• Climate change going on after net zero achieved

    From Gordon@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 3 04:05:16 2024
    https://phys.org/news/2023-06-cooling-planet-doesnt-net-scientists.html

    This is an interesting article from the viewpoint of the language/tone.

    They may consessions that the climate is not totally understood and that
    their modelling might not be right, or at least be within a wide range.

    "Our climate system is complex, so the finding is expected and should not
    deter climate policies, said Pat Keys, CSU assistant professor and one of
    three authors on a new paper published in Environmental Research: Climate.

    If anything, the results of the study provide a key piece of information
    for how to understand our future, Keys said. "If things end up getting a
    little hotter or it's the hottest thing we've seen in decades, that's not
    a failure of the policy. It's just the way the climate system works."

    "What if every climate policy in the world succeeded and we all suddenly achieved net zero emissions?

    The world would be the hottest it's been in human history, and could
    still get hotter for a decade or more, even if the policies do exactly
    as intended.

    "This is not unexpected. The world is going to continue warming until
    we turn our emissions down to zero," Keys said. "We need to systematically understand, even with the most optimistic policy scenario, the potential
    that we might still experience these substantially high temperatures."

    Read we are not sure about much oh this.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Rich80105@21:1/5 to Gordon on Sat Aug 3 16:36:33 2024
    On 3 Aug 2024 04:05:16 GMT, Gordon <Gordon@leaf.net.nz> wrote:

    https://phys.org/news/2023-06-cooling-planet-doesnt-net-scientists.html

    This is an interesting article from the viewpoint of the language/tone.

    They may consessions that the climate is not totally understood and that >their modelling might not be right, or at least be within a wide range.

    "Our climate system is complex, so the finding is expected and should not >deter climate policies, said Pat Keys, CSU assistant professor and one of >three authors on a new paper published in Environmental Research: Climate.

    If anything, the results of the study provide a key piece of information
    for how to understand our future, Keys said. "If things end up getting a >little hotter or it's the hottest thing we've seen in decades, that's not
    a failure of the policy. It's just the way the climate system works."

    "What if every climate policy in the world succeeded and we all suddenly >achieved net zero emissions?

    The world would be the hottest it's been in human history, and could
    still get hotter for a decade or more, even if the policies do exactly
    as intended.

    "This is not unexpected. The world is going to continue warming until
    we turn our emissions down to zero," Keys said. "We need to systematically >understand, even with the most optimistic policy scenario, the potential
    that we might still experience these substantially high temperatures."

    Read we are not sure about much oh this.

    It does seem to make sense though. If you are speeding and try to slow
    down, it will take time to get down to the speed limit, and if you do
    it too quickly you risk being rammed from behind. We have pushed a
    lot of particles into the atmosphere; it will take time for those to
    disappear, and it will take time for us to return to a more normal
    state - some of the man-made particles will take a long time to break
    down, and there will be an unstable balance between the effects of
    different activities and the state of our atmosphere.

    Another article from that page is: https://phys.org/news/2024-08-microbes-carbon-fluorine-bonds-unsaturated.html
    - and this gives the possibility that mankind may be able to develop
    ways of cleaning up some undesirable components in our atmosphere.

    Closer to home, Christopher Luxon has indicated that the Government is confident enough about meeting targets through future scientific
    discoveries that they will relax some of the targets for emission
    reductions from farming - there is obviously a risk that we will not
    achieve that goal, especially as we have reduced support for
    scientific research, but we will not know whether that is wise for
    quite a few years - I am not aware of any current research that may be
    close to being relevant to those issues.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Tony@21:1/5 to Rich80105@hotmail.com on Sat Aug 3 07:52:50 2024
    Rich80105 <Rich80105@hotmail.com> wrote:
    On 3 Aug 2024 04:05:16 GMT, Gordon <Gordon@leaf.net.nz> wrote:

    https://phys.org/news/2023-06-cooling-planet-doesnt-net-scientists.html

    This is an interesting article from the viewpoint of the language/tone.

    They may consessions that the climate is not totally understood and that >>their modelling might not be right, or at least be within a wide range.

    "Our climate system is complex, so the finding is expected and should not >>deter climate policies, said Pat Keys, CSU assistant professor and one of >>three authors on a new paper published in Environmental Research: Climate.

    If anything, the results of the study provide a key piece of information >>for how to understand our future, Keys said. "If things end up getting a >>little hotter or it's the hottest thing we've seen in decades, that's not
    a failure of the policy. It's just the way the climate system works."

    "What if every climate policy in the world succeeded and we all suddenly >>achieved net zero emissions?

    The world would be the hottest it's been in human history, and could
    still get hotter for a decade or more, even if the policies do exactly
    as intended.

    "This is not unexpected. The world is going to continue warming until
    we turn our emissions down to zero," Keys said. "We need to systematically >>understand, even with the most optimistic policy scenario, the potential >>that we might still experience these substantially high temperatures."

    Read we are not sure about much oh this.

    It does seem to make sense though. If you are speeding and try to slow
    down, it will take time to get down to the speed limit, and if you do
    it too quickly you risk being rammed from behind. We have pushed a
    lot of particles into the atmosphere; it will take time for those to >disappear, and it will take time for us to return to a more normal
    state - some of the man-made particles will take a long time to break
    down, and there will be an unstable balance between the effects of
    different activities and the state of our atmosphere.
    There is no science in that paragraph, just amateur guesses.

    Another article from that page is: >https://phys.org/news/2024-08-microbes-carbon-fluorine-bonds-unsaturated.html
    - and this gives the possibility that mankind may be able to develop
    ways of cleaning up some undesirable components in our atmosphere.
    There is no reason to think that if we do that it will affect the climate in a measurable way.

    Closer to home, Christopher Luxon has indicated that the Government is >confident enough about meeting targets through future scientific
    discoveries that they will relax some of the targets for emission
    reductions from farming - there is obviously a risk that we will not
    achieve that goal, especially as we have reduced support for
    scientific research, but we will not know whether that is wise for
    quite a few years - I am not aware of any current research that may be
    close to being relevant to those issues.
    Political rhetoric - you can't hel yourself.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)