• Must Watch Video

    From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Wed Aug 2 10:12:30 2023
    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    Watch it to its conclusion.
    It is only 2 minutes long.


    https://therightscoop.com/watch-thief-tries-to-rob-convenience-store-but-it-does-not-go-well-for-him/

    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke
    progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve.
    And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Wed Aug 2 13:16:46 2023
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.

    No such thing.

    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke
    progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve.
    And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.

    Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Wed Aug 2 11:35:16 2023
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 2:16:49 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    No such thing.
    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve. And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.
    Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    such thing

    https://twitter.com/Levandov_1/status/1686630819861762049?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1686630819861762049%7Ctwgr%5Ea17f232b307526a823d5fe62ac74d506deb1ec7e%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftherightscoop.com%2Fwatch-thief-tries-
    to-rob-convenience-store-but-it-does-not-go-well-for-him%2F

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Wed Aug 2 14:32:19 2023
    On 8/2/23 1:35 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 2:16:49 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    No such thing.
    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke
    progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve. >>> And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.
    Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    such thing

    Such thievery exists in all kinds of cities with all kinds of policing.
    Cue Trevor if there are guns involved.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Wed Aug 2 15:43:07 2023
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 3:32:22 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 1:35 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 2:16:49 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    No such thing.
    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke
    progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve. >>> And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.
    Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    such thing
    Such thievery exists in all kinds of cities with all kinds of policing.
    Cue Trevor if there are guns involved.

    NONONO NO NO
    I'm not gonna let you get away with that!

    Shoplifters do not roll in a giant trash bin and brazenly load it up
    by sweeping armloads of goods off the shelves.
    Not unless they know that they won't be prsecuted
    and not unless they know that police will either take a long time to respond, or not even respond at all to shoplifting calls

    Jus five years ago this kind of brazen shoplifting did not occur.
    The normal m.o. for shoplifters was to CONCEAL the crime.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Wed Aug 2 18:03:02 2023
    On 8/2/23 5:43 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 3:32:22 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 1:35 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 2:16:49 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    No such thing.
    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke
    progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve. >>>>> And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.
    Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    such thing
    Such thievery exists in all kinds of cities with all kinds of policing.
    Cue Trevor if there are guns involved.

    NONONO NO NO
    I'm not gonna let you get away with that!

    If there are guns involved, gun control is a legitimate response.

    Shoplifters do not roll in a giant trash bin and brazenly load it up
    by sweeping armloads of goods off the shelves.

    That's a smash and grab. Not invented yesterday.

    Not unless they know that they won't be prsecuted
    and not unless they know that police will either take a long time to respond, or not even respond at all to shoplifting calls

    Smash and grabs happened even in the face of Biden's draconian crime
    control act in the nineties.

    Jus five years ago this kind of brazen shoplifting did not occur.
    The normal m.o. for shoplifters was to CONCEAL the crime.

    Talk about your confirmation bias.

    https://www.click2houston.com/news/2016/09/15/thieves-steal-nearly-1m-in-smash-and-grab-robbery/

    "Police say the smash and grab jewelry heist happened in broad daylight
    at De Boulle Tuesday evening in the River Oaks area, leaving those in
    the jewelry business on edge."

    https://www.justice.gov/usao-cdca/pr/leader-robbery-crew-staged-string-jewelry-store-heists-netted-6-million-sentenced-55

    https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/crime/2017/05/05/spicer-greene-robbery-remains-under-investigation/101322014/

    "The robbery took place around 4:15 p.m. Wednesday at Spicer Greene
    Jewelers, located on Patton Avenue.

    Three suspects wearing motorcycle helmets and wielding a hammer and a
    handgun robbed the store in an unusual smash and grab crime, according
    to Asheville police."

    https://www.kxan.com/news/crime/video-2m-stolen-in-smash-and-grab-jewelry-heist/

    "Surveillance video caught the moment a man smashed jewelry display
    cases with a hammer so another man could reach in and grab what was
    inside. Sugar Land police say the suspects got away with $2 million in
    jewels."

    https://www.cbsnews.com/losangeles/news/irvine-jewelry-store-robbers-are-seen-on-video-with-hammers-and-trashcans-in-a-900000-smash-and-grab/

    "Three suspects armed with hammers made off with nearly a million
    dollars in stolen jewelry after committing a brazen smash-and-grab
    robbery in Irvine on Monday."

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Wed Aug 2 19:40:35 2023
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 7:03:05 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 5:43 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 3:32:22 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 1:35 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 2:16:49 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    No such thing.
    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke >>>>> progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve.
    And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.
    Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    such thing
    Such thievery exists in all kinds of cities with all kinds of policing. >> Cue Trevor if there are guns involved.

    NONONO NO NO
    I'm not gonna let you get away with that!
    If there are guns involved, gun control is a legitimate response.
    Shoplifters do not roll in a giant trash bin and brazenly load it up
    by sweeping armloads of goods off the shelves.
    That's a smash and grab. Not invented yesterday.
    Not unless they know that they won't be prsecuted
    and not unless they know that police will either take a long time to respond,
    or not even respond at all to shoplifting calls
    Smash and grabs happened even in the face of Biden's draconian crime
    control act in the nineties.
    Jus five years ago this kind of brazen shoplifting did not occur.
    The normal m.o. for shoplifters was to CONCEAL the crime.
    Talk about your confirmation bias.

    https://www.click2houston.com/news/2016/09/15/thieves-steal-nearly-1m-in-smash-and-grab-robbery/

    "Police say the smash and grab jewelry heist happened in broad daylight
    at De Boulle Tuesday evening in the River Oaks area, leaving those in
    the jewelry business on edge."

    https://www.justice.gov/usao-cdca/pr/leader-robbery-crew-staged-string-jewelry-store-heists-netted-6-million-sentenced-55

    https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/crime/2017/05/05/spicer-greene-robbery-remains-under-investigation/101322014/

    "The robbery took place around 4:15 p.m. Wednesday at Spicer Greene Jewelers, located on Patton Avenue.

    Three suspects wearing motorcycle helmets and wielding a hammer and a handgun robbed the store in an unusual smash and grab crime, according
    to Asheville police."

    https://www.kxan.com/news/crime/video-2m-stolen-in-smash-and-grab-jewelry-heist/

    "Surveillance video caught the moment a man smashed jewelry display
    cases with a hammer so another man could reach in and grab what was
    inside. Sugar Land police say the suspects got away with $2 million in jewels."

    https://www.cbsnews.com/losangeles/news/irvine-jewelry-store-robbers-are-seen-on-video-with-hammers-and-trashcans-in-a-900000-smash-and-grab/

    "Three suspects armed with hammers made off with nearly a million
    dollars in stolen jewelry after committing a brazen smash-and-grab
    robbery in Irvine on Monday."

    There was no smash, other than the employee's reaction
    It was a convenience store, not a high end robbery
    It was shoplifting by a spaced out lunatic, not an orchestrated professional heist of valuables.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Wed Aug 2 19:47:15 2023
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 7:03:05 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 5:43 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 3:32:22 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 1:35 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 2:16:49 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    No such thing.
    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke >>>>> progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve.
    And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away.
    Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    such thing
    Such thievery exists in all kinds of cities with all kinds of policing. >> Cue Trevor if there are guns involved.

    NONONO NO NO
    I'm not gonna let you get away with that!
    If there are guns involved, gun control is a legitimate response.
    Shoplifters do not roll in a giant trash bin and brazenly load it up
    by sweeping armloads of goods off the shelves.
    That's a smash and grab. Not invented yesterday.
    Not unless they know that they won't be prsecuted
    and not unless they know that police will either take a long time to respond,
    or not even respond at all to shoplifting calls
    Smash and grabs happened even in the face of Biden's draconian crime
    control act in the nineties.
    Jus five years ago this kind of brazen shoplifting did not occur.
    The normal m.o. for shoplifters was to CONCEAL the crime.
    Talk about your confirmation bias.

    https://www.click2houston.com/news/2016/09/15/thieves-steal-nearly-1m-in-smash-and-grab-robbery/

    "Police say the smash and grab jewelry heist happened in broad daylight
    at De Boulle Tuesday evening in the River Oaks area, leaving those in
    the jewelry business on edge."

    https://www.justice.gov/usao-cdca/pr/leader-robbery-crew-staged-string-jewelry-store-heists-netted-6-million-sentenced-55

    https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/crime/2017/05/05/spicer-greene-robbery-remains-under-investigation/101322014/

    "The robbery took place around 4:15 p.m. Wednesday at Spicer Greene Jewelers, located on Patton Avenue.

    Three suspects wearing motorcycle helmets and wielding a hammer and a handgun robbed the store in an unusual smash and grab crime, according
    to Asheville police."

    https://www.kxan.com/news/crime/video-2m-stolen-in-smash-and-grab-jewelry-heist/

    "Surveillance video caught the moment a man smashed jewelry display
    cases with a hammer so another man could reach in and grab what was
    inside. Sugar Land police say the suspects got away with $2 million in jewels."

    https://www.cbsnews.com/losangeles/news/irvine-jewelry-store-robbers-are-seen-on-video-with-hammers-and-trashcans-in-a-900000-smash-and-grab/

    "Three suspects armed with hammers made off with nearly a million
    dollars in stolen jewelry after committing a brazen smash-and-grab
    robbery in Irvine on Monday."

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their identities.
    They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a convenience store. This is because of prog laws defunding police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft,
    no cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention. I'm gonna come out to Austin to pull your head out
    of your ass and save your life. A dirty job, but somebody's got to do it.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Thu Aug 3 07:33:43 2023
    On 8/2/23 9:40 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 7:03:05 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 5:43 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 3:32:22 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 1:35 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 2:16:49 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 12:12 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    A 'must see' video is embedded in this article.
    No such thing.
    This kind of thievery is what happens when cities follow the woke >>>>>>> progressive policies favored by imbeciles such as our own Marxist Steve.
    And this kind of result happens when crime victims know
    that a police response, if any, is more than thirty minutes away. >>>>>> Crime is due to progressive policies? No arguing with that.

    such thing
    Such thievery exists in all kinds of cities with all kinds of policing. >>>> Cue Trevor if there are guns involved.

    NONONO NO NO
    I'm not gonna let you get away with that!
    If there are guns involved, gun control is a legitimate response.
    Shoplifters do not roll in a giant trash bin and brazenly load it up
    by sweeping armloads of goods off the shelves.
    That's a smash and grab. Not invented yesterday.
    Not unless they know that they won't be prsecuted
    and not unless they know that police will either take a long time to respond,
    or not even respond at all to shoplifting calls
    Smash and grabs happened even in the face of Biden's draconian crime
    control act in the nineties.
    Jus five years ago this kind of brazen shoplifting did not occur.
    The normal m.o. for shoplifters was to CONCEAL the crime.
    Talk about your confirmation bias.

    <smash and grab stories from five years ago snip>

    There was no smash, other than the employee's reaction
    It was a convenience store, not a high end robbery
    It was shoplifting by a spaced out lunatic, not an orchestrated professional heist of valuables.

    That was so common it they wouldn't make the news.

    Confirmation bias, and we'll add recency bias.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Thu Aug 3 07:34:58 2023
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their identities.
    They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a convenience store. This is because of prog laws defunding police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft,
    no cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.

    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and pathetic
    attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Thu Aug 3 09:50:11 2023
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:35:01 AM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their identities. They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a convenience store.
    This is because of prog laws defunding police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft,
    no cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.
    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and pathetic
    attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Thu Aug 3 09:51:30 2023
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:35:01 AM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their identities. They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a convenience store.
    This is because of prog laws defunding police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft,
    no cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.
    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and pathetic
    attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    Noting is sadder than your delusional denial of reality.
    I'm just trying to help you.
    I'm leading you to your first step out of the twelve.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Thu Aug 3 12:18:16 2023
    On 8/3/23 11:51 AM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:35:01 AM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their identities.
    They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a convenience store.
    This is because of prog laws defunding police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft,
    no cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.
    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and pathetic
    attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    Noting is sadder than your delusional denial of reality.
    I'm just trying to help you.
    I'm leading you to your first step out of the twelve.

    Your first response was better.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Thu Aug 3 13:27:14 2023
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 1:18:19 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 11:51 AM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:35:01 AM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their identities. >>> They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a convenience store.
    This is because of prog laws defunding police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft,
    no cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.
    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and pathetic
    attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    Noting is sadder than your delusional denial of reality.
    I'm just trying to help you.
    I'm leading you to your first step out of the twelve.
    Your first response was better.

    And this response is the best.
    I truly believe that you know the truth, that your woke criminal justiceprogram is a
    complete and utter failure. You know that property crimes are rampant as a result.
    I know that your denials are insincere, and that they are all lies.
    Nobody can be that stupid to believe that the crime situation
    in major cities are just as they always have been, and no
    worse than before.
    And don't cite apples to oranges crime statistics.
    When authorities change the laws and definitions as to what constitute crimes, and change
    the levels of criminal culpability, statistics cannot
    be used to judge year to year changes.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Thu Aug 3 16:00:50 2023
    On 8/3/23 3:27 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 1:18:19 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 11:51 AM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:35:01 AM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their
    identities. They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a
    convenience store. This is because of prog laws defunding
    police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft, no
    cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these
    crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.
    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and
    pathetic attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    Noting is sadder than your delusional denial of reality. I'm just
    trying to help you. I'm leading you to your first step out of the
    twelve.
    Your first response was better.

    And this response is the best. I truly believe that you know the
    truth, that your woke criminal justiceprogram

    No such thing.

    is a complete and utter failure. You know that property crimes are
    rampant as a result.

    Where? Show my "woke criminal justiceprogram" was completely and conscientiously applied and crime went up afterward. Show crime didn't
    also go up in places where there was no reform.

    I know that your denials are insincere, and that they are all lies.

    Lies require knowledge and I have no idea what you're talking about.

    Nobody can be that stupid to believe that the crime situation in
    major cities are just as they always have been, and no worse than
    before.

    I don't believe that because the crime situation is much better:

    https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/crime-trends-1990-2016

    "KEY FACT: The national crime rate peaked in 1991 at 5,856 crimes per
    100,000 people, and has generally been declining ever since."

    You can find some specific exceptions such as Chicago murder rates if
    you click thru.

    This one's cheeky, but you might like the Baltimore connection:

    https://accidentalfire.com/2021/04/27/myth-increasing-violent-crime-america/

    Too bad the link for the original FBI chart is broken.

    And don't cite apples to oranges crime statistics. When authorities
    change the laws and definitions as to what constitute crimes, and
    change the levels of criminal culpability, statistics cannot be used
    to judge year to year changes.

    Well, when there's an "almost exact 50% decline in violent crime overall
    in America from 1991 to 2019," some of that nuance isn't really
    necessary, but to be specific, the FBI larceny-theft category seems the
    right measure if you're talking about shoplifting.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/191247/reported-larceny-theft-rate-in-the-us-since-1990/

    "In 2021, the nationwide larceny-theft rate in the United States was
    1,394.1 cases per 100,000 of the population. This is a decrease from the previous year, when the larceny-theft rate stood at 1,476.5 cases per
    100,000 of the population."

    The rate in 1990? 3194.8 cases per 100,000 of the population.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Thu Aug 3 19:40:45 2023
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 5:00:56 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 3:27 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 1:18:19 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 11:51 AM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:35:01 AM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their
    identities. They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a
    convenience store. This is because of prog laws defunding
    police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft, no
    cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these
    crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.
    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and
    pathetic attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    Noting is sadder than your delusional denial of reality. I'm just
    trying to help you. I'm leading you to your first step out of the
    twelve.
    Your first response was better.

    And this response is the best. I truly believe that you know the
    truth, that your woke criminal justiceprogram
    No such thing.
    is a complete and utter failure. You know that property crimes are
    rampant as a result.
    Where? Show my "woke criminal justiceprogram" was completely and conscientiously applied and crime went up afterward. Show crime didn't
    also go up in places where there was no reform.
    I know that your denials are insincere, and that they are all lies.
    Lies require knowledge and I have no idea what you're talking about.
    Nobody can be that stupid to believe that the crime situation in
    major cities are just as they always have been, and no worse than
    before.
    I don't believe that because the crime situation is much better:

    https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/crime-trends-1990-2016

    "KEY FACT: The national crime rate peaked in 1991 at 5,856 crimes per 100,000 people, and has generally been declining ever since."

    You can find some specific exceptions such as Chicago murder rates if
    you click thru.

    This one's cheeky, but you might like the Baltimore connection:

    https://accidentalfire.com/2021/04/27/myth-increasing-violent-crime-america/

    Too bad the link for the original FBI chart is broken.
    And don't cite apples to oranges crime statistics. When authorities
    change the laws and definitions as to what constitute crimes, and
    change the levels of criminal culpability, statistics cannot be used
    to judge year to year changes.
    Well, when there's an "almost exact 50% decline in violent crime overall
    in America from 1991 to 2019," some of that nuance isn't really
    necessary, but to be specific, the FBI larceny-theft category seems the right measure if you're talking about shoplifting.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/191247/reported-larceny-theft-rate-in-the-us-since-1990/

    "In 2021, the nationwide larceny-theft rate in the United States was
    1,394.1 cases per 100,000 of the population. This is a decrease from the previous year, when the larceny-theft rate stood at 1,476.5 cases per 100,000 of the population."

    The rate in 1990? 3194.8 cases per 100,000 of the population.

    Like i said, when you change the definition and classifications of crimes, year to year stat comparisons
    fly out the window,
    When you defund police and create man power shortages that increase response times, and
    when you fail to process court proceedings, people lose faith and stop reporting crimes. Because it devolves into serving no useful purpose.

    I have explained this to you multiple times,
    but you are either too stupid, or too stubborn, to get it,

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Fri Aug 4 09:01:34 2023
    On 8/3/23 9:40 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 5:00:56 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/191247/reported-larceny-theft-rate-in-the-us-since-1990/

    "In 2021, the nationwide larceny-theft rate in the United States was >> 1,394.1 cases per 100,000 of the population. This is a decrease
    from the previous year, when the larceny-theft rate stood at
    1,476.5 cases per 100,000 of the population."

    The rate in 1990? 3194.8 cases per 100,000 of the population.

    Like i said, when you change the definition and classifications of
    crimes, year to year stat comparisons fly out the window,

    No, those are the rates changing, not the definitions or classifications.

    It's almost as if you're grasping at straws to reject contrary evidence.

    When you defund police and create man power shortages that increase
    response times, and when you fail to process court proceedings,
    people lose faith and stop reporting crimes. Because it devolves into
    serving no useful purpose.

    You need to show where defunding happened and that crime changed as a
    result due to defunding and not due to, say, police slowdowns, or
    attrition due to mass retirements.

    I have explained this to you multiple times, but you are either too
    stupid, or too stubborn, to get it,

    That I'm not receptive when you recite your dogma is not an indication
    of stupidity.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fascist Flea@21:1/5 to All on Fri Aug 4 11:09:27 2023
    mINE109 wrote:

    I have explained this to you multiple times, but you are either too
    stupid, or too stubborn, to get it,
    That I'm not receptive when you recite your dogma is not an indication
    of stupidity.

    Is there a term for someone who is unable to distinguish belief from knowledge? Other than pat labels like religious zealot, that is.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Fascist Flea on Fri Aug 4 14:09:53 2023
    On 8/4/23 1:09 PM, Fascist Flea wrote:
    mINE109 wrote:

    I have explained this to you multiple times, but you are either too
    stupid, or too stubborn, to get it,
    That I'm not receptive when you recite your dogma is not an indication
    of stupidity.

    Is there a term for someone who is unable to distinguish belief from knowledge?
    Other than pat labels like religious zealot, that is.

    What's the opposite of an empiricist or positivist? My philosophy is
    strictly second hand, but I wonder if Sackie skipped Kierkegaard in his
    great books education.

    The Stanford philosophy blog suggests Rationalist, which includes the following:

    The Intuition/Deduction Thesis: Some propositions in a particular
    subject area, S, are knowable by us by intuition alone; still others are knowable by being deduced from intuited propositions.

    The Innate Knowledge Thesis: We have knowledge of some truths in a
    particular subject area, S, as part of our nature.

    The Innate Concept Thesis: We have some of the concepts we employ in a particular subject area, S, as part of our rational nature.

    Also,

    The Indispensability of Reason Thesis: The knowledge we gain in subject
    area, S, by intuition and deduction, as well as the ideas and instances
    of knowledge in S that are innate to us, could not have been gained by
    us through sense experience.

    The Superiority of Reason Thesis: The knowledge we gain in subject area
    S by intuition and deduction or have innately is superior to any
    knowledge gained by sense experience.

    Looks like falsifiability isn't on the menu for the Rationalist. Art's
    reason is superior to my experience so that's that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Fri Aug 4 14:26:57 2023
    On Friday, August 4, 2023 at 3:09:58 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/4/23 1:09 PM, Fascist Flea wrote:
    mINE109 wrote:

    I have explained this to you multiple times, but you are either too
    stupid, or too stubborn, to get it,
    That I'm not receptive when you recite your dogma is not an indication
    of stupidity.

    Is there a term for someone who is unable to distinguish belief from knowledge?
    Other than pat labels like religious zealot, that is.
    What's the opposite of an empiricist or positivist? My philosophy is strictly second hand, but I wonder if Sackie skipped Kierkegaard in his great books education.

    The Stanford philosophy blog suggests Rationalist, which includes the following:

    The Intuition/Deduction Thesis: Some propositions in a particular
    subject area, S, are knowable by us by intuition alone; still others are knowable by being deduced from intuited propositions.

    The Innate Knowledge Thesis: We have knowledge of some truths in a particular subject area, S, as part of our nature.

    The Innate Concept Thesis: We have some of the concepts we employ in a particular subject area, S, as part of our rational nature.

    Also,

    The Indispensability of Reason Thesis: The knowledge we gain in subject area, S, by intuition and deduction, as well as the ideas and instances
    of knowledge in S that are innate to us, could not have been gained by
    us through sense experience.

    The Superiority of Reason Thesis: The knowledge we gain in subject area
    S by intuition and deduction or have innately is superior to any
    knowledge gained by sense experience.

    Looks like falsifiability isn't on the menu for the Rationalist. Art's reason is superior to my experience so that's that.

    You match well with the Complete Idiot Thesis.

    https://books.google.com/books/about/The_Complete_Idiot_s_Guide_to_Research_M.html?id=aSru7XVwFa0C

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ScottW@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 08:51:12 2023
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 2:00:56 PM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 3:27 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 1:18:19 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 11:51 AM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:35:01 AM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/2/23 9:47 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Smash and grabbers are pros who wear masks to conceal their
    identities. They are often armed.

    This is just a street lunatic who shoplifted candy from a
    convenience store. This is because of prog laws defunding
    police, laws decriminalizing or reducing retail theft, no
    cash bail, and prosecutors who refuse to prosecute these
    crimes.

    It's about time for your intervention.
    Maybe stick with your first response. Adding insults and
    pathetic attempts at bullying just make you look sad.

    Noting is sadder than your delusional denial of reality. I'm just
    trying to help you. I'm leading you to your first step out of the
    twelve.
    Your first response was better.

    And this response is the best. I truly believe that you know the
    truth, that your woke criminal justiceprogram
    No such thing.
    is a complete and utter failure. You know that property crimes are
    rampant as a result.
    Where? Show my "woke criminal justiceprogram" was completely and conscientiously applied and crime went up afterward. Show crime didn't
    also go up in places where there was no reform.
    I know that your denials are insincere, and that they are all lies.
    Lies require knowledge and I have no idea what you're talking about.
    Nobody can be that stupid to believe that the crime situation in
    major cities are just as they always have been, and no worse than
    before.
    I don't believe that because the crime situation is much better:

    https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/crime-trends-1990-2016

    "KEY FACT: The national crime rate peaked in 1991 at 5,856 crimes per 100,000 people, and has generally been declining ever since."

    You can find some specific exceptions such as Chicago murder rates if
    you click thru.

    This one's cheeky, but you might like the Baltimore connection:

    https://accidentalfire.com/2021/04/27/myth-increasing-violent-crime-america/

    Too bad the link for the original FBI chart is broken.
    And don't cite apples to oranges crime statistics. When authorities
    change the laws and definitions as to what constitute crimes, and
    change the levels of criminal culpability, statistics cannot be used
    to judge year to year changes.
    Well, when there's an "almost exact 50% decline in violent crime overall
    in America from 1991 to 2019," some of that nuance isn't really
    necessary, but to be specific, the FBI larceny-theft category seems the right measure if you're talking about shoplifting.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/191247/reported-larceny-theft-rate-in-the-us-since-1990/

    "In 2021, the nationwide larceny-theft rate in the United States was
    1,394.1 cases per 100,000 of the population. This is a decrease from the previous year, when the larceny-theft rate stood at 1,476.5 cases per 100,000 of the population."

    The rate in 1990? 3194.8 cases per 100,000 of the population.

    Can you provide the sourec of this "information"?
    Statista won't give it.
    I can speculate a bit on why this number declined.
    Over the period in question the number of Police Depts. reporting data to feds increased. Many of these were smaller towns of low crime rates.
    More data from low crime towns....less crime per capita.

    Nationwide declines in crime aren't going to save San Francisco.

    And it's good to know that violent crime is down 50% while gun ownership has skyrocketed.
    Could be a connection. Somebody wake Trevor and let him know.

    ScottW

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to ScottW on Sat Aug 5 12:18:25 2023
    On 8/5/23 10:51 AM, ScottW wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 2:00:56 PM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 3:27 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 1:18:19 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 11:51 AM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Nobody can be that stupid to believe that the crime situation in
    major cities are just as they always have been, and no worse than
    before.
    I don't believe that because the crime situation is much better:

    https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/crime-trends-1990-2016

    https://accidentalfire.com/2021/04/27/myth-increasing-violent-crime-america/ >>
    Too bad the link for the original FBI chart is broken.
    And don't cite apples to oranges crime statistics. When authorities
    change the laws and definitions as to what constitute crimes, and
    change the levels of criminal culpability, statistics cannot be used
    to judge year to year changes.

    https://www.statista.com/statistics/191247/reported-larceny-theft-rate-in-the-us-since-1990/

    "In 2021, the nationwide larceny-theft rate in the United States was
    1,394.1 cases per 100,000 of the population. This is a decrease from the
    previous year, when the larceny-theft rate stood at 1,476.5 cases per
    100,000 of the population."

    The rate in 1990? 3194.8 cases per 100,000 of the population.

    Can you provide the sourec of this "information"?
    Statista won't give it.

    There's a similar drop in violent crimes shown in a graph at
    accidentalfire that cites the FBI, but that link's broken.

    It's real, despite your quotation marks.

    https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2018/crime-in-the-u.s.-2018/tables/table-1

    This shows a drop from 2,550.7/1000k (1998) to 1,594.6/100k (2018).

    https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-2019/topic-pages/larceny-theft.pdf

    2019 was 1,549.5 per 100,000.

    Please explain to Art that the 'UCR' stands for "Uniform Crime Rate."
    There is a change in 2021, though.

    I can speculate a bit on why this number declined.

    Crime went down.

    Over the period in question the number of Police Depts. reporting data to feds
    increased. Many of these were smaller towns of low crime rates.
    More data from low crime towns....less crime per capita.

    Well-speculated. Show evidence this is so. In the real world:

    https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/property-crime

    "In 2021, the FBI estimated crime statistics for the nation are based on
    data received from 11,794 of 18,806 law enforcement agencies in the
    country that year."

    "In 1990, the FBI estimated crime statistics for the nation are based on
    data received from 13,918 of 15,868 law enforcement agencies in the
    country that year."

    Maybe the two thousand agencies missing were from such high crime areas
    they accounted for half the reports before they went silent, but the
    decrease in the number of agencies is the opposite of your guess.

    Following the filter links show counts of larceny (not rates) going from 7,355,155 in 1990 to 2,864,768 in 2021.

    Nationwide declines in crime aren't going to save San Francisco.

    San Francisco isn't only the downtown and high-crime areas like the
    Tenderloin and SoMa.

    And it's good to know that violent crime is down 50% while gun ownership has skyrocketed.
    Could be a connection. Somebody wake Trevor and let him know.

    Ironically, some credit the ban on lead gasoline. No lead in the tank
    cancels lead on the street. Too bad about that recent spike in homicide, though, even if it falls short of 1990.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 15:57:43 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 1:18:30 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 10:51 AM, ScottW wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 2:00:56 PM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 3:27 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 1:18:19 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/3/23 11:51 AM, Art Sackman wrote:

    Nobody can be that stupid to believe that the crime situation in
    major cities are just as they always have been, and no worse than
    before.
    I don't believe that because the crime situation is much better:

    https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/crime-trends-1990-2016
    https://accidentalfire.com/2021/04/27/myth-increasing-violent-crime-america/

    Too bad the link for the original FBI chart is broken.
    And don't cite apples to oranges crime statistics. When authorities
    change the laws and definitions as to what constitute crimes, and
    change the levels of criminal culpability, statistics cannot be used
    to judge year to year changes.
    https://www.statista.com/statistics/191247/reported-larceny-theft-rate-in-the-us-since-1990/

    "In 2021, the nationwide larceny-theft rate in the United States was
    1,394.1 cases per 100,000 of the population. This is a decrease from the >> previous year, when the larceny-theft rate stood at 1,476.5 cases per
    100,000 of the population."

    The rate in 1990? 3194.8 cases per 100,000 of the population.

    Can you provide the sourec of this "information"?
    Statista won't give it.
    There's a similar drop in violent crimes shown in a graph at
    accidentalfire that cites the FBI, but that link's broken.

    It's real, despite your quotation marks.

    https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2018/crime-in-the-u.s.-2018/tables/table-1

    This shows a drop from 2,550.7/1000k (1998) to 1,594.6/100k (2018).

    https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2019/crime-in-the-u.s.-2019/topic-pages/larceny-theft.pdf

    2019 was 1,549.5 per 100,000.

    Please explain to Art that the 'UCR' stands for "Uniform Crime Rate."
    There is a change in 2021, though.
    I can speculate a bit on why this number declined.
    Crime went down.
    Over the period in question the number of Police Depts. reporting data to feds
    increased. Many of these were smaller towns of low crime rates.
    More data from low crime towns....less crime per capita.
    Well-speculated. Show evidence this is so. In the real world:

    https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/property-crime

    "In 2021, the FBI estimated crime statistics for the nation are based on data received from 11,794 of 18,806 law enforcement agencies in the
    country that year."

    "In 1990, the FBI estimated crime statistics for the nation are based on data received from 13,918 of 15,868 law enforcement agencies in the
    country that year."

    Maybe the two thousand agencies missing were from such high crime areas
    they accounted for half the reports before they went silent, but the decrease in the number of agencies is the opposite of your guess.

    Following the filter links show counts of larceny (not rates) going from 7,355,155 in 1990 to 2,864,768 in 2021.
    Nationwide declines in crime aren't going to save San Francisco.
    San Francisco isn't only the downtown and high-crime areas like the Tenderloin and SoMa.
    And it's good to know that violent crime is down 50% while gun ownership has skyrocketed.
    Could be a connection. Somebody wake Trevor and let him know.
    Ironically, some credit the ban on lead gasoline. No lead in the tank cancels lead on the street. Too bad about that recent spike in homicide, though, even if it falls short of 1990.

    All looks good to Steve as the cities crumble around him.
    He doesn't see stores that closed, extreme anti theft mods to stores,
    and the general decay of city streets and environment.
    Instead, he opens his search engine to find stats that confirm his bias

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Sat Aug 5 18:19:55 2023
    On 8/5/23 5:57 PM, Art Sackman wrote:


    All looks good to Steve as the cities crumble around him.
    He doesn't see stores that closed, extreme anti theft mods to stores,
    and the general decay of city streets and environment.
    Instead, he opens his search engine to find stats that confirm his bias

    How is it you missed a massive downturn in crime?

    Use up your free Atlantic articles:

    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/04/what-caused-the-crime-decline/477408/

    In the early 1990s, U.S. crime rates had been on a steep upward climb
    since the Lyndon B. Johnson presidency. The crack-cocaine epidemic in
    the mid-1980s added fuel to the fire, and handgun-related homicides more
    than doubled from 1985 to 1990. That year, murders peaked in New York
    City with 2,245 killings. Politicians embraced tough-on-crime platforms
    and enacted harshly punitive policies. Experts warned the worst could be
    yet to come.

    Then crime rates went down. And then they kept going down.

    By the decade’s end, the homicide rate plunged 42 percent nationwide.
    Violent crime decreased by one-third. What turned into a precipitous
    decline started later in some areas and took longer in others. But it
    happened everywhere: in each region of the country, in cities large and
    small, in rural and urban areas alike. In the Northeast, which reaped
    the largest benefits, the homicide rate was halved. Murders plummeted by
    75 percent in New York City alone as the city entered the new millennium.

    The trend kept ticking downward from there, more slowly and with some fluctuations, to the present day. By virtually any metric, Americans now
    live in one of the least violent times in the nation’s history.

    End quote.

    Sure, that's 2016, but here's June, 2023:

    https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/06/us-murder-rate-decline-crime-statistics/674290/

    I’ve found something that I’ve never seen before and that probably has
    not happened in decades: strong evidence of a sharp and broad decline in
    the nation’s murder rate.

    The United States may be experiencing one of the largest annual percent
    changes in murder ever recorded, according to my preliminary data. It is
    still early in the year and the trend could change over the second half
    of the year, but data from a sufficiently large sample of big cities
    have typically been a good predictor of the year-end national change in
    murder, even after only five months.

    Murder is down about 12 percent year-to-date in more than 90 cities that
    have released data for 2023, compared with data as of the same date in
    2022. Big cities tend to slightly amplify the national trend—a 5 percent decline in murder rates in big cities would likely translate to a
    smaller decline nationally. But even so, the drop shown in the
    preliminary data is astonishing.

    End quote.

    Much speculation here:

    https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/1/14/17991530/violent-crime-drop-murder-usa-statistics-why

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ScottW@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 17:04:54 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 4:19:58 PM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 5:57 PM, Art Sackman wrote:


    All looks good to Steve as the cities crumble around him.
    He doesn't see stores that closed, extreme anti theft mods to stores,
    and the general decay of city streets and environment.
    Instead, he opens his search engine to find stats that confirm his bias
    How is it you missed a massive downturn in crime?

    Use up your free Atlantic articles:

    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/04/what-caused-the-crime-decline/477408/

    In the early 1990s, U.S. crime rates had been on a steep upward climb
    since the Lyndon B. Johnson presidency. The crack-cocaine epidemic in
    the mid-1980s added fuel to the fire, and handgun-related homicides more than doubled from 1985 to 1990. That year, murders peaked in New York
    City with 2,245 killings. Politicians embraced tough-on-crime platforms
    and enacted harshly punitive policies. Experts warned the worst could be
    yet to come.

    Then crime rates went down. And then they kept going down.

    By the decade’s end, the homicide rate plunged 42 percent nationwide. Violent crime decreased by one-third. What turned into a precipitous
    decline started later in some areas and took longer in others. But it happened everywhere: in each region of the country, in cities large and small, in rural and urban areas alike. In the Northeast, which reaped
    the largest benefits, the homicide rate was halved. Murders plummeted by
    75 percent in New York City alone as the city entered the new millennium.

    The trend kept ticking downward from there, more slowly and with some fluctuations, to the present day. By virtually any metric, Americans now live in one of the least violent times in the nation’s history.

    End quote.

    Sure, that's 2016, but here's June, 2023:

    https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/06/us-murder-rate-decline-crime-statistics/674290/

    I’ve found something that I’ve never seen before and that probably has not happened in decades: strong evidence of a sharp and broad decline in
    the nation’s murder rate.

    The United States may be experiencing one of the largest annual percent changes in murder ever recorded, according to my preliminary data. It is still early in the year and the trend could change over the second half
    of the year, but data from a sufficiently large sample of big cities
    have typically been a good predictor of the year-end national change in murder, even after only five months.

    Murder is down about 12 percent year-to-date in more than 90 cities that have released data for 2023, compared with data as of the same date in
    2022.

    No BLM riots this year either.

    ScottW

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 21:24:56 2023
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:19:58 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 5:57 PM, Art Sackman wrote:


    All looks good to Steve as the cities crumble around him.
    He doesn't see stores that closed, extreme anti theft mods to stores,
    and the general decay of city streets and environment.
    Instead, he opens his search engine to find stats that confirm his bias

    How is it you missed a massive downturn in crime?



    How is it you can't see its rampant in major dem run metropolises like
    NYC, LA, Chicago, SF, Portland, Seattle, etc.

    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it affects far fewer people
    than assaults, muggings, carjackings, car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fascist Flea@21:1/5 to All on Sat Aug 5 23:27:53 2023
    Who let the Shmoos out? dorp! dorp! dorp!

    How is it you missed a massive downturn in crime?

    How is it you can't see its rampant in major dem run metropolises like

    What causes the spike in your manifestations of stupidity? Is it connected
    to the spikes in errors of spelling, punctuation, syntax, and diction?
    My first (and only) guess: You be foaming at the mouth because the Professor keeps challenging your faith-based beliefs with reality.

    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it affects far fewer people
    than assaults, muggings, carjackings, car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.

    Right then. The republigoons can take credit for the gruesome murders, especially
    of the mass type, while you smugly blame the "dems" for lesser crimes because of your fantasy about progressives hating law enforcement.

    You know you're off your rocker, don't you?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to ScottW on Sun Aug 6 06:44:12 2023
    On 8/5/23 7:04 PM, ScottW wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 4:19:58 PM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:

    Sure, that's 2016, but here's June, 2023:

    https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/06/us-murder-rate-decline-crime-statistics/674290/

    Murder is down about 12 percent year-to-date in more than 90 cities that
    have released data for 2023, compared with data as of the same date in
    2022.

    No BLM riots this year either.

    Yes, the comparison of 2022 to 2023 is unaffected by 2020's protests.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Sun Aug 6 12:28:57 2023
    On 8/5/23 11:24 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:19:58 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 5:57 PM, Art Sackman wrote:


    All looks good to Steve as the cities crumble around him.
    He doesn't see stores that closed, extreme anti theft mods to stores,
    and the general decay of city streets and environment.
    Instead, he opens his search engine to find stats that confirm his bias

    How is it you missed a massive downturn in crime?

    How is it you can't see its rampant in major dem run metropolises like
    NYC, LA, Chicago, SF, Portland, Seattle, etc.

    Rampant? Yes, there's crime, more in some cities and some neighborhoods,
    but generally less than overall than there was thirty years ago.

    Your susceptibility to recency and repetition bias is triggered when Fox
    plays something on a loop for a week or YouTube's algorithm knows you
    engage with crime report videos and fills your feed with them.

    Add a partisan wish to dump on Democrats to your biases.

    Not a great source, but it cites real stats:

    https://www.newsweek.com/these-republican-cities-have-higher-crime-rate-new-york-city-1794909

    [NYC] roughly 5.76 murders, 456 violent crimes and 757 property crimes
    per 100,000 residents in 2021.

    What About Crime in GOP-Led Cities?

    Many GOP-led cities reported a high crime rate than New York during that
    same year.

    Oklahoma City, for instance, reported 11.92 murders, 627 violent crimes
    and 3,716 property crimes for every 100,000 residents, according to
    crime data compiled by the Federal Bureau of Investigations (FBI).

    Miami had 10.68 murders, 615 violent crimes and 3,044 property crimes
    per capita.

    Other GOP-led cities with higher murder rates than New York in 2021
    include Jacksonville, Florida; Fresno, California; Omaha, Nebraska;
    Colorado Springs, Colorado and Tulsa, Oklahoma. Fort Worth had a lower
    rate of murders than New York but experienced other crimes at a higher rate.

    End quote.

    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it affects far fewer people
    than assaults, muggings, carjackings, car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.

    Did you miss my conspicuous citing of larceny-theft rates? That was
    deliberate in order to address your concerns about property crime.

    Are you admitting murder rates are down?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Art Sackman@21:1/5 to All on Sun Aug 6 17:38:33 2023
    On Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 1:28:59 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 11:24 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:19:58 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 5:57 PM, Art Sackman wrote:


    All looks good to Steve as the cities crumble around him.
    He doesn't see stores that closed, extreme anti theft mods to stores, >>> and the general decay of city streets and environment.
    Instead, he opens his search engine to find stats that confirm his bias

    How is it you missed a massive downturn in crime?

    How is it you can't see its rampant in major dem run metropolises like NYC, LA, Chicago, SF, Portland, Seattle, etc.
    Rampant? Yes, there's crime, more in some cities and some neighborhoods,
    but generally less than overall than there was thirty years ago.

    Your susceptibility to recency and repetition bias is triggered when Fox plays something on a loop for a week or YouTube's algorithm knows you
    engage with crime report videos and fills your feed with them.

    Add a partisan wish to dump on Democrats to your biases.

    Not a great source, but it cites real stats:

    https://www.newsweek.com/these-republican-cities-have-higher-crime-rate-new-york-city-1794909

    [NYC] roughly 5.76 murders, 456 violent crimes and 757 property crimes
    per 100,000 residents in 2021.

    What About Crime in GOP-Led Cities?

    Many GOP-led cities reported a high crime rate than New York during that same year.

    Oklahoma City, for instance, reported 11.92 murders, 627 violent crimes
    and 3,716 property crimes for every 100,000 residents, according to
    crime data compiled by the Federal Bureau of Investigations (FBI).

    Miami had 10.68 murders, 615 violent crimes and 3,044 property crimes
    per capita.

    Other GOP-led cities with higher murder rates than New York in 2021
    include Jacksonville, Florida; Fresno, California; Omaha, Nebraska;
    Colorado Springs, Colorado and Tulsa, Oklahoma. Fort Worth had a lower
    rate of murders than New York but experienced other crimes at a higher rate.

    End quote.
    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it affects far fewer people
    than assaults, muggings, carjackings, car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.
    Did you miss my conspicuous citing of larceny-theft rates? That was deliberate in order to address your concerns about property crime.

    For the umpteenth time, those stats are easily manipulated by the changing status, definitions, and thresholds of such time,
    as well as reporting being impacted by defunding of police and patrl shortages,

    Are you admitting murder rates are down?

    Some places they are up, some places they are down. Its a relativley
    rare crime, so such stats, per each city, can fluctuate greatly, one way or the other, year to year.

    NYC 2022
    418 murders
    17,000 felony assaults

    https://nypost.com/2022/12/31/nyc-murders-down-but-major-crimes-surge-as-2022-ends/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ScottW@21:1/5 to All on Sun Aug 6 17:36:46 2023
    On Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 10:28:59 AM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 11:24 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:19:58 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 5:57 PM, Art Sackman wrote:


    All looks good to Steve as the cities crumble around him.
    He doesn't see stores that closed, extreme anti theft mods to stores, >>> and the general decay of city streets and environment.
    Instead, he opens his search engine to find stats that confirm his bias

    How is it you missed a massive downturn in crime?

    How is it you can't see its rampant in major dem run metropolises like NYC, LA, Chicago, SF, Portland, Seattle, etc.
    Rampant? Yes, there's crime, more in some cities and some neighborhoods,
    but generally less than overall than there was thirty years ago.

    Your susceptibility to recency and repetition bias is triggered when Fox plays something on a loop for a week or YouTube's algorithm knows you
    engage with crime report videos and fills your feed with them.

    Add a partisan wish to dump on Democrats to your biases.

    Not a great source, but it cites real stats:

    https://www.newsweek.com/these-republican-cities-have-higher-crime-rate-new-york-city-1794909

    [NYC] roughly 5.76 murders, 456 violent crimes and 757 property crimes
    per 100,000 residents in 2021.

    What About Crime in GOP-Led Cities?

    Many GOP-led cities reported a high crime rate than New York during that same year.

    Oklahoma City, for instance, reported 11.92 murders, 627 violent crimes
    and 3,716 property crimes for every 100,000 residents, according to
    crime data compiled by the Federal Bureau of Investigations (FBI).

    Miami had 10.68 murders, 615 violent crimes and 3,044 property crimes
    per capita.

    Other GOP-led cities with higher murder rates than New York in 2021
    include Jacksonville, Florida; Fresno, California; Omaha, Nebraska;
    Colorado Springs, Colorado and Tulsa, Oklahoma. Fort Worth had a lower
    rate of murders than New York but experienced other crimes at a higher rate.

    End quote.
    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it affects far fewer people
    than assaults, muggings, carjackings, car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.
    Did you miss my conspicuous citing of larceny-theft rates? That was deliberate in order to address your concerns about property crime.

    Are you admitting murder rates are down?

    Cuz gun ownership is up.

    Meanwhile....shoplifting, smash and grabs, and open public use of drugs have all
    fallen off the "reportable" list of crimes. No wonder you think crime is down,
    but the people living in the middle of it know better.

    O'Reilly really nailed in the Cuomo town hall. He pointed out that when Mao overthrew the
    KMT nearly 40% of Chinese men were opium addicts.
    Mao eradicated opium addiction in 3 years.
    "Eradication wiped out the largest ever cultivation of poppy in the world, opium dens were shut down, opium manufacturing facilities closed, drug traffickers summarily executed or imprisoned, and drug addicts sent to labor camps."

    Let me know when you commies are ready to act like commies.

    ScottW

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Fascist Flea@21:1/5 to All on Sun Aug 6 18:06:34 2023
    Sackdork may need to worry about being out-stupided by Witlessmongrel.

    O'Reilly really nailed in the Cuomo town hall. He pointed out that when Mao overthrew the
    KMT nearly 40% of Chinese men were opium addicts.

    Yes, that's persuasive. Now see if you can tell us what's wrong with this utterance:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dMt8qCl5fPk

    (A 10-second clip, which should not tax even Scottiedweeb's "motor".)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to Art Sackman on Mon Aug 7 07:42:53 2023
    On 8/6/23 7:38 PM, Art Sackman wrote:
    On Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 1:28:59 PM UTC-4, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 11:24 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it
    affects far fewer people than assaults, muggings, carjackings,
    car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.
    Did you miss my conspicuous citing of larceny-theft rates? That
    was deliberate in order to address your concerns about property
    crime.

    For the umpteenth time, those stats are easily manipulated by the
    changing status, definitions, and thresholds of such time, as well as reporting being impacted by defunding of police and patrl shortages,

    But only to a certain extent. Crime surveys that do not rely on police
    reports also show a drop.

    Are you admitting murder rates are down?

    Some places they are up, some places they are down. Its a relativley
    rare crime, so such stats, per each city, can fluctuate greatly, one
    way or the other, year to year.

    NYC 2022 418 murders 17,000 felony assaults

    2000: 637 murders; 25,924 felony assualts

    https://nypost.com/2022/12/31/nyc-murders-down-but-major-crimes-surge-as-2022-ends/

    And that surge is compared to pandemic times when people stayed home.

    NYPD shows TOTAL MISDEMEANOR OFFENSES as 435,405 in 2000 and 273,599 in
    2022.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to ScottW on Mon Aug 7 10:42:25 2023
    On 8/6/23 7:36 PM, ScottW wrote:
    On Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 10:28:59 AM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 11:24 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it
    affects far fewer people than assaults, muggings, carjackings,
    car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.
    Did you miss my conspicuous citing of larceny-theft rates? That
    was deliberate in order to address your concerns about property
    crime.

    Are you admitting murder rates are down?

    Cuz gun ownership is up.

    Then why was there a recent spike in both? Why did the trend also happen
    in places like Europe where there isn't a lot of gun ownership?

    Wiki: A decline [in homicide rates] has been observed in the regions
    Europe, North America, Australia and New Zealand, and Asia. In Europe,
    the decline was most evident. Here, the rates dropped nearly by two
    thirds, from 8.8 cases per 100,000 per year in 1994 to below 3 in 2017.

    Meanwhile....shoplifting, smash and grabs, and open public use of
    drugs have all fallen off the "reportable" list of crimes.

    You'll find "public use of drugs" was never part of the larceny-theft
    category I was discussing.

    No wonder you think crime is down, but the people living in the middle
    of it know better.

    Because "experience," that is, "your gut," beats evidence"? Even if
    property crime not reported to the police isn't in the FBI source, the
    National Crime Victimization Survey exists.

    https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/cv21.pdf

    "The rate of property crimes reported to police declined in 2021 to 27.8 victimizations per 1,000 households, from 31.2 per 1,000 in 2020. The
    rate of unreported property crimes did not change significantly."

    O'Reilly really nailed in the Cuomo town hall. He pointed out that
    when Mao overthrew the KMT nearly 40% of Chinese men were opium
    addicts. Mao eradicated opium addiction in 3 years. "Eradication
    wiped out the largest ever cultivation of poppy in the world, opium
    dens were shut down, opium manufacturing facilities closed, drug
    traffickers summarily executed or imprisoned, and drug addicts sent
    to labor camps."

    That figure is highly suspect. And O'Reilly reading from his old Bircher pamphlets isn't a great source.

    Let me know when you commies are ready to act like commies.

    Did you miss the recent opiate addiction problem? Legal prescription
    drugs and big pharma.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From ScottW@21:1/5 to All on Mon Aug 7 08:59:43 2023
    On Monday, August 7, 2023 at 8:42:28 AM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/6/23 7:36 PM, ScottW wrote:
    On Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 10:28:59 AM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/5/23 11:24 PM, Art Sackman wrote:

    You keep talking about murder, gruesome and serious as it is, it
    affects far fewer people than assaults, muggings, carjackings,
    car thefts, robberies and shoplifting.
    Did you miss my conspicuous citing of larceny-theft rates? That
    was deliberate in order to address your concerns about property
    crime.

    Are you admitting murder rates are down?

    Cuz gun ownership is up.
    Then why was there a recent spike in both? Why did the trend also happen
    in places like Europe where there isn't a lot of gun ownership?

    Wiki: A decline [in homicide rates] has been observed in the regions
    Europe, North America, Australia and New Zealand, and Asia. In Europe,
    the decline was most evident. Here, the rates dropped nearly by two
    thirds, from 8.8 cases per 100,000 per year in 1994 to below 3 in 2017.
    Meanwhile....shoplifting, smash and grabs, and open public use of
    drugs have all fallen off the "reportable" list of crimes.
    You'll find "public use of drugs" was never part of the larceny-theft category I was discussing.
    No wonder you think crime is down, but the people living in the middle
    of it know better.
    Because "experience," that is, "your gut," beats evidence"? Even if
    property crime not reported to the police isn't in the FBI source, the National Crime Victimization Survey exists.

    https://bjs.ojp.gov/content/pub/pdf/cv21.pdf

    "The rate of property crimes reported to police declined in 2021 to 27.8 victimizations per 1,000 households, from 31.2 per 1,000 in 2020. The
    rate of unreported property crimes did not change significantly."
    O'Reilly really nailed in the Cuomo town hall. He pointed out that
    when Mao overthrew the KMT nearly 40% of Chinese men were opium
    addicts. Mao eradicated opium addiction in 3 years. "Eradication
    wiped out the largest ever cultivation of poppy in the world, opium
    dens were shut down, opium manufacturing facilities closed, drug traffickers summarily executed or imprisoned, and drug addicts sent
    to labor camps."
    That figure is highly suspect.

    Highly suspect is all you can muster in response?
    GMAFB

    You believe everything in wiki.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_opium_in_China

    The Mao Zedong government is generally credited with eradicating both consumption and production of opium during the 1950s using unrestrained repression and social reform.[10][11] Ten million addicts were forced into compulsory treatment, dealers were
    executed, and opium-producing regions were planted with new crops.

    ScottW

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From mINE109@21:1/5 to ScottW on Mon Aug 7 11:41:55 2023
    On 8/7/23 10:59 AM, ScottW wrote:
    On Monday, August 7, 2023 at 8:42:28 AM UTC-7, mINE109 wrote:
    On 8/6/23 7:36 PM, ScottW wrote:

    O'Reilly really nailed in the Cuomo town hall. He pointed out
    that when Mao overthrew the KMT nearly 40% of Chinese men were
    opium addicts. Mao eradicated opium addiction in 3 years.
    "Eradication wiped out the largest ever cultivation of poppy in
    the world, opium dens were shut down, opium manufacturing
    facilities closed, drug traffickers summarily executed or
    imprisoned, and drug addicts sent to labor camps."
    That figure is highly suspect.

    Highly suspect is all you can muster in response? GMAFB

    It's all that's needed for a dodgy source.

    You believe everything in wiki.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_opium_in_China

    The Mao Zedong government is generally credited with eradicating both consumption and production of opium during the 1950s using
    unrestrained repression and social reform.[10][11] Ten million
    addicts were forced into compulsory treatment, dealers were executed,
    and opium-producing regions were planted with new crops.

    10 million is 40% of what?

    https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/CHN/china/population

    China Population 1950-2023

    1950: 543,979,233

    Maybe they missed a few.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)