• Spy balloon

    From Alfred Molon@21:1/5 to All on Sun Feb 5 21:07:45 2023
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?
    --
    Alfred Molon

    Olympus 4/3 and micro 4/3 cameras forum at
    https://groups.io/g/myolympus
    https://myolympus.org/ photo sharing site

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Carlos E.R.@21:1/5 to Alfred Molon on Sun Feb 5 21:36:15 2023
    On 2023-02-05 21:07, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?

    <https://www.google.com/search?q=how+much+helium+is+needed+to+lift+1+kg&client=firefox-b-e&ei=z9neY9LOLLmM9u8Pkf2-iAI&oq=how+much+helium+is+need&gs_lcp=
    Cgxnd3Mtd2l6LXNlcnAQAxgBMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIFCAAQgAQ6CggAEEcQ1gQQsANKBAhBGABKBAhGGABQ2whYpURgmGBoAXABeAKAAeIIiAG8IZIBCjEwLjUtMS4yLjGYAQCgAQHIAQjAAQE&sclient=gws-wiz-serp>

    For a back-of-the-envelope calculation the rule of thumb is that you
    need one cubic meter (1000 liters) of hydrogen or helium to lift one
    kilogram; so for 80 kilograms you need about 80 cubic meters (80,000
    liters) of lifting gas.

    How many litres of gaseous helium would it take to lift 80 kg ...

    <https://worldbuilding.stackexchange.com/questions/137715/how-many-litres-of-gaseous-helium-would-it-take-to-lift-80-kg-on-earth>


    --
    Cheers, Carlos.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From geoff@21:1/5 to Alfred Molon on Mon Feb 6 11:34:02 2023
    On 6/02/2023 9:07 am, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?


    Size because of the (visible) solar panels.

    Potentially a large array of different cameras and instruments.

    Or not.

    geoff

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From RichA@21:1/5 to Alfred Molon on Sun Feb 5 20:38:47 2023
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?
    --
    Alfred Molon

    Olympus 4/3 and micro 4/3 cameras forum at
    https://groups.io/g/myolympus
    https://myolympus.org/ photo sharing site

    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From nospam@21:1/5 to RichA on Mon Feb 6 01:14:53 2023
    In article <9e5eb2bc-1ea2-46a2-9087-b27fbb7bb7abn@googlegroups.com>,
    RichA <rander3128@gmail.com> wrote:


    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    explain how 'strategically shooting holes' into a balloon floating at
    ~60k foot altitude could be done from a fighter jet, the only way to
    get close enough to it. this should be good.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Carlos E.R.@21:1/5 to RichA on Mon Feb 6 11:28:28 2023
    On 2023-02-06 05:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?
    --
    Alfred Molon

    Olympus 4/3 and micro 4/3 cameras forum at
    https://groups.io/g/myolympus
    https://myolympus.org/ photo sharing site

    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    They simply do not have anything that can fly at that altitude and shoot bullets at it. They had to use a missile.

    And did it over water in case parts on it fall on something and cause
    damage or harm.

    --
    Cheers, Carlos.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to RichA on Mon Feb 6 08:50:48 2023
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?
    --
    Alfred Molon

    Olympus 4/3 and micro 4/3 cameras forum at
    https://groups.io/g/myolympus
    https://myolympus.org/ photo sharing site

    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000. Balloon: 80,000 feet. Even with
    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would be
    near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little to
    have much effect. The amount of gas leak per hour would not see much
    settling. An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo. Few (if any) would
    hit. Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere and that
    could be tragic too.

    The "right wing" is going bonkers over this because: MAGA!!!!!

    W/o realizing that professionals in the military actually think these
    things through. That includes the "cost" of whatever intel the Chinese
    might be getting off of the balloon via satellite - such mitigated in
    advance through ground prep.

    (And: it landed in 47 feet of water).

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to RichA on Mon Feb 6 08:36:42 2023
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?

    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    47 feet of water. They'll recover plenty.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Carlos E.R.@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Mon Feb 6 18:28:44 2023
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it
    have to be the size of three buses?
    --
    Alfred Molon

    Olympus 4/3 and micro 4/3 cameras forum at
    https://groups.io/g/myolympus
    https://myolympus.org/ photo sharing site

    You'll never know.  Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and
    provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile
    above thousands of feet of water.  Make of THAT what you will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000.  Balloon: 80,000 feet.  Even with
    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would be
    near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little to
    have much effect.  The amount of gas leak per hour would not see much settling.  An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo.  Few (if any) would hit.  Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere and that
    could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but would
    fall. Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it reaches the
    ground or the sea.


    The "right wing" is going bonkers over this because: MAGA!!!!!

    W/o realizing that professionals in the military actually think these
    things through.  That includes the "cost" of whatever intel the Chinese might be getting off of the balloon via satellite - such mitigated in
    advance through ground prep.

    (And: it landed in 47 feet of water).


    --
    Cheers, Carlos.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Carlos E.R.@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Mon Feb 6 20:01:09 2023
    On 2023-02-06 19:24, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 12:28, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why
    did it have to be the size of three buses?

    You'll never know.  Instead of strategically shooting holes in it
    and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a
    missile above thousands of feet of water.  Make of THAT what you will. >>>
    Fighter jets top out around 65,000.  Balloon: 80,000 feet.  Even with

    Clarification: this particular balloon was at about 80k ft, these can go substantially higher.

    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would be
    near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little
    to have much effect.  The amount of gas leak per hour would not see
    much settling.  An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo.  Few (if any)

    I looked it up: 480 rounds on the F-22.  100 rounds/s.

    would hit.  Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere
    and that could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but
    would fall. Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it
    reaches the ground or the sea.

    No it wouldn't.  This thing was gigantnormous.  A single round through
    it would punch two meaningless holes.  It would likely get to Africa first.

    Then it would fall in Africa :-D

    I'm sure it can be calculated, but not by me.
    _Eventually_ it will fall somewhere :-)


    Normal balloons, when punctured, explode. The rubber tears instantly
    starting in the pin hole.


    Even if you could get it to descent with some holes, the descent rate
    would go out of control as you enter denser and denser air, the balloon
    would shrink and so become more and more dense as it falls and
    accelerate to very high speed on its way down.

    Destructive feedback loop, wot.

    Possibly the thing is designed to detect the slow fall, and at some
    altitude drop the package, which then deploys the parachute (and a
    beacon with GPS), while the balloon goes on its merry way, or perhaps it
    has a mechanism to rip it off and fall fast.

    Those things have to go down, eventually, and the fall down method has
    to be calculated and engineered. Although the Chinese seem not to care
    where their satellites fall down or how, so whether they do better for
    balloons is an unknown.

    If it is a military balloon, normal engineering would design to self
    destruct the package so that it can not be analyzed. Or, it would do
    nothing for deniability.

    I guess we will never know.




    (pro-tip: descents are controlled events).

    IAC, as stated - getting canon shot onto it in the first place is very unlikely from a fighter that is 10 - 15,000 lower in altitude or
    attempting some fantastic ballistic approach.

    Certainly. That's what I said somewhere :-)


    The military made the right decision, because it is their job to make
    well educated and expertly informed decisions.

    So when they received the order to do so, they did what the military do:

    Get the data.  Analyze. Decide.  Plan.  Communicate.  Train if needed. Execute.  Report.

    I hope so :-)

    --
    Cheers, Carlos.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Carlos E.R. on Mon Feb 6 13:24:18 2023
    On 2023-02-06 12:28, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it >>>> have to be the size of three buses?
    --
    Alfred Molon

    Olympus 4/3 and micro 4/3 cameras forum at
    https://groups.io/g/myolympus
    https://myolympus.org/ photo sharing site

    You'll never know.  Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and
    provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile
    above thousands of feet of water.  Make of THAT what you will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000.  Balloon: 80,000 feet.  Even with

    Clarification: this particular balloon was at about 80k ft, these can go substantially higher.

    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would be
    near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little to
    have much effect.  The amount of gas leak per hour would not see much
    settling.  An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo.  Few (if any)

    I looked it up: 480 rounds on the F-22. 100 rounds/s.

    would hit.  Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere
    and that could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but would
    fall. Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it reaches the
    ground or the sea.

    No it wouldn't. This thing was gigantnormous. A single round through
    it would punch two meaningless holes. It would likely get to Africa first.

    Even if you could get it to descent with some holes, the descent rate
    would go out of control as you enter denser and denser air, the balloon
    would shrink and so become more and more dense as it falls and
    accelerate to very high speed on its way down.

    Destructive feedback loop, wot.

    (pro-tip: descents are controlled events).

    IAC, as stated - getting canon shot onto it in the first place is very
    unlikely from a fighter that is 10 - 15,000 lower in altitude or
    attempting some fantastic ballistic approach.

    The military made the right decision, because it is their job to make
    well educated and expertly informed decisions.

    So when they received the order to do so, they did what the military do:

    Get the data. Analyze. Decide. Plan. Communicate. Train if needed.
    Execute. Report.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Carlos E.R. on Mon Feb 6 15:26:12 2023
    On 2023-02-06 14:01, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 19:24, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 12:28, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why
    did it have to be the size of three buses?

    You'll never know.  Instead of strategically shooting holes in it
    and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a
    missile above thousands of feet of water.  Make of THAT what you will. >>>>
    Fighter jets top out around 65,000.  Balloon: 80,000 feet.  Even with

    Clarification: this particular balloon was at about 80k ft, these can
    go substantially higher.

    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would
    be near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little
    to have much effect.  The amount of gas leak per hour would not see
    much settling.  An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo.  Few (if any) >>
    I looked it up: 480 rounds on the F-22.  100 rounds/s.

    would hit.  Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere
    and that could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but
    would fall. Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it
    reaches the ground or the sea.

    No it wouldn't.  This thing was gigantnormous.  A single round through
    it would punch two meaningless holes.  It would likely get to Africa
    first.

    Then it would fall in Africa :-D

    I'm sure it can be calculated, but not by me.
    _Eventually_ it will fall somewhere :-)


    Normal balloons, when punctured, explode. The rubber tears instantly
    starting in the pin hole.

    Nothing normal about these balloons compared to what we generally see.

    These are "zero pressure" balloons. Meaning the pressure in the balloon
    equals the ambient pressure. You don't even have to have a valve at the
    bottom to stop the helium from escaping (it rises to the top of the
    balloon).

    A rubber balloon will pop because the pressure inside is greater than
    outside.


    Even if you could get it to descent with some holes, the descent rate
    would go out of control as you enter denser and denser air, the
    balloon would shrink and so become more and more dense as it falls and
    accelerate to very high speed on its way down.

    Destructive feedback loop, wot.

    Possibly the thing is designed to detect the slow fall, and at some
    altitude drop the package, which then deploys the parachute (and a
    beacon with GPS), while the balloon goes on its merry way, or perhaps it
    has a mechanism to rip it off and fall fast.

    Those things have to go down, eventually, and the fall down method has
    to be calculated and engineered. Although the Chinese seem not to care
    where their satellites fall down or how, so whether they do better for balloons is an unknown.

    These balloons (typically) have a compressor on board to inflate another balloon inside the main balloon - but with ordinary air - this is the
    altitude control (also of course a valve to de-pressurize that sub
    balloon. It works by simply changing the overall system density. (Not
    very different than a scuba diver's BCD.

    If it is a military balloon, normal engineering would design to self
    destruct the package so that it can not be analyzed. Or, it would do
    nothing for deniability.

    I guess we will never know.

    All plausible.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Carlos E.R.@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Mon Feb 6 21:47:54 2023
    On 2023-02-06 21:26, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:01, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 19:24, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 12:28, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote: >>>>>>> I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why >>>>>>> did it have to be the size of three buses?

    You'll never know.  Instead of strategically shooting holes in it >>>>>> and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a
    missile above thousands of feet of water.  Make of THAT what you
    will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000.  Balloon: 80,000 feet.  Even with >>>
    Clarification: this particular balloon was at about 80k ft, these can
    go substantially higher.

    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would
    be near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little
    to have much effect.  The amount of gas leak per hour would not see >>>>> much settling.  An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo.  Few (if >>>>> any)

    I looked it up: 480 rounds on the F-22.  100 rounds/s.

    would hit.  Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere >>>>> and that could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but
    would fall. Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it
    reaches the ground or the sea.

    No it wouldn't.  This thing was gigantnormous.  A single round
    through it would punch two meaningless holes.  It would likely get to
    Africa first.

    Then it would fall in Africa :-D

    I'm sure it can be calculated, but not by me.
    _Eventually_ it will fall somewhere :-)


    Normal balloons, when punctured, explode. The rubber tears instantly
    starting in the pin hole.

    Nothing normal about these balloons compared to what we generally see.

    These are "zero pressure" balloons.  Meaning the pressure in the balloon equals the ambient pressure.  You don't even have to have a valve at the bottom to stop the helium from escaping (it rises to the top of the
    balloon).

    A rubber balloon will pop because the pressure inside is greater than outside.

    Ok.

    But those balloons are elongated vertically, and this was, apparently, spherical, which suggest a positive pressure inside.



    Even if you could get it to descent with some holes, the descent rate
    would go out of control as you enter denser and denser air, the
    balloon would shrink and so become more and more dense as it falls
    and accelerate to very high speed on its way down.

    Destructive feedback loop, wot.

    Possibly the thing is designed to detect the slow fall, and at some
    altitude drop the package, which then deploys the parachute (and a
    beacon with GPS), while the balloon goes on its merry way, or perhaps
    it has a mechanism to rip it off and fall fast.

    Those things have to go down, eventually, and the fall down method has
    to be calculated and engineered. Although the Chinese seem not to care
    where their satellites fall down or how, so whether they do better for
    balloons is an unknown.

    These balloons (typically) have a compressor on board to inflate another balloon inside the main balloon - but with ordinary air - this is the altitude control (also of course a valve to de-pressurize that sub
    balloon.  It works by simply changing the overall system density.  (Not very different than a scuba diver's BCD.

    Ah. But to change the density means changing the pressure inside.
    Meaning, there must be some positive pressure, not zero as we said above.

    Why not pump the helium itself into a container, is that not feasible?



    If it is a military balloon, normal engineering would design to self
    destruct the package so that it can not be analyzed. Or, it would do
    nothing for deniability.

    I guess we will never know.

    All plausible.

    On sci.electronics.design, whit3rd said «If it WERE a surveillance
    device, I'd expect volatile memory erased, and software-defined-radio
    with completely generic characteristics. Intelligence information
    of any utility is not likely.»

    Which I find interesting.



    --
    Cheers, Carlos.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to Carlos E.R. on Mon Feb 6 18:53:46 2023
    On 2023-02-06 15:47, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 21:26, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:01, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 19:24, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 12:28, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote: >>>>>>>> I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why >>>>>>>> did it have to be the size of three buses?

    You'll never know.  Instead of strategically shooting holes in it >>>>>>> and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a >>>>>>> missile above thousands of feet of water.  Make of THAT what you >>>>>>> will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000.  Balloon: 80,000 feet.  Even with >>>>
    Clarification: this particular balloon was at about 80k ft, these
    can go substantially higher.

    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would >>>>>> be near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too
    little to have much effect.  The amount of gas leak per hour would >>>>>> not see much settling.  An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo. >>>>>> Few (if any)

    I looked it up: 480 rounds on the F-22.  100 rounds/s.

    would hit.  Those rounds that were shot are going to fall
    somewhere and that could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but
    would fall. Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it
    reaches the ground or the sea.

    No it wouldn't.  This thing was gigantnormous.  A single round
    through it would punch two meaningless holes.  It would likely get
    to Africa first.

    Then it would fall in Africa :-D

    I'm sure it can be calculated, but not by me.
    _Eventually_ it will fall somewhere :-)


    Normal balloons, when punctured, explode. The rubber tears instantly
    starting in the pin hole.

    Nothing normal about these balloons compared to what we generally see.

    These are "zero pressure" balloons.  Meaning the pressure in the
    balloon equals the ambient pressure.  You don't even have to have a
    valve at the bottom to stop the helium from escaping (it rises to the
    top of the balloon).

    A rubber balloon will pop because the pressure inside is greater than
    outside.

    Ok.

    But those balloons are elongated vertically, and this was, apparently, spherical, which suggest a positive pressure inside.

    At sea level - elongated.

    Higher they go, the rounder they get.

    Even if you could get it to descent with some holes, the descent
    rate would go out of control as you enter denser and denser air, the
    balloon would shrink and so become more and more dense as it falls
    and accelerate to very high speed on its way down.

    Destructive feedback loop, wot.

    Possibly the thing is designed to detect the slow fall, and at some
    altitude drop the package, which then deploys the parachute (and a
    beacon with GPS), while the balloon goes on its merry way, or perhaps
    it has a mechanism to rip it off and fall fast.

    Those things have to go down, eventually, and the fall down method
    has to be calculated and engineered. Although the Chinese seem not to
    care where their satellites fall down or how, so whether they do
    better for balloons is an unknown.

    These balloons (typically) have a compressor on board to inflate
    another balloon inside the main balloon - but with ordinary air - this
    is the altitude control (also of course a valve to de-pressurize that
    sub balloon.  It works by simply changing the overall system density.
    (Not very different than a scuba diver's BCD.

    Ah. But to change the density means changing the pressure inside.
    Meaning, there must be some positive pressure, not zero as we said above.

    Why not pump the helium itself into a container, is that not feasible?

    Simpler (and probably lighter) to simply have a control bladder inside
    the main envelope.





    If it is a military balloon, normal engineering would design to self
    destruct the package so that it can not be analyzed. Or, it would do
    nothing for deniability.

    I guess we will never know.

    All plausible.

    On sci.electronics.design, whit3rd said «If it WERE a surveillance
    device, I'd expect volatile memory erased, and software-defined-radio
    with completely generic characteristics. Intelligence information
    of any utility is not likely.»

    Which I find interesting.

    Certainly plausible (and interesting).

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Carlos E.R. on Mon Feb 6 15:38:02 2023
    On Monday, February 6, 2023 at 12:32:21 PM UTC-5, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it >>> have to be the size of three buses?

    Some would have been support for all of the solar panels it was carrying;
    time might tell why it had so much power generation onboard (motor for maneuver?).

    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and
    provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile
    above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000. Balloon: 80,000 feet. Even with
    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would be
    near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little to have much effect. The amount of gas leak per hour would not see much settling. An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo. Few (if any) would hit. Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere and that could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but would fall.

    That was tried by Canada 25 years ago. 1000 rounds and it still stayed up for a week.

    < https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/weather-balloon-canada-china-1.6737831>

    A tethered balloon got loose awhile back too … pulled down high power electrical lines in PA, and lots of other damage.

    Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it reaches the
    ground or the sea.

    Except:

    (And: it landed in 47 feet of water).

    Which is an easy salvage, plus legally, is within US territorial waters.
    A lot better option than the deep & cold water off of Alaska.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Carlos E.R.@21:1/5 to -hh on Tue Feb 7 02:16:38 2023
    On 2023-02-07 00:38, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, February 6, 2023 at 12:32:21 PM UTC-5, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it >>>>> have to be the size of three buses?

    Some would have been support for all of the solar panels it was carrying; time might tell why it had so much power generation onboard (motor for maneuver?).

    If it is true it has a compressor for vertical control, that's heavy and
    power hungry. Needs solar panels and lots of buoyancy.


    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and
    provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile
    above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000. Balloon: 80,000 feet. Even with
    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it would be
    near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too little to
    have much effect. The amount of gas leak per hour would not see much
    settling. An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of ammo. Few (if any) would >>> hit. Those rounds that were shot are going to fall somewhere and that
    could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but would
    fall.

    That was tried by Canada 25 years ago. 1000 rounds and it still stayed up for a week.

    < https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/weather-balloon-canada-china-1.6737831>

    Interesting.

    Reminds me, during WWI aviation tried to shoot down dirigibles, and it
    was hard. I think they tried incendiary ammunition, but those things
    used hydrogen, not helium. Still, the bullets did not explode.


    A tethered balloon got loose awhile back too … pulled down high power electrical lines in PA, and lots of other damage.

    Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it reaches the
    ground or the sea.

    Except:

    (And: it landed in 47 feet of water).

    Which is an easy salvage, plus legally, is within US territorial waters.
    A lot better option than the deep & cold water off of Alaska.

    There is that.

    --
    Cheers, Carlos.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From geoff@21:1/5 to Alan Browne on Tue Feb 7 16:04:53 2023
    On 7/02/2023 12:53 pm, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 15:47, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 21:26, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:01, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 19:24, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 12:28, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    On 2023-02-06 14:50, Alan Browne wrote:
    On 2023-02-05 23:38, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote: >>>>>>>>> I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet. >>>>>>>>>
    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and >>>>>>>>> why did it have to be the size of three buses?

    You'll never know.  Instead of strategically shooting holes in >>>>>>>> it and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it
    with a missile above thousands of feet of water.  Make of THAT >>>>>>>> what you will.

    Fighter jets top out around 65,000.  Balloon: 80,000 feet.  Even >>>>>>> with

    Clarification: this particular balloon was at about 80k ft, these
    can go substantially higher.

    some audacious accelerate while level then climb profile, it
    would be near impossible to take an accurate shot with the a/c
    cannon.

    Then, even if you got shots onto the balloon it would be too
    little to have much effect.  The amount of gas leak per hour
    would not see much settling.  An F-22 carries about 250 rounds of >>>>>>> ammo. Few (if any)

    I looked it up: 480 rounds on the F-22.  100 rounds/s.

    would hit.  Those rounds that were shot are going to fall
    somewhere and that could be tragic too.

    Even with a single bullet hole, the thing would fall. Slowly, but
    would fall. Just follow it on the ground and pick it up when it
    reaches the ground or the sea.

    No it wouldn't.  This thing was gigantnormous.  A single round
    through it would punch two meaningless holes.  It would likely get
    to Africa first.

    Then it would fall in Africa :-D

    I'm sure it can be calculated, but not by me.
    _Eventually_ it will fall somewhere :-)


    Normal balloons, when punctured, explode. The rubber tears instantly
    starting in the pin hole.

    Nothing normal about these balloons compared to what we generally see.

    These are "zero pressure" balloons.  Meaning the pressure in the
    balloon equals the ambient pressure.  You don't even have to have a
    valve at the bottom to stop the helium from escaping (it rises to the
    top of the balloon).

    A rubber balloon will pop because the pressure inside is greater than
    outside.

    Ok.

    But those balloons are elongated vertically, and this was, apparently,
    spherical, which suggest a positive pressure inside.

    At sea level - elongated.

    Higher they go, the rounder they get.

    Even if you could get it to descent with some holes, the descent
    rate would go out of control as you enter denser and denser air,
    the balloon would shrink and so become more and more dense as it
    falls and accelerate to very high speed on its way down.

    Destructive feedback loop, wot.

    Possibly the thing is designed to detect the slow fall, and at some
    altitude drop the package, which then deploys the parachute (and a
    beacon with GPS), while the balloon goes on its merry way, or
    perhaps it has a mechanism to rip it off and fall fast.

    Those things have to go down, eventually, and the fall down method
    has to be calculated and engineered. Although the Chinese seem not
    to care where their satellites fall down or how, so whether they do
    better for balloons is an unknown.

    These balloons (typically) have a compressor on board to inflate
    another balloon inside the main balloon - but with ordinary air -
    this is the altitude control (also of course a valve to de-pressurize
    that sub balloon.  It works by simply changing the overall system
    density. (Not very different than a scuba diver's BCD.

    Ah. But to change the density means changing the pressure inside.
    Meaning, there must be some positive pressure, not zero as we said above.

    Why not pump the helium itself into a container, is that not feasible?

    Simpler (and probably lighter) to simply have a control bladder inside
    the main envelope.





    If it is a military balloon, normal engineering would design to self
    destruct the package so that it can not be analyzed. Or, it would do
    nothing for deniability.

    I guess we will never know.

    All plausible.

    On sci.electronics.design, whit3rd said «If it WERE a surveillance
    device, I'd expect volatile memory erased, and software-defined-radio
    with completely generic characteristics. Intelligence information
    of any utility is not likely.»

    Which I find interesting.

    Certainly plausible (and interesting).


    I'm sure they would be able to reclaim remnants/shadows of what was on
    all but physically-destroyed volatile memory, and pretty much anything
    is eventually decipherable. And if benign, then not strongly encrypted
    anyway.

    geoff

    geoff

    geoff

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Whisky-dave@21:1/5 to RichA on Tue Feb 7 08:37:25 2023
    On Monday, 6 February 2023 at 04:38:51 UTC, RichA wrote:
    On Sunday, 5 February 2023 at 15:07:53 UTC-5, Alfred Molon wrote:
    I wonder why Rich hasn't posted anything on this matter yet.

    Anyway, what kind of camera (if any) was on that balloon and why did it have to be the size of three buses?
    --
    Alfred Molon

    Olympus 4/3 and micro 4/3 cameras forum at
    https://groups.io/g/myolympus
    https://myolympus.org/ photo sharing site
    You'll never know. Instead of strategically shooting holes in it and provide a gradual, soft landing on LAND, they shot it with a missile above thousands of feet of water. Make of THAT what you will.

    Maybe it'd be difficult getting a 2000 pound (US lbs, or about 4 Arnold Schwarzeneggers) object to fall softly from the sky without it being damaged or damaging anyone on the groud.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alan Browne@21:1/5 to geoff on Tue Feb 7 12:18:28 2023
    On 2023-02-06 22:04, geoff wrote:


    I'm sure they would be able to reclaim remnants/shadows of what was on
    all but physically-destroyed volatile memory, and pretty much anything
    is eventually decipherable. And if benign, then not strongly encrypted anyway.

    I suspect they're more interested in what equipment was on board to
    determine capability rather than anything it actually 'caught'. But, if
    there is storage on board that has unencrypted data, that's certainly
    more info.

    --
    “Donald Trump and his allies and supporters are a clear and present
    danger to American democracy.”
    - J Michael Luttig - 2022-06-16
    - Former US appellate court judge (R) testifying to the January 6
    committee

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From -hh@21:1/5 to Carlos E.R. on Tue Feb 7 11:29:35 2023
    On Monday, February 6, 2023 at 8:16:45 PM UTC-5, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    ...
    Reminds me, during WWI aviation tried to shoot down dirigibles, and it
    was hard. I think they tried incendiary ammunition, but those things
    used hydrogen, not helium. Still, the bullets did not explode.

    It took the Allies awhile to figure out how to shoot down the German Zeppelin's.
    In a nutshell, it was a combination of tracer ammunition and airplane technology
    to be able to fly high enough to engage them.

    The initial WW1 biplanes could get up to ~11,000ft, whereas the early Zep's were
    flying above them at 14-15K ... call it roughly a mile vertical, which is out of range
    of .30 caliber machine guns. By War's end, the Zep's would cruise at 20K and could go as high as 24K, and while the highest flying aircraft could match this,
    it would take an hour to climb that high, by which time the Zep was gone.

    Even today, people just don't have a good appreciation for altitude. Seems we got lucky with this balloon being as low as it was ... at "only" 65,000ft (maybe
    because big payload?), because there's been Chinese balloon flights in excess of 300,000ft. 300K is in the Thermosphere, near the Kármán_line (edge of outer
    space), and is roughly twice as high as where flight control surfaces are effective.

    -hh

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Carlos E.R.@21:1/5 to -hh on Tue Feb 7 22:44:47 2023
    On 2023-02-07 20:29, -hh wrote:
    On Monday, February 6, 2023 at 8:16:45 PM UTC-5, Carlos E.R. wrote:
    ...
    Reminds me, during WWI aviation tried to shoot down dirigibles, and it
    was hard. I think they tried incendiary ammunition, but those things
    used hydrogen, not helium. Still, the bullets did not explode.

    It took the Allies awhile to figure out how to shoot down the German Zeppelin's.
    In a nutshell, it was a combination of tracer ammunition and airplane technology
    to be able to fly high enough to engage them.

    The initial WW1 biplanes could get up to ~11,000ft, whereas the early Zep's were
    flying above them at 14-15K ... call it roughly a mile vertical, which is out of range
    of .30 caliber machine guns. By War's end, the Zep's would cruise at 20K and
    could go as high as 24K, and while the highest flying aircraft could match this,
    it would take an hour to climb that high, by which time the Zep was gone.

    Even today, people just don't have a good appreciation for altitude. Seems we
    got lucky with this balloon being as low as it was ... at "only" 65,000ft (maybe
    because big payload?), because there's been Chinese balloon flights in excess of 300,000ft. 300K is in the Thermosphere, near the Kármán_line (edge of outer
    space), and is roughly twice as high as where flight control surfaces are effective.

    I had no idea they had gotten that high.

    --
    Cheers, Carlos.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)