• Re: Florida vs. Maine Covid Deaths/100,000

    From -hh@21:1/5 to Alan on Tue Mar 8 11:46:32 2022
    On Friday, February 25, 2022 at 1:40:18 PM UTC-5, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-02-23 5:24 p.m., TomS wrote:
    On Wednesday, February 23, 2022 at 3:45:35 PM UTC-8, Alan wrote:
    On 2022-02-23 3:27 p.m., TomS wrote:
    On Wednesday, February 23, 2022 at 3:21:28 PM UTC-8, TomS wrote:
    On Tuesday, February 22, 2022 at 7:04:29 PM UTC-8, -hh wrote:
    ...
    Oh, and just in case Tommy doesn’t like my numbers, here’s the >>>>> same damn thing done by another, who also makes it explicitly
    clear:

    < https://twitter.com/jasonsalemi/status/1496252903388237824>


    Gosh, isn't it about time to give Tommy another update on how Florida has
    been gaming their deaths by dragging out its reporting?

    Case in point, revisiting:

    "As of 2/19/22, FL is reporting 68,579 deaths...and:
    total deceased as of 2/14: was 67,910 on 2/16, is now 68,541 = +631
    total deceased as of 2/15: was 67,911 on 2/16, is now 68,561 = +650
    total deceased as of 2/16: was 67,914 on 2/16, is now 68,572 = +658"

    So now let's update:

    As of 3/8/22, FL is reporting 71,326 deaths...and:
    total deceased as of 2/14: was 67,910 on 2/16 , is now 70,001= +2,091
    total deceased as of 2/15: was 67,911 on 2/16, is now 70,129 = +2,218
    total deceased as of 2/16: was 67,914 on 2/16, is now 70,264 = +2,350

    ... additional FL deaths not initially reported

    Likewise, the datapoint of 68,579 deceased as of 2/19/22, is now (3/8/22) 70,625 deaths as of that same date of /19/22, which shows 2,046 delayed
    death reports.

    So where it was previously said:

    "2/15/22 was originally reported as +1 [new deaths], but now it is +20
    2/16/22 was originally reported as +3, but now it is +11"

    With the data now (mostly) encompassing the delayed reports, to update the estimate of FL's rate of new deaths for mid-February ... where FL had originally
    claimed it as ~2/day, we now know:

    (70,625 - 70,001) / (2/19 - 2/14) = 624 deaths / 5 days = 125 deaths/day.


    -hh

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