On 4/9/23 6:07 PM, ScottW wrote:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/08/intelligence-leak-documents-ukraine-pentagon/
Massive intel leak the scope and impact of which will be years in the making.
Yes, Biden is personally in charge of frisking people after intelligence briefings.
Daily Kos:
One document notes that China might be more inclined to supply Russia
with critically needed ammunition if Ukraine "hit a [Russian] location
of high strategic value" or targeted “senior Russian leaders.” It is
true that the U.S. doesn’t have many long-range ATACMS rocket artillery missiles, which Ukraine desperately wants. But American intelligence
seems to be saying “send these rockets and one of them hits the wrong
target inside Russia, then China single-handedly solves Russia’s
ammunition challenges overnight.”
Suddenly, American reticence makes a lot more sense. Heck, even if
Ukraine used the rockets sensibly, Russia could be incentivized to stage
a false-flag attack to draw Chinese help. At the very least, it
dramatically complicates the decision. Critics say that it’s stupid that
Joe Biden doesn’t want to escalate the situation; “how much more can
Russia escalate?” they ask. But given this slide, it’s not Russia
they’re worried about. Ukraine’s chances of winning are far higher if Russia can’t replace the ammunition it’s consuming.
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