Archimedes Plutonium<
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1:12 AM (13 hours ago)
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Alright I am going to stop there and feel my table is more accurate than the graph given Jack Murtagh in his "Distribution of Leading Digits in Many Real-World Data Sets"
My graph is also logarithmic as a downward portion of the log spiral as seen in Rectangle of Whirling Squares of Fibonacci Sequence.
My results up to 109 and their perfect-squares is this.
There are 30 Ones from 1 to 109.
There are 14 Twos from 1 to 109.
There are 12 Threes from 1 to 109.
There are 12 Fours from 1 to 109.
There are 9 Fives from 1 to 109.
There are 9 Sixes from 1 to 109.
There are 8 Sevens from 1 to 109.
There are 8 Eights from 1 to 109.
There are 7 Nines from 1 to 109.
I suspect mine is the more accurate table and that Jack probably threw in skewering data to compose his. Mine comes directly from a pure mathematical mechanism-- square root, and who knows what data Jack threw into his data sets.
Now the main thrust of this book is not to dwell so much on the proof, but to gain insight into the Theory of Probability. We normally look upon Probability as a science of how many favorable outcomes divided by total possible outcomes. For example,
drawing the largest number from a box which has 10 numbers, is 1/10 or 10%. Drawing a number that starts with One digit in my table above is 30/109 = 27%, and drawing a number that starts with Two digit is 14/109 = 12%.
But the bigger question is how does squaring as in Psi-squared of physics is Probability itself? How is the square of a number become probability??? This sounds almost philosophical.
AP
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Archimedes Plutonium<
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1:39 AM (13 hours ago)
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So, I do not yet have a proof of Benford's Law, until I find out what this new definition of Probability is.
The common definition of Probability is (number of favorable ways) divided by (total number of ways). And where certainty has a value of 1 or 100%, while probability is less than certain and so has a percentage less than 100% of occurring.
In Physics, probability entered that subject in a spectacular way in the 1930s with Schrodinger wave equation of quantum mechanics. Here a Psi function that is squared is a probability. Nothing like our commonsense probability of favorable ways/total
ways. Nothing like that. And it is viewed as saying the Probability of finding a magnetic monopole in a given region of a Atom.
So here in 1930s with Schrodinger the world is treated to a whole new theory and definition of Probability, involving simply the math mechanics of squaring.
Squaring a number is geometrically a square area and in Fibonacci Sequence is a logarithmic spiral formed from the Rectangle of Whirling Squares. This is a new modern form of Probability theory, the likes of which surpass our old notions of probability
theory of favorable ways/total ways.
So in this book, I prove Denford's Law, but in so doing, I first need to find what the modern day definition of Probability is. And that is a tough tough job.
AP
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Archimedes Plutonium<
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2:48 AM (11 hours ago)
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Troubles with Old Math's definition of Probability of Event as that of (number of favorable ways) divided by (total number of ways).
Which is a fine definition for cards or dice or gambling, but not useful in science.
We seldom know what is the total number of ways. We seldom know what is "favorable". So the Old Math definition gets us started in Probability theory but rather leaves us with a crude and primitive idea of probability. It is a anthropomorphic concept of (
number of favorable ways) divided by (total number of ways). And it is useless when 1930s rolled by with Schrodinger Wave Equation. You cannot fit (number of favorable ways) divided by (total number of ways) into the Magnetic Monopole wandering around
inside a Atom.
Not even the "chance of finding the monopole" near a proton makes sense with Old Math's probability.
So Chance and Probability need a make-over.
In New Physics, there is Superdeterminism and a total lack of free-will and how can one fit probability with superdeterminism?
There seems to be just one way. That Probability is a fancy term for Frequency of occurrence. The probability that the Sun rises tomorrow has a high probability, a high frequency.
And frequency involves time as denoted by 1/time = frequency. Frequency is in speed and thus in calculus. This makes sense that 1/time is a derivative of change in y divided by change in x is derivative.
So in this viewpoint we simply make all of Probability theory be that of Frequency, a part of the Calculus derivative.
Now we can start to home in on why squaring is probability.
AP
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Archimedes Plutonium<
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2:11 PM (1 minute ago)
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I will need to rename this new book as "The Modern New Definition of Probability, not the Old Math definition".
It just so happens that the Benford's Law is a good example of the Modern New definition of Probability.
One can say the Modern New Definition of Probability starts with Schrodinger Wave Equation circa 1930. When Schrodinger came out with his Wave Equation there were a few years of stumbling around with the equation with the Psi function. At first,
Schrodinger accepted and used the Psi function and then finally Max Born corrected him by telling him it was Psi-squared that was a probability of finding the Dirac magnetic monopole in a region around the Atom.
And from 1930 forward, we have a brand new definition of Probability itself, involving a square.
Of course Old Math definition of probability was borne from the 1700 and 1800s from dice rolling and card playing. This definition of (number of favorable ways) divided by (total number of ways) is woefully inadequate for a definition of Probability in
science especially physics. For example-- how silly is it to ask what is "favorable" in physics or biology, and as if we can measure favorable and/or total number of ways in biology or chemistry or physics.
What we can measure in all sciences is Frequency of occurrence. The frequency of weather raining. And this is where probability theory should have started-- not gaming of cards and dice, but rather in frequency of weather-- how frequent is rain? How
frequent are sunny days? The probability that tomorrow will rain is a frequency measure.
And here is where I am super fortunate to be doing Benford's Law while simultaneously working on that special math formula of Permeability x Permittivity is the speed of light squared, a math form of A x A^2 = A^3 = 10^18 or 10^-18.
You see the Permeability is Magnetic field in units of 10^-6 while Permittivity is Electric field in units of 10^-12.
You see Permeability squared is Permittivity.
Probability is a squaring phenomenon.
Probability is a frequency. The Old Math probability is too too narrow minded.
Frequency is part of speed just as distance / time where the 1/time is the frequency.
With frequency we write speed = velocity = distance X frequency.
So probability is part of the Calculus derivative of time being frequency.
Somewhat sad that Probability theory was not borne out of frequency, such as the frequency of weather rain, or the frequency of where we walk, or the frequency of where we drive, what roads and driveways we use and not use. The frequency of washing hands,
the frequency of sleeping, the frequency of eating potatoes, rather than Old Math's number of favorable ways/total number of ways.
With frequency, we can give measure to probability questions, which we could never measure "favorable" or "total ways".
This is why Schrodinger sputtered come 1930, and where Born figured out he was missing a square for the Psi function, because Probability theory was still in its primitive crude form. In fact, not until today, does AP revise all of Probability theory
with the new definition of Frequency.
AP, King of Science
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