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  • Too good at post-Crawford

    From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to All on Wed Dec 22 09:04:40 2021
    Out of curiosity, I ran a 46656-trial XG rollout to see how
    often the trailer would win an undoubled gammon at 2-away
    post-Crawford after opening with 8/5 6/5 and getting a response
    of 24/18 13/10. The answer was about 4.5%, which was higher
    than I expected.

    I once asked on BGOnline whether anyone had experienced that
    sort of thing in a real tournament, and Bob Koca said that he
    once won a match that way. It must happen more often at lower
    levels, when the trailer simply forgets to double.

    ---
    Tim Chow

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  • From pepstein5@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Tim Chow on Wed Dec 22 08:14:24 2021
    On Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 2:04:42 PM UTC, Tim Chow wrote:
    Out of curiosity, I ran a 46656-trial XG rollout to see how
    often the trailer would win an undoubled gammon at 2-away
    post-Crawford after opening with 8/5 6/5 and getting a response
    of 24/18 13/10. The answer was about 4.5%, which was higher
    than I expected.

    I once asked on BGOnline whether anyone had experienced that
    sort of thing in a real tournament, and Bob Koca said that he
    once won a match that way. It must happen more often at lower
    levels, when the trailer simply forgets to double.

    Yeah, there's some guy active on rgb who often asserts that people cash too often,
    and don't assess positions as TG often enough.

    I can't remember his name though. His last name ends in "stein", I think.

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