• (OT) Possible gas giant seen orbiting Alpha Centauri A

    From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 9 08:36:41 2025
    "These suggest that the planet candidate is on an eccentric (e~0.4)
    orbit significantly inclined with respect to Alpha Cen AB orbital
    plane (i mutual ~50 degrees, or ~130 degrees). Based on the photometry
    and orbital properties, the planet candidate could have a temperature
    of 225 K, a radius of 1-1.1 (Jupiter) and a mass between 90-150 (Earth), consistent with RV limits."

    https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03814

    For people not familiar with the Kelvin temperature scale, 225 K is the temperature of a very cold giraffe.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Nicoll on Sat Aug 9 08:41:05 2025
    On Sat, 9 Aug 2025 08:36:41 -0400 (EDT), jdnicoll@panix.com (James
    Nicoll) wrote:


    "These suggest that the planet candidate is on an eccentric (e~0.4)
    orbit significantly inclined with respect to Alpha Cen AB orbital
    plane (i mutual ~50 degrees, or ~130 degrees). Based on the photometry
    and orbital properties, the planet candidate could have a temperature
    of 225 K, a radius of 1-1.1 (Jupiter) and a mass between 90-150 (Earth), >consistent with RV limits."

    https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03814

    For people not familiar with the Kelvin temperature scale, 225 K is the >temperature of a very cold giraffe.

    Frozen solid, I should think.

    And I am sure the planet candidate could be a lot of things. Those
    proposed here, presumably, have at least some sort of data to support
    them.

    After all, I /could/ have wings. But I don't.

    Perhaps "might have" would be better than "could have", although I
    suppose it doesn't make much difference any more.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to psperson@old.netcom.invalid on Sat Aug 9 16:15:16 2025
    In article <unqe9k93p83m8ai52b8s70tvfduqv4b73v@4ax.com>,
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:
    On Sat, 9 Aug 2025 08:36:41 -0400 (EDT), jdnicoll@panix.com (James
    Nicoll) wrote:


    "These suggest that the planet candidate is on an eccentric (e~0.4)
    orbit significantly inclined with respect to Alpha Cen AB orbital
    plane (i mutual ~50 degrees, or ~130 degrees). Based on the photometry
    and orbital properties, the planet candidate could have a temperature
    of 225 K, a radius of 1-1.1 (Jupiter) and a mass between 90-150 (Earth), >>consistent with RV limits."

    https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03814

    For people not familiar with the Kelvin temperature scale, 225 K is the >>temperature of a very cold giraffe.

    Frozen solid, I should think.

    And I am sure the planet candidate could be a lot of things. Those
    proposed here, presumably, have at least some sort of data to support
    them.

    After all, I /could/ have wings. But I don't.

    Perhaps "might have" would be better than "could have", although I
    suppose it doesn't make much difference any more.

    It's very early days, thus the "this interpretation fits the data",
    not "this is what Alpha Centauri A is like".

    It's about as cold as Mars, I think.

    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Woodward@21:1/5 to James Nicoll on Sat Aug 9 09:52:32 2025
    In article <1077fcp$7kd$1@panix2.panix.com>,
    jdnicoll@panix.com (James Nicoll) wrote:


    "These suggest that the planet candidate is on an eccentric (e~0.4)
    orbit significantly inclined with respect to Alpha Cen AB orbital
    plane (i mutual ~50 degrees, or ~130 degrees). Based on the photometry
    and orbital properties, the planet candidate could have a temperature
    of 225 K, a radius of 1-1.1 (Jupiter) and a mass between 90-150 (Earth), consistent with RV limits."

    https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03814

    For people not familiar with the Kelvin temperature scale, 225 K is the temperature of a very cold giraffe.

    I checked and found that without the greenhouse affect, Earth's average temperature would be about 253 K (which still would be a cold dead, not necessarily frozen, giraffe).

    --
    "We have advanced to new and surprising levels of bafflement."
    Imperial Auditor Miles Vorkosigan describes progress in _Komarr_. ‹-----------------------------------------------------
    Robert Woodward robertaw@drizzle.com

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Christian Weisgerber@21:1/5 to James Nicoll on Sat Aug 9 18:18:48 2025
    On 2025-08-09, James Nicoll <jdnicoll@panix.com> wrote:

    For people not familiar with the Kelvin temperature scale, 225 K is the temperature of a very cold giraffe.

    Liquid ammonia! Paging Hal Clement ...

    --
    Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy@mips.inka.de

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Stefan Ram@21:1/5 to William Hyde on Sat Aug 9 20:20:08 2025
    William Hyde <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote or quoted:
    Jupiter "should" emit at 105K but actually emits at 125. This much
    larger hypothesized planet may well have a much greater output.

    The tidal flexing kneads of one moon of Jupiter, Europa's,
    interior gives it a source of heat, possibly allowing its
    ocean to stay liquid below the surface.

    BTW: Have you all checked out the mars "corals"? An image
    search for "mars" and "coral-shaped" for images about a
    week or less old should do!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Christian Weisgerber@21:1/5 to William Hyde on Sat Aug 9 22:55:47 2025
    On 2025-08-09, William Hyde <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote:

    It is conceivable that a moon of this planet could have a strong enough greenhouse effect to be habitable, but it would probably need to be too
    large to be realistic.

    You could have tidal heating and a subsurface ocean under an ice
    crust...

    That's a lot of ifs, but not too many for an SF novel.

    One of the Alpha Centaurian worlds in Charles Pellegrino's
    _Flying to Valhalla_ (1993) is an ice world with a subsurface ocean.
    *leafs through the book*
    Not a moon of a giant planet though, but it does get tidal heating
    from a very large moon of its own--think Pluto-Charon.

    Gur angvirf nera'g fcnpr snevat lrg, ohg gurl pbzr hc guebhtu gur
    vpr naq dhvpxyl qvfnffrzoyr gur cebor frag qbja, ng juvpu cbvag bhe cebgntbavfgf pbafvqre vg cehqrag gb Xrffyre-flaqebzr gurz, jvgu
    nagvznfggre ab yrff.

    --
    Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy@mips.inka.de

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Stefan Ram@21:1/5 to William Hyde on Sun Aug 10 09:22:39 2025
    William Hyde <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote or quoted:
    I did a brief search for the amount of tidal heating and came up with no
    hard numbers, but an estimate of less than one W/M**. Do you know
    anything more concrete?
    . . .
    It's frustrating how many of these sources talk around the figure you
    need to know. These non-climate people!

    Sometimes it's just the case that some details aren't totally
    nailed down yet.

    But if you check out the awesome Wikipedia article on Jupiter's
    moon Europa (I prefer the PDF), in the section called "Physical
    characteristics," there's a part labeled "Sources of heat" with
    subsections like "Tidal friction," "Tidal flexing," and "Radioactive
    decay." They actually give one number there - 7.3 x 10^18 joules of
    kinetic energy for the "Rossby waves," assuming certain conditions.
    They also list some sources that might have more numbers you could
    pull.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Nicoll on Sun Aug 10 08:57:12 2025
    On Sat, 9 Aug 2025 16:15:16 -0000 (UTC), jdnicoll@panix.com (James
    Nicoll) wrote:

    In article <unqe9k93p83m8ai52b8s70tvfduqv4b73v@4ax.com>,
    Paul S Person <psperson@old.netcom.invalid> wrote:
    On Sat, 9 Aug 2025 08:36:41 -0400 (EDT), jdnicoll@panix.com (James
    Nicoll) wrote:


    "These suggest that the planet candidate is on an eccentric (e~0.4)
    orbit significantly inclined with respect to Alpha Cen AB orbital
    plane (i mutual ~50 degrees, or ~130 degrees). Based on the photometry >>>and orbital properties, the planet candidate could have a temperature
    of 225 K, a radius of 1-1.1 (Jupiter) and a mass between 90-150 (Earth), >>>consistent with RV limits."

    https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03814

    For people not familiar with the Kelvin temperature scale, 225 K is the >>>temperature of a very cold giraffe.

    Frozen solid, I should think.

    And I am sure the planet candidate could be a lot of things. Those
    proposed here, presumably, have at least some sort of data to support
    them.

    After all, I /could/ have wings. But I don't.

    Perhaps "might have" would be better than "could have", although I
    suppose it doesn't make much difference any more.

    It's very early days, thus the "this interpretation fits the data",
    not "this is what Alpha Centauri A is like".

    Yeah, I think I got a wee bit unreasonable there.

    It's about as cold as Mars, I think.

    Online calculators show -54.67 F (-48.15 C).

    Mars I don't know about. Online calculators I can find.

    Bing's Copilot has this interesting answer:

    The temperature on Mars is much colder than on Earth, averaging about
    minus 80 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 60 degrees Celsius). It can vary
    from minus 200 degrees F to 70 degrees F, depending on the seas...

    which becomes less interesting when "seas" is parsed as "season".
    Apparently, the artificiality of its intelligence prevents the AI from recognizing the problem.

    And, in fact, the article <https://www.space.com/16907-what-is-the-temperature-of-mars.html>
    does give 70 F as the maximum temperature.

    Doesn't mean that giraffe isn't frozen solid, however.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Christian Weisgerber@21:1/5 to William Hyde on Tue Aug 12 21:57:43 2025
    On 2025-08-10, William Hyde <wthyde1953@gmail.com> wrote:

    One of the Alpha Centaurian worlds in Charles Pellegrino's
    _Flying to Valhalla_ (1993) is an ice world with a subsurface ocean.

    Gur angvirf nera'g fcnpr snevat lrg, ohg gurl pbzr hc guebhtu gur
    vpr naq dhvpxyl qvfnffrzoyr gur cebor frag qbja, ng juvpu cbvag bhe
    cebgntbavfgf pbafvqre vg cehqrag gb Xrffyre-flaqebzr gurz, jvgu
    nagvznfggre ab yrff.

    That wasn't nice of them.

    From the preface:

    | Pellegrino, Powell and Asimov's Three Laws of Alien Behavior:
    |
    | Law No. 1: Their survival will be more important than our survival.
    | If an alien species has to choose between them and us, they won't
    | choose us. It is difficult to imagine a contrary case; species
    | don't survive by being self-sacrificing.
    |
    | Law No. 2: Wimps don't become top dogs.
    | No species makes it to the top by being passive. The species in
    | charge of any given planet will be highly intelligent, alert,
    | aggressive, and ruthless when necessary.
    |
    | Law No. 3: They will assume that the first two laws apply to us.

    In his next novel, _The Killing Star_ (1995), Pellegrino followed
    through on this thinking by suggesting that pre-emptively exterminating
    your cosmic neighbors is the reasonable thing to do. Since a book
    that effectively advocates genocide might raise issues with readers
    and more importantly editors, he put humanity at the receiving end.

    --
    Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy@mips.inka.de

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Stefan Ram@21:1/5 to Cryptoengineer on Wed Aug 13 12:30:55 2025
    Cryptoengineer <petertrei@gmail.com> wrote or quoted:
    AKA, the 'Dark Forest' variant on the Fermi Paradox.

    Well, in that story, "The Tree Of Life" I already mentioned here,
    . . .

    Spoiler follows, . . .

    Jura na nyvra neevirf ng gur yno bs gur fbyr fheivivat yvsr
    sbez ba Rnegu, "ur jnf dhvpx gb nffher ure, gur cebprff unq
    orra guebhtu evtbebhf rguvpny obneq nccebiny. Ab yvsr sbezf unq
    fhssrerq, naq gur cynarg vgfrys unq orra erfgberq gb cer-yvsr
    pbaqvgvbaf sebz na ngzbfcurevp naq purzvpny cbvag bs ivrj".

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to lynnmcguire5@gmail.com on Sun Aug 31 21:02:31 2025
    On Sat, 9 Aug 2025 14:48:06 -0500, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    The freezing point of water at one atmosphere is 273.15 K.

    So 225 K is very, very cold, -48 C.

    That temperature occurs routinely in mostly the Dakotas and Minnesota in
    the lower 48 of the USA but not for very long.

    Been there done that - in Manitoba which is directly north of the
    states you name. There's typically about two weeks in winter like that
    with the rest of winter being about 20-25 degrees warmer than that.
    (Still bluddy cold but at least bearable with proper clothing. I once
    crossed Portage Avenue (6 lanes) in Winnipeg in -30 wearing nothing
    heavier than a heavy sweater and ran most of the way - this is the
    kind of thing you do in your 20s but definitely wouldn't try now)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Horny Goat@21:1/5 to michael.stemper@gmail.com on Sun Aug 31 21:04:59 2025
    On Mon, 11 Aug 2025 12:56:23 -0500, "Michael F. Stemper" <michael.stemper@gmail.com> wrote:

    -48C is -54.4F. The coldest that the Twin Cities got during my time there
    was -27F in January 1994.[1] Fortunately, I was in Europe for most of that >month. The folks I was working with were going to be coming to the Cities
    the following month, so I spent a lot of our breaks telling them horror >stories about what they were in for.

    Since the Twin Cities aren't Minnesota, let's look at "the nation's icebox," >International Falls, Minnesota. We see that the record low was -55F, a
    record set in 1909.[2]

    The period I did the stuff I wrote about in Winnipeg was 1984-88.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to lcraver@home.ca on Mon Sep 1 18:24:10 2025
    In article <lh6abk5dm2k6f6g32mgodbcij2aksbcqgp@4ax.com>,
    The Horny Goat <lcraver@home.ca> wrote:
    On Sat, 9 Aug 2025 14:48:06 -0500, Lynn McGuire
    <lynnmcguire5@gmail.com> wrote:

    The freezing point of water at one atmosphere is 273.15 K.

    So 225 K is very, very cold, -48 C.

    That temperature occurs routinely in mostly the Dakotas and Minnesota in >>the lower 48 of the USA but not for very long.

    Been there done that - in Manitoba which is directly north of the
    states you name. There's typically about two weeks in winter like that
    with the rest of winter being about 20-25 degrees warmer than that.
    (Still bluddy cold but at least bearable with proper clothing. I once
    crossed Portage Avenue (6 lanes) in Winnipeg in -30 wearing nothing
    heavier than a heavy sweater and ran most of the way - this is the
    kind of thing you do in your 20s but definitely wouldn't try now)

    Once when I was security guard at the local hospital, I decided it
    wasn't worth the bother to go get my coat and gloves just to dash
    100 m from one external door to another*. Yes, it was -30 and yes,
    there was a strong wind but how cold could I get in the time it
    took to run the length of a football field?

    Cold enough I couldn't work the key in the lock, which meant I was
    trapped outside far from the nearest unlocked door.

    * The interior path was _much_ longer.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)