• State of Post Quantum Cryptography?

    From The Running Man@21:1/5 to All on Thu May 2 08:20:27 2024
    What is you guys take on PQC (Post Quantum Cryptography) algorithms? I know the NIST has held a contest and that there are winners, but do you guys think they're safe to use?

    I fear they may be broken in the future thereby destroying the security and privacy of millions of unsuspecting users. Current cryptographic algorithms are known to be safe and will be for at least the coming decades. OTOH these new PQC ciphers hold the
    promise of eternal confidentiality which current ciphers cannot guarantee.

    I myself am very much in doubt whether to use PQC or stick with known ciphers.

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  • From Jakob Bohm@21:1/5 to The Running Man on Mon May 6 15:53:18 2024
    On 2024-05-02 10:20, The Running Man wrote:
    What is you guys take on PQC (Post Quantum Cryptography) algorithms? I know the NIST has held a contest and that there are winners, but do you guys think they're safe to use?

    I fear they may be broken in the future thereby destroying the security and privacy of millions of unsuspecting users. Current cryptographic algorithms are known to be safe and will be for at least the coming decades. OTOH these new PQC ciphers hold
    the promise of eternal confidentiality which current ciphers cannot guarantee.

    If any bad actor has a quantum computer with just a few more Qubits
    than the ones demonstrated in public, they can break most current public
    key algorithms using known attack algorithms written a long time ago for
    such (then hypothetical) computers. They can also break symmetric
    encryption at the same difficulty as if the key length was half as many
    bits (thus AES 128 would be as weak as IDEA, AES 256 as weak as AES
    128).


    I myself am very much in doubt whether to use PQC or stick with known ciphers.


    From what I read so far, the most promising PQC signature algorithm is
    the Merkle scheme in RFC8554 and RFC8391, though a secure implementation
    will take serious work.

    Key exchange will be harder, though the DJB-sponsored proposal for a
    "Classic McElice" variant may be solid.

    Any PQC public key algorithm will need to be combined with double
    strength symmetric algorithms.

    Enjoy

    Jakob
    --
    Jakob Bohm, CIO, Partner, WiseMo A/S. https://www.wisemo.com
    Transformervej 29, 2860 Søborg, Denmark. Direct +45 31 13 16 10
    This public discussion message is non-binding and may contain errors.
    WiseMo - Remote Service Management for PCs, Phones and Embedded

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  • From Jan Panteltje@21:1/5 to jb-usenet@wisemo.invalid on Tue May 7 05:06:24 2024
    On a sunny day (Mon, 6 May 2024 15:53:18 +0200) it happened Jakob Bohm <jb-usenet@wisemo.invalid> wrote in <v1ancg$2jieu$1@dont-email.me>:

    On 2024-05-02 10:20, The Running Man wrote:
    What is you guys take on PQC (Post Quantum Cryptography) algorithms? I know the NIST has held a contest and that there are
    winners, but do you guys think they're safe to use?

    I fear they may be broken in the future thereby destroying the security and privacy of millions of unsuspecting users. Current
    cryptographic algorithms are known to be safe and will be for at least the coming decades. OTOH these new PQC ciphers hold the
    promise of eternal confidentiality which current ciphers cannot guarantee.

    If any bad actor has a quantum computer with just a few more Qubits
    than the ones demonstrated in public, they can break most current public
    key algorithms using known attack algorithms written a long time ago for
    such (then hypothetical) computers. They can also break symmetric
    encryption at the same difficulty as if the key length was half as many
    bits (thus AES 128 would be as weak as IDEA, AES 256 as weak as AES
    128).


    I myself am very much in doubt whether to use PQC or stick with known ciphers.


    From what I read so far, the most promising PQC signature algorithm is
    the Merkle scheme in RFC8554 and RFC8391, though a secure implementation
    will take serious work.

    Key exchange will be harder, though the DJB-sponsored proposal for a
    "Classic McElice" variant may be solid.

    Any PQC public key algorithm will need to be combined with double
    strength symmetric algorithms.

    Enjoy

    Jakob

    Experiment opens door for millions of qubits on one chip:
    https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/05/240506131552.htm
    Summary:
    Researchers have achieved the first controllable interaction between two hole spin qubits in a conventional silicon transistor.
    The breakthrough opens up the possibility of integrating millions of these qubits on a single chip using mature manufacturing processes

    ?

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  • From The Running Man@21:1/5 to jb-usenet@wisemo.invalid on Wed May 8 04:05:16 2024
    On 06/05/2024 15:53 Jakob Bohm <jb-usenet@wisemo.invalid> wrote:
    On 2024-05-02 10:20, The Running Man wrote:
    What is you guys take on PQC (Post Quantum Cryptography) algorithms? I know the NIST has held a contest and that there are winners, but do you guys think they're safe to use?

    I fear they may be broken in the future thereby destroying the security and privacy of millions of unsuspecting users. Current cryptographic algorithms are known to be safe and will be for at least the coming decades. OTOH these new PQC ciphers hold
    the promise of eternal confidentiality which current ciphers cannot guarantee.

    If any bad actor has a quantum computer with just a few more Qubits
    than the ones demonstrated in public, they can break most current public
    key algorithms using known attack algorithms written a long time ago for
    such (then hypothetical) computers. They can also break symmetric
    encryption at the same difficulty as if the key length was half as many
    bits (thus AES 128 would be as weak as IDEA, AES 256 as weak as AES
    128).


    Define: "a few more qubits." I've read that maybe up to a million qubits are needed to compensate for the errors and noise to be able to break current asymmetric encryption algorithms. Symmetric algorithms aren't vulnerable in any case since quantum
    algorithms only halve the number of bits of security (i.e. 256 bits becomes 128 bits which cannot be broken).

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  • From Peter Fairbrother@21:1/5 to Jakob Bohm on Thu May 9 22:28:49 2024
    On 06/05/2024 14:53, Jakob Bohm wrote:
    On 2024-05-02 10:20, The Running Man wrote:
    What is you guys take on PQC (Post Quantum Cryptography) algorithms? I
    know the NIST has held a contest and that there are winners, but do
    you guys think they're safe to use?

    I fear they may be broken in the future thereby destroying the
    security and privacy of millions of unsuspecting users.

    Yep, that's a risk. PQC algorithms are of necessity less mature than
    current cryptographic algorithms. If I may quote Schneier's law it its
    original form:

    "Anyone, from the most clueless amateur to the best cryptographer, can
    create an algorithm that he himself can’t break. It’s not even hard.
    What is hard is creating an algorithm that no one else can break, even
    after years of analysis. And the only way to prove that is to subject
    the algorithm to years of analysis by the best cryptographers around."

    The winning PQC algorithms have had some of that analysis, but perhaps
    not enough. I would not be surprised if, like some of the candidates,
    the winners were comprehensively broken.

    And there is another risk: that they will broken in ways we don't know
    about now. Quantum computers of the needed scale still don't exist, and
    we don't have years of practice using them - so it is practically
    inevitable that new attack techniques using quantum computers will be developed.


    If any bad actor has a quantum computer with just a few more Qubits
    than the ones demonstrated in public, they can break most current public
    key algorithms using known attack algorithms written a long time ago for
    such (then hypothetical) computers.

    Err, no. Just no.

    You would need about 1,000 reliable entangled error-free qubits
    equivalent (REEFQe) to do any useful cryptanalysis of present day public
    key algorithms, and we are nowhere near that. Not even 100 REEFQe, more
    like 20.

    Having 1,000 error prone qbits, which has been done in a couple of
    cases, is not nearly enough. Neither is D-wave's 1,200 calibrated
    annealing qbits.

    Not even close.

    And close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.


    They can also break symmetric
    encryption at the same difficulty as if the key length was half as many
    bits (thus AES 128 would be as weak as IDEA, AES 256 as weak as AES
    128). [..] Any PQC public key algorithm will need to be combined with double strength symmetric algorithms.

    Now there we agree, in fact double strength symmetric algorithms should
    be de rigueur in general use as of yesterday: but I don't see why we
    can't double up and use classic public key algorithms *as well as* PQC
    public key algorithms, at least for a while.


    Peter Fairbrother

    who doesn't see why we need the u in qubits

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  • From Jakob Bohm@21:1/5 to Peter Fairbrother on Fri May 10 08:32:26 2024
    On 2024-05-09 23:28, Peter Fairbrother wrote:
    On 06/05/2024 14:53, Jakob Bohm wrote:
    On 2024-05-02 10:20, The Running Man wrote:
    What is you guys take on PQC (Post Quantum Cryptography) algorithms?
    I know the NIST has held a contest and that there are winners, but do
    you guys think they're safe to use?

    I fear they may be broken in the future thereby destroying the
    security and privacy of millions of unsuspecting users.

    Yep, that's a risk. PQC algorithms are of necessity less mature than
    current cryptographic algorithms. If I may quote Schneier's law it its original form:

    "Anyone, from the most clueless amateur to the best cryptographer, can
    create an algorithm that he himself can’t break. It’s not even hard.
    What is hard is creating an algorithm that no one else can break, even
    after years of analysis. And the only way to prove that is to subject
    the algorithm to years of analysis by the best cryptographers around."

    The winning PQC algorithms have had some of that analysis, but perhaps
    not enough. I would not be surprised if, like some of the candidates,
    the winners were comprehensively broken.

    And there is another risk: that they will broken in ways we don't know
    about now. Quantum computers of the needed scale still don't exist, and
    we don't have years of practice using them - so it is practically
    inevitable that new attack techniques using quantum computers will be developed.


    See further below where Fairbrother returns to this subject.


    If any bad actor has a quantum computer with just a few more Qubits
    than the ones demonstrated in public, they can break most current
    public key algorithms using known attack algorithms written a long
    time ago for
    such (then hypothetical) computers.

    Err, no. Just no.

    Note that I was talking logarithmic steps, not single Qbit steps.


    You would need about 1,000 reliable entangled error-free qubits
    equivalent (REEFQe) to do any useful cryptanalysis of present day public
    key algorithms, and we are nowhere near that. Not even 100 REEFQe, more
    like 20.

    Having 1,000 error prone qbits, which has been done in a couple of
    cases, is not nearly enough. Neither is D-wave's 1,200 calibrated
    annealing qbits.


    Would those numbers apply to things like EdDSA and ECDSA?


    Not even close.

    And close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.


    They can also break symmetric
    encryption at the same difficulty as if the key length was half as many
    bits (thus AES 128 would be as weak as IDEA, AES 256 as weak as AES
    128). [..] Any PQC public key algorithm will need to be combined with
    double strength symmetric algorithms.

    Now there we agree, in fact double strength symmetric algorithms should
    be de rigueur in general use as of yesterday: but I don't see why we
    can't double up and use classic public key algorithms *as well as* PQC
    public key algorithms, at least for a while.


    Yes, doubling up the types of algorithms used is a good way to hedge
    bets against bad algorithms. Staying with known at-risk algorithms is problematic.


    Enjoy

    Jakob
    --
    Jakob Bohm, CIO, Partner, WiseMo A/S. https://www.wisemo.com
    Transformervej 29, 2860 Søborg, Denmark. Direct +45 31 13 16 10
    This public discussion message is non-binding and may contain errors.
    WiseMo - Remote Service Management for PCs, Phones and Embedded

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  • From Peter Fairbrother@21:1/5 to Jakob Bohm on Fri May 10 17:28:07 2024
    On 10/05/2024 07:32, Jakob Bohm wrote:
    On 2024-05-09 23:28, Peter Fairbrother wrote:

    You would need about 1,000 reliable entangled error-free qubits
    equivalent (REEFQe) to do any useful cryptanalysis of present day
    public key algorithms, and we are nowhere near that. Not even 100
    REEFQe, more like 20.

    Would those numbers apply to things like EdDSA and ECDSA?

    A thorny question.

    The publicity for quantum computers is usually splashed about measured
    solely in qubits (approximately, quantum storage bits, a bit like a
    register in a cpu with only one register); but that's not immediately
    relevant to the amount of computation they can do - they also need
    quantum gates, qubits by themselves can't do any computing.

    So even 1,000 "real" qubits is just a very rough ballpark figure which
    doesn't actually mean very much.


    In terms of comparing breaking RSA and breaking ECDSA, you would need
    more qubits but less gates for RSA - but as you can, above some
    minimums, pretty much swap needed qubits for needed gates, that doesn't
    help much.

    I believe the minimum number of "real" qubits needed is about 350 for
    ECDSA and about 1,000 for RSA[1]; but at that level breaking ECDSA needs
    a LOT more quantum gates.

    Overall it's pretty hard to say which is easier to do, and would depend
    on more than the number of qubits a computer has. Quantum gates are
    noisy too, especially the ones which do entanglement.



    [1] I could be wrong here, I'm a bit out-of-touch. And these are
    _theoretical_ minimums, and even then estimates vary, a lot.

    In practice, realistically the best I've seen uses about 6,000 real
    qubits and 10^12 gates to break 2k RSA in months. You would also need a
    depth of about 10^11 (depth is the longest chain of quantum gates used,
    and they all have to work...)


    We are closer to getting to Alpha Centaurus and taming fusion than doing
    that.


    Peter Fairbrother

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  • From The Running Man@21:1/5 to peter@tsto.co.uk on Mon May 13 06:17:38 2024
    On 10/05/2024 17:28 Peter Fairbrother <peter@tsto.co.uk> wrote:
    On 10/05/2024 07:32, Jakob Bohm wrote:
    On 2024-05-09 23:28, Peter Fairbrother wrote:

    You would need about 1,000 reliable entangled error-free qubits
    equivalent (REEFQe) to do any useful cryptanalysis of present day
    public key algorithms, and we are nowhere near that. Not even 100
    REEFQe, more like 20.

    Would those numbers apply to things like EdDSA and ECDSA?

    A thorny question.

    The publicity for quantum computers is usually splashed about measured
    solely in qubits (approximately, quantum storage bits, a bit like a
    register in a cpu with only one register); but that's not immediately relevant to the amount of computation they can do - they also need
    quantum gates, qubits by themselves can't do any computing.

    So even 1,000 "real" qubits is just a very rough ballpark figure which doesn't actually mean very much.


    In terms of comparing breaking RSA and breaking ECDSA, you would need
    more qubits but less gates for RSA - but as you can, above some
    minimums, pretty much swap needed qubits for needed gates, that doesn't
    help much.

    I believe the minimum number of "real" qubits needed is about 350 for
    ECDSA and about 1,000 for RSA[1]; but at that level breaking ECDSA needs
    a LOT more quantum gates.

    Overall it's pretty hard to say which is easier to do, and would depend
    on more than the number of qubits a computer has. Quantum gates are
    noisy too, especially the ones which do entanglement.



    [1] I could be wrong here, I'm a bit out-of-touch. And these are _theoretical_ minimums, and even then estimates vary, a lot.

    In practice, realistically the best I've seen uses about 6,000 real
    qubits and 10^12 gates to break 2k RSA in months. You would also need a
    depth of about 10^11 (depth is the longest chain of quantum gates used,
    and they all have to work...)


    We are closer to getting to Alpha Centaurus and taming fusion than doing that.


    Peter Fairbrother



    <https://www.space.com/purest-silicon-could-lead-to-first-million-qubit-quantum-computing-chips>

    They now believe they can build million-qubit processors using ultra-pure silicon.

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  • From Phil Carmody@21:1/5 to The Running Man on Mon May 13 23:45:23 2024
    The Running Man <runningman@writeable.com> writes:
    <https://www.space.com/purest-silicon-could-lead-to-first-million-qubit-quantum-computing-chips>

    They now believe they can build million-qubit processors using ultra-pure silicon.

    You have confused "could" with "can".

    Phil
    --
    We are no longer hunters and nomads. No longer awed and frightened, as we have gained some understanding of the world in which we live. As such, we can cast aside childish remnants from the dawn of our civilization.
    -- NotSanguine on SoylentNews, after Eugen Weber in /The Western Tradition/

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  • From The Running Man@21:1/5 to pc+usenet@asdf.org on Tue May 14 05:50:43 2024
    On 13/05/2024 23:45 Phil Carmody <pc+usenet@asdf.org> wrote:
    The Running Man <runningman@writeable.com> writes:
    <https://www.space.com/purest-silicon-could-lead-to-first-million-qubit-quantum-computing-chips>

    They now believe they can build million-qubit processors using ultra-pure silicon.

    You have confused "could" with "can".

    Phil
    --
    We are no longer hunters and nomads. No longer awed and frightened, as we have
    gained some understanding of the world in which we live. As such, we can cast aside childish remnants from the dawn of our civilization.
    -- NotSanguine on SoylentNews, after Eugen Weber in /The Western Tradition/

    And here's another one:

    <https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Experiment_Allows_for_Potential_Millions_of_Qubits_on_Single_Chip_999.html>

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