• Unsophisticated Prediction Tiers Season 59 organizational thread

    From Futbolmetrix@21:1/5 to All on Sun Jul 21 22:10:23 2024
    We currently have 9 teams, but we are optimistic that we can brib...erm..convince Lleo UPTFC to return to the league. If Lleo
    returns, I can see the following options:

    a) Two tiers of 5 teams, 10 matchdays (including inter-tier matches so
    that no team is ever idle). To avoid controversy, the tiers would be:
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler, MH
    Tier 2: Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry, Blueshirt, Lleo


    b) Three tiers of 4 teams, 6 matchdays, but we must include two bots or
    B teams
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler
    Tier 2: MH, Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry
    Tier 3: Blueshirt, Lleo, Bot 1 (Homer?), Bot 2 (Randy/Lassie/Aggie)

    c) Other options?

    Of course, the picture changes if others also want to join.

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  • From The Doctor@21:1/5 to Futbolmetrix on Sun Jul 21 23:57:14 2024
    In article <33980575e16ea4bd177863c7e1eb334e@www.novabbs.com>,
    Futbolmetrix <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:
    We currently have 9 teams, but we are optimistic that we can >brib...erm..convince Lleo UPTFC to return to the league. If Lleo
    returns, I can see the following options:

    a) Two tiers of 5 teams, 10 matchdays (including inter-tier matches so
    that no team is ever idle). To avoid controversy, the tiers would be:
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler, MH
    Tier 2: Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry, Blueshirt, Lleo


    b) Three tiers of 4 teams, 6 matchdays, but we must include two bots or
    B teams
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler
    Tier 2: MH, Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry
    Tier 3: Blueshirt, Lleo, Bot 1 (Homer?), Bot 2 (Randy/Lassie/Aggie)

    c) Other options?

    Of course, the picture changes if others also want to join.

    No bots please.
    --
    Member - Liberal International This is doctor@nk.ca Ici doctor@nk.ca
    Yahweh, King & country!Never Satan President Republic!Beware AntiChrist rising! Look at Psalms 14 and 53 on Atheism ;
    United Kingdom save the NAtion on 4 July 2024 vote Liberal Democrat

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  • From Werner Pichler@21:1/5 to Futbolmetrix on Mon Jul 22 09:50:40 2024
    Futbolmetrix <futbolmetrix@yahoo.com> wrote:
    We currently have 9 teams, but we are optimistic that we can brib...erm..convince Lleo UPTFC to return to the league. If Lleo
    returns, I can see the following options:

    a) Two tiers of 5 teams, 10 matchdays (including inter-tier matches so
    that no team is ever idle). To avoid controversy, the tiers would be:
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler, MH
    Tier 2: Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry, Blueshirt, Lleo


    b) Three tiers of 4 teams, 6 matchdays, but we must include two bots or
    B teams
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler
    Tier 2: MH, Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry
    Tier 3: Blueshirt, Lleo, Bot 1 (Homer?), Bot 2 (Randy/Lassie/Aggie)

    c) Other options?

    Of course, the picture changes if others also want to join.


    Personally, I’d welcome Lassie and Homer back into
    the fold.


    Ciao,
    Werner

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  • From MH@21:1/5 to Futbolmetrix on Mon Jul 22 12:06:25 2024
    On 2024-07-21 16:10, Futbolmetrix wrote:
    We currently have 9 teams, but we are optimistic that we can brib...erm..convince Lleo UPTFC to return to the  league. If Lleo
    returns, I can see the following options:

    a) Two tiers of 5 teams, 10 matchdays (including inter-tier matches so
    that no team is ever idle). To avoid controversy, the tiers would be:
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler, MH
    Tier 2: Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry, Blueshirt, Lleo


    b) Three tiers of 4 teams, 6 matchdays, but we must include two bots or
    B teams
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler
    Tier 2: MH, Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry
    Tier 3: Blueshirt, Lleo, Bot 1 (Homer?), Bot 2 (Randy/Lassie/Aggie)

    c) Other options?

    Of course, the picture changes if others also want to join.

    I am OK with a or b, with a slight preference for b. Maybe take a month
    off before restarting, though?

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  • From Futbolmetrix@21:1/5 to milivella on Mon Jul 22 21:22:26 2024
    On Mon, 22 Jul 2024 1:45:16 +0000, milivella wrote:

    We currently have 9 teams, but we are optimistic that we can
    brib...erm..convince Lleo UPTFC to return to the  league. If Lleo
    returns, I can see the following options:

    a) Two tiers of 5 teams, 10 matchdays (including inter-tier matches so
    that no team is ever idle). To avoid controversy, the tiers would be:
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler, MH
    Tier 2: Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry, Blueshirt, Lleo

    How many promotions/relegations?


    We could do one direct promotion/relegation, and a second spot to be
    determined by a playoff between 4th place Tier 1 and 2nd place Tier 2.
    This also addresses in part your point below:


    In any case, I like it, but I'm afraid that verdicts could be official
    in less than ten matchdays.


    Yes, 10 matchdays is a bit long, and the snappy nature of UPT gets lost
    a bit. Hmmm...will I have to admit that milivella raises some valid
    points?




    b) Three tiers of 4 teams, 6 matchdays, but we must include two bots or
    B teams
    Tier 1: The Doctor, Futbolmetrix, milivella, Werner Pichler
    Tier 2: MH, Jesper Lauridsen, Mark, Jesus Petry
    Tier 3: Blueshirt, Lleo, Bot 1 (Homer?), Bot 2 (Randy/Lassie/Aggie)

    That would be the "official" solution under the rules I applied, but it
    would not be a good way to make Blueshirt and Lleo like the game... :)

    You could have a play-in between Mark, Jesus, Blueshirt and lleo to
    determine who ends up in the bot tier...



    c) Other options?

    Three tiers of respectively 3, 3, 4 people (Lleo is added to the bottom
    tier, nothing else changes). But what about Tier 1 and 2 matchdays? Can
    we have inter-tier matches?

    I think that could work. Each team in Tiers 1-2 plays teams from its own
    tier twice (home and away), plus 2 teams from the other tier. And no
    bots (even though it looks as if some people miss Homer and Lassie)


    --
    Cheers
    milivella

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  • From Mark@21:1/5 to All on Thu Jul 25 13:50:13 2024
    I think 2 divisions of 5 is best. 3 teams in a division is too few. More
    than 25% of teams in each division getting promoted or relegated is too
    many too. (And so is more than 20%.)

    I think we should abolish the inter-tier matches too. I can't see the
    point of them.

    I'd also like to officially propose that any changes made to the rules
    or the structure of the League be made known in advance, before the
    season starts, in future, so teams know what they're playing for at the beginning of the season and don't end up getting relegated after they've avoided it on the pitch or whatever.

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  • From Blueshirt@21:1/5 to Mark on Thu Jul 25 20:22:46 2024
    Mark wrote:

    I think 2 divisions of 5 is best. 3 teams in a division is too
    few. More than 25% of teams in each division getting promoted
    or relegated is too many too. (And so is more than 20%.)

    Two divisions of five sounds okay to me... although if we could
    get another two people to join in there would be no need for
    bots either.

    There are a couple of people posting here that are not involved,
    what sort of bribe do we have to offer them to join?

    I'd also like to officially propose that any changes made to
    the rules or the structure of the League be made known in
    advance, before the season starts, in future, so teams know
    what they're playing for at the beginning of the season and
    don't end up getting relegated after they've avoided it on the
    pitch or whatever.

    No, I propose that rule changes can be made at any time... as
    long as they give me some sort of an advantage.

    I'm a newbie, I need the help!

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  • From Futbolmetrix@21:1/5 to jlauridsen on Fri Jul 26 10:20:33 2024
    On Thu, 25 Jul 2024 12:10:55 +0000, jlauridsen wrote:


    Rather than 4-4-2 with bots, why not let everyone play in the tier they qualified for - 3-3-4 formation, and use intertier matches between tier
    1
    and 2? Maybe with extra promotion spots moving to 3-4-3 and maybe later 4-3-3?

    I like this option: 3-3-4 in Season 59 (with intertier matches), two
    promoted teams from Tier 3 to Tier 2, 1 promoted teams from Tier 2 to
    Tier 1, one relegated team in Tiers 1 and 2.

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  • From Futbolmetrix@21:1/5 to Mark on Fri Jul 26 10:27:16 2024
    On Thu, 25 Jul 2024 13:50:13 +0000, Mark wrote:

    Aggregating heterogeneous preferences is difficult...

    I think 2 divisions of 5 is best. 3 teams in a division is too few. More
    than 25% of teams in each division getting promoted or relegated is too
    many too. (And so is more than 20%.)

    The problem with 5 teams is that you end up having a 10-matchday season,
    which is almost double the length of current UPT. As milivella correctly pointed out, you may end up having too many dead rubber matches towards
    the end of the season.


    I think we should abolish the inter-tier matches too. I can't see the
    point of them.

    I would rather keep everyone playing all the time rather than have byes.
    With odd number of teams in a tier, that's inevitable.


    I'd also like to officially propose that any changes made to the rules
    or the structure of the League be made known in advance, before the
    season starts, in future, so teams know what they're playing for at the beginning of the season and don't end up getting relegated after they've avoided it on the pitch or whatever.

    But that would mean that any new participant would have to wait a full
    season before joining UPT. That's a long time. I would rather keep the flexibility to add new players that we have now.

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  • From Mark@21:1/5 to Futbolmetrix on Mon Jul 29 12:15:13 2024
    On Fri, 26 Jul 2024 10:27:16 +0000, Futbolmetrix wrote:

    On Thu, 25 Jul 2024 13:50:13 +0000, Mark wrote:

    Aggregating heterogeneous preferences is difficult...

    I think 2 divisions of 5 is best. 3 teams in a division is too few. More
    than 25% of teams in each division getting promoted or relegated is too
    many too. (And so is more than 20%.)

    The problem with 5 teams is that you end up having a 10-matchday season, which is almost double the length of current UPT. As milivella correctly pointed out, you may end up having too many dead rubber matches towards
    the end of the season.

    I don't think either of them are major problems.

    I think we should abolish the inter-tier matches too. I can't see the
    point of them.

    I would rather keep everyone playing all the time rather than have byes.
    With odd number of teams in a tier, that's inevitable.

    I don't think anyone would mind not playing every week. I get the
    impression some people are busy anyway and would appreciate having some
    weeks off.

    I'd also like to officially propose that any changes made to the rules
    or the structure of the League be made known in advance, before the
    season starts, in future, so teams know what they're playing for at the
    beginning of the season and don't end up getting relegated after they've
    avoided it on the pitch or whatever.

    But that would mean that any new participant would have to wait a full
    season before joining UPT. That's a long time. I would rather keep the flexibility to add new players that we have now.

    Adding 1 team to the bottom tier wouldn't be a problem. Major changes
    like the number of teams getting promoted/relegated, or the number of
    teams in all divisions, or changing the tie-breaker from goal difference
    to head to head or something, I think we should have at least 1 year's
    notice of those sort of changes.

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  • From Futbolmetrix@21:1/5 to Mark on Tue Jul 30 10:28:29 2024
    On Mon, 29 Jul 2024 12:15:13 +0000, Mark wrote:


    The problem with 5 teams is that you end up having a 10-matchday season,
    which is almost double the length of current UPT. As milivella correctly
    pointed out, you may end up having too many dead rubber matches towards
    the end of the season.

    I don't think either of them are major problems.


    You don't, but other people do.

    I think we should abolish the inter-tier matches too. I can't see the
    point of them.

    I would rather keep everyone playing all the time rather than have byes.
    With odd number of teams in a tier, that's inevitable.

    I don't think anyone would mind not playing every week. I get the
    impression some people are busy anyway and would appreciate having some
    weeks off.


    "I don't think anyone would mind" = "I wouldn't mind"


    I'd also like to officially propose that any changes made to the rules
    or the structure of the League be made known in advance, before the
    season starts, in future, so teams know what they're playing for at the
    beginning of the season and don't end up getting relegated after they've >>> avoided it on the pitch or whatever.

    But that would mean that any new participant would have to wait a full
    season before joining UPT. That's a long time. I would rather keep the
    flexibility to add new players that we have now.

    Adding 1 team to the bottom tier wouldn't be a problem. Major changes
    like the number of teams getting promoted/relegated, or the number of
    teams in all divisions, or changing the tie-breaker from goal difference
    to head to head or something, I think we should have at least 1 year's
    notice of those sort of changes.

    Sounds like you're OK then with the 3-3-4 format. Only one team gets
    added to the bottom tier, and the only change is one more promotion from
    Tier 3 to Tier 2 (nobody can complain about that!) in Season 59. Then
    there will be 2 promotions from Tier 2 to Tier 1 in Season 60 (announced
    one season in advance). If a new human participant gets added, they'll
    start from Tier 3 in Season 60 (and unfortunately only 3 players in Tier
    1).

    Season will start on weekend of August 16-17, with matches from the
    English Premier League and Serie A (I finished second so I get to
    choose).

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