From
vjp2.at@at.BioStrategist.dot.dot.co@21:1/5 to
All on Sat Aug 27 22:45:36 2016
I think low interest rates (and perhaps some negative or complex natural
or real rate) is what drives the Kagan eponential velocity into harmonics and strange attractors, explaining the "liquidity trap". Having been schooled in Sargent Wallace 1975's high rate rational expectations strange detractor, I feel the only peggable rates are between 2-6%, and that anything else can't
be pegged, begging for other intstruments. However, given that electronic
money (Wenninger 1987 & Partland 1992, FRBNY QR) make money suppl no longer measurable. That Metro card and Kinko card is really the "Commodity based currency" the Fed supposedly terminated in 1913.
Interest rates are an exponential quantity in economics (whether in Kagan velocity or just compounding), but the real rates are a function of the rates we use, hence we cannot be sure if the transformation at very small rates crosses over into the imaginary (complex number) range, triggering harmonics (theory of oscillations and stability). Hence we do not fully understand if
the liquidity trap is caused by low rates or the other way around. This may explain Haugen's observation of persistent volatility during the Great Depression which suggests we should be looking at higher order moments and maybe chaos theory to fully understand the perplexing complexity.
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