth is impossible for most Greens to conceive. Don't be like
    the Greens.


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From David Goodwin@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 27 11:43:36 2024
    In article <lbd610Fo5rfU4@mid.individual.net>, Gordon@leaf.net.nz
    says...

    On 2024-05-24, Willy Nilly <wn@nosuch.com> wrote:
    Do Greens chant that we are at an energy transition to renewables?
    Are they lying or just ignorant, pick your preference, then head to:

    https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/05/down-with-coal.php

    and see the "Electricity production by source" chart (page down
    twice). There you will see that, world-wide, coal-powered electricity generation is at an all-time high, and is increasing every year. Same
    for Gas.

    In the USA, coal is declining, but is entirely outstripped by the
    booming China and India usage -- keep your eye on the vertical axes, China's is twice that of the USA. India is on the same curve as China
    but about 20 years behind.

    The population of India and China are each about 4 times the poulation of the USA so it is to be expected that both China and India will be powering through more coal than the USA.

    However that is irrelevent when it comes to world production of CO2.

    The "under developed" countries are where the Western world was at the start of the Industrial Revolution and the Western world became wealthly on coal and oil. India and China etc are now doing the same and as any parent
    desirse the best for their children they care not about CO2 but about making like better.

    Though China at least is deploying vast amounts of renewables too.
    Apparently they deployed 217GW of solar and 76GW of wind last year
    alone. It doesn't look like they plan to rely on Coal for any longer
    than strictly necessary.

    India, has started on the path to being world world force.

    The Truth is impossible for most Greens to conceive. Don't be like
    the Greens.


    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to David Goodwin on Mon May 27 03:28:47 2024
    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    It doesn't look like they (China) plan to rely on Coal for
    any longer than strictly necessary.

    So much for all your education and long-winded sentences, you
    personify "none are so blind as those who will not see".

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to Willy Nilly on Mon May 27 17:16:02 2024
    On Mon, 27 May 2024 03:28:47 GMT, wn@nosuch.com (Willy Nilly) wrote:

    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    It doesn't look like they (China) plan to rely on Coal for
    any longer than strictly necessary.

    So much for all your education and long-winded sentences, you
    personify "none are so blind as those who will not see".

    Are these articles that you do not think anyone has seen, Willy?

    https://www.enerdata.net/publications/daily-energy-news/chinas-solar-power-capacity-soared-55-2023-and-wind-capacity-21.html
    https://e360.yale.edu/features/china-renewable-energy https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-installed-solar-power-capacity-rises-552-2023-2024-01-26/
    https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-solar-power-capacity-could-post-record-growth-2023-2023-02-16/
    https://www.solarfeeds.com/mag/solar-power-statistics-in-china-2021/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zxkv074ZDr0&ab_channel=APArchive

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Mon May 27 07:03:51 2024
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On Mon, 27 May 2024 03:28:47 GMT, wn@nosuch.com (Willy Nilly) wrote:

    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    It doesn't look like they (China) plan to rely on Coal for
    any longer than strictly necessary.

    So much for all your education and long-winded sentences, you
    personify "none are so blind as those who will not see".

    Are these articles that you do not think anyone has seen, Willy?
    Why don't you shove your sarcasm and tiny minded sniping and debate like a real person.

    https://www.enerdata.net/publications/daily-energy-news/chinas-solar-power-capacity-soared-55-2023-and-wind-capacity-21.html
    https://e360.yale.edu/features/china-renewable-energy >https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/chinas-installed-solar-power-capacity-rises-552-2023-2024-01-26/
    https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-solar-power-capacity-could-post-record-growth-2023-2023-02-16/
    https://www.solarfeeds.com/mag/solar-power-statistics-in-china-2021/ >https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zxkv074ZDr0&ab_channel=APArchive
    None of which address the issue.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From David Goodwin@21:1/5 to All on Mon May 27 21:41:31 2024
    In article <6653fce7.1450100718@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...

    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    It doesn't look like they (China) plan to rely on Coal for
    any longer than strictly necessary.

    So much for all your education and long-winded sentences, you
    personify "none are so blind as those who will not see".

    I'm not sure I understand your meaning or how its relevant to the quoted
    text.

    Are you arguing that China will suddenly stop deploying renewables
    ensuring long-term reliance on coal instead of continuing to accelerate
    their deployment as they have done over the last few years?

    Or are you suggesting they intend not to actually use the energy
    generated by their renewables and they're being deployed for decorative purposes instead?

    Or are you disputing the fact that China is deploying solar and, to a
    lesser extent, wind on a vast scale?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to David Goodwin on Mon May 27 20:36:26 2024
    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <6653fce7.1450100718@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...
    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    It doesn't look like they (China) plan to rely on Coal for
    any longer than strictly necessary.

    So much for all your education and long-winded sentences, you
    personify "none are so blind as those who will not see".

    I'm not sure I understand your meaning or how its relevant to the quoted >text.
    (absurd options given)

    Because China's growth in coal use is far more than its growth in wind
    & solar use, therefore your statement "It doesn't look like they plan
    to rely on Coal for any longer than strictly necessary" is absurd on
    its face. No such conclusion can possibly be drawn. You hear the
    little voices in your head only. The applicable generalism is: "For
    leftists to cling to their absurd set of beliefs, they have to pretend
    not to know a lot of things". As you are doing here.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From David Goodwin@21:1/5 to All on Tue May 28 09:15:19 2024
    In article <6654ecee.1511548187@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...

    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <6653fce7.1450100718@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...
    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    It doesn't look like they (China) plan to rely on Coal for
    any longer than strictly necessary.

    So much for all your education and long-winded sentences, you
    personify "none are so blind as those who will not see".

    I'm not sure I understand your meaning or how its relevant to the quoted >text.
    (absurd options given)

    Because China's growth in coal use is far more than its growth in wind
    & solar use

    Do you have any references for that statement? I can't find anything
    that indicates they deployed more than 301GW of new coal generation last
    year. As far as I can tell they only approved 114GW of new coal
    generation.

    Additionally, Standard & Poor's says China is running the coal power
    plants they do have less frequently than they did in the past. They even provide a nice chart to visualise the change over time as well as
    expected trends for the next few years: https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/ci/research- analysis/chinas-record-coal-capacity-approvals-in-2022-carbon-
    targets.html

    So while China is building additional coal generation, that doesn't
    necessarily mean they've increased the total GWh of coal generated
    electricity by as much as the added capacity might imply.

    The Centre for Economic Policy Research has some ideas on why China
    might be over-building coal capacity: https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/china-overinvested-coal-power-heres-why

    therefore your statement "It doesn't look like they plan
    to rely on Coal for any longer than strictly necessary" is absurd on
    its face. No such conclusion can possibly be drawn.

    I think it has now been sufficiently shown that Chinas growth in
    renewable generation and solar in particular does exceed their growth in
    coal which would suggest that China does indeed intend to do what they
    said they will do.

    You hear the
    little voices in your head only. The applicable generalism is: "For
    leftists to cling to their absurd set of beliefs, they have to pretend
    not to know a lot of things". As you are doing here.

    The same could be said about those on the right. Far too many people
    allow ideology to get in the way of reality.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to David Goodwin on Mon May 27 22:35:47 2024
    On Tue, 28 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <6654ecee.1511548187@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...
    Because China's growth in coal use is far more than its growth in wind
    & solar use

    Do you have any references for that statement?

    The original reference in the OP and the chart therein, duh.

    Your references are silly-as, the first one is from a year ago, says
    "China's government approved a record-breaking 86 GW of new coal-fired
    power capacity in 2022" and then gives a ludicrous chart (what you
    call a "nice chart") showing year-to-year increases in China's coal
    usage up to Y2022.5, then suddenly decreasing "in the future" --
    complete horseshit of the kind you get from salesmen hawking junk.
    You are an easy mark to bullshit, David.

    The Centre for Economic Policy Research has some ideas on why China
    might be over-building coal capacity: >https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/china-overinvested-coal-power-heres-why

    Ha ha, "some ideas", right, of the sort where all that coal capacity
    is needed to fill in for the times when wind doesn't blow and the sun
    doesn't shine. Well my chart shows *actual usage* of coal-produced
    power and it increases relentlessly.

    I think it has now been sufficiently shown that Chinas growth in
    renewable generation and solar in particular does exceed their growth in
    coal which would suggest that China does indeed intend to do what they
    said they will do.

    Sufficient for your echo chamber which you inhabit. hoping that approved-peoples' notions are as valuable as physical reality on the
    ground. Whereas I use actual production figures to guide my thinking.

    You hear the
    little voices in your head only. The applicable generalism is: "For
    leftists to cling to their absurd set of beliefs, they have to pretend
    not to know a lot of things". As you are doing here.

    The same could be said about those on the right. Far too many people
    allow ideology to get in the way of reality.

    Mirror. Use. Look.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From David Goodwin@21:1/5 to All on Tue May 28 12:36:49 2024
    In article <66550765.1518322984@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...

    On Tue, 28 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <6654ecee.1511548187@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...
    Because China's growth in coal use is far more than its growth in wind
    & solar use

    Do you have any references for that statement?

    The original reference in the OP and the chart therein, duh.

    The link in the OP does not say that china deployed more than 301GW of
    new coal generation last year.

    There is a graph that shows in 2023 total generation from wind and solar increased by 23.5%, while generation from coal only increased by 6.4%
    when compared to the previous year.

    In total they generated an additional 343.7TWh of energy via coal in
    2023. If all of their existing coal powerplants were running at 100% for
    the entire year, they'd have to add around 40GW of new coal generation
    to produce that extra energy.

    Given installed coal generation capacity increased by 110GW (they
    retired 4GW of old power generation in 2023), that new capacity would be running less than half the time to provide that 343.7TWh of coal power.

    Which leads us to...

    Your references are silly-as, the first one is from a year ago, says
    "China's government approved a record-breaking 86 GW of new coal-fired
    power capacity in 2022" and then gives a ludicrous chart (what you
    call a "nice chart") showing year-to-year increases in China's coal
    usage up to Y2022.5, then suddenly decreasing "in the future" --
    complete horseshit of the kind you get from salesmen hawking junk.
    You are an easy mark to bullshit, David.

    I don't think you read the chart correctly. The red line shows average
    coal plant utilisation declining from a high of around 75% in the early
    2000s to a little over 50% in 2023. This indicates they are building
    more coal generation than they actually need to to meet demand.

    The filled area in the chart shows the carbon emissions rising which
    does indicate that they are burning more coal every year, but the
    utilisation rate shows they are not burning as much as their
    construction of new plants might imply.

    The Centre for Economic Policy Research has some ideas on why China
    might be over-building coal capacity: >https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/china-overinvested-coal-power-heres-why

    Ha ha, "some ideas", right, of the sort where all that coal capacity
    is needed to fill in for the times when wind doesn't blow and the sun
    doesn't shine. Well my chart shows *actual usage* of coal-produced
    power and it increases relentlessly.

    But it does not increase as much as it should given the number of plants they're building.

    I think it has now been sufficiently shown that Chinas growth in
    renewable generation and solar in particular does exceed their growth in >coal which would suggest that China does indeed intend to do what they
    said they will do.

    Sufficient for your echo chamber which you inhabit. hoping that approved-peoples' notions are as valuable as physical reality on the
    ground. Whereas I use actual production figures to guide my thinking.

    Actual production figures guide my thinking too. Unfortunately you seem
    to be misinterpreting those figures.

    As a proportion of Chinas energy supply, solar and wind is growing at a
    faster rate than coal. Its right there in the graph you posted.

    You hear the
    little voices in your head only. The applicable generalism is: "For
    leftists to cling to their absurd set of beliefs, they have to pretend
    not to know a lot of things". As you are doing here.

    The same could be said about those on the right. Far too many people
    allow ideology to get in the way of reality.

    Mirror. Use. Look.

    I would say the same to you. You appear to be selecting sources based on
    your opinions, rather than choosing opinions based on available
    information.

    You would rather believe an American right-wing blog over a
    multinational provider of commodities & energy analytics because the
    right-wing blog agrees with your views while S&P Global doesn't.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Willy Nilly@21:1/5 to David Goodwin on Tue May 28 02:26:38 2024
    On Tue, 28 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <66550765.1518322984@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...
    On Tue, 28 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <6654ecee.1511548187@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...
    Because China's growth in coal use is far more than its growth in wind
    & solar use

    Do you have any references for that statement?

    The original reference in the OP and the chart therein, duh.

    The link in the OP does not say that china deployed more than 301GW of
    new coal generation last year.

    David, David, David... I see you need help in reading and
    understanding data and sources. Allow me to assist ...

    First, your assertion:
    You would rather believe an American right-wing blog over a
    multinational provider of commodities & energy analytics because the >right-wing blog agrees with your views while S&P Global doesn't.

    The "right-wing blog" showed their citation, which you ignored. It is
    from https://ourworldindata.org/energy . Go there and scroll down the
    left side to "Electricity production by source" and click on it. It
    gives you a whole-world graph -- now change it to China. Having done
    so, you will see China's increase in coal-generated electricity, just
    from 2022 to 2023, is about 400 TWh (to total 5850 TWh), while wind
    and solar added show an increase of about 350 TWh (to total 1500 TWh).

    I'll be referring to these figures below.

    There is a graph that shows in 2023 total generation from wind and solar >increased by 23.5%, while generation from coal only increased by 6.4%
    when compared to the previous year.

    That's right, but the Coal baseline is so much bigger than the Wind &
    Solar baseline, that the absolute increase in coal-generated is still
    bigger than wind & solar generated combined, as ennumerated above.
    Percentages aren't enough. Your unicorn could fart 3 times in 2023
    compared to just once in 2022 for a 200% increase, but it would not
    matter. You must include that baseline.

    In total they generated an additional 343.7TWh of energy via coal in
    2023. If all of their existing coal powerplants were running at 100% for
    the entire year, they'd have to add around 40GW of new coal generation
    to produce that extra energy.

    Given installed coal generation capacity increased by 110GW (they
    retired 4GW of old power generation in 2023), that new capacity would be >running less than half the time to provide that 343.7TWh of coal power.

    David, you spreadsheet-cruncher, you. Report for duty to your nearest coal-fired electricity generating plant and see how much respect you
    get from the actual operators.

    I don't think you read the chart correctly. The red line shows average
    coal plant utilisation declining from a high of around 75% in the early
    2000s to a little over 50% in 2023. This indicates they are building
    more coal generation than they actually need to to meet demand.

    So, in other words, as backup to the wind turbines. So for every X
    wind turbines, we need to build 1 coal-fired generating plant to
    provide backup. Is this entered into your spreadsheet for
    construction expenses for wind turbines, David? No, you would enter
    that under the "coal" category, and pretend that wind is cheap. But
    the backup generation is a required part of wind turbine construction.
    How does this accounting work? Why does our electricity invoice go up
    per every wind turbine that gets built, David?

    The filled area in the chart shows the carbon emissions rising which
    does indicate that they are burning more coal every year, but the
    utilisation rate shows they are not burning as much as their
    construction of new plants might imply.

    Ha ha, don't believe your lyin' lungs, trust our spreadsheets, ha ha.

    But it does not increase as much as it should given the number of plants >they're building.

    Every time you offshore our dying manufacturing to China, their coal
    use will increase. Maybe they are just planning ahead, David.

    Actual production figures guide my thinking too. Unfortunately you seem
    to be misinterpreting those figures.

    Do tell.

    As a proportion of Chinas energy supply, solar and wind is growing at a >faster rate than coal. Its right there in the graph you posted.

    And is not relevant, as I showed above. But as a mental exercise,
    imagine coal is 50% of the energy generation (it's actually more), and wind&solar is 5%. So 10 years later, China's total energy generation
    doubles with coal staying at 50% but the wind&solar share double to
    10%. That fits with what you are saying, right? So let's calculate
    what that actually means:

    It means that if China's total output doubled from 100 units to 200
    units, thus coal generation went from 50 units to 100 units.
    Meanwhile, wind&solar went from 5 units to 20 units. So coal added 50
    units over the 10 years, while wind&solar added only 15 units.

    So Coal is King, regardless of your silly spreadsheet fiddles. Put
    that in your pipe and smoke it, David.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to David Goodwin on Tue May 28 07:08:15 2024
    David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <6654ecee.1511548187@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...

    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    In article <6653fce7.1450100718@news.mixmin.net>, wn@nosuch.com says...
    On Mon, 27 May 2024, David Goodwin <david+usenet@zx.net.nz> wrote:
    It doesn't look like they (China) plan to rely on Coal for
    any longer than strictly necessary.

    So much for all your education and long-winded sentences, you
    personify "none are so blind as those who will not see".

    I'm not sure I understand your meaning or how its relevant to the quoted
    text.
    (absurd options given)

    Because China's growth in coal use is far more than its growth in wind
    & solar use

    Do you have any references for that statement? I can't find anything
    that indicates they deployed more than 301GW of new coal generation last >year. As far as I can tell they only approved 114GW of new coal
    generation.

    Additionally, Standard & Poor's says China is running the coal power
    plants they do have less frequently than they did in the past. They even >provide a nice chart to visualise the change over time as well as
    expected trends for the next few years: >https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/ci/research- >analysis/chinas-record-coal-capacity-approvals-in-2022-carbon-
    targets.html

    So while China is building additional coal generation, that doesn't >necessarily mean they've increased the total GWh of coal generated >electricity by as much as the added capacity might imply.

    The Centre for Economic Policy Research has some ideas on why China
    might be over-building coal capacity: >https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/china-overinvested-coal-power-heres-why

    therefore your statement "It doesn't look like they plan
    to rely on Coal for any longer than strictly necessary" is absurd on
    its face. No such conclusion can possibly be drawn.

    I think it has now been sufficiently shown that Chinas growth in
    renewable generation and solar in particular does exceed their growth in
    coal which would suggest that China does indeed intend to do what they
    said they will do.

    You hear the
    little voices in your head only. The applicable generalism is: "For
    leftists to cling to their absurd set of beliefs, they have to pretend
    not to know a lot of things". As you are doing here.

    The same could be said about those on the right. Far too many people
    allow ideology to get in the way of reality.
    Yes that might be fair. My response however is that so many people who are left leaning assume that moderates (centre leaning) are right wing. An absolute nonsense.
    There is one such fool in this group.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)