• more Intel bad news

    From john larkin@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jun 27 08:04:20 2025
    https://www.theverge.com/news/693528/intel-automotive-business-shutdown-layoffs

    Is Intel the next DEC?

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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sat Jun 28 14:43:58 2025
    On 28/06/2025 1:04 am, john larkin wrote:

    https://www.theverge.com/news/693528/intel-automotive-business-shutdown-layoffs

    Is Intel the next DEC?

    Seems unlikely. DEC essentially ignored personal computers. Intel isn't
    making that kind of mistake - it's a big player in a complicated market,
    and while it clearly didn't make the right choices in the automotive
    business market, there are lots of other markets where it still seems to
    be doing well.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

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  • From Theo@21:1/5 to Bill Sloman on Sat Jun 28 10:09:44 2025
    Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On 28/06/2025 1:04 am, john larkin wrote:

    https://www.theverge.com/news/693528/intel-automotive-business-shutdown-layoffs

    Is Intel the next DEC?

    Seems unlikely. DEC essentially ignored personal computers. Intel isn't making that kind of mistake - it's a big player in a complicated market,
    and while it clearly didn't make the right choices in the automotive
    business market, there are lots of other markets where it still seems to
    be doing well.

    They're outsourcing marketing to Accenture. Surely marketing should be a
    core competency for any substantial company? You need to understand the product and the customers, and I can't see how a third party agency is going
    to do that better than the company itself?

    Ah, Accenture has an AI. That makes it alright then. All fine, most fine, nothing to see here. https://www.techradar.com/pro/intel-set-to-transfer-marketing-jobs-to-ai-that-could-ironically-be-running-on-intel-processors

    Theo

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  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to theom+news@chiark.greenend.org.uk on Sat Jun 28 08:01:59 2025
    On 28 Jun 2025 10:09:44 +0100 (BST), Theo
    <theom+news@chiark.greenend.org.uk> wrote:

    Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On 28/06/2025 1:04 am, john larkin wrote:

    https://www.theverge.com/news/693528/intel-automotive-business-shutdown-layoffs

    Is Intel the next DEC?

    Seems unlikely. DEC essentially ignored personal computers. Intel isn't
    making that kind of mistake - it's a big player in a complicated market,
    and while it clearly didn't make the right choices in the automotive
    business market, there are lots of other markets where it still seems to
    be doing well.

    They're outsourcing marketing to Accenture. Surely marketing should be a >core competency for any substantial company? You need to understand the >product and the customers, and I can't see how a third party agency is going >to do that better than the company itself?

    Ah, Accenture has an AI. That makes it alright then. All fine, most fine, >nothing to see here. >https://www.techradar.com/pro/intel-set-to-transfer-marketing-jobs-to-ai-that-could-ironically-be-running-on-intel-processors

    Theo

    Intel doesn't need PR or marketing; they need good semiconductors.

    Intel spent $110 billion on stock buybacks that they should have spent
    on technology.

    They messed up phones, DRAM, flash, CISC, RISC, ARM, EUV, FPGAs, and a
    bunch of other stuff. They are run by rich moron bean counters now.
    When your compensation is mostly the value of your stock options,
    complicated things like transistors are an annoyance.

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  • From Theo@21:1/5 to Bill Sloman on Sat Jun 28 17:12:27 2025
    Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On 29/06/2025 1:01 am, john larkin wrote:
    Bean-counting mostly works - more often in a relatively mature
    technology. Your list of things that they "messed up" is a bit strange -
    I was in England when "ARM" was being invented.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARM_architecture_family

    Intel never had a chance to mess it up.

    They did:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XScale

    It came from DEC, of course. So they both messed it up, in sequence.

    Intel was always a customer for EUV lithography, and quite how Philips
    ended up doing so well with it (ASML is a Philips spin-off) is a bit of
    a mystery. Philips had an electron-beam microfabricator business, and
    messed it up badly enough that they sold it off to Cambridge
    Instruments. The machine was fine, but the customer service wasn't good enough.

    Philips was good at optics (lighting, medical imaging, LCDs) and the semiconductor research divisions were really good. Another company to add to the list of messes.

    When your compensation is mostly the value of your stock options, complicated things like transistors are an annoyance.

    Not when they are your entire business.

    Exactly.

    Theo

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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 29 01:33:00 2025
    On 29/06/2025 1:01 am, john larkin wrote:
    On 28 Jun 2025 10:09:44 +0100 (BST), Theo
    <theom+news@chiark.greenend.org.uk> wrote:

    Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On 28/06/2025 1:04 am, john larkin wrote:

    https://www.theverge.com/news/693528/intel-automotive-business-shutdown-layoffs

    Is Intel the next DEC?

    Seems unlikely. DEC essentially ignored personal computers. Intel isn't
    making that kind of mistake - it's a big player in a complicated market, >>> and while it clearly didn't make the right choices in the automotive
    business market, there are lots of other markets where it still seems to >>> be doing well.

    They're outsourcing marketing to Accenture. Surely marketing should be a
    core competency for any substantial company? You need to understand the
    product and the customers, and I can't see how a third party agency is going >> to do that better than the company itself?

    Ah, Accenture has an AI. That makes it alright then. All fine, most fine, >> nothing to see here.
    https://www.techradar.com/pro/intel-set-to-transfer-marketing-jobs-to-ai-that-could-ironically-be-running-on-intel-processors

    Theo

    Intel doesn't need PR or marketing; they need good semiconductors.

    Build a better mouse-trap and the world will beat a path to your door.

    This rather ignores the difficulty of working out what a "better
    mousetrap" would look like to your potential customers, and how you
    would draw it to the attention of the potential customers who might want
    to buy it if they could be made aware of what it might do for them.

    Intel spent $110 billion on stock buybacks that they should have spent
    on technology.

    In your ever-so-expert opinion.

    They messed up phones, DRAM, flash, CISC, RISC, ARM, EUV, FPGAs, and a
    bunch of other stuff. They are run by rich moron bean counters now.

    Bean-counting mostly works - more often in a relatively mature
    technology. Your list of things that they "messed up" is a bit strange -
    I was in England when "ARM" was being invented.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARM_architecture_family

    Intel never had a chance to mess it up.

    Intel was always a customer for EUV lithography, and quite how Philips
    ended up doing so well with it (ASML is a Philips spin-off) is a bit of
    a mystery. Philips had an electron-beam microfabricator business, and
    messed it up badly enough that they sold it off to Cambridge
    Instruments. The machine was fine, but the customer service wasn't good
    enough.

    When your compensation is mostly the value of your stock options,
    complicated things like transistors are an annoyance.

    Not when they are your entire business.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

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  • From john larkin@21:1/5 to theom+news@chiark.greenend.org.uk on Sat Jun 28 09:58:03 2025
    On 28 Jun 2025 17:12:27 +0100 (BST), Theo
    <theom+news@chiark.greenend.org.uk> wrote:

    Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On 29/06/2025 1:01 am, john larkin wrote:
    Bean-counting mostly works - more often in a relatively mature
    technology. Your list of things that they "messed up" is a bit strange -
    I was in England when "ARM" was being invented.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARM_architecture_family

    Intel never had a chance to mess it up.

    They did:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XScale

    It came from DEC, of course. So they both messed it up, in sequence.

    Intel was always a customer for EUV lithography, and quite how Philips
    ended up doing so well with it (ASML is a Philips spin-off) is a bit of
    a mystery. Philips had an electron-beam microfabricator business, and
    messed it up badly enough that they sold it off to Cambridge
    Instruments. The machine was fine, but the customer service wasn't good
    enough.

    Philips was good at optics (lighting, medical imaging, LCDs) and the >semiconductor research divisions were really good. Another company to add to >the list of messes.

    When your compensation is mostly the value of your stock options,
    complicated things like transistors are an annoyance.

    Not when they are your entire business.

    Exactly.

    Theo

    Intel kicked in a billion or so to help ASML buy Cymer for the
    tin-droplet EUV source. Then they failed to invest in the machines for
    their own fabs.

    Meanwhile Intel kept buying back their own shares. That's like trying
    to grow by eating your own legs; it doesn't scale. [1]

    Intel lost a heap on Altera too, ballpark 8 billion. They lost our
    business too; now we use mostly Efinix and some Xilinx SOCs.

    The pattern seems to be that Intel chases fads and always messes them
    up. That will become business school courses some day.

    [1] Hey, one could raise some venture capital, go public, and do
    nothing but buy back shares. Sorta like bitcoin.

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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to Theo on Sun Jun 29 13:56:57 2025
    On 29/06/2025 2:12 am, Theo wrote:
    Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On 29/06/2025 1:01 am, john larkin wrote:

    <snip>

    Philips was good at optics (lighting, medical imaging, LCDs) and the semiconductor research divisions were really good. Another company to add to the list of messes.

    Philips had their "Nat Lab" - natural philosophy laboratory, for
    academic physics, and other pure science stuff - from way back.

    The process of getting from pure science to saleable technology didn't
    always run smoothly, but they did have some notable successes.

    My wife and I lived and worked in the Netherlands from 1993 to 2012 and
    we did have some contact with that.

    When your compensation is mostly the value of your stock options,
    complicated things like transistors are an annoyance.

    Not when they are your entire business.

    Exactly.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

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  • From Don Y@21:1/5 to Theo on Sat Jun 28 20:32:01 2025
    On 6/28/2025 2:09 AM, Theo wrote:
    They're outsourcing marketing to Accenture. Surely marketing should be a core competency for any substantial company? You need to understand the product and the customers, and I can't see how a third party agency is going to do that better than the company itself?

    The company could establish its positioning and still hire-out
    folks to do all the busy-work.

    There's little reason to maintain a staff that can create camera ready
    artwork -- in a semiconductor company. I suspect they also
    contract out their janitorial services -- though they SHOULD be able
    to perform those, right?

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  • From Bill Sloman@21:1/5 to john larkin on Sun Jun 29 14:08:18 2025
    On 29/06/2025 2:58 am, john larkin wrote:
    On 28 Jun 2025 17:12:27 +0100 (BST), Theo
    <theom+news@chiark.greenend.org.uk> wrote:

    Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> wrote:
    On 29/06/2025 1:01 am, john larkin wrote:
    Bean-counting mostly works - more often in a relatively mature
    technology. Your list of things that they "messed up" is a bit strange - >>> I was in England when "ARM" was being invented.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ARM_architecture_family

    Intel never had a chance to mess it up.

    They did:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XScale

    It came from DEC, of course. So they both messed it up, in sequence.

    Intel was always a customer for EUV lithography, and quite how Philips
    ended up doing so well with it (ASML is a Philips spin-off) is a bit of
    a mystery. Philips had an electron-beam microfabricator business, and
    messed it up badly enough that they sold it off to Cambridge
    Instruments. The machine was fine, but the customer service wasn't good
    enough.

    Philips was good at optics (lighting, medical imaging, LCDs) and the
    semiconductor research divisions were really good. Another company to add to >> the list of messes.

    When your compensation is mostly the value of your stock options,
    complicated things like transistors are an annoyance.

    Not when they are your entire business.

    Exactly.

    Theo

    Intel kicked in a billion or so to help ASML buy Cymer for the
    tin-droplet EUV source. Then they failed to invest in the machines for
    their own fabs.

    Meanwhile Intel kept buying back their own shares. That's like trying
    to grow by eating your own legs; it doesn't scale. [1]

    But it's great for people who owned a lot of Intel shares (or stock
    options).

    Intel lost a heap on Altera too, ballpark 8 billion. They lost our
    business too; now we use mostly Efinix and some Xilinx SOCs.

    I never did like the Altera programmable parts. I was much more taken
    with the Philips Cool-Runner parts that they sold to Xilinix, not that
    that I ever managed to design them into anything that sold.

    The pattern seems to be that Intel chases fads and always messes them
    up. That will become business school courses some day.

    Everybody in the semi-conductor business chases fads. Somebody always
    ends up doing the fad better than everybody else, so most of the
    competition has always messed up. Intel is still in business - unlike
    DEC - so they haven't messed up completely.

    [1] Hey, one could raise some venture capital, go public, and do
    nothing but buy back shares. Sorta like bitcoin.

    Three merchants marooned on a island who got immensely rich by trading
    hats is the classical example.

    --
    Bill Sloman, Sydney

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