• Predicting - 2050 Global Economy

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    from https://www.visualcapitalist.com/visualizing-the-future-global-economy-by-gdp-in-2050/

    MARKETSVisualizing the Future Global Economy by GDP in 2050
    Published 11 months ago on August 22, 2023
    By Marcus Lu
    Visualizing the Future Global Economy by GDP in 2050

    ▼ Use This Visualization
    Visualizing the Future Global Economy by GDP in 2050
    According to a recent report from Goldman Sachs, the balance of global
    economic power is projected to shift dramatically in the coming decades.

    More specifically, analysts believe that Asia could soon become the
    largest regional contributor to world GDP, surpassing the traditional
    economic powerhouses grouped together in the Developed Markets (DM)
    category.

    In the graphic above, we’ve visualized Goldman Sachs’ real GDP forecasts for the year 2050 using a voronoi diagram.

    Data and Highlights
    The following table includes a regional breakdown of expected real GDP
    in 2050. All figures are based on 2021 USD.

    Region Real GDP In 2050
    (USD trillions) % of Total

    Asia (ex DM) $90.6 40%
    Developed Markets (DM) $82.9 36%
    Central & Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa $38.3 17%
    Latin America $16.0 7%
    World Total
    (Figures rounded) $227.9 100%

    Based on these projections, Asia (ex DM) will represent 40% of global
    GDP, slightly ahead of Developed Markets’ expected share of 36%. This
    would mark a massive shift from 50 years ago (2000), when DMs
    represented over 77% of global GDP.

    Asia
    Focusing on Asia, China and India will account for the majority of the region’s expected GDP in 2050, though growth in China will have tapered
    off significantly. In fact, Goldman Sachs expects annual real GDP growth
    in the country to average 1.1% through the 2050s. This is surprisingly
    slower than America’s expected 1.4% annual growth during the same decade.

    The fastest growing economies in Asia during the 2050s will be India
    (3.1% annually), Bangladesh (3.0% annually), and the Philippines (3.5% annually). These countries are expected to thrive thanks to their high population growth rates and relatively low median age, which translates
    into a larger work force.

    Latin America
    Turning our attention to Latin America, we can see that the region will
    account for a relatively small 7% of global GDP in 2050. According to
    Goldman Sachs’ previous projections from 2011, many Latin American
    countries have underperformed over the past decade. For example,
    Brazil’s real GDP shrank from $2.7 trillion in 2010, to $1.5 trillion in 2020.

    Because of these setbacks, Goldman Sachs believes Indonesia will be able
    to overtake Brazil as the world’s largest emerging market before 2050.

    That said, Brazil’s economic ranking is still expected to climb above
    France and Canada by then, if these projections prove to be accurate.

    Enjoying the data visualization above?

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