• Starliner return postponed indefinitely

    From The Running Man@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jun 22 06:52:05 2024
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alain Fournier@21:1/5 to Snidely on Sat Jun 22 08:32:38 2024
    On 2024-06-22 6:36 a.m., Snidely wrote:
    Watch this space, where The Running Man advised that...
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    It's likely that a return will happen within 45 days of launch (see your reference).

    Also, if Butch and Suni don't return within that time, I would expect
    that the station will require resupply somewhat sooner than the current schedule.  There is a possibility of a Crew Dragon returning with 5 astronauts (it's been studied, AIUI) at the cost of not taking all the down-cargo; I think that 6 astronauts is less likely without an interior re-fit.  ISTR that the design allowed for up to 7 astronauts in 2 rows,
    but the 4 + cargo configuration was a better fit for NASA's plans.

    I'm not sure if "Crew Dragon" can fly uncrewed. That is, could a Dragon
    capsule configured to carry a crew, go dock with ISS without a crew? I
    see no reason why not, but that doesn't mean it is possible.


    Alain Fournier

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Running Man@21:1/5 to snidely.too@gmail.com on Sat Jun 22 12:53:00 2024
    On 22/06/2024 03:36 Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> wrote:
    Watch this space, where The Running Man advised that...
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    It's likely that a return will happen within 45 days of launch (see
    your reference).

    Also, if Butch and Suni don't return within that time, I would expect
    that the station will require resupply somewhat sooner than the current schedule. There is a possibility of a Crew Dragon returning with 5 astronauts (it's been studied, AIUI) at the cost of not taking all the down-cargo; I think that 6 astronauts is less likely without an
    interior re-fit. ISTR that the design allowed for up to 7 astronauts
    in 2 rows, but the 4 + cargo configuration was a better fit for NASA's
    plans.


    Of course the return journey will take place within 45 days of launch. The question is whether
    it will be with or without astronauts.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Niklas Holsti@21:1/5 to Alain Fournier on Sat Jun 22 18:20:50 2024
    On 2024-06-22 15:32, Alain Fournier wrote:
    On 2024-06-22 6:36 a.m., Snidely wrote:
    Watch this space, where The Running Man advised that...
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    It's likely that a return will happen within 45 days of launch (see
    your reference).

    Also, if Butch and Suni don't return within that time, I would expect
    that the station will require resupply somewhat sooner than the
    current schedule.  There is a possibility of a Crew Dragon returning
    with 5 astronauts (it's been studied, AIUI) at the cost of not taking
    all the down-cargo; I think that 6 astronauts is less likely without
    an interior re-fit.  ISTR that the design allowed for up to 7
    astronauts in 2 rows, but the 4 + cargo configuration was a better fit
    for NASA's plans.

    I'm not sure if "Crew Dragon" can fly uncrewed. That is, could a Dragon capsule configured to carry a crew, go dock with ISS without a crew? I
    see no reason why not, but that doesn't mean it is possible.


    Crew Dragon's first demonstration flight to the ISS was uncrewed (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crew_Dragon_Demo-1). It seems unlikely
    that they would remove that capability afterwards.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Running Man@21:1/5 to snidely.too@gmail.com on Sat Jun 22 23:07:50 2024
    On 22/06/2024 15:43 Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> wrote:
    Alain Fournier presented the following explanation :
    On 2024-06-22 6:36 a.m., Snidely wrote:
    Watch this space, where The Running Man advised that...
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    It's likely that a return will happen within 45 days of launch (see your >>> reference).

    Also, if Butch and Suni don't return within that time, I would expect that >>> the station will require resupply somewhat sooner than the current
    schedule. There is a possibility of a Crew Dragon returning with 5
    astronauts (it's been studied, AIUI) at the cost of not taking all the
    down-cargo; I think that 6 astronauts is less likely without an interior >>> re-fit. ISTR that the design allowed for up to 7 astronauts in 2 rows, but >>> the 4 + cargo configuration was a better fit for NASA's plans.

    I'm not sure if "Crew Dragon" can fly uncrewed. That is, could a Dragon
    capsule configured to carry a crew, go dock with ISS without a crew? I see no
    reason why not, but that doesn't mean it is possible.


    Alain Fournier

    The problem is having a Crew Dragon ready and a Falcon to loft it. The normal Dragon operation is autonomous. Crew 9 is expected to go aloft
    in August. Polaris Dawn will go before then, but has reconfigured the forward hatch.

    Falcon boosters seem to be turned in 2-3 weeks, but you need a second
    stage as well. I don't know how far ahead those are. There may be differences in the Uppers used for crew, although I imagine SpaceX
    wouldn't want to do that.

    My guess is that a rescue Dragon would launch with a CDR and PLT just
    to make sure the flight has contingencies covered, but I'm neither NASA
    nor SpaceX.


    How many seats does the Crew Dragon docked at the ISS have? At least 4 right?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alain Fournier@21:1/5 to The Running Man on Sat Jun 22 19:21:35 2024
    On 2024-06-22 7:07 p.m., The Running Man wrote:
    On 22/06/2024 15:43 Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> wrote:
    Alain Fournier presented the following explanation :
    On 2024-06-22 6:36 a.m., Snidely wrote:
    Watch this space, where The Running Man advised that...
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    It's likely that a return will happen within 45 days of launch (see your >>>> reference).

    Also, if Butch and Suni don't return within that time, I would expect that >>>> the station will require resupply somewhat sooner than the current
    schedule. There is a possibility of a Crew Dragon returning with 5
    astronauts (it's been studied, AIUI) at the cost of not taking all the >>>> down-cargo; I think that 6 astronauts is less likely without an interior >>>> re-fit. ISTR that the design allowed for up to 7 astronauts in 2 rows, but
    the 4 + cargo configuration was a better fit for NASA's plans.

    I'm not sure if "Crew Dragon" can fly uncrewed. That is, could a Dragon
    capsule configured to carry a crew, go dock with ISS without a crew? I see no
    reason why not, but that doesn't mean it is possible.


    Alain Fournier

    The problem is having a Crew Dragon ready and a Falcon to loft it. The
    normal Dragon operation is autonomous. Crew 9 is expected to go aloft
    in August. Polaris Dawn will go before then, but has reconfigured the
    forward hatch.

    Falcon boosters seem to be turned in 2-3 weeks, but you need a second
    stage as well. I don't know how far ahead those are. There may be
    differences in the Uppers used for crew, although I imagine SpaceX
    wouldn't want to do that.

    My guess is that a rescue Dragon would launch with a CDR and PLT just
    to make sure the flight has contingencies covered, but I'm neither NASA
    nor SpaceX.


    How many seats does the Crew Dragon docked at the ISS have? At least 4 right?

    I wonder how easy it is to change the configuration. Could they send an
    extra seat up and add it to the Crew Dragon docked at ISS?


    Alain Fournier

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Alain Fournier@21:1/5 to Snidely on Sun Jun 23 10:14:53 2024
    On 2024-06-23 3:03 a.m., Snidely wrote:
    The Running Man suggested that ...
    On 22/06/2024 03:36 Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> wrote:
    Watch this space, where The Running Man advised that...
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    It's likely that a return will happen within 45 days of launch (see
    your reference).

    Also, if Butch and Suni don't return within that time, I would expect
    that the station will require resupply somewhat sooner than the
    current schedule.  There is a possibility of a Crew Dragon returning
    with 5 astronauts (it's been studied, AIUI) at the cost of not taking
    all the down-cargo; I think that 6 astronauts is less likely without
    an interior re-fit.  ISTR that the design allowed for up to 7
    astronauts in 2 rows, but the 4 + cargo configuration was a better
    fit for NASA's plans.


    Of course the return journey will take place within 45 days of launch.
    The question is whether  it will be with or without astronauts.

    At this point, I'm expecting Starliner to return crewed.  Taking the additonal time allows for a broader analysis of the problems while there
    is still an opportunity to collect more data at low risk, and there
    isn't a hurry get home yet.

    So do I. Nonetheless, it is interesting to evaluate what contingency
    plans can be drawn up.


    Alain Fournier

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Running Man@21:1/5 to alain245@videotron.ca on Sat Jul 27 08:05:55 2024
    On 23/06/2024 16:14 Alain Fournier <alain245@videotron.ca> wrote:
    On 2024-06-23 3:03 a.m., Snidely wrote:
    The Running Man suggested that ...
    On 22/06/2024 03:36 Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> wrote:
    Watch this space, where The Running Man advised that...
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    It's likely that a return will happen within 45 days of launch (see
    your reference).

    Also, if Butch and Suni don't return within that time, I would expect
    that the station will require resupply somewhat sooner than the
    current schedule.  There is a possibility of a Crew Dragon returning
    with 5 astronauts (it's been studied, AIUI) at the cost of not taking
    all the down-cargo; I think that 6 astronauts is less likely without
    an interior re-fit.  ISTR that the design allowed for up to 7
    astronauts in 2 rows, but the 4 + cargo configuration was a better
    fit for NASA's plans.


    Of course the return journey will take place within 45 days of launch.
    The question is whether  it will be with or without astronauts.

    At this point, I'm expecting Starliner to return crewed.  Taking the
    additonal time allows for a broader analysis of the problems while there
    is still an opportunity to collect more data at low risk, and there
    isn't a hurry get home yet.

    So do I. Nonetheless, it is interesting to evaluate what contingency
    plans can be drawn up.


    I'm not so sure. I believe NASA's unsure whether the thrusters can perform
    a boostback burn for the duration needed. They could overheat and fail creating a risk for the re-entry. The astronauts could be blown off-course or endure a ballistic re-entry, which is something you don't want on a certification flight.

    I predict Boeing will walk if NASA decides on an uncrewed landing. They
    don't want to have to do another CFT flight, that's for sure.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Running Man@21:1/5 to snidely.too@gmail.com on Thu Aug 8 06:56:16 2024
    On 08/08/2024 06:42 Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> wrote:
    Friday, The Running Man observed:
    <https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/06/nasa-indefinitely-delays-return-of-starliner-to-review-propulsion-data/>

    Looks like Starliner isn't returning to Earth anytime soon.

    Likely to be late August or early-to-mid September. With or without
    crew. Work being done to update and test the code capable of autonous
    return last used on OFT2 and to complete evaluation of the firing
    tests. See Eric Berger at /Ars Technica/ (arstechnica.com) for deeper discussion.


    Boeing knows that if Starliner returns without crew the program is dead. So they're
    pushing for a crewed return. If the crew dies Starliner is dead anyway so they might
    as well try it and if they survive Boeing will argue that they want to start paid flights
    next year.

    I'm speculating that Sierra Nevada's Dream Chaser may replace Starliner if Boeing
    pulls out.

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