• Re: "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the

    From Chris Buckley@21:1/5 to William Hyde on Sat Sep 28 14:12:59 2024
    On 2024-09-28, William Hyde <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote:
    ...
    Changes in ocean circulation can have a strong impact on regional
    climates and can occur quite rapidly, as we may discover later this
    century. Ice age climates are even more variable, with the younger
    Dryas cooling setting in over less than five years in the Northern Hemisphere, cooling winters several degrees C, while leaving summers unaltered. There is some reason to believe that this event was set
    off by volcanic cooling. But at the moment that's just an idea.

    Solar. While this doesn't seem to ever amount to much, it does exist,
    and if it adds to the above, which it may have done in the little ice
    age, it can be significant.

    But none of these processes is active now.

    Hmm. I thought we had entered a period of solar output actively
    affecting climate.

    The reduced solar output is very minor and obviously no overall
    temperature reduction is occurring now in this time of global warming,
    but I did think it was active.

    Chris

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  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to wthyde1953@gmail.com on Sat Sep 28 22:17:25 2024
    In article <vd9rlv$1dcog$1@dont-email.me>,
    William Hyde <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote:
    of direct observation does not agree with this view.

    As to the current warming the question is academic, as the pattern of
    warming shows us clearly that this is not due to an increase in solar >output.

    Is this a good time to mention the faint young Sun paradox?

    For people unfamiliar with it, is the question of how to
    reconcile the young sun being 30% dimmer with the young Earth
    having liquid water. All things being equal, the Earth should
    have been well below freezing (on average) but it wasn't. So
    all things weren't equal.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

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  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Sat Sep 28 18:27:29 2024
    On Thu, 26 Sep 2024 21:12:09 -0500, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the Last
    485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    "Arguably, the Earth can be considered in a C02 famine."

    "Finally, it’s good to remember none of the climate-hysteria predictions
    have come true."

    ""In five years, scientists predict we will have the first ice-free
    Arctic summer."

    "John Kerry back in 2009."

    How ironic given the Canadian navy is buying submarines for the first
    itme in 30 years to patrol the Arctic...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to blissInSanFrancisco@mouse-potato.co on Sat Sep 28 18:31:10 2024
    On Thu, 26 Sep 2024 19:33:59 -0700, Bobbie Sellers <blissInSanFrancisco@mouse-potato.com> wrote:

    Some how i find the Washington Post slip up as lacking
    credibility because in the last few Hundred thousans years we
    have had Ice Ages which forced humans to develope their social
    skills even further.
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_glaciation>

    bliss-who is just a student of such things and unable to throw
    scientific credentials around.

    You don't have to be a geologist to type "When was the last ice age?"
    into Google and get the answer "roughly 26,000 to 19,000 years ago"
    which of course is a lot less than "last few hundred thousands years".

    I've heard the figure 14000-16000 years which is roughly when mankind
    first settled the western hemisphere over the Alaska-Siberia land
    bridge.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Bobbie Sellers@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Sun Sep 29 19:21:32 2024
    On 9/29/24 14:44, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/27/2024 12:25 AM, Bobbie Sellers wrote:
    On 9/26/24 19:46, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/26/2024 9:33 PM, Bobbie Sellers wrote:
    On 9/26/24 19:12, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the
    Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-
    admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    "Arguably, the Earth can be considered in a C02 famine."

    "Finally, it’s good to remember none of the climate-hysteria
    predictions have come true."

    ""In five years, scientists predict we will have the first ice-free
    Arctic summer."

    "John Kerry back in 2009."

    Lynn

         Some how i find the Washington Post slip up as lacking
    credibility because in the last few Hundred thousand years we
    have had Ice Ages which forced humans to develope their social
    skills even further.
         <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_glaciation>

    bliss-who is just a student of such things and unable to throw
    scientific credentials around.

    We are living in an ice age now.  Ice ages are loosely defined as
    when one or both poles are frozen.  Both poles being frozen like now
    only happens during 11% of the ice ages.

    Lynn

         Well we seem to be ending the Holocene Ice Age within then
    next two centuries. But the plagues Dale Pendell forsaw were not
    quite as
    deadly.<https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/7821813-the-great-bay>
         He covers the next 16,000 years and of course the present
    heating is resolved by the next Ice Age.

         bliss

    You know, predictions are hard, especially about the future (Niels Bohr).

    Lynn

    Well if Dale Pendell or I are wrong then in 16,000 years
    feel free to disparage both of us. ;^|
    But the Washington Post if it made such an assertion about
    the present and the past is clearly wrong according to available
    evidence.
    bliss

    --
    b l i s s - S F 4 e v e r at D S L E x t r e m e dot com

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  • From Bobbie Sellers@21:1/5 to William Hyde on Sun Sep 29 19:46:25 2024
    On 9/29/24 13:45, William Hyde wrote:
    James Nicoll wrote:
    In article <vd9rlv$1dcog$1@dont-email.me>,
    William Hyde  <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote:
    of direct observation does not agree with this view.

    As to the current warming the question is academic, as the pattern of
    warming shows us clearly that this is not due to  an increase in solar
    output.

    Is this a good time to mention the faint young Sun paradox?

    For people unfamiliar with it, is the question of how to
    reconcile the young sun being 30% dimmer with the young Earth
    having liquid water. All things being equal, the Earth should
    have been well below freezing (on average) but it wasn't. So
    all things weren't equal.


    Always a fascinating topic for me.

    This is not resolved, but the most common idea is that the thick
    atmosphere of the young earth, filled with CO2, H20 and possibly other infrared absorbers (NH3, for example) kept the earth warm. But there is
    no consensus on the composition of that atmosphere.  Perhaps there
    wasn't much in the way of greenhouse gases.

    Long ago Dirac came up with an idea, not often mentioned, that certain fundamental constants of the universe change over time, while
    maintaining constant ratios with one another.

    One of these constants was G, which according to this idea should
    decrease over time.  Petr Chylek mentioned this idea to me, and I was intrigued because solar output varies as G**7 according to a monograph
    by A. D. Vernekar.

    Using a simple climate model I was able to put an upper limit on the
    Dirac change by considering the early earth.    If the greenhouse effect of that atmosphere was zero, a given increase in G would account for
    early climates, a larger one would make the earth too warm.

    I went through a bit of a career change at the time and the work, though presented at a number of seminars, was never submitted for publication.
    As there is (or was at the  time) little interest in Dirac's idea it
    would have been difficult to get it in print anyway and more recent ice
    ages beckoned.

    While looking for some online reference to Dirac's idea I was reminded
    yet again of how much Dirac actually did.  Even if he had never come up
    with the Dirac equation and predicted antimatter, he'd still have been
    one of the great scientists of the 20th century.


    William Hyde

    First we should not call it the Young Earth because that
    is a creationist theory. I learned that when I searched on the
    term.

    Excuse me but did not the Early Earth contribute to it own
    heating? One of the reasons that the air was full of water vapor is
    that the temperature was higher than the boiling point of water.
    The Early Earth was still suffering tremendous imparts as
    its orbit intersected those of other massive pieces of the previous
    calamitous end of a star that was not too far from Sol.
    But as soon as it cooled we got a Snowball Earth. Then
    the impact of large planetary sized object which knocked the
    Moon out of the earth and into orbit. So the stage was set for
    the disasters and extinctions to follow which gave rise eventually
    to us, Homo Sapiens aka the Wise Guy. Following further along
    the time track to science and technology we end up with us making
    the Earth, our rocky cradle too messed up to keep us alive.
    Wise guy was a misnomer apparently.

    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_Earth>

    bliss

    --
    b l i s s - S F 4 e v e r at D S L E x t r e m e dot com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Sun Sep 29 23:55:31 2024
    On Sun, 29 Sep 2024 16:30:05 -0500, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    How ironic given the Canadian navy is buying submarines for the first
    itme in 30 years to patrol the Arctic...

    The USA has been sending nuclear submarines under the Arctic ice cap
    since 1958. It is not anything new.

    https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220503-the-record-breaking-dive-under-the-arctic-ice
    and

    https://www.reddit.com/r/submarines/comments/oj8vjs/nuclear_submarine_surfaced_through_the_ice_of_the/

    I'm all too aware of that and know it has therefore created issues of
    national sovereignity. As a Canadian that concerns me.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to blissInSanFrancisco@mouse-potato.co on Mon Sep 30 09:03:49 2024
    On Sun, 29 Sep 2024 19:46:25 -0700, Bobbie Sellers <blissInSanFrancisco@mouse-potato.com> wrote:

    On 9/29/24 13:45, William Hyde wrote:
    James Nicoll wrote:
    In article <vd9rlv$1dcog$1@dont-email.me>,
    William Hyde  <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote:
    of direct observation does not agree with this view.

    As to the current warming the question is academic, as the pattern of
    warming shows us clearly that this is not due to  an increase in solar >>>> output.

    Is this a good time to mention the faint young Sun paradox?

    For people unfamiliar with it, is the question of how to
    reconcile the young sun being 30% dimmer with the young Earth
    having liquid water. All things being equal, the Earth should
    have been well below freezing (on average) but it wasn't. So
    all things weren't equal.


    Always a fascinating topic for me.

    This is not resolved, but the most common idea is that the thick
    atmosphere of the young earth, filled with CO2, H20 and possibly other
    infrared absorbers (NH3, for example) kept the earth warm. But there is
    no consensus on the composition of that atmosphere.  Perhaps there
    wasn't much in the way of greenhouse gases.

    First we should not call it the Young Earth because that
    is a creationist theory. I learned that when I searched on the
    term.

    Young Earth Creationists believe (or believed) everything was created
    in 4004 BC, just as Bishop Ussher computed.

    But "the young Earth" is the actual Earth, just very very new.

    Many terms have multiple meanings.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Tue Oct 1 00:29:41 2024
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 9/27/2024 6:59 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the
    Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-
    admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    The earth was four degrees C colder at the peak of the ice age 21,000
    years ago.   So the above is simply not true.
    ...

    So the little jog down before present time does not cover the 4 C drop ?

    If not, do you have a better graph ?

    I'm sure you have the ability to find one. Just remember to restrict
    your search to the scientific literature rather than political
    entertainment websites.

    Remember the _Readers Guide to Periodic Literature_?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Tue Oct 1 02:44:17 2024
    In article <vdflkd$2ijvf$2@dont-email.me>,
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 9/30/2024 9:18 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/30/2024 7:29 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 9/27/2024 6:59 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the >>>>>> Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally- >>>>>> admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    The earth was four degrees C colder at the peak of the ice age 21,000 >>>>> years ago.   So the above is simply not true.
    ...

    So the little jog down before present time does not cover the 4 C drop ? >>>>
    If not, do you have a better graph ?

    I'm sure you have the ability to find one.  Just remember to restrict
    your search to the scientific literature rather than political
    entertainment websites.

    Remember the _Readers Guide to Periodic Literature_?

    That graph comes from the Washington Post which is not a political
    entertainment website.  At least not for conservatives.

    Lynn


    The problem is, it doesn't show useful info, is being used
    in a misleading way.

    People haven't survived through climate
    changes for 485 million years.

    They've survived through them for about 2 million, at the
    outside. Agricultural society has managed the survive the
    climate changes of just the last 10,000.

    Here's a chart on a more useful scale: https://xkcd.com/1732/
    (check the mouseover :-)

    10,000 years ago, the Sahara was a grassland, like our Great
    Plains. Now, its a wasteland. That took a change of about 2C.
    Many of the great grain growing areas of the world could face
    the same fate if temperature goes up another 2C.

    We need to fix the climate to what's good for humans. What it was
    5 million years ago is irrelevant.

    Another way to look at it is that every kind of human except for one
    (so far) ultimately went extinct so we can't say "Oh, well, humans
    survived a lot of crap in the past" because most human species
    didn't. Granted, Homo Erectus had a pretty good run of two million
    years. Modern humans have been around (depending on definition of
    modern) anywhere from 300,000 to as little as 60,000 years, so our
    track record wrt climate change is not anywhere near as established
    as HE's.


    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

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  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to quadibloc on Tue Oct 1 07:36:29 2024
    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024 18:10:08 +0000, quadibloc wrote:

    On Fri, 27 Sep 2024 16:32:24 +0000, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    15,000 years ago, my location was under 2 miles of ice. This is NOT the
    'coolest time in 485 million years. Just looking at the chart,
    you can see an uptick at the very end. That uptick includes the
    totality of human civilization.

    Yes, we're in an interglacial, and Earth has been warmer for most of
    the past. That's irrelevant.

    Our culture, and the sources of our food, are all tuned to the climate
    of the past 15,000 years. Human activity is warming the planet
    EXTREMELY rapidly, compared to earlier warmings. The speed is such that
    plants and animals can't evolve and adapt.

    10,000 years ago, the Sahara desert was green, similar to the Great
    Plains. Warming since then has turned it into a wasteland.
    We're on track to do that to our main food-growing areas in the next
    100 years.

    Its imperative that we do what we can to nail the global thermostat to
    present temperatures.

    Thank you for reminding us of the facts.

    A typographical error in the pages of the Washington Post does not
    change those facts in any way.

    I mean, what if some computer hacker caused the Washington Post to run a story on its front page saying the Earth was flat? Would that prove the
    round Earth was a hoax? Obviously not.

    I spent some time studying the Post article and the associated
    Science articles and decided that the research it cited was a technical
    tour de force but had no bearing on the standard model of
    contemporary climate change which says that human-caused additions
    of CO2 to the atmosphere are driving up the temperature to where
    it will be dangerous to humanity if unchecked. So the Post story
    looks like a case of opportunism by journalists to snag researchers
    who have made a splash with other scientists and induce them to
    aid the preaching of journalism on the topic. So I left the
    following comment to the Post article:

    You might want to go and soak your head after reading this
    alarmist article. I wonder to what extent its writers, in
    order to get dramatic quotes from the researchers, goosed
    them with leading questions. At any rate, a more measured
    analysis of the research that is intended for a scientifically
    literate audience is here:

    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ads1526

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From D@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Tue Oct 1 10:54:56 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 9/30/2024 9:18 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/30/2024 7:29 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 9/27/2024 6:59 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the >>>>>> Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally- >>>>>> admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    The earth was four degrees C colder at the peak of the ice age 21,000 >>>>> years ago.   So the above is simply not true.
    ...

    So the little jog down before present time does not cover the 4 C drop ? >>>>
    If not, do you have a better graph ?

    I'm sure you have the ability to find one.  Just remember to restrict
    your search to the scientific literature rather than political
    entertainment websites.

    Remember the _Readers Guide to Periodic Literature_?

    That graph comes from the Washington Post which is not a political
    entertainment website.  At least not for conservatives.

    Lynn


    The problem is, it doesn't show useful info, is being used
    in a misleading way.

    People haven't survived through climate
    changes for 485 million years.

    They've survived through them for about 2 million, at the
    outside. Agricultural society has managed the survive the
    climate changes of just the last 10,000.

    Here's a chart on a more useful scale: https://xkcd.com/1732/
    (check the mouseover :-)

    10,000 years ago, the Sahara was a grassland, like our Great
    Plains. Now, its a wasteland. That took a change of about 2C.
    Many of the great grain growing areas of the world could face
    the same fate if temperature goes up another 2C.

    We need to fix the climate to what's good for humans. What it was
    5 million years ago is irrelevant.

    pt


    Actually no, if it was ok 5 million years ago, that tells us something
    about today. We have all learned now that the climate has always varied,
    and that there's no need for any fear. With the help of technology, we
    also have an advantage over other small animals, in that we can survive a
    much broader ranger of temperatures.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Tue Oct 1 19:13:51 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Tue, 1 Oct 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 10/1/2024 4:54 AM, D wrote:


    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 9/30/2024 9:18 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/30/2024 7:29 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 9/27/2024 6:59 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the >>>>>>>> Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally- >>>>>>>> admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    The earth was four degrees C colder at the peak of the ice age 21,000 >>>>>>> years ago.   So the above is simply not true.
    ...

    So the little jog down before present time does not cover the 4 C drop >>>>>> ?

    If not, do you have a better graph ?

    I'm sure you have the ability to find one.  Just remember to restrict >>>>> your search to the scientific literature rather than political
    entertainment websites.

    Remember the _Readers Guide to Periodic Literature_?

    That graph comes from the Washington Post which is not a political
    entertainment website.  At least not for conservatives.

    Lynn


    The problem is, it doesn't show useful info, is being used
    in a misleading way.

    People haven't survived through climate
    changes for 485 million years.

    They've survived through them for about 2 million, at the
    outside. Agricultural society has managed the survive the
    climate changes of just the last 10,000.

    Here's a chart on a more useful scale: https://xkcd.com/1732/
    (check the mouseover :-)

    10,000  years ago, the Sahara was a grassland, like our Great
    Plains. Now, its a wasteland. That took a change of about 2C.
    Many of the great grain growing areas of the world could face
    the same fate if temperature goes up another 2C.

    We need to fix the climate to what's good for humans. What it was
    5 million years ago is irrelevant.

    pt


    Actually no, if it was ok 5 million years ago, that tells us something
    about today. We have all learned now that the climate has always varied,
    and that there's no need for any fear. With the help of technology, we also >> have an advantage over other small animals, in that we can survive a much
    broader ranger of temperatures.

    Climate has always varied. And: Most species have gone extinct.

    Yes! This is often forgotten, when people whine on about species going
    extinct. I think about 94% of the life that ever lived on this planet is currently extinct, so it is natural and not something which has to be
    stopped at every cost.

    We need to change that.

    It depends. Could be that the return on investment by letting some small insignificant species Z, in rainforest Y, go extinct is totally worth it.
    Yes, I'm giving an exagerated example, to illustrate the point that
    keeping a species artificially alive does not have some inherent,
    inviolable value. It needs to be measured, as with everything. What is pro
    and what is contra.

    I don't want humans to go extinct, which means we have to keep
    climate within the range we know we can handle.

    Climate change will not cause humans to go extinct. Not even close. I
    think you should worry more about pandemics, nuclear war and identity
    politics. Each of those 3 are more likely to make the human species go
    extinct than climate change.

    Working the climate angle, due to fear of extinction, is like trying to genetically re-engineer the entire human race, because you fear head
    aches, instead of taking an aspirin.

    Its not just a matter of whether we, personally, are comfortable.
    Our food species also need to be sustained, and they're a lot
    more sensitive than we are.

    We've never had as much food and as little famine on the planet than we
    have today. So looking at the trends, we're actually doing better and
    better.

    pt



    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Tue Oct 1 10:19:44 2024
    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024 10:22:29 -0400, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 9/30/2024 2:55 AM, The Horny Goat wrote:
    On Sun, 29 Sep 2024 16:30:05 -0500, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    How ironic given the Canadian navy is buying submarines for the first
    itme in 30 years to patrol the Arctic...

    The USA has been sending nuclear submarines under the Arctic ice cap
    since 1958. It is not anything new.

    https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220503-the-record-breaking-dive-under-the-arctic-ice
    and

    https://www.reddit.com/r/submarines/comments/oj8vjs/nuclear_submarine_surfaced_through_the_ice_of_the/

    I'm all too aware of that and know it has therefore created issues of
    national sovereignity. As a Canadian that concerns me.

    If they do so with Canadian permission, its isn't a problem.

    If they stay more that 12 nautical miles from the coast, and don't
    engage in resource harvesting within 200 (the exclusive economic
    zone), they're also fine, even without permission.

    That's not the view of the Canadian government which has lots of
    islands in the Arctic that are more than 12 miles apart (or 24 from
    island to island). Both Russia and China are known to be probing in
    the western Arctic and the main government fear is oil leaks or spills
    since ships of the sort that can deal with spills are often hundreds
    of miles away.

    And as you probably know, there's a long term dispute between the US
    and Canada in the north since Canada considers the line of the
    Alaska/Yukon border northwards Canadian waters even well beyond 12 or
    200 miles. During the Cold War the US didn't mind since Canada did
    patrol these waters primarily against Soviet submarines - since the
    Russians don't do as much in the Arctic these days compared to
    pre-1991 .... but 30 years ago China never went into the Arctic while
    now they do and Canada monitors by satellite those that do.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scott Lurndal@21:1/5 to All on Tue Oct 1 18:31:30 2024
    On Tue, 1 Oct 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 10/1/2024 4:54 AM, D wrote:


    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 9/30/2024 9:18 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/30/2024 7:29 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 9/27/2024 6:59 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the >>>>>>>>> Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally- >>>>>>>>> admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    The earth was four degrees C colder at the peak of the ice age 21,000 >>>>>>>> years ago.   So the above is simply not true.
    ...

    So the little jog down before present time does not cover the 4 C drop >>>>>>> ?

    If not, do you have a better graph ?

    I'm sure you have the ability to find one.  Just remember to restrict >>>>>> your search to the scientific literature rather than political
    entertainment websites.

    Remember the _Readers Guide to Periodic Literature_?

    That graph comes from the Washington Post which is not a political
    entertainment website.  At least not for conservatives.

    Lynn


    The problem is, it doesn't show useful info, is being used
    in a misleading way.

    People haven't survived through climate
    changes for 485 million years.

    They've survived through them for about 2 million, at the
    outside. Agricultural society has managed the survive the
    climate changes of just the last 10,000.

    Here's a chart on a more useful scale: https://xkcd.com/1732/
    (check the mouseover :-)

    10,000  years ago, the Sahara was a grassland, like our Great
    Plains. Now, its a wasteland. That took a change of about 2C.
    Many of the great grain growing areas of the world could face
    the same fate if temperature goes up another 2C.

    We need to fix the climate to what's good for humans. What it was
    5 million years ago is irrelevant.

    pt


    Actually no, if it was ok 5 million years ago, that tells us something
    about today. We have all learned now that the climate has always varied, >>> and that there's no need for any fear. With the help of technology, we also >>> have an advantage over other small animals, in that we can survive a much >>> broader ranger of temperatures.

    Climate has always varied. And: Most species have gone extinct.

    Yes! This is often forgotten,

    No, it is never forgotten, it is well known by scientists.

    Over four point three billion years, it's not even unexpected.


    when people whine on about species going
    extinct.

    Your choice of emotionally loaded verb is noted. And dismissed.

    There is legitimate concern about the _rate_ of extinction. Compared
    to the rates over the last four billion years, the modern rate is
    many times larger.



    I think about 94% of the life that ever lived on this planet is
    currently extinct, so it is natural and not something which has to be
    stopped at every cost.

    The _rate_ of extinction is far greater now than at any time
    in history (barring certain catestrophic events such as asteroid
    impacts).



    We need to change that.

    It depends. Could be that the return on investment by letting some small >insignificant species Z, in rainforest Y, go extinct is totally worth it.

    No, it's not. How do you even compute the RoI for extinction events?



    We've never had as much food and as little famine on the planet than we
    have today. So looking at the trends, we're actually doing better and
    better.

    That is not universally true. Where true, it is entirely attributed
    to the use of fossil fuels to make fertilizers. Which will, inevitably,
    run out. Then what?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Scott Lurndal on Tue Oct 1 21:37:07 2024
    On Tue, 1 Oct 2024, Scott Lurndal wrote:

    Climate has always varied. And: Most species have gone extinct.

    Yes! This is often forgotten,

    No, it is never forgotten, it is well known by scientists.

    Over four point three billion years, it's not even unexpected.

    Wrong again Scott, that's not what I said. You should really work a bit
    on your reading comprehension. ;)

    when people whine on about species going
    extinct.

    Your choice of emotionally loaded verb is noted. And dismissed.

    Wrong again, it is not. ;)

    There is legitimate concern about the _rate_ of extinction. Compared
    to the rates over the last four billion years, the modern rate is
    many times larger.

    Nope.

    I think about 94% of the life that ever lived on this planet is
    currently extinct, so it is natural and not something which has to be
    stopped at every cost.

    The _rate_ of extinction is far greater now than at any time
    in history (barring certain catestrophic events such as asteroid
    impacts).

    We're having it better than we ever had, what you say does not change
    that. Nature is way more resilient than usenet posters, so just relax
    Scott.



    We need to change that.

    It depends. Could be that the return on investment by letting some small
    insignificant species Z, in rainforest Y, go extinct is totally worth it.

    No, it's not. How do you even compute the RoI for extinction events?

    Depends on the event. It can be anything from trivial, to complex. You,
    on the other hand, climate hysteric, refuse to even think about it.

    But it is a fact of life, that humans have more value than animals and
    plants. Even you believe that, proven by the fact that you live and
    breathe in the western world, when the best way to save the climate
    would be to dramatically reduce your quality of life and live a medieval lifestyle as so many fellow hysterics often preach, but never themselves
    do.



    We've never had as much food and as little famine on the planet than we
    have today. So looking at the trends, we're actually doing better and
    better.

    That is not universally true. Where true, it is entirely attributed
    to the use of fossil fuels to make fertilizers. Which will, inevitably,
    run out. Then what?

    That's not what I said. Read again. Your naive question has been raised
    since the dawn of capitalism, and alternatives are always provided by
    the market.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mad Hamish@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Wed Oct 2 16:18:31 2024
    On Thu, 26 Sep 2024 21:12:09 -0500, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the Last
    485 Million Years"

    It doesn't, and you should be ashamed of yourself for reposting such
    bullshit

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to petertrei@gmail.com on Wed Oct 2 09:20:05 2024
    On Tue, 1 Oct 2024 11:45:31 -0400, Cryptoengineer
    <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:

    On 10/1/2024 4:54 AM, D wrote:


    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024, Cryptoengineer wrote:

    On 9/30/2024 9:18 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/30/2024 7:29 PM, Scott Lurndal wrote:
    Lynn McGuire <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> writes:
    On 9/27/2024 6:59 PM, William Hyde wrote:
    Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the >>>>>>>> Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally- >>>>>>>> admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    The earth was four degrees C colder at the peak of the ice age 21,000 >>>>>>> years ago.   So the above is simply not true.
    ...

    So the little jog down before present time does not cover the 4 C >>>>>> drop ?

    If not, do you have a better graph ?

    I'm sure you have the ability to find one.  Just remember to restrict >>>>> your search to the scientific literature rather than political
    entertainment websites.

    Remember the _Readers Guide to Periodic Literature_?

    That graph comes from the Washington Post which is not a political
    entertainment website.  At least not for conservatives.

    Lynn


    The problem is, it doesn't show useful info, is being used
    in a misleading way.

    People haven't survived through climate
    changes for 485 million years.

    They've survived through them for about 2 million, at the
    outside. Agricultural society has managed the survive the
    climate changes of just the last 10,000.

    Here's a chart on a more useful scale: https://xkcd.com/1732/
    (check the mouseover :-)

    10,000  years ago, the Sahara was a grassland, like our Great
    Plains. Now, its a wasteland. That took a change of about 2C.
    Many of the great grain growing areas of the world could face
    the same fate if temperature goes up another 2C.

    We need to fix the climate to what's good for humans. What it was
    5 million years ago is irrelevant.

    pt


    Actually no, if it was ok 5 million years ago, that tells us something
    about today. We have all learned now that the climate has always varied,
    and that there's no need for any fear. With the help of technology, we
    also have an advantage over other small animals, in that we can survive
    a much broader ranger of temperatures.

    Climate has always varied. And: Most species have gone extinct.

    We need to change that.

    That resembles an attitude (which I do not say that you have) that has
    puzzled me for some time: many people who claim to accept Natural
    Selection are adamant that this, that, or the other species /must/ be
    saved.

    Natural Selection, of course, /requires/ that species go extinct so
    that better-adapted species can thrive.

    This is like efforts a while back (and possibly continuing) to return
    a certain patch of urban uncleared ground (it is in a park and
    contains a creek that, no doubt, marks the low point of the valley we
    are in) to its original condition by removing invasive species.

    Which is fine as far as it goes. But by "original condition" they mean
    "before the White Man came". Why not "before /any/ humans came"? Why
    stop at 150 years or so ago? Why not 10,000 years ago?

    Still, it is worth doing, whatever the actual goal is. And most of the
    invasive species are a lot more recent that even 150 years.

    I don't want humans to go extinct, which means we have to keep
    climate within the range we know we can handle.

    Its not just a matter of whether we, personally, are comfortable.
    Our food species also need to be sustained, and they're a lot
    more sensitive than we are.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bobbie Sellers@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Sep 26 19:33:59 2024
    On 9/26/24 19:12, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the Last
    485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    "Arguably, the Earth can be considered in a C02 famine."

    "Finally, it’s good to remember none of the climate-hysteria predictions have come true."

    ""In five years, scientists predict we will have the first ice-free
    Arctic summer."

    "John Kerry back in 2009."

    Lynn

    Some how i find the Washington Post slip up as lacking
    credibility because in the last few Hundred thousans years we
    have had Ice Ages which forced humans to develope their social
    skills even further.
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_glaciation>

    bliss-who is just a student of such things and unable to throw
    scientific credentials around.

    --
    b l i s s - S F 4 e v e r at D S L E x t r e m e dot com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bobbie Sellers@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Thu Sep 26 22:25:49 2024
    On 9/26/24 19:46, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/26/2024 9:33 PM, Bobbie Sellers wrote:
    On 9/26/24 19:12, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the
    Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-
    admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    "Arguably, the Earth can be considered in a C02 famine."

    "Finally, it’s good to remember none of the climate-hysteria
    predictions have come true."

    ""In five years, scientists predict we will have the first ice-free
    Arctic summer."

    "John Kerry back in 2009."

    Lynn

         Some how i find the Washington Post slip up as lacking
    credibility because in the last few Hundred thousand years we
    have had Ice Ages which forced humans to develope their social
    skills even further.
         <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_glaciation>

    bliss-who is just a student of such things and unable to throw
    scientific credentials around.

    We are living in an ice age now.  Ice ages are loosely defined as when
    one or both poles are frozen.  Both poles being frozen like now only
    happens during 11% of the ice ages.

    Lynn

    Well we seem to be ending the Holocene Ice Age within then
    next two centuries. But the plagues Dale Pendell forsaw were not
    quite as deadly.<https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/7821813-the-great-bay>
    He covers the next 16,000 years and of course the present
    heating is resolved by the next Ice Age.

    bliss

    --
    b l i s s - S F 4 e v e r at D S L E x t r e m e dot com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to Lynn McGuire on Fri Sep 27 14:38:30 2024
    This message is in MIME format. The first part should be readable text,
    while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.

    On Thu, 26 Sep 2024, Lynn McGuire wrote:

    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the Last 485 Million Years" https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    "Arguably, the Earth can be considered in a C02 famine."

    "Finally, it’s good to remember none of the climate-hysteria predictions have
    come true."

    ""In five years, scientists predict we will have the first ice-free Arctic summer."

    "John Kerry back in 2009."

    Lynn


    Interesting! Always fun when those cracks in the official narrative
    appear, and the rush to hide it or explain it away (yet again)!

    I watched a documentary the other day about the fall of the akkadian
    empire, and apparently they suspect it was due to the 4.2 kiloyear event.
    It turns out that within 230:ish years, nature, (without any CO2) changed dramatically which led to less rain, which led to food shortage. Estimates
    say that the temperature in the region dropped 1-2 degrees C, naturally in
    such a short time.

    Who would have thought that nature could change so much, without CO2? I
    thought that was close to impossible, and that without man, nature only
    changes on 10000 year spans. ;)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From rkshullat@rosettacondot.com@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Fri Sep 27 18:01:07 2024
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote:
    On 9/27/2024 1:25 AM, Bobbie Sellers wrote:
    On 9/26/24 19:46, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    On 9/26/2024 9:33 PM, Bobbie Sellers wrote:
    On 9/26/24 19:12, Lynn McGuire wrote:
    "Washington Post Accidentally Admits Earth at Coolest Point in the
    Last 485 Million Years"

    https://legalinsurrection.com/2024/09/washington-post-accidentally-
    admits-earth-at-coolest-point-in-the-last-485-million-years/

    "Arguably, the Earth can be considered in a C02 famine."

    "Finally, it’s good to remember none of the climate-hysteria
    predictions have come true."

    ""In five years, scientists predict we will have the first ice-free
    Arctic summer."

    "John Kerry back in 2009."

    Lynn

         Some how i find the Washington Post slip up as lacking
    credibility because in the last few Hundred thousand years we
    have had Ice Ages which forced humans to develope their social
    skills even further.
         <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_glaciation>

    bliss-who is just a student of such things and unable to throw
    scientific credentials around.

    We are living in an ice age now.  Ice ages are loosely defined as when
    one or both poles are frozen.  Both poles being frozen like now only
    happens during 11% of the ice ages.

    Lynn

        Well we seem to be ending the Holocene Ice Age within then
    next two centuries. But the plagues Dale Pendell forsaw were not
    quite as deadly.<https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/7821813-the-great-bay> >>     He covers the next 16,000 years and of course the present
    heating is resolved by the next Ice Age.

    15,000 years ago, my location was under 2 miles of ice. This is NOT
    the 'coolest time in 485 million years. Just looking at the chart,
    you can see an uptick at the very end. That uptick includes the totality
    of human civilization.

    Yes, we're in an interglacial, and Earth has been warmer for most of
    the past. That's irrelevant.

    Our culture, and the sources of our food, are all tuned to the climate
    of the past 15,000 years. Human activity is warming the planet EXTREMELY rapidly, compared to earlier warmings. The speed is such that plants
    and animals can't evolve and adapt.

    10,000 years ago, the Sahara desert was green, similar to the
    Great Plains. Warming since then has turned it into a wasteland.
    We're on track to do that to our main food-growing areas in the
    next 100 years.

    Its imperative that we do what we can to nail the global thermostat
    to present temperatures.

    Generally correct, but unless the theory has changed extremely recently the greening and drying of the Sahara is cyclic and has nothing to do with AGW. Instead it's primarily driven by a 41,000 year periodic change in the Earth's tilt that shifts the North African Monsoon north and south. When it shifts to the north the Sahara greens and becomes savannah, to the south it goes back to desert. The cycle has been going on in the Sahara for millions of years.

    Robert
    --
    Robert K. Shull Email: rkshull at rosettacon dot com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From D@21:1/5 to William Hyde on Sat Sep 28 11:57:06 2024
    On Fri, 27 Sep 2024, William Hyde wrote:

    I watched a documentary the other day about the fall of the akkadian
    empire, and apparently they suspect it was due to the 4.2 kiloyear event.
    It turns out that within 230:ish years, nature, (without any CO2) changed
    dramatically which led to less rain, which led to food shortage. Estimates >> say that the temperature in the region dropped 1-2 degrees C, naturally in >> such a short time.

    Did it say the global temperature dropped that much? Or was this a regional event? Regional events of this kind are common. IIRC it is believed that the Mayans also ran into unfavourable climate change, though this is not settled. But it's doubtless settled enough for a TV show.

    Regional.

    Who would have thought that nature could change so much, without CO2?

    I would. And so would literally anybody else who spent some time reading on the subject.

    You are very special William. I have met many climate _hysterics_ (and
    when I say hysterics now, it is because they genuinely think the earth
    will be destroyed in 5-10 years) who deny this.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)