• =?UTF-8?B?RGF2aWQgRGVhbWVy4oCZcyBib29rIOKAnEFzc2VtYmxpbmcgTGlmZeKAnQ==?

    From MarkE@21:1/5 to All on Sun Sep 17 01:00:17 2023
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However, from
    the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative conjecture:
    Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that break
    up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate compounds (
    although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal vents,
    freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one that can
    match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 01:51:39 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative conjecture:
    “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal vents,
    freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one that can
    match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.

    William Bains (short selection):

    Research Scientist
    Massachusetts Institute of Technology
    Apr 2009 - Oct 2014 · 5 yrs 7 mos
    Cambridge, Massachusetts, United States
    Researcher in Prof Sara Seager's group at MIT, working out how we might detect alien biochemistries on other worlds. Computational chemistry and biochemistry work with a world-class physicist.
    https://www.linkedin.com/in/william-bains/?originalSubdomain=uk

    Photochemistry in terrestrial exoplanet atmospheres. II. H2S and SO2 photochemistry in anoxic atmospheres
    R Hu, S Seager, W Bains - The Astrophysical Journal, 2013 - iopscience.iop.org

    Phosphine on Venus cannot be explained by conventional processes
    W Bains, JJ Petkowski, S Seager, S Ranjan… - Astrobiology, 2021 - liebertpub.com

    Many chemistries could be used to build living systems
    W Bains - Astrobiology, 2004 - liebertpub.com

    https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=William%20Bains

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 04:09:18 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 4:00:40 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative conjecture:
    “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal vents,
    freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one that can
    match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    Hey, if you aren't interested, don't read it.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Burkhard@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 05:16:33 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:00:40 AM UTC+1, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    With other words, you want a theory of OoL without a theory. Baring time travel, every reconstruction of a singular past event will inevitably involve speculation and model building, though specific speculations/hypothesis/models can then be tested and
    sometimes falsified, which allows us to say that certain things did not happen. But the positive claim cannot be anything but "speculation", which a minute's thought should tell you.



    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative conjecture:
    “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal vents,
    freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one that can
    match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Burkhard on Sun Sep 17 05:33:11 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 10:20:39 PM UTC+10, Burkhard wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:00:40 AM UTC+1, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:
    With other words, you want a theory of OoL without a theory. Baring time travel, every reconstruction of a singular past event will inevitably involve speculation and model building, though specific speculations/hypothesis/models can then be tested and
    sometimes falsified, which allows us to say that certain things did not happen. But the positive claim cannot be anything but "speculation", which a minute's thought should tell you.

    Not interested in nit-picking and semantics. Tour calls out the highly exaggerated claims of OoL, and Bains does the same with his "toy domain" assessment. Both offer serious critiques from outside and within the camp. If you want to address matters of
    substance, be my guest.


    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Sun Sep 17 05:45:10 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:10:40 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 4:00:40 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    Hey, if you aren't interested, don't read it.

    Bains has given me sufficient reason not to.

    But I do want to thank you for leading me to this goldmine. In reading _about_ Deamer I've discovered within the OoL camp a truth-teller - speaking the same truth as James Tour. The irony is exquisite. And the case is substantial. Counter-arguments of
    substance are welcome.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 06:13:32 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative conjecture:
    “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal vents,
    freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one that can
    match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.

    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it was made.
    To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside chance can
    lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab organic
    chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after 2011. But
    what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on self-
    organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo a phase
    transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere is alive?
    Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D thru Z,
    or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/
    10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 06:24:59 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 8:45:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:10:40 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 4:00:40 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a
    complex mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many
    of the postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    Hey, if you aren't interested, don't read it.
    Bains has given me sufficient reason not to.

    But I do want to thank you for leading me to this goldmine. In reading _about_ Deamer I've discovered within the OoL camp a truth-teller - speaking the same truth as James Tour. The irony is exquisite. And the case is substantial. Counter-arguments of
    substance are welcome.

    Well, I told you when I recommended the book that it was a review of (then) current research in OoL, not a solution to the problem. It is an honest review of the science and points out the limitations. It will absolutely disappoint you if you are looking
    for the breakthrough that solves the whole problem.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 08:05:57 2023
    On 9/17/23 6:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative conjecture:
    “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal vents,
    freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one that can
    match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.

    More choice cuts from Bains' article:
    [...]

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    That question is easy to answer. People have to defend the field of
    abiogensis from Tour, you, and people like you who insist that it is
    worthless in every way. Nobody claims that abiogenesis has satisfying
    answers. But it should be obvious, even to you, that nobody will ever
    find the answers if nobody ever looks for them.

    It occurs to me that you do not *want* answers about abiogenesis, do you?

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gary Hurd@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 10:23:49 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:00:40 AM UTC-7, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative conjecture:
    “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    My reading recommendations on the origin of life for people without college chemistry, are;

    Hazen, RM 2005 "Gen-e-sis" Washington DC: Joseph Henry Press

    Deamer, David W. 2011 “First Life: Discovering the Connections between Stars, Cells, and How Life Began” University of California Press.

    They are a bit dated, but are readable for people without much background study.

    If you have had a good background, First year college; Introduction to Chemistry, Second year; Organic Chemistry and at least one biochem or genetics course see;

    Deamer, David W. 2019 "Assembling Life: How can life begin on Earth and other habitable planets?" Oxford University Press.

    Hazen, RM 2019 "Symphony in C: Carbon and the Evolution of (Almost) Everything" Norton and Co.

    Note: Bob Hazen thinks his 2019 book can be read by non-scientists. I doubt it.

    Nick Lane 2015 "The Vital Question" W. W. Norton & Company

    Nick Lane spent some pages on the differences between Archaea and Bacteria cell boundary chemistry, and mitochondria chemistry. That could hint at a single RNA/DNA life that diverged very early, and then hybridized. Very interesting idea!

    Nick Lane
    2022 "Transformer: The Deep Chemistry of Life and Death" W. W. Norton & Company

    In this book Professor Lane is focused on the chemistry of the Krebs Cycle (and its’ reverse) for the existence of life, and its’ origin. I did need to read a few sections more than once.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 17 14:08:32 2023
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:15:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a complex
    mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many of the
    postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it was
    made. To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside chance can
    lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab organic
    chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after 2011. But
    what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on self-
    organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo a phase
    transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere is alive?
    Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D thru Z,
    or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/
    10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again

    There seem to be two major complaints.

    The first complaint is that OoL scientists keep claiming that much more progress has been made than actually has been. I don't really know what to make of that claim. That sort of triumphalism is more common in popular science summaries than in actual
    research papers. Indeed one can quotemine papers from the same set of OoL scientists to suggest that either they think the problem is essentially insoluble or that they think it has essentially been solved. But when I read the actual research papers,
    they all seem pretty circumspect to me, very willing to admit the large amount of stuff that is unknown and the limitations of the results. Some scientists can certainly toot their own horn more than I'd like - first everybody wanted to have created a "
    paradigm shift" in whatever field they worked in, then everything had "novel" in the title, so much so that the standing joke was to read the title replacing the word "novel" with "yet another." But that's more a criticism of style than substance and,
    mostly, more applicable to science journalism than to the actual technical papers.

    The second complaint is that the research is too focused on "toy domains," very simplified sets of reagents and conditions that ignore all sorts of other compounds that would presumably be present in the natural environment and which might significantly
    change the results. Well, that seems to me a very reasonable way to start. You have an extremely complex problem - a long set of steps that took place over millions of years in unknown environment and that involved complex mixtures of reagents. It seems
    quite rational to think about key steps and look for early-earth-like conditions under which they can be made to occur. Of course there are side products, yields are low, components not present in the experimental design might have played an important
    role; but you have to start somewhere. The people who do those experiments acknowledge the artificiality of the set-ups.

    Still, this is progress. Look at a couple of "catch-22's". (1) The "water problem." Life works in an aqueous environment. But in an aqueous environment, condensation of amino acid monomers into peptides or nucleotides into oligonucleotides is
    energetically unfavorable and is not expected to happen spontaneously. In living things an energetically favorable reaction has to be coupled to the condensation reaction for it to occur. But you can't have all the mechanisms required for that coupling
    in a living cell without nucleic acids and proteins. Catch-22. Except that since the "water problem" was proposed a variety of abiotic conditions have been found that favor polymerization over hydrolysis - wet-dry cycles, adsorbtion to clays,
    microparticles, lipids, bubbles. None of these is obviously what happened 4 billion years ago, but the simple lab experiments show that the water problem is not a fatal catch-22. That's progress. And everybody working on this admits that there still
    remains an enormous amount to explain - what conditions, for example would select for 5'-3' rather than 5'-2' linkages in oligoribonucleotides, how are soluble oligopeptides enriched relative to insoluble "goop."?
    (2) Another catch-22 - the DNA-RNA-protein catch-22. You need enzymes to replicate or transcribe DNA and you need enzymes to translate RNA into protein, you can't make RNA without the enzymes, but you can't make the enzymes without RNA. Sounds pretty
    fatal, too. Until, in "toy domains" people started finding that RNA alone can have enzymatic activity, indeed a variety of enzymatic activities that can be selected for in vitro. That certainly is not remotely proof of the RNA world in all its detail,
    but it shows the catch-22 was not fatal.

    Of course nature, in the form of a volcanic pool or a tide pool or a hydrothermal vent is more complicated than a test tube, but the approach of understanding complicated phenomena by breaking them down into simple steps and making sure you understand
    the simple steps well before you add in complications seems to work pretty well. Still, if Bains has some experimental suggestions for a "fundamentally new approach to studying life and its origins," lots of people would be interested.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Gary Hurd on Mon Sep 18 04:17:44 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 3:25:40 AM UTC+10, Gary Hurd wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:00:40 AM UTC-7, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    My reading recommendations on the origin of life for people without college chemistry, are;

    Hazen, RM 2005 "Gen-e-sis" Washington DC: Joseph Henry Press

    Deamer, David W. 2011 “First Life: Discovering the Connections between Stars, Cells, and How Life Began” University of California Press.

    They are a bit dated, but are readable for people without much background study.

    If you have had a good background, First year college; Introduction to Chemistry, Second year; Organic Chemistry and at least one biochem or genetics course see;

    Deamer, David W. 2019 "Assembling Life: How can life begin on Earth and other habitable planets?" Oxford University Press.

    Hazen, RM 2019 "Symphony in C: Carbon and the Evolution of (Almost) Everything" Norton and Co.

    Note: Bob Hazen thinks his 2019 book can be read by non-scientists. I doubt it.

    Nick Lane 2015 "The Vital Question" W. W. Norton & Company

    Nick Lane spent some pages on the differences between Archaea and Bacteria cell boundary chemistry, and mitochondria chemistry. That could hint at a single RNA/DNA life that diverged very early, and then hybridized. Very interesting idea!

    Nick Lane
    2022 "Transformer: The Deep Chemistry of Life and Death" W. W. Norton & Company

    In this book Professor Lane is focused on the chemistry of the Krebs Cycle (and its’ reverse) for the existence of life, and its’ origin. I did need to read a few sections more than once.

    I've appreciated listening to OoL presentations by Nick Lane and also Jack Szostak. I've particularly enjoyed reading "The Origin of Life Circus: A How To Make Life Extravaganza" by Suzan Mazur.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 18 04:22:00 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:15:41 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:10:40 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:15:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer.
    However, from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures
    that break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a
    complex mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many
    of the postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it was
    made. To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside chance
    can lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab organic
    chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after 2011.
    But what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on
    self-organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo a
    phase transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere is
    alive? Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D
    thru Z, or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/2075-
    1729/10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again
    There seem to be two major complaints.

    The first complaint is that OoL scientists keep claiming that much more progress has been made than actually has been. I don't really know what to make of that claim. That sort of triumphalism is more common in popular science summaries than in
    actual research papers. Indeed one can quotemine papers from the same set of OoL scientists to suggest that either they think the problem is essentially insoluble or that they think it has essentially been solved. But when I read the actual research
    papers, they all seem pretty circumspect to me, very willing to admit the large amount of stuff that is unknown and the limitations of the results. Some scientists can certainly toot their own horn more than I'd like - first everybody wanted to have
    created a "paradigm shift" in whatever field they worked in, then everything had "novel" in the title, so much so that the standing joke was to read the title replacing the word "novel" with "yet another." But that's more a criticism of style than
    substance and, mostly, more applicable to science journalism than to the actual technical papers.

    The second complaint is that the research is too focused on "toy domains," very simplified sets of reagents and conditions that ignore all sorts of other compounds that would presumably be present in the natural environment and which might
    significantly change the results. Well, that seems to me a very reasonable way to start. You have an extremely complex problem - a long set of steps that took place over millions of years in unknown environment and that involved complex mixtures of
    reagents. It seems quite rational to think about key steps and look for early-earth-like conditions under which they can be made to occur. Of course there are side products, yields are low, components not present in the experimental design might have
    played an important role; but you have to start somewhere. The people who do those experiments acknowledge the artificiality of the set-ups.

    Still, this is progress. Look at a couple of "catch-22's". (1) The "water problem." Life works in an aqueous environment. But in an aqueous environment, condensation of amino acid monomers into peptides or nucleotides into oligonucleotides is
    energetically unfavorable and is not expected to happen spontaneously. In living things an energetically favorable reaction has to be coupled to the condensation reaction for it to occur. But you can't have all the mechanisms required for that coupling
    in a living cell without nucleic acids and proteins. Catch-22. Except that since the "water problem" was proposed a variety of abiotic conditions have been found that favor polymerization over hydrolysis - wet-dry cycles, adsorbtion to clays,
    microparticles, lipids, bubbles. None of these is obviously what happened 4 billion years ago, but the simple lab experiments show that the water problem is not a fatal catch-22. That's progress. And everybody working on this admits that there still
    remains an enormous amount to explain - what conditions, for example would select for 5'-3' rather than 5'-2' linkages in oligoribonucleotides, how are soluble oligopeptides enriched relative to insoluble "goop."?
    (2) Another catch-22 - the DNA-RNA-protein catch-22. You need enzymes to replicate or transcribe DNA and you need enzymes to translate RNA into protein, you can't make RNA without the enzymes, but you can't make the enzymes without RNA. Sounds pretty
    fatal, too. Until, in "toy domains" people started finding that RNA alone can have enzymatic activity, indeed a variety of enzymatic activities that can be selected for in vitro. That certainly is not remotely proof of the RNA world in all its detail,
    but it shows the catch-22 was not fatal.

    Of course nature, in the form of a volcanic pool or a tide pool or a hydrothermal vent is more complicated than a test tube, but the approach of understanding complicated phenomena by breaking them down into simple steps and making sure you
    understand the simple steps well before you add in complications seems to work pretty well. Still, if Bains has some experimental suggestions for a "fundamentally new approach to studying life and its origins," lots of people would be interested.
    That's a well-expressed and insightful summing up.

    The first complaint of overstated progress, I would agree, would likely be partly attributable to individual horn-tooters and popular science reporters. The second complaint of "toy domains" could be partly justified by the need to start with the study
    of simplified reaction conditions and processes and build from there.

    And as you say, various problems that have been declared catch-22s have since been tackled enough to argue for a downgrade from condition "fatal".

    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide answers,
    and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.

    As expected, I'm firmly at 1. I don't think there's a cover up because (1) I don't think there's anything to cover up and (2) if you read the actual papers, they are all pretty open about the difficulties - so much so that it's possible to quote mine
    them and make it look like they think the problems are essentially insoluble.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Mon Sep 18 04:13:02 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:10:40 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:15:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures that
    break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a
    complex mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many
    of the postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it was
    made. To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside chance
    can lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab organic
    chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after 2011.
    But what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on self-
    organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo a
    phase transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere is
    alive? Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D
    thru Z, or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/2075-
    1729/10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again
    There seem to be two major complaints.

    The first complaint is that OoL scientists keep claiming that much more progress has been made than actually has been. I don't really know what to make of that claim. That sort of triumphalism is more common in popular science summaries than in actual
    research papers. Indeed one can quotemine papers from the same set of OoL scientists to suggest that either they think the problem is essentially insoluble or that they think it has essentially been solved. But when I read the actual research papers,
    they all seem pretty circumspect to me, very willing to admit the large amount of stuff that is unknown and the limitations of the results. Some scientists can certainly toot their own horn more than I'd like - first everybody wanted to have created a "
    paradigm shift" in whatever field they worked in, then everything had "novel" in the title, so much so that the standing joke was to read the title replacing the word "novel" with "yet another." But that's more a criticism of style than substance and,
    mostly, more applicable to science journalism than to the actual technical papers.

    The second complaint is that the research is too focused on "toy domains," very simplified sets of reagents and conditions that ignore all sorts of other compounds that would presumably be present in the natural environment and which might
    significantly change the results. Well, that seems to me a very reasonable way to start. You have an extremely complex problem - a long set of steps that took place over millions of years in unknown environment and that involved complex mixtures of
    reagents. It seems quite rational to think about key steps and look for early-earth-like conditions under which they can be made to occur. Of course there are side products, yields are low, components not present in the experimental design might have
    played an important role; but you have to start somewhere. The people who do those experiments acknowledge the artificiality of the set-ups.

    Still, this is progress. Look at a couple of "catch-22's". (1) The "water problem." Life works in an aqueous environment. But in an aqueous environment, condensation of amino acid monomers into peptides or nucleotides into oligonucleotides is
    energetically unfavorable and is not expected to happen spontaneously. In living things an energetically favorable reaction has to be coupled to the condensation reaction for it to occur. But you can't have all the mechanisms required for that coupling
    in a living cell without nucleic acids and proteins. Catch-22. Except that since the "water problem" was proposed a variety of abiotic conditions have been found that favor polymerization over hydrolysis - wet-dry cycles, adsorbtion to clays,
    microparticles, lipids, bubbles. None of these is obviously what happened 4 billion years ago, but the simple lab experiments show that the water problem is not a fatal catch-22. That's progress. And everybody working on this admits that there still
    remains an enormous amount to explain - what conditions, for example would select for 5'-3' rather than 5'-2' linkages in oligoribonucleotides, how are soluble oligopeptides enriched relative to insoluble "goop."?
    (2) Another catch-22 - the DNA-RNA-protein catch-22. You need enzymes to replicate or transcribe DNA and you need enzymes to translate RNA into protein, you can't make RNA without the enzymes, but you can't make the enzymes without RNA. Sounds pretty
    fatal, too. Until, in "toy domains" people started finding that RNA alone can have enzymatic activity, indeed a variety of enzymatic activities that can be selected for in vitro. That certainly is not remotely proof of the RNA world in all its detail,
    but it shows the catch-22 was not fatal.

    Of course nature, in the form of a volcanic pool or a tide pool or a hydrothermal vent is more complicated than a test tube, but the approach of understanding complicated phenomena by breaking them down into simple steps and making sure you understand
    the simple steps well before you add in complications seems to work pretty well. Still, if Bains has some experimental suggestions for a "fundamentally new approach to studying life and its origins," lots of people would be interested.

    That's a well-expressed and insightful summing up.

    The first complaint of overstated progress, I would agree, would likely be partly attributable to individual horn-tooters and popular science reporters. The second complaint of "toy domains" could be partly justified by the need to start with the study
    of simplified reaction conditions and processes and build from there.

    And as you say, various problems that have been declared catch-22s have since been tackled enough to argue for a downgrade from condition "fatal".

    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide answers,
    and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From =?UTF-8?B?w5bDtiBUaWli?=@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 18 05:39:11 2023
    On Monday, 18 September 2023 at 14:15:41 UTC+3, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:10:40 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:15:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer.
    However, from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures
    that break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a
    complex mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many
    of the postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it was
    made. To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside chance
    can lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab organic
    chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after 2011.
    But what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on
    self-organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo a
    phase transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere is
    alive? Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D
    thru Z, or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/2075-
    1729/10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again
    There seem to be two major complaints.

    The first complaint is that OoL scientists keep claiming that much more progress has been made than actually has been. I don't really know what to make of that claim. That sort of triumphalism is more common in popular science summaries than in
    actual research papers. Indeed one can quotemine papers from the same set of OoL scientists to suggest that either they think the problem is essentially insoluble or that they think it has essentially been solved. But when I read the actual research
    papers, they all seem pretty circumspect to me, very willing to admit the large amount of stuff that is unknown and the limitations of the results. Some scientists can certainly toot their own horn more than I'd like - first everybody wanted to have
    created a "paradigm shift" in whatever field they worked in, then everything had "novel" in the title, so much so that the standing joke was to read the title replacing the word "novel" with "yet another." But that's more a criticism of style than
    substance and, mostly, more applicable to science journalism than to the actual technical papers.

    The second complaint is that the research is too focused on "toy domains," very simplified sets of reagents and conditions that ignore all sorts of other compounds that would presumably be present in the natural environment and which might
    significantly change the results. Well, that seems to me a very reasonable way to start. You have an extremely complex problem - a long set of steps that took place over millions of years in unknown environment and that involved complex mixtures of
    reagents. It seems quite rational to think about key steps and look for early-earth-like conditions under which they can be made to occur. Of course there are side products, yields are low, components not present in the experimental design might have
    played an important role; but you have to start somewhere. The people who do those experiments acknowledge the artificiality of the set-ups.

    Still, this is progress. Look at a couple of "catch-22's". (1) The "water problem." Life works in an aqueous environment. But in an aqueous environment, condensation of amino acid monomers into peptides or nucleotides into oligonucleotides is
    energetically unfavorable and is not expected to happen spontaneously. In living things an energetically favorable reaction has to be coupled to the condensation reaction for it to occur. But you can't have all the mechanisms required for that coupling
    in a living cell without nucleic acids and proteins. Catch-22. Except that since the "water problem" was proposed a variety of abiotic conditions have been found that favor polymerization over hydrolysis - wet-dry cycles, adsorbtion to clays,
    microparticles, lipids, bubbles. None of these is obviously what happened 4 billion years ago, but the simple lab experiments show that the water problem is not a fatal catch-22. That's progress. And everybody working on this admits that there still
    remains an enormous amount to explain - what conditions, for example would select for 5'-3' rather than 5'-2' linkages in oligoribonucleotides, how are soluble oligopeptides enriched relative to insoluble "goop."?
    (2) Another catch-22 - the DNA-RNA-protein catch-22. You need enzymes to replicate or transcribe DNA and you need enzymes to translate RNA into protein, you can't make RNA without the enzymes, but you can't make the enzymes without RNA. Sounds pretty
    fatal, too. Until, in "toy domains" people started finding that RNA alone can have enzymatic activity, indeed a variety of enzymatic activities that can be selected for in vitro. That certainly is not remotely proof of the RNA world in all its detail,
    but it shows the catch-22 was not fatal.

    Of course nature, in the form of a volcanic pool or a tide pool or a hydrothermal vent is more complicated than a test tube, but the approach of understanding complicated phenomena by breaking them down into simple steps and making sure you
    understand the simple steps well before you add in complications seems to work pretty well. Still, if Bains has some experimental suggestions for a "fundamentally new approach to studying life and its origins," lots of people would be interested.
    That's a well-expressed and insightful summing up.

    The first complaint of overstated progress, I would agree, would likely be partly attributable to individual horn-tooters and popular science reporters. The second complaint of "toy domains" could be partly justified by the need to start with the study
    of simplified reaction conditions and processes and build from there.

    And as you say, various problems that have been declared catch-22s have since been tackled enough to argue for a downgrade from condition "fatal".

    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide answers,
    and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.

    I am thinking like 1. Events 4 bya do not matter to vast majority of
    those who have money. Environment back then is not actual,
    processes in it back then are not actual, waiting even millions of
    years for anything feels most ridiculous business idea, nothing
    to talk of billions. Evidence of so long ago is close to zero as is set
    of ideas how to acquire more of it.

    Interesting is that nanotechnologist James Tour has seemingly
    decided to lament about OOL. Rare cares to put any bucks into OOL.
    Meanwhile US government alone invests $2 billions annually into his
    actual expertise area.

    Note that the design theory is however in state of 0.
    0. The accumulation of evidence and explanations of those evidences is
    none and research done is also none.

    Indeed ... why to create life 4 bya and then to leave it to wildly vegetate
    for 3 billions of years? I agree with Ron Okimoto that no creationist
    wants to explain that as whatever explanation is not what neither they
    nor the choir to what they preach want to hear.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Kerr-Mudd, John@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 18 16:29:47 2023
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 04:17:44 -0700 (PDT)
    MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 3:25:40 AM UTC+10, Gary Hurd wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:00:40 AM UTC-7, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer. However,
    from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    My reading recommendations on the origin of life for people without college chemistry, are;

    Hazen, RM 2005 "Gen-e-sis" Washington DC: Joseph Henry Press

    Deamer, David W. 2011 “First Life: Discovering the Connections between Stars, Cells, and How Life Began” University of California Press.

    They are a bit dated, but are readable for people without much background study.

    If you have had a good background, First year college; Introduction to Chemistry, Second year; Organic Chemistry and at least one biochem or genetics course see;

    Deamer, David W. 2019 "Assembling Life: How can life begin on Earth and other habitable planets?" Oxford University Press.

    Hazen, RM 2019 "Symphony in C: Carbon and the Evolution of (Almost) Everything" Norton and Co.

    Note: Bob Hazen thinks his 2019 book can be read by non-scientists. I doubt it.

    Nick Lane 2015 "The Vital Question" W. W. Norton & Company

    Nick Lane spent some pages on the differences between Archaea and Bacteria cell boundary chemistry, and mitochondria chemistry. That could hint at a single RNA/DNA life that diverged very early, and then hybridized. Very interesting idea!

    Nick Lane
    2022 "Transformer: The Deep Chemistry of Life and Death" W. W. Norton & Company

    In this book Professor Lane is focused on the chemistry of the Krebs Cycle (and its’ reverse) for the existence of life, and its’ origin. I did need to read a few sections more than once.

    I've appreciated listening to OoL presentations by Nick Lane and also Jack Szostak. I've particularly enjoyed reading "The Origin of Life Circus: A How To Make Life Extravaganza" by Suzan Mazur.


    I'm sure she an entertaining author, but not above some embellishment:

    https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Altenberg_16_controversy#Susan_Mazur

    --
    Bah, and indeed Humbug.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 18 09:21:47 2023
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide answers,
    and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.

    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not
    noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to
    rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start
    washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with
    their religion.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to Mark Isaak on Mon Sep 18 11:02:02 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40 PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with their religion.

    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry, thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that
    just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered
    way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 18 13:27:38 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:15:41 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:10:40 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:15:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer.
    However, from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures
    that break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline hydrothermal
    vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life, and one
    that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a
    complex mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many
    of the postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it was
    made. To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside chance
    can lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab organic
    chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after 2011.
    But what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on
    self-organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo a
    phase transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere is
    alive? Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D
    thru Z, or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/2075-
    1729/10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again
    There seem to be two major complaints.

    The first complaint is that OoL scientists keep claiming that much more progress has been made than actually has been. I don't really know what to make of that claim. That sort of triumphalism is more common in popular science summaries than in
    actual research papers. Indeed one can quotemine papers from the same set of OoL scientists to suggest that either they think the problem is essentially insoluble or that they think it has essentially been solved. But when I read the actual research
    papers, they all seem pretty circumspect to me, very willing to admit the large amount of stuff that is unknown and the limitations of the results. Some scientists can certainly toot their own horn more than I'd like - first everybody wanted to have
    created a "paradigm shift" in whatever field they worked in, then everything had "novel" in the title, so much so that the standing joke was to read the title replacing the word "novel" with "yet another." But that's more a criticism of style than
    substance and, mostly, more applicable to science journalism than to the actual technical papers.

    The second complaint is that the research is too focused on "toy domains," very simplified sets of reagents and conditions that ignore all sorts of other compounds that would presumably be present in the natural environment and which might
    significantly change the results. Well, that seems to me a very reasonable way to start. You have an extremely complex problem - a long set of steps that took place over millions of years in unknown environment and that involved complex mixtures of
    reagents. It seems quite rational to think about key steps and look for early-earth-like conditions under which they can be made to occur. Of course there are side products, yields are low, components not present in the experimental design might have
    played an important role; but you have to start somewhere. The people who do those experiments acknowledge the artificiality of the set-ups.

    Still, this is progress. Look at a couple of "catch-22's". (1) The "water problem." Life works in an aqueous environment. But in an aqueous environment, condensation of amino acid monomers into peptides or nucleotides into oligonucleotides is
    energetically unfavorable and is not expected to happen spontaneously. In living things an energetically favorable reaction has to be coupled to the condensation reaction for it to occur. But you can't have all the mechanisms required for that coupling
    in a living cell without nucleic acids and proteins. Catch-22. Except that since the "water problem" was proposed a variety of abiotic conditions have been found that favor polymerization over hydrolysis - wet-dry cycles, adsorbtion to clays,
    microparticles, lipids, bubbles. None of these is obviously what happened 4 billion years ago, but the simple lab experiments show that the water problem is not a fatal catch-22. That's progress. And everybody working on this admits that there still
    remains an enormous amount to explain - what conditions, for example would select for 5'-3' rather than 5'-2' linkages in oligoribonucleotides, how are soluble oligopeptides enriched relative to insoluble "goop."?
    (2) Another catch-22 - the DNA-RNA-protein catch-22. You need enzymes to replicate or transcribe DNA and you need enzymes to translate RNA into protein, you can't make RNA without the enzymes, but you can't make the enzymes without RNA. Sounds pretty
    fatal, too. Until, in "toy domains" people started finding that RNA alone can have enzymatic activity, indeed a variety of enzymatic activities that can be selected for in vitro. That certainly is not remotely proof of the RNA world in all its detail,
    but it shows the catch-22 was not fatal.

    Of course nature, in the form of a volcanic pool or a tide pool or a hydrothermal vent is more complicated than a test tube, but the approach of understanding complicated phenomena by breaking them down into simple steps and making sure you
    understand the simple steps well before you add in complications seems to work pretty well. Still, if Bains has some experimental suggestions for a "fundamentally new approach to studying life and its origins," lots of people would be interested.
    That's a well-expressed and insightful summing up.

    The first complaint of overstated progress, I would agree, would likely be partly attributable to individual horn-tooters and popular science reporters. The second complaint of "toy domains" could be partly justified by the need to start with the study
    of simplified reaction conditions and processes and build from there.

    And as you say, various problems that have been declared catch-22s have since been tackled enough to argue for a downgrade from condition "fatal".

    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    I had a couple of other thoughts

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    I think you are hearing a very different "narrative" than I am. I certainly am not hearing the narrative - "hey, we've got this all figured out, there's just a few details to wrap up," which seems to me to be what you perceive to be the narrative. When I
    read the actual papers, it just seems like ordinary workaday science, people making modest progress on a difficult problem, not different in tone from papers in any other field of science. It may be that if I were to spend a lot of time reading blogs
    about ID versus evolution in which OoL is at issue that I'd find some people talking as though OoL were already solved or nearly so, but I don't read that sort of stuff very often and I don't find that tone in the actual research papers. Most people
    working in the field are not motivated by a desire to refute ID, but by a desire to figure out what happened or what might have happened. ID is a going concern for IDers and people who spend a lot of time debating them, but not so much for most working
    scientists.

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide answers,
    and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    You here seem to talk as though experimentally disproven hypotheses were a bad thing and represent a failure in the field. That's not the way I would look at it. Every time a hypothesis is falsified, that result puts additional constraints on models for
    OoL. That's a good thing, not a bad thing. If you could show, for example, that conditions at hydrothermal vents were incompatible with polymerization of RNA, in principle you'd have reduced the number of possible scenarios that need to be worked through.
    Weeding out hypothesis that don't pan out, particularly in a question as complicated as OoL, is just the way science works. And not everything gets falsified. The finding of enzymatic activity in protein-free RNA systems is an important failure to
    falsify the RNA world hypothesis, because if it had proven impossible to demonstrate enzymatic activity in RNAs, the RNA world would have taken a probably fatal hit.

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Mon Sep 18 16:08:39 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 6:30:41 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:15:41 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:10:40 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:15:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer.
    However, from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures
    that break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline
    hydrothermal vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life,
    and one that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a
    complex mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many
    of the postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it
    was made. To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside
    chance can lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab
    organic chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after
    2011. But what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on
    self-organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo a
    phase transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere is
    alive? Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D
    thru Z, or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/2075-
    1729/10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again
    There seem to be two major complaints.

    The first complaint is that OoL scientists keep claiming that much more progress has been made than actually has been. I don't really know what to make of that claim. That sort of triumphalism is more common in popular science summaries than in
    actual research papers. Indeed one can quotemine papers from the same set of OoL scientists to suggest that either they think the problem is essentially insoluble or that they think it has essentially been solved. But when I read the actual research
    papers, they all seem pretty circumspect to me, very willing to admit the large amount of stuff that is unknown and the limitations of the results. Some scientists can certainly toot their own horn more than I'd like - first everybody wanted to have
    created a "paradigm shift" in whatever field they worked in, then everything had "novel" in the title, so much so that the standing joke was to read the title replacing the word "novel" with "yet another." But that's more a criticism of style than
    substance and, mostly, more applicable to science journalism than to the actual technical papers.

    The second complaint is that the research is too focused on "toy domains," very simplified sets of reagents and conditions that ignore all sorts of other compounds that would presumably be present in the natural environment and which might
    significantly change the results. Well, that seems to me a very reasonable way to start. You have an extremely complex problem - a long set of steps that took place over millions of years in unknown environment and that involved complex mixtures of
    reagents. It seems quite rational to think about key steps and look for early-earth-like conditions under which they can be made to occur. Of course there are side products, yields are low, components not present in the experimental design might have
    played an important role; but you have to start somewhere. The people who do those experiments acknowledge the artificiality of the set-ups.

    Still, this is progress. Look at a couple of "catch-22's". (1) The "water problem." Life works in an aqueous environment. But in an aqueous environment, condensation of amino acid monomers into peptides or nucleotides into oligonucleotides is
    energetically unfavorable and is not expected to happen spontaneously. In living things an energetically favorable reaction has to be coupled to the condensation reaction for it to occur. But you can't have all the mechanisms required for that coupling
    in a living cell without nucleic acids and proteins. Catch-22. Except that since the "water problem" was proposed a variety of abiotic conditions have been found that favor polymerization over hydrolysis - wet-dry cycles, adsorbtion to clays,
    microparticles, lipids, bubbles. None of these is obviously what happened 4 billion years ago, but the simple lab experiments show that the water problem is not a fatal catch-22. That's progress. And everybody working on this admits that there still
    remains an enormous amount to explain - what conditions, for example would select for 5'-3' rather than 5'-2' linkages in oligoribonucleotides, how are soluble oligopeptides enriched relative to insoluble "goop."?
    (2) Another catch-22 - the DNA-RNA-protein catch-22. You need enzymes to replicate or transcribe DNA and you need enzymes to translate RNA into protein, you can't make RNA without the enzymes, but you can't make the enzymes without RNA. Sounds
    pretty fatal, too. Until, in "toy domains" people started finding that RNA alone can have enzymatic activity, indeed a variety of enzymatic activities that can be selected for in vitro. That certainly is not remotely proof of the RNA world in all its
    detail, but it shows the catch-22 was not fatal.

    Of course nature, in the form of a volcanic pool or a tide pool or a hydrothermal vent is more complicated than a test tube, but the approach of understanding complicated phenomena by breaking them down into simple steps and making sure you
    understand the simple steps well before you add in complications seems to work pretty well. Still, if Bains has some experimental suggestions for a "fundamentally new approach to studying life and its origins," lots of people would be interested.
    That's a well-expressed and insightful summing up.

    The first complaint of overstated progress, I would agree, would likely be partly attributable to individual horn-tooters and popular science reporters. The second complaint of "toy domains" could be partly justified by the need to start with the
    study of simplified reaction conditions and processes and build from there.

    And as you say, various problems that have been declared catch-22s have since been tackled enough to argue for a downgrade from condition "fatal".

    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:
    I had a couple of other thoughts

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"
    I think you are hearing a very different "narrative" than I am. I certainly am not hearing the narrative - "hey, we've got this all figured out, there's just a few details to wrap up," which seems to me to be what you perceive to be the narrative. When
    I read the actual papers, it just seems like ordinary workaday science, people making modest progress on a difficult problem, not different in tone from papers in any other field of science. It may be that if I were to spend a lot of time reading blogs
    about ID versus evolution in which OoL is at issue that I'd find some people talking as though OoL were already solved or nearly so, but I don't read that sort of stuff very often and I don't find that tone in the actual research papers. Most people
    working in the field are not motivated by a desire to refute ID, but by a desire to figure out what happened or what might have happened. ID is a going concern for IDers and people who spend a lot of time debating them, but not so much for most working
    scientists.

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"
    You here seem to talk as though experimentally disproven hypotheses were a bad thing and represent a failure in the field. That's not the way I would look at it. Every time a hypothesis is falsified, that result puts additional constraints on models
    for OoL. That's a good thing, not a bad thing. If you could show, for example, that conditions at hydrothermal vents were incompatible with polymerization of RNA, in principle you'd have reduced the number of possible scenarios that need to be worked
    through. Weeding out hypothesis that don't pan out, particularly in a question as complicated as OoL, is just the way science works. And not everything gets falsified. The finding of enzymatic activity in protein-free RNA systems is an important failure
    to falsify the RNA world hypothesis, because if it had proven impossible to demonstrate enzymatic activity in RNAs, the RNA world would have taken a probably fatal hit.

    Options 1 and 2, which I've categorised as unremarkable, naturally include experimentally disproven hypotheses; that's how science works. Therefore, I'm confused as to why you would suggest that I "seem to talk as though experimentally disproven
    hypotheses were a bad thing and represent a failure in the field."

    You omitted my essential qualification of experimentally disproven hypotheses, i.e. "has reached a level such that". That "level" is of course subjective and open to debate.


    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Lawyer Daggett on Mon Sep 18 16:16:16 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40 PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way. Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology, as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry, thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines, modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From talk.origins@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 18 17:00:48 2023
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:10:41 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 6:30:41 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:15:41 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 7:10:40 AM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 9:15:39 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 6:00:40 PM UTC+10, MarkE wrote:
    Bill Rogers has been pestering me to read this for some time. I’ve resisted mainly because I don’t believe that the OoL issues we’ve been disputing will be helped by another speculated location/model, in this case supplied by Deamer.
    However, from the free Kindle sample of AL:

    “Conjecture: Life originated in hydrothermal vents and later adapted to freshwater on volcanic and continental land masses. In the absence of alternatives this idea has been accepted as a reasonable proposal.” And Deamer’s alternative
    conjecture: “Life originated in freshwater hydrothermal fields associated with volcanic land masses then later adapted to the salty seawater of the early ocean.”

    One of the more interesting reviews [1] of Deamer’s book opens with, “It is worth reading, it is an advance in the field.”

    [1] Bains, William. Getting Beyond the Toy Domain. Meditations on David Deamer’s “Assembling Life”. Life 2020, https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1729/10/2/18

    Bains again:

    “Deamer’s view might be summarised as “container-enabled chemistry first”. Long chain fatty acids can be made abiotically, and spontaneously assemble into multilayer structures on drying from freshwater hydrothermal fields, structures
    that break up again into vesicles on wetting. Why fresh water hydrothermal systems? Because in seawater divalent cations, especially calcium, prevent fatty acids from forming bilayers, as well as efficiently precipitating phosphate and organophosphate
    compounds (although the role of phosphate in OOL is itself contentious.”

    Bains is sympathetic to Deamer’s approach, however in support of my claim that we don’t need another conjecture, says this:

    “But. Here is the fundamental problem. There is only one actual fact known about the origin of life (OOL). It happened. We do not know where, when, or how. Suggestions on location range over clouds, in ice, black smokers, alkaline
    hydrothermal vents, freshwater volcanic or sedimentary hydrothermal systems, land ponds, coastal ponds, the Moon and Mars…Choose your key properties for life, your preferred path, find a location that matches those, and you have a new scenario for life,
    and one that can match your preferred mechanism better than any other. But it is not an objective choice.”

    Regardless, Bains trumps a generally positive rap with this summary:

    “In my view, almost all the OOL chemistry that I see is Toy Domain chemistry. It is making single types of biochemicals in a controlled laboratory setting using pure chemicals that might, just might, have been present in trace amounts in a
    complex mixture of thousands of other chemicals at OOL, under conditions that might have existed and might have persisted long enough, and then stopping the reaction at exactly the right time to maximize the yield of what you want. It neglects that many
    of the postulated starting materials are themselves unstable. It neglects that they will react with other chemicals present. It neglects that the intermediates will all react with each other, and with the products.”

    That's from an informed and supportive commentator who believes there must be a naturalistic explanation for the origin of life. Where have we heard precisely the same criticism of the state of OoL recently? Yes, from James Tour.

    Perfect.
    More choice cuts from Bains' article:

    "Again, the term ‘Protocell’ is used to mean any liposome-like membrane encapsulating other molecules. In my opinion, a vesicle encapsulating random organic molecules is almost as far from life as the bulk “prebiotic soup” from which it
    was made. To draw “Protocells → Progenote” in a diagram [11] skips over everything about how that transition happens, i.e., how life originates!"
    - This confirms a recent thread where I challenge Deamer's endorsement of Dyson's "garbage bag model".

    "Because, I suggest, OOL is at least 50 years too early. OOL in 2020 is like AI in 1950. It was missing several critical pieces. We are playing with Toy Domains."
    - Maybe OoL does need another 50+ years to develop. Why pretend the current state of the field is anything but?

    "Most researchers, even some working on such chemical schemes, understand that lab chemistry is only a tiny part of the whole problem. But that is not the primary issue. It is a tiny part solved in an unrealistic way. Only by a tiny, outside
    chance can lab reactions of specific reagents, even to give “messy” products, be part of a larger solution. The research does tell us something about chemistry. But it is not something that has much relevance to OOL, because if you carry out lab
    organic chemistry on anything approaching a plausible pre-biotic aqueous organic soup you never get life. You get tar. Even if you do it in vesicles."
    - James Tour couldn't have said it better.

    "And indeed there has been a major advance in the use of the term “major advance” in the OOL literature; 75% of all papers using the phrase “major advance” in the context of origin of life listed in Google Scholar were published after
    2011. But what many such advances are is a new scenario—new location, new suggested set of pure reagents to react, a new chain of specific reactions that have be demonstrated, one at a time, in the lab. They are all new Toy Domains."
    - The term “major advance” called out for the misleading hype that it is. Again, pure Tour.

    "I think we need to go beyond this, and here Deamer is oddly muted. We need new ideas, and not just yet another contrived scenario how this or that reaction could happen on this or that mineral, not even a refocusing on the chemistry of life on
    self-organization rather than individual chemical reactions. We need fundamentally new ways of looking at life and its origin, and we do not have them, not even close."
    - We're shooting fish in a barrel now.

    "What new ideas? I do not know!"
    - Thank you!

    "There is also a lot of excitement about “systems chemistry” and “autocatalytic” systems, catalysed mainly by Stuart Kauffman. Kaufmann postulates that a sufficiently diverse collection of reactive and catalytic molecules would undergo
    a phase transition and become self-propagating, autocatalytic, i.e., life-like. But what does “diverse” mean? Atmospheric photochemical networks have nearly as many components and more reactions than central metabolism. Does this mean the atmosphere
    is alive? Specificity and accuracy need to be included; what biochemicals do not do is at least as important we what they do. But this depends on the chemistry involved. Just saying that A catalyses the reaction of B with C does not say what A does to D
    thru Z, or what D thru Z do to A. Even within the biochemical networks of established life, random chemistry occurs and degrades the components of metabolism (e.g., the reaction of amines with sugars, amino acid side-chains with each other etc.). Any
    sufficiently complex set of reactive and catalytic molecules is, in fact, Benner’s tar. We need something more."
    - Autocatalytic systems? Tar.

    "And we hear every now and again about “New Physics”, a term growing like bindweed from the intellectual rootstock to Schroedinger’s execrable book."
    - A refence to Jeremy England?

    "This is a simplistic model, and as such is justifiably relegated to an appendix. However it illustrates that the issue in OOL research is not just ‘can we make it’ but also ‘can we stop making everything else’." https://www.mdpi.com/
    2075-1729/10/2/18/s1
    - the tar problem again
    There seem to be two major complaints.

    The first complaint is that OoL scientists keep claiming that much more progress has been made than actually has been. I don't really know what to make of that claim. That sort of triumphalism is more common in popular science summaries than in
    actual research papers. Indeed one can quotemine papers from the same set of OoL scientists to suggest that either they think the problem is essentially insoluble or that they think it has essentially been solved. But when I read the actual research
    papers, they all seem pretty circumspect to me, very willing to admit the large amount of stuff that is unknown and the limitations of the results. Some scientists can certainly toot their own horn more than I'd like - first everybody wanted to have
    created a "paradigm shift" in whatever field they worked in, then everything had "novel" in the title, so much so that the standing joke was to read the title replacing the word "novel" with "yet another." But that's more a criticism of style than
    substance and, mostly, more applicable to science journalism than to the actual technical papers.

    The second complaint is that the research is too focused on "toy domains," very simplified sets of reagents and conditions that ignore all sorts of other compounds that would presumably be present in the natural environment and which might
    significantly change the results. Well, that seems to me a very reasonable way to start. You have an extremely complex problem - a long set of steps that took place over millions of years in unknown environment and that involved complex mixtures of
    reagents. It seems quite rational to think about key steps and look for early-earth-like conditions under which they can be made to occur. Of course there are side products, yields are low, components not present in the experimental design might have
    played an important role; but you have to start somewhere. The people who do those experiments acknowledge the artificiality of the set-ups.

    Still, this is progress. Look at a couple of "catch-22's". (1) The "water problem." Life works in an aqueous environment. But in an aqueous environment, condensation of amino acid monomers into peptides or nucleotides into oligonucleotides is
    energetically unfavorable and is not expected to happen spontaneously. In living things an energetically favorable reaction has to be coupled to the condensation reaction for it to occur. But you can't have all the mechanisms required for that coupling
    in a living cell without nucleic acids and proteins. Catch-22. Except that since the "water problem" was proposed a variety of abiotic conditions have been found that favor polymerization over hydrolysis - wet-dry cycles, adsorbtion to clays,
    microparticles, lipids, bubbles. None of these is obviously what happened 4 billion years ago, but the simple lab experiments show that the water problem is not a fatal catch-22. That's progress. And everybody working on this admits that there still
    remains an enormous amount to explain - what conditions, for example would select for 5'-3' rather than 5'-2' linkages in oligoribonucleotides, how are soluble oligopeptides enriched relative to insoluble "goop."?
    (2) Another catch-22 - the DNA-RNA-protein catch-22. You need enzymes to replicate or transcribe DNA and you need enzymes to translate RNA into protein, you can't make RNA without the enzymes, but you can't make the enzymes without RNA. Sounds
    pretty fatal, too. Until, in "toy domains" people started finding that RNA alone can have enzymatic activity, indeed a variety of enzymatic activities that can be selected for in vitro. That certainly is not remotely proof of the RNA world in all its
    detail, but it shows the catch-22 was not fatal.

    Of course nature, in the form of a volcanic pool or a tide pool or a hydrothermal vent is more complicated than a test tube, but the approach of understanding complicated phenomena by breaking them down into simple steps and making sure you
    understand the simple steps well before you add in complications seems to work pretty well. Still, if Bains has some experimental suggestions for a "fundamentally new approach to studying life and its origins," lots of people would be interested.
    That's a well-expressed and insightful summing up.

    The first complaint of overstated progress, I would agree, would likely be partly attributable to individual horn-tooters and popular science reporters. The second complaint of "toy domains" could be partly justified by the need to start with the
    study of simplified reaction conditions and processes and build from there.

    And as you say, various problems that have been declared catch-22s have since been tackled enough to argue for a downgrade from condition "fatal".

    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:
    I had a couple of other thoughts

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"
    I think you are hearing a very different "narrative" than I am. I certainly am not hearing the narrative - "hey, we've got this all figured out, there's just a few details to wrap up," which seems to me to be what you perceive to be the narrative.
    When I read the actual papers, it just seems like ordinary workaday science, people making modest progress on a difficult problem, not different in tone from papers in any other field of science. It may be that if I were to spend a lot of time reading
    blogs about ID versus evolution in which OoL is at issue that I'd find some people talking as though OoL were already solved or nearly so, but I don't read that sort of stuff very often and I don't find that tone in the actual research papers. Most
    people working in the field are not motivated by a desire to refute ID, but by a desire to figure out what happened or what might have happened. ID is a going concern for IDers and people who spend a lot of time debating them, but not so much for most
    working scientists.

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"
    You here seem to talk as though experimentally disproven hypotheses were a bad thing and represent a failure in the field. That's not the way I would look at it. Every time a hypothesis is falsified, that result puts additional constraints on models
    for OoL. That's a good thing, not a bad thing. If you could show, for example, that conditions at hydrothermal vents were incompatible with polymerization of RNA, in principle you'd have reduced the number of possible scenarios that need to be worked
    through. Weeding out hypothesis that don't pan out, particularly in a question as complicated as OoL, is just the way science works. And not everything gets falsified. The finding of enzymatic activity in protein-free RNA systems is an important failure
    to falsify the RNA world hypothesis, because if it had proven impossible to demonstrate enzymatic activity in RNAs, the RNA world would have taken a probably fatal hit.
    Options 1 and 2, which I've categorised as unremarkable, naturally include experimentally disproven hypotheses; that's how science works. Therefore, I'm confused as to why you would suggest that I "seem to talk as though experimentally disproven
    hypotheses were a bad thing and represent a failure in the field."

    You omitted my essential qualification of experimentally disproven hypotheses, i.e. "has reached a level such that". That "level" is of course subjective and open to debate.

    Yes, I did omit that. As I said, you flatter scientists in thinking that if they cannot hit open the correct hypothesis after X amount of time, then no correct hypothesis exists. I have no such confidence in human ingenuity - some problems may have
    solutions which, for any number of reasons, we just cannot find.

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Mon Sep 18 22:19:36 2023
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 16:16:16 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40?PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not
    noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to >> > rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be >> > a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have >> > been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start >> > washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered
    supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology, >> > as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with >> > their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint >> concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad >> aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry, >> thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed
    publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that
    just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the
    significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered >> way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?


    Do you understand that material evidence, on which material science is
    based, can provide evidence only for material causes?


    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to jillery on Mon Sep 18 19:36:39 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:20:41 PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 16:16:16 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote: >> On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40?PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not >> > noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to
    rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be >> > a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have >> > been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start >> > washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does >> > not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in >> > all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered
    supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with
    their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad >> aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed
    publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that >> just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups". >>
    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the
    significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered >> way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?
    Do you understand that material evidence, on which material science is based, can provide evidence only for material causes?

    Do you believe then that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?


    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 18 21:53:58 2023
    On 9/18/23 4:16 PM, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40 PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not
    noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to >>> rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start
    washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered
    supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology, >>> as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with >>> their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint >> concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad
    aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry, >> thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed
    publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that
    just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the
    significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered
    way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?

    To start with, we need a definition of "supernatural." In particular,
    how is "supernatural" recognizably different from "unknown"? How can a
    hundred different people take your answer to that question, apply it to questions regarding abiogenesis (or anything else) and get the same answer?

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Mark Isaak on Mon Sep 18 22:11:45 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 2:55:41 PM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:16 PM, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40 PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote: >>> On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not >>> noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to >>> rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be >>> a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have >>> been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start >>> washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does >>> not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in >>> all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered
    supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology, >>> as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with >>> their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad >> aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed
    publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that >> just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups". >>
    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the
    significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered >> way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?
    To start with, we need a definition of "supernatural." In particular,
    how is "supernatural" recognizably different from "unknown"? How can a hundred different people take your answer to that question, apply it to questions regarding abiogenesis (or anything else) and get the same answer? --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    So then, do you believe that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From talk.origins@21:1/5 to MarkE on Tue Sep 19 01:02:21 2023
    On Tuesday, 19 September 2023 at 08:15:41 UTC+3, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 2:55:41 PM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:16 PM, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40 PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote: >>> On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not >>> noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to
    rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start
    washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can >>> think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does >>> not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in >>> all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way. >>> Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered >>> supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with
    their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad
    aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these >> separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's >> an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed
    publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that
    just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources. >>
    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the
    significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered
    way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?
    To start with, we need a definition of "supernatural." In particular,
    how is "supernatural" recognizably different from "unknown"? How can a hundred different people take your answer to that question, apply it to questions regarding abiogenesis (or anything else) and get the same answer?


    So then, do you believe that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?

    Opposite ... talk.origins is for discussion of whatever explanations of origins.
    But how to? Read yourself. Even question how to differentiate between "unknown" and "supernatural" will be responded by something like that. Asking anything in that direction is perceived as aggression, attack or insult. What is the reason?
    Can it be non-existence of supernatural explanations?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Martin Harran@21:1/5 to All on Tue Sep 19 09:14:45 2023
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 22:11:45 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:


    <snip for focus>


    So then, do you believe that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?


    As a committed Christian, I'm totally open to discussing
    non-naturalistic explanations of origins. Why don't you open the
    discussion by suggesting some non-naturalistic explanations?

    Do note that to make a discussion worthwhile, it needs to be based on
    positive arguments for such explanations rather than attacking things
    you see missing in naturalistic explanations.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Kerr-Mudd, John@21:1/5 to ootiib@hot.ee on Tue Sep 19 09:17:00 2023
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 01:02:21 -0700 (PDT)
    "talk.origins" <ootiib@hot.ee> wrote:

    On Tuesday, 19 September 2023 at 08:15:41 UTC+3, MarkE wrote:

    []
    How about some snipping in this NG?


    So then, do you believe that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?

    Opposite ... talk.origins is for discussion of whatever explanations of origins.
    But how to? Read yourself. Even question how to differentiate between "unknown"
    and "supernatural" will be responded by something like that. Asking anything in
    that direction is perceived as aggression, attack or insult. What is the reason?
    Can it be non-existence of supernatural explanations?

    Pshurely there isn't any other than "some ineffable power beyond our comprehension did it and then ran away". Or maybe it is still mysteriously intervening but we can't ever understand it's motives, the best we can do
    is come up with some complicated rituals to try to placate it.

    --
    Bah, and indeed Humbug.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Tue Sep 19 05:39:08 2023
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 19:36:39 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:20:41?PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 16:16:16 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote: >> >> On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40?PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not >> >> > noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to
    rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start
    washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does >> >> > not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in >> >> > all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way. >> >> > Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered >> >> > supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with
    their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad
    aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed
    publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that >> >> just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources. >> >>
    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups". >> >>
    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the
    significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered
    way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?
    Do you understand that material evidence, on which material science is
    based, can provide evidence only for material causes?

    Do you believe then that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?


    My question above is a sincere effort to get you to be clear what you
    mean by "scientific evidence" and explanations for them. Scientific discussions are limited to naturalistic aka measurable aka material
    causes and effects. This doesn't say there are no supernatural aka non-material causes and effects. This does say things which have no
    material aspects provide no scientific basis to discuss, by
    definition.

    So one can claim to discuss supernatural aka immaterial aka
    unmeasurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss naturalistic aka
    material aka measurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss both
    and by so doing fail to "engage" discussing either. Pick your poison.

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to jillery on Tue Sep 19 05:29:23 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:40:41 PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 19:36:39 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:20:41?PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 16:16:16 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40?PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote: >> >> > On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to
    provide answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not
    noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to
    rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start
    washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can >> >> > think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way. >> >> > Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered >> >> > supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with
    their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad
    aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these >> >> separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's >> >> an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing. >> >>
    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines, >> >> modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about >> >> how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom? >> >> Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed >> >> publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that
    just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources. >> >>
    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the >> >> significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them. >> >> That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered
    way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?
    Do you understand that material evidence, on which material science is
    based, can provide evidence only for material causes?

    Do you believe then that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?
    My question above is a sincere effort to get you to be clear what you
    mean by "scientific evidence" and explanations for them. Scientific discussions are limited to naturalistic aka measurable aka material
    causes and effects. This doesn't say there are no supernatural aka non-material causes and effects. This does say things which have no
    material aspects provide no scientific basis to discuss, by
    definition.

    So one can claim to discuss supernatural aka immaterial aka
    unmeasurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss naturalistic aka material aka measurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss both
    and by so doing fail to "engage" discussing either. Pick your poison.
    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From talk.origins@21:1/5 to MarkE on Tue Sep 19 05:43:56 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:40:41 PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 19:36:39 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:20:41?PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 16:16:16 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40?PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to
    provide answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow, >> >> > esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not
    noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to
    rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start
    washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered
    supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with
    their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad
    aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing. >> >>
    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are >> >> two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One >> >> is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines, >> >> modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations >> >> for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about >> >> how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom? >> >> Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed >> >> publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that
    just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the >> >> significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them. >> >> That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered
    way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this
    discussion proceed?
    Do you understand that material evidence, on which material science is >> based, can provide evidence only for material causes?

    Do you believe then that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?
    My question above is a sincere effort to get you to be clear what you
    mean by "scientific evidence" and explanations for them. Scientific discussions are limited to naturalistic aka measurable aka material
    causes and effects. This doesn't say there are no supernatural aka non-material causes and effects. This does say things which have no material aspects provide no scientific basis to discuss, by
    definition.

    So one can claim to discuss supernatural aka immaterial aka
    unmeasurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss naturalistic aka material aka measurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss both
    and by so doing fail to "engage" discussing either. Pick your poison.
    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge
    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm not sure
    it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Tue Sep 19 07:58:13 2023
    On 9/18/23 10:11 PM, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 2:55:41 PM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:16 PM, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40 PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote: >>>>> On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to provide
    answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow,
    esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not >>>>> noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to >>>>> rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be >>>>> a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have >>>>> been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start >>>>> washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does >>>>> not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in >>>>> all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way. >>>>> Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered >>>>> supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology, >>>>> as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with >>>>> their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad >>>> aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing.

    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are
    two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One
    is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines,
    modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations
    for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about
    how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom?
    Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed
    publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that >>>> just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources. >>>>
    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups". >>>>
    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the
    significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them.
    That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered >>>> way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this discussion
    proceed?
    To start with, we need a definition of "supernatural." In particular,
    how is "supernatural" recognizably different from "unknown"? How can a
    hundred different people take your answer to that question, apply it to
    questions regarding abiogenesis (or anything else) and get the same answer?

    So then, do you believe that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?

    How can we discuss non-naturalistic explanations if nobody knows even
    what a non-naturalistic explanation is?

    Such questions diverge from science into the realms of philosophy and
    theology, but those realms are entirely suitable for talk.origins, too.
    Are you comfortable discussing epistemology and its application to theology?

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bob Casanova@21:1/5 to All on Tue Sep 19 09:08:54 2023
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <brogers31751@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm not sure
    it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    --

    Bob C.

    "The most exciting phrase to hear in science,
    the one that heralds new discoveries, is not
    'Eureka!' but 'That's funny...'"

    - Isaac Asimov

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From talk.origins@21:1/5 to Bob Casanova on Tue Sep 19 09:27:58 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42 PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm not
    sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    Bob C.

    "The most exciting phrase to hear in science,
    the one that heralds new discoveries, is not
    'Eureka!' but 'That's funny...'"

    - Isaac Asimov

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From talk.origins@21:1/5 to MarkE on Tue Sep 19 09:19:24 2023
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 1:30:42 PM UTC+1, MarkE wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 7:40:41 PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 19:36:39 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:20:41?PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Mon, 18 Sep 2023 16:16:16 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 4:05:41?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Monday, September 18, 2023 at 12:25:40?PM UTC-4, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/18/23 4:13 AM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    I wonder if there are broadly speaking these possibilities:

    1. Claimed progress and actual progress in OoL research is about where you'd expect it to be, given the nature and difficulty of the problem, the age of the field, and the resourcing invested.
    - "Nothing to see here"

    2. Progress is lagging, claimed and actual, but as would be expected with a maturing discipline coming to grips with the scope of the challenge and not yet ready to concede the need to dial down the narrative.
    - "No cover-up here"

    3. The field is stalling, but the response is significant downplaying and denial of this, due to lack of awareness, unwillingness to admit, or other motivation.
    - "There's a false narrative or cover-up here"

    4. The accumulation of evidence, in the form of experimentally disproven hypotheses, has reached a level such that a significant proportion of those seeking naturalistic explanations are calling into doubt the capacity of known laws to
    provide answers, and are appealing unknown laws, non-supernatural teleological explanations, a multiverse to overcome all odds, etc.
    - "Science has no satisfactory explanation for the origin of life (with the qualifier 'thus far' indefinitely applied, technically at least)"

    If I could hazard a guess, you would be somewhere between 1 and 2, and closer to 1?

    I'd place myself at 3 (with an acknowledged bias to expect 4 in time), along with James Tour and William Bains.
    I know little specifically about current research going on in
    abiogenesis, but I think we can rule out 3 and 4.

    I can think of three things which might cause a field to stall.
    A: Loss of interest. Rarely if ever applicable to any but narrow, >> >> > esoteric fields, and clearly not applicable here.
    B. Reassignment of personnel or funding resources. Personnel
    reassignments on a large scale happen due to world war, and I have not
    noticed one of those lately. Abiogenesis research is not so expensive to
    rely on one, or even very few, sources of funding, so that would not be
    a reason.
    C. Dominance of the field by a single misguided paradigm. This may have
    been common in the past (I'm thinking of reluctance of doctors to start
    washing their hands, for example), but the last such instance I can
    think of was Freudian psychoanalaysis. Abiogenesis most certainly does
    not suffer this problem.

    As for your possibility #4, note that it has never before happened in
    all of history, and in fact the pattern goes strongly the other way.
    Natural explanations are found for things that used to be considered
    supernatural. This trend is not merely in science, but also in theology,
    as religious leaders come to see natural explanations as compatible with
    their religion.
    I'm struggling with the enumerated list. It mixes and matches from disjoint
    concepts without a logical flow.

    A. There is a question involving the state of scientific knowledge associated
    with Origins of Life on Earth by natural means. This of course has myriad
    aspects to it. They range from the state of knowledge of organic chemistry,
    thermodynamics, information theory, and chemical catalysis. And these
    separate disciplines become entwined in applied science. Then there's
    an overlayer of modeling which mixes adopting the best of various
    current understandings and the practicality of experimental testing. >> >>
    B. Dependent upon an appreciation of aspects of A. above, there are >> >> two more aspects invoked in the proposed scale of 1 through 4. One >> >> is a judgement of the rate of "progress" in the various disciplines, >> >> modeling, and experimentation. Two is an assessment of expectations >> >> for what progress should be being made.

    C. The 1-4 "scale also introduces some ill-defined perceptions about >> >> how the whole field is perceived. Perceived by what metric? By whom? >> >> Some branch of popular press or science journalism? By peer reviewed >> >> publications? By organizations with agendas? It's the sort of thing that
    just begs for confirmation bias in how one selects and weighs sources.

    D. And then there's a conspiracy over-layer folded in about "cover-ups".

    Part A has the greatest prospect of objectivity. Part B has a fairly objective
    historical aspect, except there's a great deal of confusion over the >> >> significance of underlying models for OoL and how to interpret them. >> >> That makes it hard to be clear about progress.

    Parts C and D are huge cans of worms. Folding them in, in this unfettered
    way makes me think "run away, run away!"

    Don't run away.

    Life originated either by known or unknown natural means, or by supernatural agency. The name of this forum sets an agenda of discussing this and related questions. What then might be the terms of engagement?

    Is there a place for meaningful dialogue between those who take various and opposing views on this based on different interpretations of scientific evidence, and possibly other evidence or reasoning? If so, in broad terms how might this
    discussion proceed?
    Do you understand that material evidence, on which material science is >> based, can provide evidence only for material causes?

    Do you believe then that talk.origins is only for discussion of naturalistic explanations of origins? Or how would you express suitable terms of engagement here?
    My question above is a sincere effort to get you to be clear what you
    mean by "scientific evidence" and explanations for them. Scientific discussions are limited to naturalistic aka measurable aka material
    causes and effects. This doesn't say there are no supernatural aka non-material causes and effects. This does say things which have no material aspects provide no scientific basis to discuss, by
    definition.

    So one can claim to discuss supernatural aka immaterial aka
    unmeasurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss naturalistic aka material aka measurable causes and effects, or claim to discuss both
    and by so doing fail to "engage" discussing either. Pick your poison.
    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge
    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    Somewhere between 1 and 2, where 3, provided someone really developed a "hypothesis" could be part of 2, as another naturalistic explanation.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bob Casanova@21:1/5 to All on Tue Sep 19 18:44:44 2023
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <brogers31751@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm not
    sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.

    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --

    Bob C.

    "The most exciting phrase to hear in science,
    the one that heralds new discoveries, is not
    'Eureka!' but 'That's funny...'"

    - Isaac Asimov

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Bob Casanova on Wed Sep 20 16:15:59 2023
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm not
    sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.

    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?


    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --
    Bob C.

    "The most exciting phrase to hear in science,
    the one that heralds new discoveries, is not
    'Eureka!' but 'That's funny...'"

    - Isaac Asimov

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to MarkE on Wed Sep 20 20:30:15 2023
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote: >> On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm
    not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?

    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly
    meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Bob Casanova@21:1/5 to All on Wed Sep 20 23:02:25 2023
    On Wed, 20 Sep 2023 16:15:59 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by MarkE
    <me22over7@gmail.com>:

    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42?AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm
    not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.

    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?

    So the "facts" you post should not be taken literally, but
    only as unsupported conjecture? Good to know; thanks.

    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.
    --

    Bob C.

    "The most exciting phrase to hear in science,
    the one that heralds new discoveries, is not
    'Eureka!' but 'That's funny...'"

    - Isaac Asimov

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Lawyer Daggett on Wed Sep 20 23:09:47 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'm
    not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?

    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter

    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From =?UTF-8?B?w5bDtiBUaWli?=@21:1/5 to MarkE on Thu Sep 21 02:00:06 2023
    On Thursday, 21 September 2023 at 09:10:43 UTC+3, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter

    Why to wait for 500 years and to expect extremely unlikely event that
    large majority of scientists agree that all available hypotheses are inadequate?

    Suppose we find out that all ways of abiogenesis we can imagine of carbon
    based life were certainly blocked by something on all 197 millions of square miles of earth. Then the problem can be with our imagination and there
    still are endless possibilities of panspermia, accidental contamination and intelligent design by anyone.

    All events leave some evidence. When we find nothing then we don't know.
    Trying to gain knowledge from ignorance keeps being as wrong after 500
    years as it is now.

    Also you can have that God hypothesis right now. God is supposed to
    be capable of communicating whenever He feels like. Can keep trying
    to ask nicely today, no need to wait 500 years. But without evidence there
    are no science to do or to teach to kids.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Martin Harran@21:1/5 to All on Thu Sep 21 12:04:00 2023
    On Wed, 20 Sep 2023 23:09:47 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    [...]


    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**

    Back in July 2022, I posted a detailed review of Stephen Meyer's book
    "'Return of the God Hypothesis: Three Scientific Discoveries That
    Reveal the Mind Behind the Universe'".

    If you want to read the whole review, you can find it here:

    1a3tdhte2stpr46o3pdid5n690mv8940d1@4ax.com
    Or
    https://groups.google.com/g/talk.origins/c/z8Yq7lvkAfU/m/um8mt8MDAgAJ


    It is a bit long so I'll quote one part of it that I think is relevant
    here:

    =============================

    As mentioned earlier, Meyer at least gets away from the undefined,
    'choose what you want' type of designer and comes out in favour of
    God. This, however, creates an even bigger problem for me. On page
    269, he defines theism, saying that it "affirms a personal,
    intelligent, transcendent God." [3]

    I have no issue with that definition as it is exactly the sort of God
    that I believe in. Where I have a problem with Meyer's ideas is with
    the word 'personal' which to me, in terms of theism, implies a God
    with whom I can have an interactive relationship. Nowhere in his book
    does Meyer explain the jump from a God fiddling about with the factors
    in the anthropic principle or tweaking DNA to a God with whom we can individually and collectively interact or a God that we can join with
    in the afterlife."

    ===========================

    Would you care to comment on that issue?

    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter


    [...]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Thu Sep 21 03:39:43 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote: >> >
    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'
    m not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes, this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people to look
    for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not available
    yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up and go
    work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to propose it,
    because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out, experimentally supported
    naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Thu Sep 21 04:37:36 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 9:05:44 PM UTC+10, Martin Harran wrote:
    On Wed, 20 Sep 2023 23:09:47 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    [...]

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    Back in July 2022, I posted a detailed review of Stephen Meyer's book "'Return of the God Hypothesis: Three Scientific Discoveries That
    Reveal the Mind Behind the Universe'".

    If you want to read the whole review, you can find it here:

    1a3tdhte2stpr46o3...@4ax.com
    Or
    https://groups.google.com/g/talk.origins/c/z8Yq7lvkAfU/m/um8mt8MDAgAJ


    It is a bit long so I'll quote one part of it that I think is relevant
    here:

    =============================

    As mentioned earlier, Meyer at least gets away from the undefined,
    'choose what you want' type of designer and comes out in favour of
    God. This, however, creates an even bigger problem for me. On page
    269, he defines theism, saying that it "affirms a personal,
    intelligent, transcendent God." [3]

    I have no issue with that definition as it is exactly the sort of God
    that I believe in. Where I have a problem with Meyer's ideas is with
    the word 'personal' which to me, in terms of theism, implies a God
    with whom I can have an interactive relationship. Nowhere in his book
    does Meyer explain the jump from a God fiddling about with the factors
    in the anthropic principle or tweaking DNA to a God with whom we can individually and collectively interact or a God that we can join with
    in the afterlife."

    ===========================

    Would you care to comment on that issue?

    I read this after responding to your post in another thread, so have look there also: https://groups.google.com/g/talk.origins/c/JKnUO3rwKo4/m/NlPP2oIPCAAJ

    I will have a read of your review of Meyer's book too (I have read the book).

    You comment that "Nowhere in his book does Meyer explain the jump from a God fiddling about with the factors in the anthropic principle or tweaking DNA to a God with whom we can individually and collectively interact or a God that we can join with in the
    afterlife." I don't think Meyer is being evasive or missing an opportunity, but rather it sits outside of science, in the province of special revelation.

    "Special Revelation is a contrast to General Revelation, which refers to the knowledge of God and spiritual matters which reputedly can be discovered through natural means, such as observation of nature, philosophy and reasoning, conscience or providence.
    " https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_revelation#:~:text=Special%20Revelation%20is%20a%20contrast,and%20reasoning%2C%20conscience%20or%20providence.

    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter

    [...]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Thu Sep 21 05:01:31 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote: >> >
    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so
    I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes, this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people to
    look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up and go
    work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to propose it,
    because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out, experimentally supported
    naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.

    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?

    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy


    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to MarkE on Thu Sep 21 05:14:11 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote: >> >
    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years, so I'
    m not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes, this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?

    .
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life,
    all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have
    been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus
    a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter

    After 500 years, I say we convince the assigned graduate
    student to accept an "honorary" Masters degree and get
    on with his life.

    More seriously, the question is ill posed. The choice of
    500 years, or 50, or 5000 is so arbitrary. Yet, if we exhaust
    our ideas, and new ideas stop arising from other areas
    of study, well I find that hard to imagine unless we suddenly
    evolve to be less imaginative.

    I do think it's possible that in the future science could rule
    out most of our current general schemes for a spontaneous
    origin of life as highly implausible. Today, we're more
    in the "unknown" phase.

    As a metabolism first fan, I'd guess the place to look with
    the most promise is geochemistry. We do see that thermal
    vents can provide synthetic engines. That means sources
    of raw materials that are sufficiently reactive. I don't
    think we know enough to put bounds on how diverse
    and multiplexed sets of geothermal chemical systems
    can get.

    I'd guess OoL would require some aspects of slow cooking
    to happen in isolated and protected environments
    (subterranean) and then mixing of a few flavors of these
    into an environment with a good source of redox and
    thermocycling. Thus, black smokers provide a clue but not
    a solution.

    Of course too many misunderstand how science moves.
    Consider the Miller-Urey experiment. It wasn't designed
    to produce life. Yet some will retort that it was a failed
    attempt to create life. Or some will retort that it didn't
    make DNA or protein, or other misconceptions. In that
    vein, anyone who expects or challenges science to
    build new life in the lab from primordial chemicals has
    delusional expectations having nothing to do with the odds
    of such having occurred spontaneously on Earth.
    .

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Thu Sep 21 05:14:44 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years,
    so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes, this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people to
    look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up and
    go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to propose
    it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out, experimentally
    supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?

    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God, and 5 century
    long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look at it in
    reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief. Pascal'
    s Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.

    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Thu Sep 21 09:26:48 2023
    On Wed, 20 Sep 2023 23:09:47 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:


    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter


    1. This possibility exist for all questions. OoL isn't distinguished
    by it.

    2. Why not keep looking? That's a necessary requirement for learning.

    3. Why consider the God-hypothesis at all? How does Goddidit explain
    anything?

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Thu Sep 21 09:45:21 2023
    On 9/20/23 11:09 PM, MarkE wrote:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    I asked once before, and I ask again: What is the difference between a supernatural explanation ("God-hypothesis" included) and "explanation
    unknown"?

    I won't say you own me an answer, but you very much owe yourself one.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Kerr-Mudd, John@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Thu Sep 21 18:15:28 2023
    On Thu, 21 Sep 2023 05:14:44 -0700 (PDT)
    "broger...@gmail.com" <brogers31751@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:

    [A lot of snippage]

    ['option' 3 - God created life (presumably 4 billion years back, not
    7 days ago)]

    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?

    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God, and 5
    century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look at it in
    reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief. Pascal'
    s Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.


    Superbly put.

    --
    Bah, and indeed Humbug.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ron Dean@21:1/5 to jillery on Thu Sep 21 14:07:31 2023
    jillery wrote:
    On Wed, 20 Sep 2023 23:09:47 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:


    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter


    1. This possibility exist for all questions. OoL isn't distinguished
    by it.

    2. Why not keep looking? That's a necessary requirement for learning.

    3. Why consider the God-hypothesis at all? How does Goddidit explain anything?

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    As I pointed out earlier, I was forced into early retirement because of a
    heart attack, & kidney failure, but I was offered my job back as a
    contractor
    w/no benefits, but w/a bit more income. So, I'm employed now. You've
    been a good supporter through these trying times. It meant a lot to me!
    Thank you;
    Ron Dean

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Burkhard on Thu Sep 21 12:50:28 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 3:45:44 PM UTC-4, Burkhard wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:05:44 PM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years,
    so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research >> into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained >> research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people to
    look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up
    and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to
    propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    No, I don't think so. For several reasons - one being that of course theologians/priests/adherents
    of the various religions have failed for much longer than just your 500 years to reach a consensus,
    each considering the other's hypothesis as inadequate. Now, you might be able to make a special
    pleading that the God hypothesis should not be evaluated using the same criteria that led you/the
    scientists in 2523 to abandon naturalistic explanations, but you can't do this if you want to make a
    Pascal type argument - backing the wrong deity could be much worse than not backing any deity
    at all, some of them are very much attuned to Exodus 20:5

    As Homer Simpson said, "But Marge, Marge, what if we are worshiping the wrong God? Then every time we go to church he just gets madder and madder."

    Who needs Wallace Stevens, that sounds like a good reason to stay home on Sunday morning.

    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large >> majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a >> claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that >> with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my >> breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Burkhard@21:1/5 to MarkE on Thu Sep 21 12:44:45 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:05:44 PM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years,
    so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes, this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people to
    look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up and
    go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to propose
    it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out, experimentally
    supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?

    No, I don't think so. For several reasons - one being that of course theologians/priests/adherents
    of the various religions have failed for much longer than just your 500 years to reach a consensus,
    each considering the other's hypothesis as inadequate. Now, you might be able to make a special
    pleading that the God hypothesis should not be evaluated using the same criteria that led you/the
    scientists in 2523 to abandon naturalistic explanations, but you can't do this if you want to make a
    Pascal type argument - backing the wrong deity could be much worse than not backing any deity
    at all, some of them are very much attuned to Exodus 20:5




    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with
    claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Mark Isaak on Thu Sep 21 21:44:14 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 2:45:43 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/20/23 11:09 PM, MarkE wrote:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    I asked once before, and I ask again: What is the difference between a supernatural explanation ("God-hypothesis" included) and "explanation unknown"?

    I won't say you own me an answer, but you very much owe yourself one.

    A supernatural explanation potentially has major personal ramifications.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Burkhard on Thu Sep 21 21:17:21 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 5:45:44 AM UTC+10, Burkhard wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:05:44 PM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years,
    so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research >> into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained >> research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people to
    look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up
    and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to
    propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    No, I don't think so. For several reasons - one being that of course theologians/priests/adherents
    of the various religions have failed for much longer than just your 500 years to reach a consensus,
    each considering the other's hypothesis as inadequate. Now, you might be able to make a special
    pleading that the God hypothesis should not be evaluated using the same criteria that led you/the
    scientists in 2523 to abandon naturalistic explanations, but you can't do this if you want to make a
    Pascal type argument - backing the wrong deity could be much worse than not backing any deity
    at all, some of them are very much attuned to Exodus 20:5

    My hypothetical presents you with evidence of the possibility that life, including your life, was created by a transcendent intelligent agent. The weighting you give to this evidence is personal and subjective, and it is only evidence of a possibility.

    Nevertheless, isn't it reasonable to seek to investigate this further? Notwithstanding the possibility that there is no such agent, or that the agent is unknowable, or that the various religions claiming knowledge of the agent are difficult to assess or
    all wrong, etc.

    As per the wager, potentially your eternal future is on the line -- not worth a bit of a look around?

    Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance.


    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large >> majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a >> claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that >> with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my >> breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Thu Sep 21 21:19:12 2023
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500 years,
    so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research >> into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained >> research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people to
    look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up
    and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to
    propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God, and 5
    century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look at it in
    reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief. Pascal'
    s Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.

    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.


    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large >> majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a >> claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that >> with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my >> breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Burkhard@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 02:20:14 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:45:44 AM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 2:45:43 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/20/23 11:09 PM, MarkE wrote:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    I asked once before, and I ask again: What is the difference between a supernatural explanation ("God-hypothesis" included) and "explanation unknown"?

    I won't say you own me an answer, but you very much owe yourself one.
    A supernatural explanation potentially has major personal ramifications.
    --

    can't see why. Here two models with supernatural explanation:
    - a supernatural designer created life, then died
    - a supernatural designer created life, then moved on to other things/universes - a supernatural designer created life, but only as a cruel joke
    - a supernatural designer created life as a form of biological weapon to be used
    against other deities
    - a supernatural designer created life, but hoped it would stay on a very primitive level
    and would have hated the idea of that life developing the ability to
    reason about its origin

    lots of other possibilities as well. The mere existence of a supernatural designer
    is consistent with lots and lots of theories that have no personal remifications
    whatsoever

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Burkhard@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 02:16:37 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:20:45 AM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 5:45:44 AM UTC+10, Burkhard wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:05:44 PM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500
    years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research >> into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people
    to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up
    and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to
    propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    No, I don't think so. For several reasons - one being that of course theologians/priests/adherents
    of the various religions have failed for much longer than just your 500 years to reach a consensus,
    each considering the other's hypothesis as inadequate. Now, you might be able to make a special
    pleading that the God hypothesis should not be evaluated using the same criteria that led you/the
    scientists in 2523 to abandon naturalistic explanations, but you can't do this if you want to make a
    Pascal type argument - backing the wrong deity could be much worse than not backing any deity
    at all, some of them are very much attuned to Exodus 20:5
    My hypothetical presents you with evidence of the possibility that life, including your life, was created by a transcendent intelligent agent. The weighting you give to this evidence is personal and subjective, and it is only evidence of a possibility.

    Nevertheless, isn't it reasonable to seek to investigate this further?

    Depends how you understand "transcendental". I'd say that any "investigation", if successful, will
    inevitably will reduce what looked transcendental at the beginning to something mundane and natural.
    Just as Newtonian gravity and its "action at a distance" looked to many of his contemporaries as
    mystical and bad metaphysics, while for us it's a pretty mundane thing.

    Why this change? because it turned out that it allowed to quantify, and through that control, the world.
    And that's what science always does One of the founding father's or modern science, the
    devout Anglican Francis Bacon, saw this very clearly - The approach of the scientists to their domain is
    one of domination and control: a good experimental design forces nature to
    give clear, binary answers. In Bacon's word, "to tweak the lion's tail".

    So if you read investigation as scientific investigation, you are proposing to tweak God's tail", which
    I'd consider a bad idea. If you want to maintain the integrity of the "transcendental" on the other hand,
    I don't know what "investigation" could even mean.


    Notwithstanding the possibility that there is no such agent, or that the agent is unknowable, or that the various religions claiming knowledge of the >agent are difficult to assess or all wrong, etc.

    Or all true, or some true and some false. And how do you adjudicate this, if you always only have your personal and subjective probabilities to fall back to?


    As per the wager, potentially your eternal future is on the line -- not worth a bit of a look around?

    As above, your future cold also be on the line if the deity in question does not like you
    looking around - or dislikes people who only look around due to such a facetious
    argument as Pascal's wager.

    And nothing normative follows from the mere existence of a designer. All and any
    normative consequences for behaviour would have to come from additional
    sources anyway


    Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance.

    I'd say that's however pretty inevitably a consequence of this approach.


    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large >> majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a >> claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an >> assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that >> with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my >> breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 03:13:11 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500
    years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research >> into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for people
    to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that's not
    available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give up
    and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to
    propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God, and 5
    century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look at it in
    reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief. Pascal'
    s Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.

    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be able to hide a
    set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the point. And as
    for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various forms of
    Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior". The one
    has absolutely nothing to do with the other.

    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large >> majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a >> claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an >> assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that >> with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my >> breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with claims and quotes, something which seems to be
    characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Burkhard on Fri Sep 22 04:23:33 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:20:44 PM UTC+10, Burkhard wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:45:44 AM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 2:45:43 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/20/23 11:09 PM, MarkE wrote:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    I asked once before, and I ask again: What is the difference between a supernatural explanation ("God-hypothesis" included) and "explanation unknown"?

    I won't say you own me an answer, but you very much owe yourself one.
    A supernatural explanation potentially has major personal ramifications. --
    can't see why. Here two models with supernatural explanation:
    - a supernatural designer created life, then died
    - a supernatural designer created life, then moved on to other things/universes
    - a supernatural designer created life, but only as a cruel joke
    - a supernatural designer created life as a form of biological weapon to be used
    against other deities
    - a supernatural designer created life, but hoped it would stay on a very primitive level
    and would have hated the idea of that life developing the ability to
    reason about its origin

    lots of other possibilities as well. The mere existence of a supernatural designer
    is consistent with lots and lots of theories that have no personal remifications
    whatsoever

    Yep, which is why I used the qualifier "potentially".

    Nevertheless, as per the wager, potentially your eternal future is on the line -- not worth a bit of a look around?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Fri Sep 22 04:24:27 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following >> appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you
    say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500
    years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games? How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for
    people to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that'
    s not available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give
    up and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to
    propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God, and 5
    century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look at it
    in reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief.
    Pascal's Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.
    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be able to hide a
    set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the point. And as
    for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various forms of
    Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior". The one
    has absolutely nothing to do with the other.

    "Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance."


    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the
    assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with claims and quotes, something which seems to be characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 04:41:05 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:25:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following >> appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would you
    say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after 500
    years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly
    meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games? How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for
    people to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that'
    s not available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd give
    up and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say to
    propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God, and 5
    century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look at
    it in reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief.
    Pascal's Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.
    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be able to hide
    a set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the point. And as
    for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various forms of
    Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior". The one
    has absolutely nothing to do with the other.
    "Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance."

    Of course it cannot lead to belief - I cannot change what I believe because it's in my self interest according to Pascal or because you give me a nudge and wink and tell me that "my eternal future is on the line."

    But that's the point of Pascal's Wager, right, afterlife insurance? Sometimes I don't get what you actually find attractive about Christianity. You want to argue for it based on the incompleteness of OoL research or in something as mercenary as Pascal's
    Wager. None of that is going to inspire anyone. Seriously. People get inspired by Jesus' message or his personality or direct experiences of community with believers, and that inspiration does not depend on betting that OoL research will stall out or on
    game theory or on veiled hints about the afterlife.

    * In broad terms, and not restricting choices to a dichotomy

    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    .
    2) In the absence of comprehensive data, I reject the >> assertion that anything even close to consensus of "a large
    majority [of] scientists in the field"exists. It's simply a
    claim like "4 out of 5 doctors recommend Lucky Strike"; an
    assertion without evidence. Of course, Mark can refute that
    with a reference to the objective data, but I won't hold my
    breath waiting.

    Likewise, part of the hypothetical, I think.

    If so, it indicates a tendency to play fast and loose with claims and quotes, something which seems to be characteristic of a certain type of zealot.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Lawyer Daggett on Fri Sep 22 05:27:07 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:45:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:25:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" >> <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would
    you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after
    500 years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly
    meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for
    people to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that'
    s not available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd
    give up and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say
    to propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God,
    and 5 century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look
    at it in reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief.
    Pascal's Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.
    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be able to
    hide a set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the point.
    And as for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various forms
    of Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior". The
    one has absolutely nothing to do with the other.
    "Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance."
    Of course it cannot lead to belief - I cannot change what I believe because it's in my self interest according to Pascal or because you give me a nudge and wink and tell me that "my eternal future is on the line."

    But that's the point of Pascal's Wager, right, afterlife insurance? Sometimes I don't get what you actually find attractive about Christianity. You want to argue for it based on the incompleteness of OoL research or in something as mercenary as
    Pascal's Wager. None of that is going to inspire anyone. Seriously. People get inspired by Jesus' message or his personality or direct experiences of community with believers, and that inspiration does not depend on betting that OoL research will stall
    out or on game theory or on veiled hints about the afterlife.
    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose
    to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be
    like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the
    extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.

    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to All on Fri Sep 22 13:34:58 2023
    T24gMjIvMDkvMjAyMyAxMzoyNywgYnJvZ2VyLi4uQGdtYWlsLmNvbSB3cm90ZToNCj4gT24g RnJpZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMjIsIDIwMjMgYXQgODoxNTo0NeKAr0FNIFVUQy00LCBMYXd5 ZXIgRGFnZ2V0dCB3cm90ZToNCj4+IE9uIEZyaWRheSwgU2VwdGVtYmVyIDIyLCAyMDIzIGF0 IDc6NDU6NDXigK9BTSBVVEMtNCwgYnJvZ2VyLi4uQGdtYWlsLmNvbSB3cm90ZToNCj4+PiBP biBGcmlkYXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAyMiwgMjAyMyBhdCA3OjI1OjQ14oCvQU0gVVRDLTQsIE1h cmtFIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+PiBPbiBGcmlkYXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAyMiwgMjAyMyBhdCA4OjE1 OjQ14oCvUE0gVVRDKzEwLCBicm9nZXIuLi5AZ21haWwuY29tIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+Pj4gT24g RnJpZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMjIsIDIwMjMgYXQgMTI6MjA6NDXigK9BTSBVVEMtNCwgTWFy a0Ugd3JvdGU6DQo+Pj4+Pj4gT24gVGh1cnNkYXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAyMSwgMjAyMyBhdCAx MDoxNTo0NOKAr1BNIFVUQysxMCwgYnJvZ2VyLi4uQGdtYWlsLmNvbSB3cm90ZToNCj4+Pj4+ Pj4gT24gVGh1cnNkYXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAyMSwgMjAyMyBhdCA4OjA1OjQ04oCvQU0gVVRD LTQsIE1hcmtFIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24gVGh1cnNkYXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAyMSwg MjAyMyBhdCA4OjQwOjQz4oCvUE0gVVRDKzEwLCBicm9nZXIuLi5AZ21haWwuY29tIHdyb3Rl Og0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+IE9uIFRodXJzZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMjEsIDIwMjMgYXQgMjoxMDo0 M+KAr0FNIFVUQy00LCBNYXJrRSB3cm90ZToNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24gVGh1cnNkYXksIFNl cHRlbWJlciAyMSwgMjAyMyBhdCAxOjMwOjQz4oCvUE0gVVRDKzEwLCBMYXd5ZXIgRGFnZ2V0 dCB3cm90ZToNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IE9uIFdlZG5lc2RheSwgU2VwdGVtYmVyIDIwLCAyMDIz IGF0IDc6MjA6NDPigK9QTSBVVEMtNCwgTWFya0Ugd3JvdGU6DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24g V2VkbmVzZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMjAsIDIwMjMgYXQgMTE6NDU6NDLigK9BTSBVVEMrMTAs IEJvYiBDYXNhbm92YSB3cm90ZToNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24gVHVlLCAxOSBTZXAgMjAy MyAwOToyNzo1OCAtMDcwMCAoUERUKSwgdGhlIGZvbGxvd2luZw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBh cHBlYXJlZCBpbiB0YWxrLm9yaWdpbnMsIHBvc3RlZCBieSAidGFsay5vcmlnaW5zIg0KPj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiA8YnJvZ2VyLi4uQGdtYWlsLmNvbT46DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBPbiBU dWVzZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMTksIDIwMjMgYXQgMTI6MTA6NDI/UE0gVVRDLTQsIEJvYiBD YXNhbm92YSB3cm90ZToNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBPbiBUdWUsIDE5IFNlcCAyMDIzIDA1 OjQzOjU2IC0wNzAwIChQRFQpLCB0aGUgZm9sbG93aW5nDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gYXBw ZWFyZWQgaW4gdGFsay5vcmlnaW5zLCBwb3N0ZWQgYnkgInRhbGsub3JpZ2lucyINCj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiA8YnJvZ2VyLi4uQGdtYWlsLmNvbT46DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24gVHVlc2RheSwgU2VwdGVtYmVyIDE5LCAyMDIzIGF0IDg6MzA6 NDI/QU0gVVRDLTQsIE1hcmtFIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+IDxzbmlwPg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gQWZ0 ZXIgNTAwIHllYXJzIG9uIHN1c3RhaW5lZCByZXNlYXJjaCBpbnRvIG9yaWdpbiBvZiBsaWZl LCBhbGwgYXZhaWxhYmxlIG5hdHVyYWxpc3RpYyBhdmVudWVzIGFuZCBoeXBvdGhlc2VzIGhh dmUgYmVlbiBkZW1vbnN0cmF0ZWQgdG8gYmUgaW5hZGVxdWF0ZSwgYW5kIHRoaXMgaXMgdGhl IGNvbnNlbnN1cyBhIGxhcmdlIG1ham9yaXR5IHNjaWVudGlzdHMgaW4gdGhlIGZpZWxkLiBX b3VsZCB5b3Ugc2F5Og0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IDEu IFdlIG1heSBuZXZlciB3b3JrIHRoaXMgb3V0DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAyLiBLZWVw IGxvb2tpbmcNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IDMuIExldCdzIGNvbnNpZGVyIHRoZSBHb2Qt aHlwb3RoZXNpcw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gNC4gT3RoZXIgKHBsZWFzZSBlbGFib3Jh dGUpDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gWW91IG1heSBjaG9v c2UgbW9yZSB0aGFuIG9uZSBvcHRpb24uDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+ICJBbGwgYXZhaWxhYmxlIGh5cG90aGVzZXMiIGp1c3QgbWVhbnMgImFsbCB0aGUg b25lcyBhbnlvbmUgaGFzIHRob3VnaHQgb2YgeWV0LCIgcmlnaHQ/DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEknbSBzdXJlIHlvdSBjYW4gZ3Vlc3MgdGhhdCBteSBj aG9pY2VzIHdvdWxkIGJlIDEgYW5kIDIsIHdpdGggbWF5YmUgYSBsaXR0bGUgbW9yZSBpbmNs aW5hdGlvbiB0byAxLCBzdGlsbCBsZWF2aW5nIG9wZW4gdGhlIHBvc3NpYmlsaXR5IHRoYXQg c29tZW9uZSBtYXkgY29tZSB1cCB3aXRoIGFuIGlkZWEgdGhhdCBub2JvZHkgdGhvdWdodCBv ZiB5ZXQuIEJ1dCBJIHdvbid0IGJlIGhlcmUgYWZ0ZXIgNTAwIHllYXJzLCBzbyBJJ20gbm90 IHN1cmUgaXQgbWF0dGVycy4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4g QmVmb3JlIHlvdSBjYW4gZ2V0IHRvIDMsIHlvdSdkIGhhdmUgdG8gbWFrZSAidGhlIEdvZCBo eXBvdGhlc2lzIiBhbiBhY3R1YWwsIHRlc3RhYmxlIGh5cG90aGVzaXMuIE90aGVyd2lzZSBp dCdzIGp1c3QgYSBsYWJlbCB5b3UgcHV0IG9uIG91ciBpZ25vcmFuY2UuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gVHdvIHBvaW50czoNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAx KSBUaGVyZSBoYXMgYmVlbiBubyBtb3JlIHRoYW4gMTUwIHllYXJzIG9mIGFjdHVhbCByZXNl YXJjaA0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IGludG8gT29MOyBsZXNzIHRoYW4gMTAwIHllYXJzIG9m IGV2ZW4gc2VtaS1zZXJpb3VzIHN1c3RhaW5lZA0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IHJlc2VhcmNo Lg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEkgdGhpbmsgaXQgd2FzIG1lYW50 IGFzIGEgaHlwb3RoZXRpY2FsIGV2ZW4gdGhvdWdoIGhlIGxlZnQgb3V0IHRoZSBJRiBhdCB0 aGUgYmVnaW5uaW5nLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSSBkb24ndC4g QnV0IGVpdGhlciBpcyBwb3NzaWJsZTsgSSBzaW1wbHkgdGhpbmssIGJhc2VkIG9uDQo+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IGhpcyBwcmlvciBoaXN0b3J5IG9mIGh5cGVyYm9sZSBhbmQgdW5zdXBwb3J0 ZWQgYXNzZXJ0aW9ucw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBzdGF0ZWQgYXMgZmFjdCwgcGx1cyBxdW90 ZSBtaW5pbmcsIHRoYXQgaXQgd2FzIGludGVudGlvbmFsLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gLg0KPj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEJvYiwgbXkgdXNlIG9mICI1MDAgeWVhcnMiIGFuZCAiY29uc2Vuc3VzIGEg bGFyZ2UgbWFqb3JpdHkgc2NpZW50aXN0cyIgY2FuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gb25seSBiZSBo eXBvdGhldGljYWwuIFRoZXJlZm9yZSwgeW91ciBpbnRlcnByZXRhdGlvbiBhcyBsaXRlcmFs IGluZGljYXRlcyBlaXRoZXINCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBjYXJlbGVzcyByZWFkaW5nLCBsaW1p dGVkIGNvbXByZWhlbnNpb24gb3Igd2lsbGZ1bCBtaXNjb25zdHJ1aW5nPw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4gTm8uDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBJIHRlc3RpZnkgdGhhdCBJIHJlYWQgeW91ciBvcmlnaW5h bCBhbmQgZGlkIGEgZG91YmxlLCB0aGVuIHRyaXBsZSwgdGhlIHF1YWRydXBsZQ0KPj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4gdGFrZS4gV2hhdCB0aGUgaGVjayBpcyBoZSBzYXlpbmc/DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0K Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gVWx0aW1hdGVseSwgSSBnZW5lcm91c2x5IGRlY2lkZWQgdGhhdCB5b3Ug bWVhbnQgdG8gaW5zZXJ0IGFuICJJZiIgYmVmb3JlDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiB3aGF0IHlvdSB3 cm90ZS4gQnV0IGl0IHdhc24ndCBlYXN5IHRvIGFzc2VydCB0aGF0IG93aW5nIHRvIG90aGVy IGFzcGVjdHMNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IG9mIHBvc3RzIHlvdSBoYXZlIG1hZGUuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gRmlyc3RseSwgaXQncyBzbyBleHRyZW1lbHkgY2x1bXN5IHRv IGhhdmUgd3JpdHRlbiB3aGF0IHlvdSBkaWQsIGludGVuZGluZw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gdGhl IHByZWxpbWluYXJ5IGNvbmRpdGlvbmFsLCBidXQgbm90IGluY2x1ZGluZyBpdC4gRG8gSSBw cmVzdW1lIHRoYXQgeW91DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBhcmUgdGhhdCBpbmVwdD8gSXQncyBub3Qg dW5rbm93biBidXQgaXQncyBzZXJpb3VzbHkgYmFkLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+IEkgbWlnaHQgYWRkIGl0J3MgYXMgYmFkIG9yIGV2ZW4gd29yc2UgdGhhbiB5b3VyIGVh cmxpZXIgcXVvdGUgbWluaW5nDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiB0aGF0IGRpc3RvcnRlZCBhIHB1Ymxp c2hlZCBwYXBlciB0byBzdXBwb3J0IHlvdXIgImNhdGNoLTIyIiBhc3NlcnRpb24NCj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+IGFib3V0IHRoZSBvcmlnaW5zIG9mIHByb3RlaW4gdHJhbnNsYXRpb24sIHdoaWNo IHlvdSB3ZXJlIGV4dHJlbWVseQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gY2x1bXN5IGluIGRlZmVuZGluZy4g QXNzZXJ0aW5nIHRoYXQgYSBwYXBlciBzdXBwb3J0cyB5b3UsIHdpdGggYQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4gcXVvdGUgbWluZSwgd2hlbiB0aGUgcGFwZXIgY2xlYXJseSByZWZ1dGVzIHRoYXQgYXNz ZXJ0aW9uIGlzIGFuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBleHRyZW1lbHkgZGlzcmVwdXRhYmxlIGJhc2lz IHVwb24gd2hpY2ggdG8gcG9udGlmaWNhdGUuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4g RnVydGhlcm1vcmUsIHlvdXIgd3JpdGluZyByZXNwZWN0aXZlIHRvIHRoZSA1MDAgeWVhcnMg Yml0IHdhcyBhYnNvbHV0ZWx5DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBiYWQuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSSBwdXp6bGVkIG92ZXIgaXQuIExpdGVyYWxseSwgaXQgd2FzIHN1Z2dlc3Rp bmcgdGhhdCB0aGVyZSBoYWQgYmVlbiA1MDAgeWVhcnMNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IG9mIE9vTCBy ZXNlYXJjaCB0aGF0IGhhZCBmYWlsZWQsIGFuZCB0aGF0IHRoZXJlIHdhcyBhIGNvbnNlbnN1 cyBhbW9uZw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gaW5mb3JtZWQgc2NpZW50aXN0cyB0aGF0IHN1Y2ggZWZm b3J0cyBoYWQgZmFpbGVkLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEFyZSByZWFkZXJz IHN1cHBvc2VkIHRvIGlnbm9yZSB0aGUgZmFpcmx5IGRpcmVjdCBpbXBsaWNhdGlvbiBvZiB5 b3VyIGxpdGVyYWwNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IHdvcmRpbmc/IE9mIGNvdXJzZSwgeW91ciBsaXRl cmFsIHdvcmRpbmcgaXMgYWJzdXJkIGJ1dCB3aGF0IGFsbG93YW5jZXMgYXJlDQo+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+PiB3ZSBzdXBwb3NlZCB0byBtYWtlIHByZXN1bWluZyB0aGF0IHlvdXIgd3JpdGluZyBz a2lsbHMgYXJlIGluZXB0PyBZZXMsDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiB0aGlzIGlzIGhhcnNoIGJ1dCB5 b3Ugd2VyZSB0aGUgb3JpZ2luYWwgYXV0aG9yIGFuZCB5b3Ugb3duIHRoZSBpbXBhY3QuDQo+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gQmVpbmcgc29tZXdoYXQgZ2VuZXJvdXMsIEkgZGlk IHByZXN1bWUgdGhhdCB5b3UgaW50ZW5kZWQgeW91ciB3aG9sZQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gc3Vw cG9zaXRpb24gYWJvdXQgNTAwIHllYXJzIG9mIE9vTCByZXNlYXJjaCB0byBiZSBhIGNvbmRp dGlvbmFsIHRoYXQNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IG91Z2h0IHRvIGhhdmUgYmVndW4gd2l0aCBhbiAi SWYiLiBCdXQgb2YgY291cnNlIHRoYXQgc3VwcG9zaXRpb24gd2FzDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBz byBjbHVtc3kgdGhhdCBpdCB3YXMgaGFyZCB0byB0YWtlIHNlcmlvdXNseS4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBXaHkgNTAwIHllYXJzPyBBIGNvbnNlbnN1cyBhbW9uZyB3aGlj aCBzY2llbnRpc3RzPyBXaGF0IHByb2dyZXNzDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBpcyBwcmVzdW1lZD8g V2hhdCBwcm9qZWN0aW9ucyBvZiBwcm9ncmVzcyBleGlzdCBhbmQgdXBvbiB3aGF0IGFyZQ0K Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gdGhleSBwcmVkaWNhdGVkPyBVbHRpbWF0ZWx5LCBpdCdzIGEgcHJvZm91 bmRseSwgb2J2aW91c2x5LCBzdHVwaWQgcXVlc3Rpb24uDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4gWWV0IGl0J3MgdW5kZXJzdG9vZCB0aGF0IHRoZSBkaWFsb2cgaW52b2x2ZWQgaW4g cG9pbnRpbmcgb3V0IHRoYXQgdGhlDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBjb25kaXRpb25hbCBwcmVkaWNh dGUgdGhhdCB5b3UgbWlnaHQgaGF2ZSBpbnRlbmRlZCAoaWYgeW91IGhhZA0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4gYmFzaWMgZXhwb3NpdG9yeSBza2lsbHMpIGlzIHNvIHBvb3JseSBmb3JtdWxhdGVkIGFz IHRvIGJlIG1vc3RseQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gbWVhbmluZ2xlc3MuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0K Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gV2VyZSB5b3UgdW5hd2FyZSBvZiB0aGVzZSBpbmFkZXF1YWNpZXMgb3Ig anVzdCBwbGF5aW5nIGdhbWVzPw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSG93IHRvIHJlc3BvbmQgdG8gdGhl IG15cmlhZCBhbnN3ZXJzPw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBPa2F5LCBJJ2xsIGNvbmNlZGUgdGhhdCBh biAnaWYnIHdvdWxkIGhhdmUgc2lnbmlmaWNhbnRseSBoZWxwZWQgbWFrZSB0aGUgaHlwb3Ro ZXRpY2FsIGV4cGxpY2l0IGFuZCBjbGVhci4gQm9iLCB5b3UncmUgb2ZmIHRoZSBob29rLCBt eSBiYWQuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IFNvIHRoZW4sIEJvYiwgTEQsIGFuZCBv dGhlcnM6DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IElmLCBhZnRlciA1MDAgeWVhcnMgb24g c3VzdGFpbmVkIHJlc2VhcmNoIGludG8gb3JpZ2luIG9mIGxpZmUsIGFsbCBhdmFpbGFibGUq IG5hdHVyYWxpc3RpYyBhdmVudWVzIGFuZCBoeXBvdGhlc2VzIGhhdmUgYmVlbiBkZW1vbnN0 cmF0ZWQgdG8gYmUgaW5hZGVxdWF0ZSwgYW5kIHRoaXMgaXMgdGhlIGNvbnNlbnN1cyBhIGxh cmdlIG1ham9yaXR5IHNjaWVudGlzdHMgaW4gdGhlIGZpZWxkLCB3b3VsZCB5b3Ugc2F5Og0K Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAxLiBXZSBtYXkgbmV2ZXIgd29yayB0aGlzIG91dA0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAy LiBLZWVwIGxvb2tpbmcNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gMy4gTGV0J3MgY29uc2lkZXIgdGhlIEdvZC1o eXBvdGhlc2lzKioNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gNC4gT3RoZXIgKHBsZWFzZSBlbGFib3JhdGUpDQo+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gQXMgSSBzYWlkLCBJJ2QgZ28gZm9yICJ3ZSBtYXkgbmV2ZXIgd29yayB0aGlz IG91dC4iIEJVVCwgeW91ciBoeXBvdGhldGljYWwsIGh5cG90aGV0aWNhbCBhcyBpdCBub3cg Y2xlYXJseSBpcywgaXMgYSBiaXQgaWxsLWRlZmluZWQuIFdoYXQgaGFwcGVuZWQgZHVyaW5n IHRob3NlIDUwMCB5ZWFycz8gSWYgdGhlcmUgd2FzIGFic29sdXRlbHkgbm8gcHJvZ3Jlc3Ms IGl0IHdvdWxkbid0IHRha2UgNTAwIHllYXJzIGZvciBwZW9wbGUgdG8gbG9vayBmb3IgbW9y ZSB0cmFjdGFibGUgcXVlc3Rpb25zIHRvIHNwZW5kIHRoZWlyIHRpbWUgb24gLSB0aGV5J2Qg aGF2ZSBhbHJlYWR5IGRlY2lkZWQgdGhhdCB0aGV5IHdlcmUgbmV2ZXIgZ29pbmcgdG8gd29y ayB0aGlzIG91dCwgb3IgdGhhdCBpbiBvcmRlciB0byB3b3JrIGl0IG91dCB0aGVyZSdkIGhh dmUgdG8gYmUgc29tZSBhY2N1bXVsYXRpb24gb2Yga25vd2xlZGdlIGluIG90aGVyLCByZWxh dGVkIGZpZWxkcyB0aGF0J3Mgbm90IGF2YWlsYWJsZSB5ZXQuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+ Pj4+PiBPbiB0aGUgb3RoZXIgaGFuZCwgaWYgdGhlcmUnZCBiZWVuIGNvbnRpbnVvdXMgcHJv Z3Jlc3MsIGJ1dCBubyBkZWZpbml0aXZlIHNvbHV0aW9uLCB0aGVuIEkgc3VzcGVjdCBsb3Rz IG9mIHBlb3BsZSB3b3VsZCBzYXkgIkxldCdzIGtlZXAgYXQgaXQuIg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gT3QgbWF5YmUgaXQncyBzb21ld2hlcmUgaW4gYmV0d2VlbiwgbG90cyBvZiBy ZXN1bHRzIHRoYXQgc2VlbSBsaWtlIGEgbGl0dGxlIGJpdCBvZiBwcm9ncmVzcywgYnV0IHN0 aWxsIG5vIGNsZWFyIGRpcmVjdGlvbiBmb3Igd2hlcmUgdGhlIGFuc3dlciBtaWdodCBsaWUg LSB0aGVuIGl0IHdvdWxkIGRlcGVuZCBvbiBpbmRpdmlkdWFsJ3MgaW50ZXJlc3QgYW5kIHBl cnNvbmFsaXR5IGFzIHRvIHdoZXRoZXIgdGhleSdkIGdpdmUgdXAgYW5kIGdvIHdvcmsgb24g c29tZXRoaW5nIGVsc2UsIG9yIGtlZXAgdHJ5aW5nLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4g QXMgZm9yIHRoZSAiR29kIGh5cG90aGVzaXMsIiBpdCdzIG5vdCBhIGRlZmluZWQgb3IgdGVz dGFibGUgaHlwb3RoZXNpcy4gQXMgeW91IHNheSwgaXQncyBpbiBhIGRpZmZlcmVudCBjYXRl Z29yeSBmcm9tIHNjaWVudGlmaWMgaHlwb3RoZXNlcywgYW5kIHRoYXQgbWVhbnMgdGhhdCBp ZiB5b3UgbGlrZSBpdCwgdGhlcmUncyBubyByZWFzb24gdG8gd2FpdCA1MDAgeWVhcnMgdG8g YWNjZXB0IGl0IChJIGRvbid0IHNheSB0byBwcm9wb3NlIGl0LCBiZWNhdXNlIHRoYXQgd291 bGQgaW1wbHkgdGhhdCBpdCB3YXMgYSBwcm9wb3NpdGlvbiB5b3UgY291bGQgdGVzdCwgbGlr ZSB0aGUgc2NpZW50aWZpYyBoeXBvdGhlc2VzKS4gSW5kZWVkLCB0aGVyZSBhcmUgY2VydGFp bmx5IGZvcm1zIG9mIHRoZSAiR29kIGh5cG90aGVzaXMiIHRoYXQgYXJlIGVudGlyZWx5IGNv bXBhdGlibGUgd2l0aCB0aGUgZXhpc3RlbmNlIG9mIGEgZnVsbHkgd29ya2VkIG91dCwgZXhw ZXJpbWVudGFsbHkgc3VwcG9ydGVkIG5hdHVyYWxpc3RpYyBleHBsYW5hdGlvbiBmb3IgT29M LiBTbyB5b3UncmUgb3B0aW9uIDMgZG9lc24ndCByZWFsbHkgYmVsb25nIGluIGEgbGlzdCB0 aGF0IG1ha2VzIGl0IGxvb2sgbGlrZSBpdCBpcyBpbiBkaXJlY3QgY29tcGV0aXRpb24gd2l0 aCAxIGFuZCAyLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4gSW4gdGhlIGNvbnRleHQgb2YgdGhpcyBoeXBvdGhldGlj YWwsIGRvZXNuJ3QgdGhlIG9mIGxvZ2ljIFBhc2NhbCdzIFdhZ2VyKiBtYWtlIGNvbnNpZGVy YXRpb24gb2Ygb3B0aW9uIDMgcmF0aW9uYWwgKHBydWRlbnQsIGV2ZW4pPw0KPj4+Pj4+PiBJ IGRvbid0IHNlZSBob3cgUGFzY2FsJ3Mgd2FnZXIgYXBwbGllcyBoZXJlLiBUbyBtZSwgdGhl IGV4aXN0ZW5jZSAob3Igbm90KSBvZiBHb2QgaXMgYSBjb21wbGV0ZWx5IHNlcGFyYXRlIGlz c3VlIGZyb20gd2hldGhlciB3ZSBmaWd1cmUgb3V0IGhvdyBsaWZlIGdvdCBzdGFydGVkLiBB IGZ1bGx5IHN1cHBvcnRlZCBkZXRhaWxlZCBtb2RlbCBvZiB0aGUgT29MIHdvdWxkIG5vdCBi ZSBldmlkZW5jZSBhZ2FpbnN0IEdvZCwgYW5kIDUgY2VudHVyeSBsb25nIGZhaWx1cmUgdG8g ZmlndXJlIG91dCBPb0wgKG9yIGFueSBvdGhlciBzY2llbnRpZmljIHByb2JsZW0pIHdvdWxk IG5vdCBiZSBub3QgZXZpZGVuY2UgZm9yIEdvZC4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4gQW5kLCBz ZXBhcmF0ZWx5LCBJIHRoaW5rIFBhc2NhbCdzIHdhZ2VyIGlzIHJlYWxseSBwb29yIHRoZW9s b2d5IGFuZCBwc3ljaG9sb2d5LiBJZiBJIGRvIG5vdCBiZWxpZXZlIGluIEdvZCwgSSBjYW5u b3QgZm9yY2UgbXlzZWxmIHRvIGRvIHNvLCBldmVuIGlmIFBhc2NhbCBjb252aW5jZXMgbWUg dGhhdCwgZ2FtZSB0aGVvcmV0aWNhbGx5LCBpdCB3b3VsZCBiZSBpbiBteSBiZXN0IGludGVy ZXN0cyB0byBkbyBzby4gTG9vayBhdCBpdCBpbiByZXZlcnNlIC0gaWYgSSBiZWxpZXZlZCBp biBHb2QsIGJ1dCBpdCB3ZXJlIGFnYWluc3QgbXkgc2VsZiBpbnRlcmVzdCB0byBkbyBzbywg d291bGQgSSBiZSBhYmxlIHRvIG1ha2UgbXkgYmVsaWVmIGdvIGF3YXk/IFdvdWxkIGl0IHNl ZW0gbGlrZSBhIGdvb2QgdGhpbmcgdG8gZG8gaWYgSSBjb3VsZD8gQW5kIEkgbWVhbiByZWFs bHkgY2Vhc2UgdG8gYmVsaWV2ZSwgbm90IG1lcmVseSBjZWFzZSB0byBleHByZXNzIG15IGJl bGllZi4gUGFzY2FsJ3MgV2FnZXIgaXMgcG9ldHJ5IGZvciB0aG9zZSB3aG8gYWxyZWFkeSBi ZWxpZXZlLCBub3QgYSBzZXJpb3VzIHByb3Bvc2FsLg0KPj4+Pj4+IE15IHJlcGx5IHRvIEJ1 cmtoYXJkIGF0dGVtcHRzIHRvIGFkZHJlc3MgdGhpcy4NCj4+Pj4+IEknbSBub3Qgc3VyZSB3 aGF0IFBhc2NhbCdzIHdhZ2VyIGhhcyB0byBkbyB3aXRoIE9vTC4gSWYgUGFzY2FsJ3MgV2Fn ZXIgaXMgYSByZWFzb25hYmxlIHdheSB0byB0aGluaywgdGhlbiBpdHMgcmVhc29uYWJsZW5l c3MgZG9lcyBub3QgZGVwZW5kIG9uIHdoZXRoZXIgb3Igbm90IHRoZXJlIGlzIGEgc29saWQg c2NpZW50aWZpYyBleHBsYW5hdGlvbiBmb3IgdGhlIE9vTC4NCj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+PiBCdXJr aGFyZCBoYXMgYWxyZWFkeSByZXNwb25kZWQgdG8geW91IGFib3V0IFBhc2NhbCdzIFdhZ2Vy IGl0c2VsZi4gSSBhZ3JlZSB3aXRoIGhpbSwgZm9yIHRoZSByZWFzb25zIEkgYWxyZWFkeSBn YXZlLiBJIGNhbm5vdCBjaGFuZ2Ugd2hhdCBJIGJlbGlldmUgc2ltcGx5IGJlY2F1c2UgaXQg bWlnaHQgYmUgaW4gbXkgc2VsZiBpbnRlcmVzdCB0byBkbyBzby4gSW4gYSBodW1hbiBzaXR1 YXRpb24gSSBtaWdodCBiZSBhYmxlIHRvIGhpZGUgYSBzZXQgb2YgYmVsaWVmcyBvciBwcmV0 ZW5kIHRvIGhhdmUgdGhlbSBpZiBkb2luZyBzbyB3YXMgaW4gbXkgc2VsZiBpbnRlcmVzdCwg YnV0IEkgY291bGQgbm90IGFjdHVhbGx5IGNoYW5nZSB0aGVtLiBTaW5jZSB0aGUgc29ydHMg b2YgR29kIHlvdSBhcmUgaW50ZXJlc3RlZCBpbiBpbiBQYXNjYWwncyBXYWdlciB3b3VsZCBu b3QgYmUgZm9vbGVkIGJ5IGZlaWduZWQgYmVsaWVmLCBJIGRvbid0IHJlYWxseSBzZWUgdGhl IHBvaW50LiBBbmQgYXMgZm9yIGNvbnNpZGVyaW5nIHRoZSBwb3NzaWJpbGl0eSB0aGF0IEdv ZCBleGlzdHMsIEkgZG9uJ3QgbmVlZCB0byBiZSBjb2VyY2VkIGludG8gZG9pbmcgdGhhdCBi eSBnYW1lIHRoZW9yeSwgaXQncyBzb21ldGhpbmcgSSBoYXZlIHRob3VnaHQgYWJvdXQgc2Vy aW91c2x5IGFuZCBvZnRlbi4gSSBndWFyYW50ZWUgeW91IHRoYXQgYXQgbm8gcG9pbnQgaW4g bXkgbWFueSBiYWNrIGFuZCBmb3J0aHMgYmV0d2VlbiB2YXJpb3VzIGZvcm1zIG9mIENocmlz dGlhbml0eSBhbmQgYXRoZWlzbSBkaWQgSSBldmVyIHRoaW5rIC0gInRoZXJlJ3Mgb2J2aW91 c2x5IGEgbmF0dXJhbGlzdGljIGV4cGxhbmF0aW9uIGZvciBPb0wgc28gQ2hyaXN0aWFuaXR5 IGlzIGZhbHNlIiwgb3IsICJ0aGVyZSdzIGp1c3Qgbm8gbmF0dXJhbGlzdGljIGV4cGxhbmF0 aW9uIG9mIE9vTCwgc28gSSBndWVzcyBJIGFjY2VwdCBKZXN1cyBDaHJpc3QgYXMgbXkgcGVy c29uYWwgTG9yZCBhbmQgU2F2aW9yIi4gVGhlIG9uZSBoYXMgYWJzb2x1dGVseSBub3RoaW5n IHRvIGRvIHdpdGggdGhlIG90aGVyLg0KPj4+PiAiTm90ZSB0b28gdGhhdCBJIGFtIG5vdCBz dWdnZXN0aW5nIHRoYXQgc3VjaCBhbiBpbnZlc3RpZ2F0aW9uIGluIGFuZCBvZiBpdHNlbGYg Y291bGQgb3Igc2hvdWxkIGxlYWQgdG8gaW5zaW5jZXJlIGJlbGllZiBhcyBhZnRlcmxpZmUg aW5zdXJhbmNlLiINCj4+PiBPZiBjb3Vyc2UgaXQgY2Fubm90IGxlYWQgdG8gYmVsaWVmIC0g SSBjYW5ub3QgY2hhbmdlIHdoYXQgSSBiZWxpZXZlIGJlY2F1c2UgaXQncyBpbiBteSBzZWxm IGludGVyZXN0IGFjY29yZGluZyB0byBQYXNjYWwgb3IgYmVjYXVzZSB5b3UgZ2l2ZSBtZSBh IG51ZGdlIGFuZCB3aW5rIGFuZCB0ZWxsIG1lIHRoYXQgIm15IGV0ZXJuYWwgZnV0dXJlIGlz IG9uIHRoZSBsaW5lLiINCj4+Pg0KPj4+IEJ1dCB0aGF0J3MgdGhlIHBvaW50IG9mIFBhc2Nh bCdzIFdhZ2VyLCByaWdodCwgYWZ0ZXJsaWZlIGluc3VyYW5jZT8gU29tZXRpbWVzIEkgZG9u J3QgZ2V0IHdoYXQgeW91IGFjdHVhbGx5IGZpbmQgYXR0cmFjdGl2ZSBhYm91dCBDaHJpc3Rp YW5pdHkuIFlvdSB3YW50IHRvIGFyZ3VlIGZvciBpdCBiYXNlZCBvbiB0aGUgaW5jb21wbGV0 ZW5lc3Mgb2YgT29MIHJlc2VhcmNoIG9yIGluIHNvbWV0aGluZyBhcyBtZXJjZW5hcnkgYXMg UGFzY2FsJ3MgV2FnZXIuIE5vbmUgb2YgdGhhdCBpcyBnb2luZyB0byBpbnNwaXJlIGFueW9u ZS4gU2VyaW91c2x5LiBQZW9wbGUgZ2V0IGluc3BpcmVkIGJ5IEplc3VzJyBtZXNzYWdlIG9y IGhpcyBwZXJzb25hbGl0eSBvciBkaXJlY3QgZXhwZXJpZW5jZXMgb2YgY29tbXVuaXR5IHdp dGggYmVsaWV2ZXJzLCBhbmQgdGhhdCBpbnNwaXJhdGlvbiBkb2VzIG5vdCBkZXBlbmQgb24g YmV0dGluZyB0aGF0IE9vTCByZXNlYXJjaCB3aWxsIHN0YWxsIG91dCBvciBvbiBnYW1lIHRo ZW9yeSBvciBvbiB2ZWlsZWQgaGludHMgYWJvdXQgdGhlIGFmdGVybGlmZS4NCj4+IEhvdyBk b2VzIFBhc2NhbCdzIFdhZ2VyIGV2ZW4gd29yaz8gU3BlY2lmaWNhbGx5LCBob3cgZG9lcyBv bmUgY2hvb3NlDQo+PiB0byBfX2JlbGlldmVfXz8gSSBkb24ndCB0aGluayBJIGNvdWxkLiBJ IGtub3cgdGhhdCBJIHRyaWVkIHdoZW4gSSB3YXMgeW91bmcNCj4+IGFuZCBpdCBkaWRuJ3Qg d29yay4gUHJldGVuZGluZyB0byBiZWxpZXZlIHdoZW4gSSBkaWRuJ3QgZmVsdCBkaXJ0eS4g SXQgd291bGQgYmUNCj4+IGxpa2UgcHJldGVuZGluZyB0byBsb3ZlIHNvbWVvbmUgdGhhdCBJ IGZlbHQgbm90aGluZyBmb3IuIEFuZCBwcmV0ZW5kaW5nIHNvDQo+PiBmb3Igc29tZSBwb3Rl bnRpYWwgcmV3YXJkPyB0aGF0IHdvdWxkIG1ha2UgbWUgYSB3aG9yZS4NCj4+DQo+PiBJIGhh dmUgbm8gcHJvYmxlbSB3aXRoIHBlb3BsZSB3aG8gYmVsaWV2ZS4gTW9yZSBwb3dlciB0byB0 aGVtLiBCdXQgb25jZQ0KPj4gYW55b25lIHNheXMgd2h5IHRoZXkgYmVsaWV2ZSwgb3IgZG9u J3QgYmVsaWV2ZSBpbiBYLCBhbmQgdHJ5IHRvIHNlbGwgbWUgb25lDQo+PiB0aG9zZSByZWFz b25zLCBpdCBzZWVtcyBmYWlyIHRvIGFkZHJlc3MgdGhvc2UgcmVhc29ucy4gSWYgdGhleSBz YXkgdGhleQ0KPj4gYmVsaWV2ZSBpbiBzb21lIHBhcnRpY3VsYXIgZ29kIGJlY2F1c2UgdGhl eSB3YW50IHRvIGdldCBpbnRvIGhlYXZlbiwNCj4+IEkgc21pbGUgYW5kIG1ha2UgYSBub3Rl IHRvIGJlIGNhcmVmdWwgYXJvdW5kIHRoZW0uIEkgZG9uJ3QgaGF2ZSBiaWcgcHJvYmxlbXMN Cj4+IHdpdGggKHRoZWlzdGljKSBiZWxpZXZlcnMgaW4gZ2VuZXJhbCwgSSBoYXZlIGZyaWVu ZHMgYW5kIGZhbWlseSB3aG8gYXJlIHN1Y2gNCj4+IGJlbGlldmVycy4gQnV0IEkgZG9uJ3Qg dGhpbmsgYW55IG9mIHRoZW0gaGF2ZSB3aG9yZWQgb3V0IHRoZWlyIGJlbGllZiwgdG8gdGhl DQo+PiBleHRlbnQgdGhhdCBpcyBldmVuIHBvc3NpYmxlIHRvIGRvLCBpbiBob3BlcyBvZiBz b21lIHBvc3NpYmxlIHJld2FyZC4NCj4gDQo+IFRvIHB1dCB0aGUgbW9zdA0KPiBwb3NpdGl2 ZSBzcGluIG9uDQo+IE1hcmsncyBwb2ludCwgSQ0KPiB0aGluayBoZSBpcyBub3QNCj4gYXJn dWluZyB0aGF0IHlvdQ0KPiBjYW4gbWFrZSB5b3Vyc2VsZg0KPiBiZWxpZXZlIGluIHJlc3Bv bnNlDQo+IHRvIFBhc2NhbCdzIFdhZ2VyLA0KPiBvbmx5IHRoYXQgaXQgbWlnaHQNCj4gcHJv bXB0IHlvdSB0bw0KPiBpbnZlc3RpZ2F0ZSB3aGUtDQo+IHRoZXIgeW91IG1pZ2h0DQo+IGJl IG9wZW4gdG8gYmVsaWVmLg0KPiBJdCdzIHN0aWxsIGEgcG9vcg0KPiBhcHByb2FjaCAtIHNv cnQgb2YNCj4gYSB0aHJlYXQgLSB0aGluaw0KPiBhYm91dCB0aGlzIGJlY2F1c2UNCj4gaWYg eW91IGRvbid0IHlvdQ0KPiBtaWdodCBoYXZlIGEgYmFkDQo+IGFmdGVybGlmZS4gTm90IHZl cnkNCj4gaW5zcGlyaW5nIGlmIHlvdSBhc2sNCj4gbWUuDQo+IA0KDQpUaGF0IHBvc2l0aW9u ICh3aGljaCBJIHVuZGVyc3RhbmQgaXMgY2xvc2VyIHRvIHdoYXQgUGFzY2FsIGFyZ3VlZCkg aGFzIA0KYW4gaW1wbGljaXQgYW5kIGZsYXdlZCBhc3N1bXB0aW9uIHRoYXQgcGVvcGxlIGhh dmVuJ3QgYWxyZWFkeSBpbnZlc3RpZ2F0ZWQuDQoNCi0tIA0KYWxpYXMgRXJuZXN0IE1ham9y DQoNCg==

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Fri Sep 22 05:46:38 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:30:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:

    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose
    to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young
    and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be
    like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one
    those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems
    with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such
    believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the
    extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.

    Do I detect a bit of mockery?
    Nice!

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Lawyer Daggett on Fri Sep 22 06:03:43 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:50:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:30:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:

    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose
    to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young
    and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be
    like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so
    for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one
    those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems
    with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such
    believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the
    extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Do I detect a bit of mockery?
    Nice!
    M
    o
    c
    k
    e
    r
    y
    ?
    ?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Fri Sep 22 06:08:58 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:05:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:50:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:30:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:

    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young
    and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be
    like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so
    for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once
    anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one
    those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they
    believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems
    with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such
    believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the
    extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Do I detect a bit of mockery?
    Nice!
    M
    o
    c
    k
    e
    r
    y
    ?
    ?
    lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol
    lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol
    lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol lol

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to All on Fri Sep 22 13:24:17 2023
    T24gMjIvMDkvMjAyMyAxMzoxMCwgTGF3eWVyIERhZ2dldHQgd3JvdGU6DQo+IE9uIEZyaWRh eSwgU2VwdGVtYmVyIDIyLCAyMDIzIGF0IDc6NDU6NDXigK9BTSBVVEMtNCwgYnJvZ2VyLi4u QGdtYWlsLmNvbSB3cm90ZToNCj4+IE9uIEZyaWRheSwgU2VwdGVtYmVyIDIyLCAyMDIzIGF0 IDc6MjU6NDXigK9BTSBVVEMtNCwgTWFya0Ugd3JvdGU6DQo+Pj4gT24gRnJpZGF5LCBTZXB0 ZW1iZXIgMjIsIDIwMjMgYXQgODoxNTo0NeKAr1BNIFVUQysxMCwgYnJvZ2VyLi4uQGdtYWls LmNvbSB3cm90ZToNCj4+Pj4gT24gRnJpZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMjIsIDIwMjMgYXQgMTI6 MjA6NDXigK9BTSBVVEMtNCwgTWFya0Ugd3JvdGU6DQo+Pj4+PiBPbiBUaHVyc2RheSwgU2Vw dGVtYmVyIDIxLCAyMDIzIGF0IDEwOjE1OjQ04oCvUE0gVVRDKzEwLCBicm9nZXIuLi5AZ21h aWwuY29tIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+Pj4+IE9uIFRodXJzZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMjEsIDIwMjMg YXQgODowNTo0NOKAr0FNIFVUQy00LCBNYXJrRSB3cm90ZToNCj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24gVGh1cnNk YXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAyMSwgMjAyMyBhdCA4OjQwOjQz4oCvUE0gVVRDKzEwLCBicm9nZXIu Li5AZ21haWwuY29tIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24gVGh1cnNkYXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAy MSwgMjAyMyBhdCAyOjEwOjQz4oCvQU0gVVRDLTQsIE1hcmtFIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+ IE9uIFRodXJzZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMjEsIDIwMjMgYXQgMTozMDo0M+KAr1BNIFVUQysx MCwgTGF3eWVyIERhZ2dldHQgd3JvdGU6DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IE9uIFdlZG5lc2RheSwgU2Vw dGVtYmVyIDIwLCAyMDIzIGF0IDc6MjA6NDPigK9QTSBVVEMtNCwgTWFya0Ugd3JvdGU6DQo+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBPbiBXZWRuZXNkYXksIFNlcHRlbWJlciAyMCwgMjAyMyBhdCAxMTo0NTo0 MuKAr0FNIFVUQysxMCwgQm9iIENhc2Fub3ZhIHdyb3RlOg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IE9uIFR1 ZSwgMTkgU2VwIDIwMjMgMDk6Mjc6NTggLTA3MDAgKFBEVCksIHRoZSBmb2xsb3dpbmcNCj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBhcHBlYXJlZCBpbiB0YWxrLm9yaWdpbnMsIHBvc3RlZCBieSAidGFsay5v cmlnaW5zIg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IDxicm9nZXIuLi5AZ21haWwuY29tPjoNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4gT24gVHVlc2RheSwgU2VwdGVtYmVyIDE5LCAyMDIzIGF0IDEyOjEwOjQyP1BNIFVU Qy00LCBCb2IgQ2FzYW5vdmEgd3JvdGU6DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBPbiBUdWUsIDE5IFNl cCAyMDIzIDA1OjQzOjU2IC0wNzAwIChQRFQpLCB0aGUgZm9sbG93aW5nDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+PiBhcHBlYXJlZCBpbiB0YWxrLm9yaWdpbnMsIHBvc3RlZCBieSAidGFsay5vcmlnaW5z Ig0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gPGJyb2dlci4uLkBnbWFpbC5jb20+Og0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBPbiBUdWVzZGF5LCBTZXB0ZW1iZXIgMTksIDIwMjMgYXQg ODozMDo0Mj9BTSBVVEMtNCwgTWFya0Ugd3JvdGU6DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IDxzbmlwPg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEFm dGVyIDUwMCB5ZWFycyBvbiBzdXN0YWluZWQgcmVzZWFyY2ggaW50byBvcmlnaW4gb2YgbGlm ZSwgYWxsIGF2YWlsYWJsZSBuYXR1cmFsaXN0aWMgYXZlbnVlcyBhbmQgaHlwb3RoZXNlcyBo YXZlIGJlZW4gZGVtb25zdHJhdGVkIHRvIGJlIGluYWRlcXVhdGUsIGFuZCB0aGlzIGlzIHRo ZSBjb25zZW5zdXMgYSBsYXJnZSBtYWpvcml0eSBzY2llbnRpc3RzIGluIHRoZSBmaWVsZC4g V291bGQgeW91IHNheToNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gMS4g V2UgbWF5IG5ldmVyIHdvcmsgdGhpcyBvdXQNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gMi4gS2VlcCBs b29raW5nDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IDMuIExldCdzIGNvbnNpZGVyIHRoZSBHb2QtaHlw b3RoZXNpcw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiA0LiBPdGhlciAocGxlYXNlIGVsYWJvcmF0ZSkN Cj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gWW91IG1heSBjaG9vc2UgbW9y ZSB0aGFuIG9uZSBvcHRpb24uDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAi QWxsIGF2YWlsYWJsZSBoeXBvdGhlc2VzIiBqdXN0IG1lYW5zICJhbGwgdGhlIG9uZXMgYW55 b25lIGhhcyB0aG91Z2h0IG9mIHlldCwiIHJpZ2h0Pw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSSdtIHN1cmUgeW91IGNhbiBndWVzcyB0aGF0IG15IGNob2ljZXMgd291 bGQgYmUgMSBhbmQgMiwgd2l0aCBtYXliZSBhIGxpdHRsZSBtb3JlIGluY2xpbmF0aW9uIHRv IDEsIHN0aWxsIGxlYXZpbmcgb3BlbiB0aGUgcG9zc2liaWxpdHkgdGhhdCBzb21lb25lIG1h eSBjb21lIHVwIHdpdGggYW4gaWRlYSB0aGF0IG5vYm9keSB0aG91Z2h0IG9mIHlldC4gQnV0 IEkgd29uJ3QgYmUgaGVyZSBhZnRlciA1MDAgeWVhcnMsIHNvIEknbSBub3Qgc3VyZSBpdCBt YXR0ZXJzLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gQmVmb3JlIHlvdSBj YW4gZ2V0IHRvIDMsIHlvdSdkIGhhdmUgdG8gbWFrZSAidGhlIEdvZCBoeXBvdGhlc2lzIiBh biBhY3R1YWwsIHRlc3RhYmxlIGh5cG90aGVzaXMuIE90aGVyd2lzZSBpdCdzIGp1c3QgYSBs YWJlbCB5b3UgcHV0IG9uIG91ciBpZ25vcmFuY2UuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IFR3byBwb2ludHM6DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAxKSBUaGVyZSBoYXMgYmVl biBubyBtb3JlIHRoYW4gMTUwIHllYXJzIG9mIGFjdHVhbCByZXNlYXJjaA0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4gaW50byBPb0w7IGxlc3MgdGhhbiAxMDAgeWVhcnMgb2YgZXZlbiBzZW1pLXNlcmlv dXMgc3VzdGFpbmVkDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiByZXNlYXJjaC4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4N Cj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSSB0aGluayBpdCB3YXMgbWVhbnQgYXMgYSBoeXBvdGhldGljYWwg ZXZlbiB0aG91Z2ggaGUgbGVmdCBvdXQgdGhlIElGIGF0IHRoZSBiZWdpbm5pbmcuDQo+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSSBkb24ndC4gQnV0IGVpdGhlciBpcyBwb3NzaWJs ZTsgSSBzaW1wbHkgdGhpbmssIGJhc2VkIG9uDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gaGlzIHByaW9yIGhp c3Rvcnkgb2YgaHlwZXJib2xlIGFuZCB1bnN1cHBvcnRlZCBhc3NlcnRpb25zDQo+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4gc3RhdGVkIGFzIGZhY3QsIHBsdXMgcXVvdGUgbWluaW5nLCB0aGF0IGl0IHdhcyBp bnRlbnRpb25hbC4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gQm9iLCBteSB1c2Ugb2Yg IjUwMCB5ZWFycyIgYW5kICJjb25zZW5zdXMgYSBsYXJnZSBtYWpvcml0eSBzY2llbnRpc3Rz IiBjYW4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IG9ubHkgYmUgaHlwb3RoZXRpY2FsLiBUaGVyZWZvcmUsIHlv dXIgaW50ZXJwcmV0YXRpb24gYXMgbGl0ZXJhbCBpbmRpY2F0ZXMgZWl0aGVyDQo+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4+PiBjYXJlbGVzcyByZWFkaW5nLCBsaW1pdGVkIGNvbXByZWhlbnNpb24gb3Igd2lsbGZ1 bCBtaXNjb25zdHJ1aW5nPw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBOby4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSSB0ZXN0aWZ5 IHRoYXQgSSByZWFkIHlvdXIgb3JpZ2luYWwgYW5kIGRpZCBhIGRvdWJsZSwgdGhlbiB0cmlw bGUsIHRoZSBxdWFkcnVwbGUNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gdGFrZS4gV2hhdCB0aGUgaGVjayBpcyBo ZSBzYXlpbmc/DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IFVsdGltYXRlbHksIEkgZ2VuZXJv dXNseSBkZWNpZGVkIHRoYXQgeW91IG1lYW50IHRvIGluc2VydCBhbiAiSWYiIGJlZm9yZQ0K Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiB3aGF0IHlvdSB3cm90ZS4gQnV0IGl0IHdhc24ndCBlYXN5IHRvIGFzc2Vy dCB0aGF0IG93aW5nIHRvIG90aGVyIGFzcGVjdHMNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gb2YgcG9zdHMgeW91 IGhhdmUgbWFkZS4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gRmlyc3RseSwgaXQncyBzbyBl eHRyZW1lbHkgY2x1bXN5IHRvIGhhdmUgd3JpdHRlbiB3aGF0IHlvdSBkaWQsIGludGVuZGlu Zw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiB0aGUgcHJlbGltaW5hcnkgY29uZGl0aW9uYWwsIGJ1dCBub3QgaW5j bHVkaW5nIGl0LiBEbyBJIHByZXN1bWUgdGhhdCB5b3UNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gYXJlIHRoYXQg aW5lcHQ/IEl0J3Mgbm90IHVua25vd24gYnV0IGl0J3Mgc2VyaW91c2x5IGJhZC4NCj4+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4NCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gSSBtaWdodCBhZGQgaXQncyBhcyBiYWQgb3IgZXZlbiB3b3Jz ZSB0aGFuIHlvdXIgZWFybGllciBxdW90ZSBtaW5pbmcNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gdGhhdCBkaXN0 b3J0ZWQgYSBwdWJsaXNoZWQgcGFwZXIgdG8gc3VwcG9ydCB5b3VyICJjYXRjaC0yMiIgYXNz ZXJ0aW9uDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IGFib3V0IHRoZSBvcmlnaW5zIG9mIHByb3RlaW4gdHJhbnNs YXRpb24sIHdoaWNoIHlvdSB3ZXJlIGV4dHJlbWVseQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBjbHVtc3kgaW4g ZGVmZW5kaW5nLiBBc3NlcnRpbmcgdGhhdCBhIHBhcGVyIHN1cHBvcnRzIHlvdSwgd2l0aCBh DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IHF1b3RlIG1pbmUsIHdoZW4gdGhlIHBhcGVyIGNsZWFybHkgcmVmdXRl cyB0aGF0IGFzc2VydGlvbiBpcyBhbg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBleHRyZW1lbHkgZGlzcmVwdXRh YmxlIGJhc2lzIHVwb24gd2hpY2ggdG8gcG9udGlmaWNhdGUuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+IEZ1cnRoZXJtb3JlLCB5b3VyIHdyaXRpbmcgcmVzcGVjdGl2ZSB0byB0aGUgNTAw IHllYXJzIGJpdCB3YXMgYWJzb2x1dGVseQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBiYWQuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+ DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEkgcHV6emxlZCBvdmVyIGl0LiBMaXRlcmFsbHksIGl0IHdhcyBzdWdn ZXN0aW5nIHRoYXQgdGhlcmUgaGFkIGJlZW4gNTAwIHllYXJzDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IG9mIE9v TCByZXNlYXJjaCB0aGF0IGhhZCBmYWlsZWQsIGFuZCB0aGF0IHRoZXJlIHdhcyBhIGNvbnNl bnN1cyBhbW9uZw0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBpbmZvcm1lZCBzY2llbnRpc3RzIHRoYXQgc3VjaCBl ZmZvcnRzIGhhZCBmYWlsZWQuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEFyZSByZWFkZXJz IHN1cHBvc2VkIHRvIGlnbm9yZSB0aGUgZmFpcmx5IGRpcmVjdCBpbXBsaWNhdGlvbiBvZiB5 b3VyIGxpdGVyYWwNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gd29yZGluZz8gT2YgY291cnNlLCB5b3VyIGxpdGVy YWwgd29yZGluZyBpcyBhYnN1cmQgYnV0IHdoYXQgYWxsb3dhbmNlcyBhcmUNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+ Pj4gd2Ugc3VwcG9zZWQgdG8gbWFrZSBwcmVzdW1pbmcgdGhhdCB5b3VyIHdyaXRpbmcgc2tp bGxzIGFyZSBpbmVwdD8gWWVzLA0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiB0aGlzIGlzIGhhcnNoIGJ1dCB5b3Ug d2VyZSB0aGUgb3JpZ2luYWwgYXV0aG9yIGFuZCB5b3Ugb3duIHRoZSBpbXBhY3QuDQo+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEJlaW5nIHNvbWV3aGF0IGdlbmVyb3VzLCBJIGRpZCBwcmVz dW1lIHRoYXQgeW91IGludGVuZGVkIHlvdXIgd2hvbGUNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gc3VwcG9zaXRp b24gYWJvdXQgNTAwIHllYXJzIG9mIE9vTCByZXNlYXJjaCB0byBiZSBhIGNvbmRpdGlvbmFs IHRoYXQNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gb3VnaHQgdG8gaGF2ZSBiZWd1biB3aXRoIGFuICJJZiIuIEJ1 dCBvZiBjb3Vyc2UgdGhhdCBzdXBwb3NpdGlvbiB3YXMNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gc28gY2x1bXN5 IHRoYXQgaXQgd2FzIGhhcmQgdG8gdGFrZSBzZXJpb3VzbHkuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4+IFdoeSA1MDAgeWVhcnM/IEEgY29uc2Vuc3VzIGFtb25nIHdoaWNoIHNjaWVudGlz dHM/IFdoYXQgcHJvZ3Jlc3MNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gaXMgcHJlc3VtZWQ/IFdoYXQgcHJvamVj dGlvbnMgb2YgcHJvZ3Jlc3MgZXhpc3QgYW5kIHVwb24gd2hhdCBhcmUNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4g dGhleSBwcmVkaWNhdGVkPyBVbHRpbWF0ZWx5LCBpdCdzIGEgcHJvZm91bmRseSwgb2J2aW91 c2x5LCBzdHVwaWQgcXVlc3Rpb24uDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IFlldCBpdCdz IHVuZGVyc3Rvb2QgdGhhdCB0aGUgZGlhbG9nIGludm9sdmVkIGluIHBvaW50aW5nIG91dCB0 aGF0IHRoZQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBjb25kaXRpb25hbCBwcmVkaWNhdGUgdGhhdCB5b3UgbWln aHQgaGF2ZSBpbnRlbmRlZCAoaWYgeW91IGhhZA0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBiYXNpYyBleHBvc2l0 b3J5IHNraWxscykgaXMgc28gcG9vcmx5IGZvcm11bGF0ZWQgYXMgdG8gYmUgbW9zdGx5DQo+ Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IG1lYW5pbmdsZXNzLg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiBXZXJlIHlv dSB1bmF3YXJlIG9mIHRoZXNlIGluYWRlcXVhY2llcyBvciBqdXN0IHBsYXlpbmcgZ2FtZXM/ DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4+IEhvdyB0byByZXNwb25kIHRvIHRoZSBteXJpYWQgYW5zd2Vycz8NCj4+ Pj4+Pj4+PiBPa2F5LCBJJ2xsIGNvbmNlZGUgdGhhdCBhbiAnaWYnIHdvdWxkIGhhdmUgc2ln bmlmaWNhbnRseSBoZWxwZWQgbWFrZSB0aGUgaHlwb3RoZXRpY2FsIGV4cGxpY2l0IGFuZCBj bGVhci4gQm9iLCB5b3UncmUgb2ZmIHRoZSBob29rLCBteSBiYWQuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4NCj4+ Pj4+Pj4+PiBTbyB0aGVuLCBCb2IsIExELCBhbmQgb3RoZXJzOg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+ Pj4+Pj4gSWYsIGFmdGVyIDUwMCB5ZWFycyBvbiBzdXN0YWluZWQgcmVzZWFyY2ggaW50byBv cmlnaW4gb2YgbGlmZSwgYWxsIGF2YWlsYWJsZSogbmF0dXJhbGlzdGljIGF2ZW51ZXMgYW5k IGh5cG90aGVzZXMgaGF2ZSBiZWVuIGRlbW9uc3RyYXRlZCB0byBiZSBpbmFkZXF1YXRlLCBh bmQgdGhpcyBpcyB0aGUgY29uc2Vuc3VzIGEgbGFyZ2UgbWFqb3JpdHkgc2NpZW50aXN0cyBp biB0aGUgZmllbGQsIHdvdWxkIHlvdSBzYXk6DQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pj4gMS4gV2UgbWF5IG5ldmVy IHdvcmsgdGhpcyBvdXQNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAyLiBLZWVwIGxvb2tpbmcNCj4+Pj4+Pj4+PiAz LiBMZXQncyBjb25zaWRlciB0aGUgR29kLWh5cG90aGVzaXMqKg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4+IDQuIE90 aGVyIChwbGVhc2UgZWxhYm9yYXRlKQ0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4gQXMgSSBzYWlkLCBJJ2QgZ28gZm9y ICJ3ZSBtYXkgbmV2ZXIgd29yayB0aGlzIG91dC4iIEJVVCwgeW91ciBoeXBvdGhldGljYWws IGh5cG90aGV0aWNhbCBhcyBpdCBub3cgY2xlYXJseSBpcywgaXMgYSBiaXQgaWxsLWRlZmlu ZWQuIFdoYXQgaGFwcGVuZWQgZHVyaW5nIHRob3NlIDUwMCB5ZWFycz8gSWYgdGhlcmUgd2Fz IGFic29sdXRlbHkgbm8gcHJvZ3Jlc3MsIGl0IHdvdWxkbid0IHRha2UgNTAwIHllYXJzIGZv ciBwZW9wbGUgdG8gbG9vayBmb3IgbW9yZSB0cmFjdGFibGUgcXVlc3Rpb25zIHRvIHNwZW5k IHRoZWlyIHRpbWUgb24gLSB0aGV5J2QgaGF2ZSBhbHJlYWR5IGRlY2lkZWQgdGhhdCB0aGV5 IHdlcmUgbmV2ZXIgZ29pbmcgdG8gd29yayB0aGlzIG91dCwgb3IgdGhhdCBpbiBvcmRlciB0 byB3b3JrIGl0IG91dCB0aGVyZSdkIGhhdmUgdG8gYmUgc29tZSBhY2N1bXVsYXRpb24gb2Yg a25vd2xlZGdlIGluIG90aGVyLCByZWxhdGVkIGZpZWxkcyB0aGF0J3Mgbm90IGF2YWlsYWJs ZSB5ZXQuDQo+Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4gT24gdGhlIG90aGVyIGhhbmQsIGlmIHRoZXJl J2QgYmVlbiBjb250aW51b3VzIHByb2dyZXNzLCBidXQgbm8gZGVmaW5pdGl2ZSBzb2x1dGlv biwgdGhlbiBJIHN1c3BlY3QgbG90cyBvZiBwZW9wbGUgd291bGQgc2F5ICJMZXQncyBrZWVw IGF0IGl0LiINCj4+Pj4+Pj4+DQo+Pj4+Pj4+PiBPdCBtYXliZSBpdCdzIHNvbWV3aGVyZSBp biBiZXR3ZWVuLCBsb3RzIG9mIHJlc3VsdHMgdGhhdCBzZWVtIGxpa2UgYSBsaXR0bGUgYml0 IG9mIHByb2dyZXNzLCBidXQgc3RpbGwgbm8gY2xlYXIgZGlyZWN0aW9uIGZvciB3aGVyZSB0 aGUgYW5zd2VyIG1pZ2h0IGxpZSAtIHRoZW4gaXQgd291bGQgZGVwZW5kIG9uIGluZGl2aWR1 YWwncyBpbnRlcmVzdCBhbmQgcGVyc29uYWxpdHkgYXMgdG8gd2hldGhlciB0aGV5J2QgZ2l2 ZSB1cCBhbmQgZ28gd29yayBvbiBzb21ldGhpbmcgZWxzZSwgb3Iga2VlcCB0cnlpbmcuDQo+ Pj4+Pj4+Pg0KPj4+Pj4+Pj4gQXMgZm9yIHRoZSAiR29kIGh5cG90aGVzaXMsIiBpdCdzIG5v dCBhIGRlZmluZWQgb3IgdGVzdGFibGUgaHlwb3RoZXNpcy4gQXMgeW91IHNheSwgaXQncyBp biBhIGRpZmZlcmVudCBjYXRlZ29yeSBmcm9tIHNjaWVudGlmaWMgaHlwb3RoZXNlcywgYW5k IHRoYXQgbWVhbnMgdGhhdCBpZiB5b3UgbGlrZSBpdCwgdGhlcmUncyBubyByZWFzb24gdG8g d2FpdCA1MDAgeWVhcnMgdG8gYWNjZXB0IGl0IChJIGRvbid0IHNheSB0byBwcm9wb3NlIGl0 LCBiZWNhdXNlIHRoYXQgd291bGQgaW1wbHkgdGhhdCBpdCB3YXMgYSBwcm9wb3NpdGlvbiB5 b3UgY291bGQgdGVzdCwgbGlrZSB0aGUgc2NpZW50aWZpYyBoeXBvdGhlc2VzKS4gSW5kZWVk LCB0aGVyZSBhcmUgY2VydGFpbmx5IGZvcm1zIG9mIHRoZSAiR29kIGh5cG90aGVzaXMiIHRo YXQgYXJlIGVudGlyZWx5IGNvbXBhdGlibGUgd2l0aCB0aGUgZXhpc3RlbmNlIG9mIGEgZnVs bHkgd29ya2VkIG91dCwgZXhwZXJpbWVudGFsbHkgc3VwcG9ydGVkIG5hdHVyYWxpc3RpYyBl eHBsYW5hdGlvbiBmb3IgT29MLiBTbyB5b3UncmUgb3B0aW9uIDMgZG9lc24ndCByZWFsbHkg YmVsb25nIGluIGEgbGlzdCB0aGF0IG1ha2VzIGl0IGxvb2sgbGlrZSBpdCBpcyBpbiBkaXJl Y3QgY29tcGV0aXRpb24gd2l0aCAxIGFuZCAyLg0KPj4+Pj4+PiBJbiB0aGUgY29udGV4dCBv ZiB0aGlzIGh5cG90aGV0aWNhbCwgZG9lc24ndCB0aGUgb2YgbG9naWMgUGFzY2FsJ3MgV2Fn ZXIqIG1ha2UgY29uc2lkZXJhdGlvbiBvZiBvcHRpb24gMyByYXRpb25hbCAocHJ1ZGVudCwg ZXZlbik/DQo+Pj4+Pj4gSSBkb24ndCBzZWUgaG93IFBhc2NhbCdzIHdhZ2VyIGFwcGxpZXMg aGVyZS4gVG8gbWUsIHRoZSBleGlzdGVuY2UgKG9yIG5vdCkgb2YgR29kIGlzIGEgY29tcGxl dGVseSBzZXBhcmF0ZSBpc3N1ZSBmcm9tIHdoZXRoZXIgd2UgZmlndXJlIG91dCBob3cgbGlm ZSBnb3Qgc3RhcnRlZC4gQSBmdWxseSBzdXBwb3J0ZWQgZGV0YWlsZWQgbW9kZWwgb2YgdGhl IE9vTCB3b3VsZCBub3QgYmUgZXZpZGVuY2UgYWdhaW5zdCBHb2QsIGFuZCA1IGNlbnR1cnkg bG9uZyBmYWlsdXJlIHRvIGZpZ3VyZSBvdXQgT29MIChvciBhbnkgb3RoZXIgc2NpZW50aWZp YyBwcm9ibGVtKSB3b3VsZCBub3QgYmUgbm90IGV2aWRlbmNlIGZvciBHb2QuDQo+Pj4+Pj4N Cj4+Pj4+PiBBbmQsIHNlcGFyYXRlbHksIEkgdGhpbmsgUGFzY2FsJ3Mgd2FnZXIgaXMgcmVh bGx5IHBvb3IgdGhlb2xvZ3kgYW5kIHBzeWNob2xvZ3kuIElmIEkgZG8gbm90IGJlbGlldmUg aW4gR29kLCBJIGNhbm5vdCBmb3JjZSBteXNlbGYgdG8gZG8gc28sIGV2ZW4gaWYgUGFzY2Fs IGNvbnZpbmNlcyBtZSB0aGF0LCBnYW1lIHRoZW9yZXRpY2FsbHksIGl0IHdvdWxkIGJlIGlu IG15IGJlc3QgaW50ZXJlc3RzIHRvIGRvIHNvLiBMb29rIGF0IGl0IGluIHJldmVyc2UgLSBp ZiBJIGJlbGlldmVkIGluIEdvZCwgYnV0IGl0IHdlcmUgYWdhaW5zdCBteSBzZWxmIGludGVy ZXN0IHRvIGRvIHNvLCB3b3VsZCBJIGJlIGFibGUgdG8gbWFrZSBteSBiZWxpZWYgZ28gYXdh eT8gV291bGQgaXQgc2VlbSBsaWtlIGEgZ29vZCB0aGluZyB0byBkbyBpZiBJIGNvdWxkPyBB bmQgSSBtZWFuIHJlYWxseSBjZWFzZSB0byBiZWxpZXZlLCBub3QgbWVyZWx5IGNlYXNlIHRv IGV4cHJlc3MgbXkgYmVsaWVmLiBQYXNjYWwncyBXYWdlciBpcyBwb2V0cnkgZm9yIHRob3Nl IHdobyBhbHJlYWR5IGJlbGlldmUsIG5vdCBhIHNlcmlvdXMgcHJvcG9zYWwuDQo+Pj4+PiBN eSByZXBseSB0byBCdXJraGFyZCBhdHRlbXB0cyB0byBhZGRyZXNzIHRoaXMuDQo+Pj4+IEkn bSBub3Qgc3VyZSB3aGF0IFBhc2NhbCdzIHdhZ2VyIGhhcyB0byBkbyB3aXRoIE9vTC4gSWYg UGFzY2FsJ3MgV2FnZXIgaXMgYSByZWFzb25hYmxlIHdheSB0byB0aGluaywgdGhlbiBpdHMg cmVhc29uYWJsZW5lc3MgZG9lcyBub3QgZGVwZW5kIG9uIHdoZXRoZXIgb3Igbm90IHRoZXJl IGlzIGEgc29saWQgc2NpZW50aWZpYyBleHBsYW5hdGlvbiBmb3IgdGhlIE9vTC4NCj4+Pj4N Cj4+Pj4gQnVya2hhcmQgaGFzIGFscmVhZHkgcmVzcG9uZGVkIHRvIHlvdSBhYm91dCBQYXNj YWwncyBXYWdlciBpdHNlbGYuIEkgYWdyZWUgd2l0aCBoaW0sIGZvciB0aGUgcmVhc29ucyBJ IGFscmVhZHkgZ2F2ZS4gSSBjYW5ub3QgY2hhbmdlIHdoYXQgSSBiZWxpZXZlIHNpbXBseSBi ZWNhdXNlIGl0IG1pZ2h0IGJlIGluIG15IHNlbGYgaW50ZXJlc3QgdG8gZG8gc28uIEluIGEg aHVtYW4gc2l0dWF0aW9uIEkgbWlnaHQgYmUgYWJsZSB0byBoaWRlIGEgc2V0IG9mIGJlbGll ZnMgb3IgcHJldGVuZCB0byBoYXZlIHRoZW0gaWYgZG9pbmcgc28gd2FzIGluIG15IHNlbGYg aW50ZXJlc3QsIGJ1dCBJIGNvdWxkIG5vdCBhY3R1YWxseSBjaGFuZ2UgdGhlbS4gU2luY2Ug dGhlIHNvcnRzIG9mIEdvZCB5b3UgYXJlIGludGVyZXN0ZWQgaW4gaW4gUGFzY2FsJ3MgV2Fn ZXIgd291bGQgbm90IGJlIGZvb2xlZCBieSBmZWlnbmVkIGJlbGllZiwgSSBkb24ndCByZWFs bHkgc2VlIHRoZSBwb2ludC4gQW5kIGFzIGZvciBjb25zaWRlcmluZyB0aGUgcG9zc2liaWxp dHkgdGhhdCBHb2QgZXhpc3RzLCBJIGRvbid0IG5lZWQgdG8gYmUgY29lcmNlZCBpbnRvIGRv aW5nIHRoYXQgYnkgZ2FtZSB0aGVvcnksIGl0J3Mgc29tZXRoaW5nIEkgaGF2ZSB0aG91Z2h0 IGFib3V0IHNlcmlvdXNseSBhbmQgb2Z0ZW4uIEkgZ3VhcmFudGVlIHlvdSB0aGF0IGF0IG5v IHBvaW50IGluIG15IG1hbnkgYmFjayBhbmQgZm9ydGhzIGJldHdlZW4gdmFyaW91cyBmb3Jt cyBvZiBDaHJpc3RpYW5pdHkgYW5kIGF0aGVpc20gZGlkIEkgZXZlciB0aGluayAtICJ0aGVy ZSdzIG9idmlvdXNseSBhIG5hdHVyYWxpc3RpYyBleHBsYW5hdGlvbiBmb3IgT29MIHNvIENo cmlzdGlhbml0eSBpcyBmYWxzZSIsIG9yLCAidGhlcmUncyBqdXN0IG5vIG5hdHVyYWxpc3Rp YyBleHBsYW5hdGlvbiBvZiBPb0wsIHNvIEkgZ3Vlc3MgSSBhY2NlcHQgSmVzdXMgQ2hyaXN0 IGFzIG15IHBlcnNvbmFsIExvcmQgYW5kIFNhdmlvciIuIFRoZSBvbmUgaGFzIGFic29sdXRl bHkgbm90aGluZyB0byBkbyB3aXRoIHRoZSBvdGhlci4NCj4+PiAiTm90ZSB0b28gdGhhdCBJ IGFtIG5vdCBzdWdnZXN0aW5nIHRoYXQgc3VjaCBhbiBpbnZlc3RpZ2F0aW9uIGluIGFuZCBv ZiBpdHNlbGYgY291bGQgb3Igc2hvdWxkIGxlYWQgdG8gaW5zaW5jZXJlIGJlbGllZiBhcyBh ZnRlcmxpZmUgaW5zdXJhbmNlLiINCj4+IE9mIGNvdXJzZSBpdCBjYW5ub3QgbGVhZCB0byBi ZWxpZWYgLSBJIGNhbm5vdCBjaGFuZ2Ugd2hhdCBJIGJlbGlldmUgYmVjYXVzZSBpdCdzIGlu IG15IHNlbGYgaW50ZXJlc3QgYWNjb3JkaW5nIHRvIFBhc2NhbCBvciBiZWNhdXNlIHlvdSBn aXZlIG1lIGEgbnVkZ2UgYW5kIHdpbmsgYW5kIHRlbGwgbWUgdGhhdCAibXkgZXRlcm5hbCBm dXR1cmUgaXMgb24gdGhlIGxpbmUuIg0KPj4NCj4+IEJ1dCB0aGF0J3MgdGhlIHBvaW50IG9m IFBhc2NhbCdzIFdhZ2VyLCByaWdodCwgYWZ0ZXJsaWZlIGluc3VyYW5jZT8gU29tZXRpbWVz IEkgZG9uJ3QgZ2V0IHdoYXQgeW91IGFjdHVhbGx5IGZpbmQgYXR0cmFjdGl2ZSBhYm91dCBD aHJpc3RpYW5pdHkuIFlvdSB3YW50IHRvIGFyZ3VlIGZvciBpdCBiYXNlZCBvbiB0aGUgaW5j b21wbGV0ZW5lc3Mgb2YgT29MIHJlc2VhcmNoIG9yIGluIHNvbWV0aGluZyBhcyBtZXJjZW5h cnkgYXMgUGFzY2FsJ3MgV2FnZXIuIE5vbmUgb2YgdGhhdCBpcyBnb2luZyB0byBpbnNwaXJl IGFueW9uZS4gU2VyaW91c2x5LiBQZW9wbGUgZ2V0IGluc3BpcmVkIGJ5IEplc3VzJyBtZXNz YWdlIG9yIGhpcyBwZXJzb25hbGl0eSBvciBkaXJlY3QgZXhwZXJpZW5jZXMgb2YgY29tbXVu aXR5IHdpdGggYmVsaWV2ZXJzLCBhbmQgdGhhdCBpbnNwaXJhdGlvbiBkb2VzIG5vdCBkZXBl bmQgb24gYmV0dGluZyB0aGF0IE9vTCByZXNlYXJjaCB3aWxsIHN0YWxsIG91dCBvciBvbiBn YW1lIHRoZW9yeSBvciBvbiB2ZWlsZWQgaGludHMgYWJvdXQgdGhlIGFmdGVybGlmZS4NCj4g DQo+IEhvdyBkb2VzIFBhc2NhbCdzIFdhZ2VyIGV2ZW4gd29yaz8gU3BlY2lmaWNhbGx5LCBo b3cgZG9lcyBvbmUgY2hvb3NlDQo+IHRvIF9fYmVsaWV2ZV9fPyBJIGRvbid0IHRoaW5rIEkg Y291bGQuIEkga25vdyB0aGF0IEkgdHJpZWQgd2hlbiBJIHdhcyB5b3VuZw0KPiBhbmQgaXQg ZGlkbid0IHdvcmsuIFByZXRlbmRpbmcgdG8gYmVsaWV2ZSB3aGVuIEkgZGlkbid0IGZlbHQg ZGlydHkuIEl0IHdvdWxkIGJlDQo+IGxpa2UgcHJldGVuZGluZyB0byBsb3ZlIHNvbWVvbmUg dGhhdCBJIGZlbHQgbm90aGluZyBmb3IuIEFuZCBwcmV0ZW5kaW5nIHNvDQo+IGZvciBzb21l IHBvdGVudGlhbCByZXdhcmQ/IHRoYXQgd291bGQgbWFrZSBtZSBhIHdob3JlLg0KPiANCj4g SSBoYXZlIG5vIHByb2JsZW0gd2l0aCBwZW9wbGUgd2hvIGJlbGlldmUuIE1vcmUgcG93ZXIg dG8gdGhlbS4gQnV0IG9uY2UNCj4gYW55b25lIHNheXMgd2h5IHRoZXkgYmVsaWV2ZSwgb3Ig ZG9uJ3QgYmVsaWV2ZSBpbiBYLCBhbmQgdHJ5IHRvIHNlbGwgbWUgb25lDQo+IHRob3NlIHJl YXNvbnMsIGl0IHNlZW1zIGZhaXIgdG8gYWRkcmVzcyB0aG9zZSByZWFzb25zLiBJZiB0aGV5 IHNheSB0aGV5DQo+IGJlbGlldmUgaW4gc29tZSBwYXJ0aWN1bGFyIGdvZCBiZWNhdXNlIHRo ZXkgd2FudCB0byBnZXQgaW50byBoZWF2ZW4sDQo+IEkgc21pbGUgYW5kIG1ha2UgYSBub3Rl IHRvIGJlIGNhcmVmdWwgYXJvdW5kIHRoZW0uIEkgZG9uJ3QgaGF2ZSBiaWcgcHJvYmxlbXMN Cj4gd2l0aCAodGhlaXN0aWMpIGJlbGlldmVycyBpbiBnZW5lcmFsLCBJIGhhdmUgZnJpZW5k cyBhbmQgZmFtaWx5IHdobyBhcmUgc3VjaA0KPiBiZWxpZXZlcnMuIEJ1dCBJIGRvbid0IHRo aW5rIGFueSBvZiB0aGVtIGhhdmUgd2hvcmVkIG91dCB0aGVpciBiZWxpZWYsIHRvIHRoZQ0K PiBleHRlbnQgdGhhdCBpcyBldmVuIHBvc3NpYmxlIHRvIGRvLCBpbiBob3BlcyBvZiBzb21l IHBvc3NpYmxlIHJld2FyZC4NCj4gDQpJIHRoaW5rIG9mIHRoZSAicG9wIiB2ZXJzaW9uIG9m IFBhc2NhbCdzIFdhZ2VyIGFzIFNhdGFuJ3MgV2FnZXI7IG9uY2UgDQpvbmUgY29uc2lkZXJz IHRoZSBpbXBsaWNhdGlvbnMgaXQncyBjb3Jyb3NpdmUgb2YgYmVsaWVmLiBJIGtub3cgYWxz byANCnJlYWxpc2UgdGhhdCwgdG8gdGhlIGV4dGVudCB0aGF0IGl0IGFkb3B0cyBTb2xhIEZp ZGVzIGFzIGFuIGF4aW9tLCBpdCBpcyANCmFsc28gY29ycm9zaXZlIG9mIG1vcmFscywgc28g U2F0YW4gZ2V0cyB5b3UgY29taW5nIGFuZCBnb2luZy4NCg0KW0ZvciB0aGUgYXZvaWRhbmNl IG9mIGRvdWJ0LCBTYXRhbiBoZXJlIGlzIGEgbWV0YXBob3IuXQ0KDQotLSANCmFsaWFzIEVy bmVzdCBNYWpvcg0KDQo=

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Fri Sep 22 05:10:51 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:45:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:25:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field. Would
    you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here after
    500 years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly
    meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years for
    people to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields that'
    s not available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'd
    give up and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't say
    to propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God, and
    5 century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so. Look at
    it in reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my belief.
    Pascal's Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.
    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be able to
    hide a set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the point.
    And as for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various forms
    of Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior". The
    one has absolutely nothing to do with the other.
    "Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance."
    Of course it cannot lead to belief - I cannot change what I believe because it's in my self interest according to Pascal or because you give me a nudge and wink and tell me that "my eternal future is on the line."

    But that's the point of Pascal's Wager, right, afterlife insurance? Sometimes I don't get what you actually find attractive about Christianity. You want to argue for it based on the incompleteness of OoL research or in something as mercenary as Pascal'
    s Wager. None of that is going to inspire anyone. Seriously. People get inspired by Jesus' message or his personality or direct experiences of community with believers, and that inspiration does not depend on betting that OoL research will stall out or
    on game theory or on veiled hints about the afterlife.

    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose
    to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so
    for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once
    anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 06:50:13 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    <big snip>
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    What makes you think people have not already looked around? And why do you think that "That's a nice potential afterlife you got there, wouldn't want anything to happen to it," is a particularly good way to get people who haven't thought about it to do
    so?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Fri Sep 22 06:36:26 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:45:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:25:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field.
    Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here
    after 500 years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly
    meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you
    say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years
    for people to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields
    that's not available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether they'
    d give up and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't
    say to propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against God,
    and 5 century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so.
    Look at it in reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my
    belief. Pascal's Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.
    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be able to
    hide a set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the point.
    And as for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various forms
    of Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior". The
    one has absolutely nothing to do with the other.
    "Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance."
    Of course it cannot lead to belief - I cannot change what I believe because it's in my self interest according to Pascal or because you give me a nudge and wink and tell me that "my eternal future is on the line."

    But that's the point of Pascal's Wager, right, afterlife insurance? Sometimes I don't get what you actually find attractive about Christianity. You want to argue for it based on the incompleteness of OoL research or in something as mercenary as
    Pascal's Wager. None of that is going to inspire anyone. Seriously. People get inspired by Jesus' message or his personality or direct experiences of community with believers, and that inspiration does not depend on betting that OoL research will stall
    out or on game theory or on veiled hints about the afterlife.
    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose
    to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young
    and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be
    like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one
    those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems
    with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such
    believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the
    extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.

    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Fri Sep 22 07:00:14 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:50:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    <big snip>
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    What makes you think people have not already looked around? And why do you think that "That's a nice potential afterlife you got there, wouldn't want anything to happen to it," is a particularly good way to get people who haven't thought about it to do
    so?

    I'm not suggesting people have not already looked around. Rather, I'm suggesting doing so seems like a reasonable response. Obviously if you have already looked, this suggestion is no longer applicable.

    So...not worth a bit of a look around (if you haven't already)? Anyone?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 06:53:40 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:45:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:25:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins" <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field.
    Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here
    after 500 years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly
    meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you
    say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500 years
    for people to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related fields
    that's not available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether
    they'd give up and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don't
    say to propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against
    God, and 5 century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so.
    Look at it in reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my
    belief. Pascal's Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.
    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be able
    to hide a set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the point.
    And as for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various forms
    of Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior". The
    one has absolutely nothing to do with the other.
    "Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance."
    Of course it cannot lead to belief - I cannot change what I believe because it's in my self interest according to Pascal or because you give me a nudge and wink and tell me that "my eternal future is on the line."

    But that's the point of Pascal's Wager, right, afterlife insurance? Sometimes I don't get what you actually find attractive about Christianity. You want to argue for it based on the incompleteness of OoL research or in something as mercenary as
    Pascal's Wager. None of that is going to inspire anyone. Seriously. People get inspired by Jesus' message or his personality or direct experiences of community with believers, and that inspiration does not depend on betting that OoL research will stall
    out or on game theory or on veiled hints about the afterlife.
    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose
    to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young
    and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be
    like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so
    for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one
    those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems
    with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such
    believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the
    extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?

    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 07:13:41 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:00:56 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:50:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    <big snip>
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    What makes you think people have not already looked around? And why do you think that "That's a nice potential afterlife you got there, wouldn't want anything to happen to it," is a particularly good way to get people who haven't thought about it to
    do so?
    I'm not suggesting people have not already looked around. Rather, I'm suggesting doing so seems like a reasonable response. Obviously if you have already looked, this suggestion is no longer applicable.

    So...not worth a bit of a look around (if you haven't already)? Anyone?

    Do you seriously think anyone posting to TO has not already "looked around"?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 07:17:08 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:00:56 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:50:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    <big snip>
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    What makes you think people have not already looked around? And why do you think that "That's a nice potential afterlife you got there, wouldn't want anything to happen to it," is a particularly good way to get people who haven't thought about it to
    do so?
    I'm not suggesting people have not already looked around. Rather, I'm suggesting doing so seems like a reasonable response. Obviously if you have already looked, this suggestion is no longer applicable.

    So...not worth a bit of a look around (if you haven't already)? Anyone?

    Are you trying to impersonate a Jehovah's Witness knocking on my door?
    Or are you wearing a cheap white shirt and tie and offering up a copy of the Book of Mormon? Repeating Bill's point, what makes you think we haven't
    looked into it before? The arrogance!

    Have you investigated Catholicism, Baptist theology, Lutheranism, Methodism, Islam, Sufism, Buddhism, Sikhism? I expect that a large number, perhaps even
    a majority, of regulars on talk.origins have investigated most, if not all of these.
    I have. So far, what you are offering up is very weak sauce.

    If you have a mission to evangelize for your faith because of your profound belief, I have some advice for you. Work harder to improve your background knowledge, and your communication skills. You are doing your cause a
    grand disservice.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 07:25:06 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.

    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Lawyer Daggett on Fri Sep 22 07:31:48 2023
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.

    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 07:46:19 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    We have been keeping up. When several of us answered 1 or 2, you brought up Pascal's Wager yourself. Your main interest in OoL seems to be about whether it can provide a gap for God to fit into, a gap which, if there is a God, that God certainly does
    not need. It all seems rather pointless, even more so, if your aim here is not evangelism.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Lawyer Daggett on Fri Sep 22 07:12:23 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 AM UTC-4, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:45:45 AM UTC-4, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:25:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 8:15:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 12:20:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 10:15:44 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:05:44 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 8:40:43 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 2:10:43 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 1:30:43 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 7:20:43 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 11:45:42 AM UTC+10, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 09:27:58 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:
    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 12:10:42?PM UTC-4, Bob Casanova wrote:
    On Tue, 19 Sep 2023 05:43:56 -0700 (PDT), the following
    appeared in talk.origins, posted by "talk.origins"
    <broger...@gmail.com>:

    On Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 8:30:42?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:

    <snip>

    After 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field.
    Would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis
    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    "All available hypotheses" just means "all the ones anyone has thought of yet," right?

    I'm sure you can guess that my choices would be 1 and 2, with maybe a little more inclination to 1, still leaving open the possibility that someone may come up with an idea that nobody thought of yet. But I won't be here
    after 500 years, so I'm not sure it matters.

    Before you can get to 3, you'd have to make "the God hypothesis" an actual, testable hypothesis. Otherwise it's just a label you put on our ignorance.

    Two points:
    1) There has been no more than 150 years of actual research
    into OoL; less than 100 years of even semi-serious sustained
    research.

    I think it was meant as a hypothetical even though he left out the IF at the beginning.

    I don't. But either is possible; I simply think, based on
    his prior history of hyperbole and unsupported assertions
    stated as fact, plus quote mining, that it was intentional.
    .
    Bob, my use of "500 years" and "consensus a large majority scientists" can
    only be hypothetical. Therefore, your interpretation as literal indicates either
    careless reading, limited comprehension or willful misconstruing?
    No.
    I testify that I read your original and did a double, then triple, the quadruple
    take. What the heck is he saying?

    Ultimately, I generously decided that you meant to insert an "If" before
    what you wrote. But it wasn't easy to assert that owing to other aspects
    of posts you have made.

    Firstly, it's so extremely clumsy to have written what you did, intending
    the preliminary conditional, but not including it. Do I presume that you
    are that inept? It's not unknown but it's seriously bad.

    I might add it's as bad or even worse than your earlier quote mining
    that distorted a published paper to support your "catch-22" assertion
    about the origins of protein translation, which you were extremely
    clumsy in defending. Asserting that a paper supports you, with a
    quote mine, when the paper clearly refutes that assertion is an
    extremely disreputable basis upon which to pontificate.

    Furthermore, your writing respective to the 500 years bit was absolutely
    bad.

    I puzzled over it. Literally, it was suggesting that there had been 500 years
    of OoL research that had failed, and that there was a consensus among
    informed scientists that such efforts had failed.

    Are readers supposed to ignore the fairly direct implication of your literal
    wording? Of course, your literal wording is absurd but what allowances are
    we supposed to make presuming that your writing skills are inept? Yes,
    this is harsh but you were the original author and you own the impact.

    Being somewhat generous, I did presume that you intended your whole
    supposition about 500 years of OoL research to be a conditional that
    ought to have begun with an "If". But of course that supposition was
    so clumsy that it was hard to take seriously.

    Why 500 years? A consensus among which scientists? What progress
    is presumed? What projections of progress exist and upon what are
    they predicated? Ultimately, it's a profoundly, obviously, stupid question.

    Yet it's understood that the dialog involved in pointing out that the
    conditional predicate that you might have intended (if you had
    basic expository skills) is so poorly formulated as to be mostly
    meaningless.

    Were you unaware of these inadequacies or just playing games?
    How to respond to the myriad answers?
    Okay, I'll concede that an 'if' would have significantly helped make the hypothetical explicit and clear. Bob, you're off the hook, my bad.

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would
    you say:
    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    As I said, I'd go for "we may never work this out." BUT, your hypothetical, hypothetical as it now clearly is, is a bit ill-defined. What happened during those 500 years? If there was absolutely no progress, it wouldn't take 500
    years for people to look for more tractable questions to spend their time on - they'd have already decided that they were never going to work this out, or that in order to work it out there'd have to be some accumulation of knowledge in other, related
    fields that's not available yet.

    On the other hand, if there'd been continuous progress, but no definitive solution, then I suspect lots of people would say "Let's keep at it."

    Ot maybe it's somewhere in between, lots of results that seem like a little bit of progress, but still no clear direction for where the answer might lie - then it would depend on individual's interest and personality as to whether
    they'd give up and go work on something else, or keep trying.

    As for the "God hypothesis," it's not a defined or testable hypothesis. As you say, it's in a different category from scientific hypotheses, and that means that if you like it, there's no reason to wait 500 years to accept it (I don'
    t say to propose it, because that would imply that it was a proposition you could test, like the scientific hypotheses). Indeed, there are certainly forms of the "God hypothesis" that are entirely compatible with the existence of a fully worked out,
    experimentally supported naturalistic explanation for OoL. So you're option 3 doesn't really belong in a list that makes it look like it is in direct competition with 1 and 2.
    In the context of this hypothetical, doesn't the of logic Pascal's Wager* make consideration of option 3 rational (prudent, even)?
    I don't see how Pascal's wager applies here. To me, the existence (or not) of God is a completely separate issue from whether we figure out how life got started. A fully supported detailed model of the OoL would not be evidence against
    God, and 5 century long failure to figure out OoL (or any other scientific problem) would not be not evidence for God.

    And, separately, I think Pascal's wager is really poor theology and psychology. If I do not believe in God, I cannot force myself to do so, even if Pascal convinces me that, game theoretically, it would be in my best interests to do so.
    Look at it in reverse - if I believed in God, but it were against my self interest to do so, would I be able to make my belief go away? Would it seem like a good thing to do if I could? And I mean really cease to believe, not merely cease to express my
    belief. Pascal's Wager is poetry for those who already believe, not a serious proposal.
    My reply to Burkhard attempts to address this.
    I'm not sure what Pascal's wager has to do with OoL. If Pascal's Wager is a reasonable way to think, then its reasonableness does not depend on whether or not there is a solid scientific explanation for the OoL.

    Burkhard has already responded to you about Pascal's Wager itself. I agree with him, for the reasons I already gave. I cannot change what I believe simply because it might be in my self interest to do so. In a human situation I might be
    able to hide a set of beliefs or pretend to have them if doing so was in my self interest, but I could not actually change them. Since the sorts of God you are interested in in Pascal's Wager would not be fooled by feigned belief, I don't really see the
    point. And as for considering the possibility that God exists, I don't need to be coerced into doing that by game theory, it's something I have thought about seriously and often. I guarantee you that at no point in my many back and forths between various
    forms of Christianity and atheism did I ever think - "there's obviously a naturalistic explanation for OoL so Christianity is false", or, "there's just no naturalistic explanation of OoL, so I guess I accept Jesus Christ as my personal Lord and Savior".
    The one has absolutely nothing to do with the other.
    "Note too that I am not suggesting that such an investigation in and of itself could or should lead to insincere belief as afterlife insurance."
    Of course it cannot lead to belief - I cannot change what I believe because it's in my self interest according to Pascal or because you give me a nudge and wink and tell me that "my eternal future is on the line."

    But that's the point of Pascal's Wager, right, afterlife insurance? Sometimes I don't get what you actually find attractive about Christianity. You want to argue for it based on the incompleteness of OoL research or in something as mercenary as
    Pascal's Wager. None of that is going to inspire anyone. Seriously. People get inspired by Jesus' message or his personality or direct experiences of community with believers, and that inspiration does not depend on betting that OoL research will stall
    out or on game theory or on veiled hints about the afterlife.
    How does Pascal's Wager even work? Specifically, how does one choose to __believe__? I don't think I could. I know that I tried when I was young
    and it didn't work. Pretending to believe when I didn't felt dirty. It would be
    like pretending to love someone that I felt nothing for. And pretending so
    for some potential reward? that would make me a whore.

    I have no problem with people who believe. More power to them. But once
    anyone says why they believe, or don't believe in X, and try to sell me one
    those reasons, it seems fair to address those reasons. If they say they
    believe in some particular god because they want to get into heaven,
    I smile and make a note to be careful around them. I don't have big problems
    with (theistic) believers in general, I have friends and family who are such
    believers. But I don't think any of them have whored out their belief, to the
    extent that is even possible to do, in hopes of some possible reward.
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?

    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Lawyer Daggett@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 07:54:42 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter

    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not
    in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound
    in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated
    but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From DB Cates@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 10:39:50 2023
    On 2023-09-22 6:23 AM, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:20:44 PM UTC+10, Burkhard wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:45:44 AM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 2:45:43 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote: >>>> On 9/20/23 11:09 PM, MarkE wrote:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    I asked once before, and I ask again: What is the difference between a >>>> supernatural explanation ("God-hypothesis" included) and "explanation
    unknown"?

    I won't say you own me an answer, but you very much owe yourself one.
    A supernatural explanation potentially has major personal ramifications. >>> --
    can't see why. Here two models with supernatural explanation:
    - a supernatural designer created life, then died
    - a supernatural designer created life, then moved on to other things/universes
    - a supernatural designer created life, but only as a cruel joke
    - a supernatural designer created life as a form of biological weapon to be used
    against other deities
    - a supernatural designer created life, but hoped it would stay on a very primitive level
    and would have hated the idea of that life developing the ability to
    reason about its origin

    lots of other possibilities as well. The mere existence of a supernatural designer
    is consistent with lots and lots of theories that have no personal remifications
    whatsoever

    Yep, which is why I used the qualifier "potentially".

    Nevertheless, as per the wager, potentially your eternal future is on the line -- not worth a bit of a look around?

    What do you propose I look for and especially how do I go about "looking"?
    --
    --
    Don Cates ("he's a cunning rascal" PN)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 08:35:51 2023
    On 9/22/23 4:23 AM, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:20:44 PM UTC+10, Burkhard wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:45:44 AM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 2:45:43 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote: >>>> On 9/20/23 11:09 PM, MarkE wrote:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    I asked once before, and I ask again: What is the difference between a >>>> supernatural explanation ("God-hypothesis" included) and "explanation
    unknown"?

    I won't say you own me an answer, but you very much owe yourself one.
    A supernatural explanation potentially has major personal ramifications. >>> --
    can't see why. Here two models with supernatural explanation:
    - a supernatural designer created life, then died
    - a supernatural designer created life, then moved on to other things/universes
    - a supernatural designer created life, but only as a cruel joke
    - a supernatural designer created life as a form of biological weapon to be used
    against other deities
    - a supernatural designer created life, but hoped it would stay on a very primitive level
    and would have hated the idea of that life developing the ability to
    reason about its origin

    lots of other possibilities as well. The mere existence of a supernatural designer
    is consistent with lots and lots of theories that have no personal remifications
    whatsoever

    Yep, which is why I used the qualifier "potentially".

    Nevertheless, as per the wager, potentially your eternal future is on the line -- not worth a bit of a look around?

    Looking at what? What's there to look at that separates supernatural
    from unknown?

    "Seek and you shall find" the Bible says somewhere. What it leaves out
    is that someone seeking hard enough will find what he is looking for
    even if it doesn't exist. Any god I could worship would value curiosity
    but would *not* reward self-deception in response to it. The same sort
    of principle applies to Pascal's wager. The moral and theological
    problems with it make it unambiguously a step *away* from a decent god.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Burkhard@21:1/5 to MarkE on Fri Sep 22 10:07:52 2023
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 1:25:45 PM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 7:20:44 PM UTC+10, Burkhard wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:45:44 AM UTC+2, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 2:45:43 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/20/23 11:09 PM, MarkE wrote:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    I asked once before, and I ask again: What is the difference between a supernatural explanation ("God-hypothesis" included) and "explanation unknown"?

    I won't say you own me an answer, but you very much owe yourself one.
    A supernatural explanation potentially has major personal ramifications. --
    can't see why. Here two models with supernatural explanation:
    - a supernatural designer created life, then died
    - a supernatural designer created life, then moved on to other things/universes
    - a supernatural designer created life, but only as a cruel joke
    - a supernatural designer created life as a form of biological weapon to be used
    against other deities
    - a supernatural designer created life, but hoped it would stay on a very primitive level
    and would have hated the idea of that life developing the ability to reason about its origin

    lots of other possibilities as well. The mere existence of a supernatural designer
    is consistent with lots and lots of theories that have no personal remifications
    whatsoever
    Yep, which is why I used the qualifier "potentially".

    Nevertheless, as per the wager, potentially your eternal future is on the line -- not worth a bit of a look around?

    You ask me if it is worth shopping around when it comes to religions? That is..ironic...
    My guess is you pretty much stayed with the one that's the dominant belief system where
    you grew up? Confusing childhood certainties with reasoned belief formation is all too common
    in this space.

    Me by contrast, I actually like religions - and as always when one likes something, having a lot
    of variety seems like a natural thing to do. So I had back-to-back pilgrimage to Lourdes and Protestant
    Kirchentag when I was younger, participate in the rites of a local Labrys group and their rituals (my
    favourites, even though one should not have favourites, I know), jump over the fire at Beltane,
    offered mead at the geblōt, organised reading groups with our Quakers etc.

    And in my professional capacity I co-supervised two PhDs with colleagues in Divinity,
    published about Vedic, Christian, Islamic and Jewish theology, and organised events with the Science and Society committee of the Church of Scotland and the
    UK Humanist Association on Neuroscience and the person, with the Dominicans on AI and just war,
    with our Buddhist temple on AI and emotions,

    It is precisely because I'm "religion positive" that I strongly dislike the theological perversion that
    is natural theology, and the reduction of the divine to an incompetent tinkerer deity that is evoked
    whenever one is too lazy to do proper science.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Fri Sep 22 18:33:01 2023
    On 22/09/2023 15:13, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:00:56 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:50:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    <big snip>
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    What makes you think people have not already looked around? And why do you think that "That's a nice potential afterlife you got there, wouldn't want anything to happen to it," is a particularly good way to get people who haven't thought about it to
    do so?
    I'm not suggesting people have not already looked around. Rather, I'm suggesting doing so seems like a reasonable response. Obviously if you have already looked, this suggestion is no longer applicable.

    So...not worth a bit of a look around (if you haven't already)? Anyone?

    Do you seriously think anyone posting to TO has not already "looked around"?

    On the side of the coin, has he had a look around Islam? Buddhism?
    Hinduism? Shinto? Tengrism? the Bahai faith? Sikhism? Zoreasterism?
    Jainism? Yezidism? Wicca? Asatru? Mormonism?

    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Lawyer Daggett on Fri Sep 22 23:51:29 2023
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not
    in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.

    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism),
    and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.wikipedia.
    org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not to
    suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Ernest Major on Sat Sep 23 00:02:00 2023
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 3:35:44 AM UTC+10, Ernest Major wrote:
    On 22/09/2023 15:13, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:00:56 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:50:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:30:45 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    <big snip>
    To put the most
    positive spin on
    Mark's point, I
    think he is not
    arguing that you
    can make yourself
    believe in response
    to Pascal's Wager,
    only that it might
    prompt you to
    investigate whe-
    ther you might
    be open to belief.
    It's still a poor
    approach - sort of
    a threat - think
    about this because
    if you don't you
    might have a bad
    afterlife. Not very
    inspiring if you ask
    me.
    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others >>>> - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    What makes you think people have not already looked around? And why do you think that "That's a nice potential afterlife you got there, wouldn't want anything to happen to it," is a particularly good way to get people who haven't thought about it
    to do so?
    I'm not suggesting people have not already looked around. Rather, I'm suggesting doing so seems like a reasonable response. Obviously if you have already looked, this suggestion is no longer applicable.

    So...not worth a bit of a look around (if you haven't already)? Anyone?

    Do you seriously think anyone posting to TO has not already "looked around"?

    On the side of the coin, has he had a look around Islam? Buddhism?
    Hinduism? Shinto? Tengrism? the Bahai faith? Sikhism? Zoreasterism?
    Jainism? Yezidism? Wicca? Asatru? Mormonism?

    I acknowledge your point. I've discussed this issue with my own kids. We all form our beliefs from a complex and imprecise mixture of factors and influences.

    I've been surprised at by the explicit mentions of Jesus in the Koran; my reading of the history of Islam reveals major problems. I have also done comparative study of other religions, in particular Buddhism, Hinduism, Sikhism, and Mormonism. But not
    exhaustively, nor generally to a depth that I would ask of a member of another faith to investigate Christianity.


    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sat Sep 23 09:01:40 2023
    On 23/09/2023 07:51, MarkE wrote:
    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism),
    and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself).https://en.wikipedia.
    org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.

    To address one point, non-overlapping magisteria is incompatible with
    God of the gaps arguments. Additionally non-overlapping magisteria is incompatible with creationism.

    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sat Sep 23 09:11:10 2023
    On 23/09/2023 07:51, MarkE wrote:
    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism),
    and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself).https://en.wikipedia.
    org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.

    The practice of science requires repeatable (at least statistically so) relations between cause and effect. That means that science could
    investigate supernatural entities provided that such entities (exist
    and) are constrained in some fashion.

    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sat Sep 23 04:36:45 2023
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 2:55:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.
    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism),
    and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.wikipedia.
    org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    I do not think there is a relationship between science and the supernatural. Supernatural explanations are not explanations, they are just a name you put on your ignorance of what's going on. It is certainly not the default explanation which gets to be
    enthroned without passing any empirical tests simply because some given number of non-supernatural explanations have not panned out.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Ernest Major on Sat Sep 23 04:12:07 2023
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 6:05:45 PM UTC+10, Ernest Major wrote:
    On 23/09/2023 07:51, MarkE wrote:
    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism)
    , and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself).https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    To address one point, non-overlapping magisteria is incompatible with
    God of the gaps arguments. Additionally non-overlapping magisteria is incompatible with creationism.

    I should mention that I don't agree with Gould's claim of non-overlapping magisteria. But it does provide a reference point.


    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Martin Harran@21:1/5 to All on Sat Sep 23 13:11:14 2023
    On Thu, 21 Sep 2023 04:37:36 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Thursday, September 21, 2023 at 9:05:44?PM UTC+10, Martin Harran wrote:
    On Wed, 20 Sep 2023 23:09:47 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    [...]

    So then, Bob, LD, and others:

    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    Back in July 2022, I posted a detailed review of Stephen Meyer's book
    "'Return of the God Hypothesis: Three Scientific Discoveries That
    Reveal the Mind Behind the Universe'".

    If you want to read the whole review, you can find it here:

    1a3tdhte2stpr46o3...@4ax.com
    Or
    https://groups.google.com/g/talk.origins/c/z8Yq7lvkAfU/m/um8mt8MDAgAJ


    It is a bit long so I'll quote one part of it that I think is relevant
    here:

    =============================

    As mentioned earlier, Meyer at least gets away from the undefined,
    'choose what you want' type of designer and comes out in favour of
    God. This, however, creates an even bigger problem for me. On page
    269, he defines theism, saying that it "affirms a personal,
    intelligent, transcendent God." [3]

    I have no issue with that definition as it is exactly the sort of God
    that I believe in. Where I have a problem with Meyer's ideas is with
    the word 'personal' which to me, in terms of theism, implies a God
    with whom I can have an interactive relationship. Nowhere in his book
    does Meyer explain the jump from a God fiddling about with the factors
    in the anthropic principle or tweaking DNA to a God with whom we can
    individually and collectively interact or a God that we can join with
    in the afterlife."

    ===========================

    Would you care to comment on that issue?

    I read this after responding to your post in another thread, so have look there also: https://groups.google.com/g/talk.origins/c/JKnUO3rwKo4/m/NlPP2oIPCAAJ

    I've included ny response to this post in my reply on that thread.


    I will have a read of your review of Meyer's book too (I have read the book).

    You comment that "Nowhere in his book does Meyer explain the jump from a God fiddling about with the factors in the anthropic principle or tweaking DNA to a God with whom we can individually and collectively interact or a God that we can join with in
    the afterlife." I don't think Meyer is being evasive or missing an opportunity, but rather it sits outside of science, in the province of special revelation.

    "Special Revelation is a contrast to General Revelation, which refers to the knowledge of God and spiritual matters which reputedly can be discovered through natural means, such as observation of nature, philosophy and reasoning, conscience or
    providence." >https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_revelation#:~:text=Special%20Revelation%20is%20a%20contrast,and%20reasoning%2C%20conscience%20or%20providence.



    4. Other (please elaborate)

    You may choose more than one option.

    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter

    [...]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Sat Sep 23 13:57:37 2023
    On Fri, 22 Sep 2023 23:51:29 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote: >> On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45?PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not >> in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a
    God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound >> in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions >> about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated >> but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds. >>
    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.

    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism),
    and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.wikipedia.
    org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not to
    suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.



    This thread took a wrong turn when it failed to distinguish between
    objective facts and subjective values/priorities. Debates about
    science can involve both, but often become bogged down in
    question-begging and taking past each other. Raising NOMA is a good
    first step toward mitigating those problems.

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to rondean-noreply@gmail.com on Sat Sep 23 22:13:53 2023
    On Thu, 21 Sep 2023 14:07:31 -0400, Ron Dean
    <rondean-noreply@gmail.com> wrote:

    As I pointed out earlier, I was forced into early retirement because of a >heart attack, & kidney failure, but I was offered my job back as a >contractor
    w/no benefits, but w/a bit more income. So, I'm employed now. You've
    been a good supporter through these trying times. It meant a lot to me!
    Thank you;
    Ron Dean


    Thank you for your kind words. I am glad to see you separate your self
    from your arguments.

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to broger...@gmail.com on Sun Sep 24 15:46:29 2023
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 9:40:46 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 2:55:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not
    in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound
    in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions
    about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated
    but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.
    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism)
    , and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    I do not think there is a relationship between science and the supernatural. Supernatural explanations are not explanations, they are just a name you put on your ignorance of what's going on. It is certainly not the default explanation which gets to be
    enthroned without passing any empirical tests simply because some given number of non-supernatural explanations have not panned out.

    Actually, supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power [1]. A fraction of
    these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.

    Yes, natural vs supernatural explanations are investigated differently, but science is not the sole source and arbiter of all truth. Better still though if science itself points to the *possible* need for supernatural explanation of life - which the
    state of OoL research is beginning to do I think.

    [1] "According to the poll, just over half of scientists (51%) believe in some form of deity or higher power; specifically, 33% of scientists say they believe in God, while 18% believe in a universal spirit or higher power. By contrast, 95% of Americans
    believe in some form of deity or higher power..." https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2009/11/05/scientists-and-belief/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to jillery on Sun Sep 24 15:58:42 2023
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:00:46 AM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Fri, 22 Sep 2023 23:51:29 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45?PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote: >> > >

    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not >> in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a
    God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound
    in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions
    about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated
    but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.

    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism),
    and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    This thread took a wrong turn when it failed to distinguish between objective facts and subjective values/priorities. Debates about
    science can involve both, but often become bogged down in
    question-begging and taking past each other. Raising NOMA is a good
    first step toward mitigating those problems.

    Agreed. It seems difficult to establish provisional, generally accepted guidelines. Anyone aware of previous threads or articles that attempt this?


    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 24 16:11:56 2023
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 6:50:47 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 9:40:46 PM UTC+10, broger...@gmail.com wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 2:55:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45 AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45 PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not
    in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound
    in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions
    about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated
    but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.
    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological
    naturalism), and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's
    not to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural
    processes alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim
    be legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    I do not think there is a relationship between science and the supernatural. Supernatural explanations are not explanations, they are just a name you put on your ignorance of what's going on. It is certainly not the default explanation which gets to
    be enthroned without passing any empirical tests simply because some given number of non-supernatural explanations have not panned out.
    Actually, supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power [1]. A fraction of
    these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.

    I'm not sure what you mean by calling the bare idea that the origin of life was supernatural a hypothesis. There's no detail at all, no predictions, no method by which it could be falsified. It is so general that it is compatible with any and all
    possible evidence, and it is compatible with a simultaneous natural explanation for the origin of life. It is not a hypothesis in the same category as scientific hypotheses. If you were to treat it as a hypothesis in its own right, you'd need to supply
    enough detail to make it testable and falsifiable.

    Yes, natural vs supernatural explanations are investigated differently, but science is not the sole source and arbiter of all truth. Better still though if science itself points to the *possible* need for supernatural explanation of life - which the
    state of OoL research is beginning to do I think.

    Of course science is not the sole arbiter of truth. It certainly does not point to a supernatural explanation of anything, though. Supernatural explanations, as you have said yourself, are in a different category from scientific ones. They cannot compete
    with them, they do not require detail or evidence, and they are not mutually exclusive with scientific explanations. The lack of a scientific explanation is not evidence for a supernatural one (and indeed, supernatural ones do not require evidence anyway)
    . Lack of a scientific explanation is only evidence of human ignorance.

    [1] "According to the poll, just over half of scientists (51%) believe in some form of deity or higher power; specifically, 33% of scientists say they believe in God, while 18% believe in a universal spirit or higher power. By contrast, 95% of
    Americans believe in some form of deity or higher power..."
    https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2009/11/05/scientists-and-belief/

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Sun Sep 24 17:55:02 2023
    On 9/22/23 11:51 PM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism),
    and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.wikipedia.
    org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    You refer to the supernatural a lot, but the term is very poorly
    defined. I suggest you replace each and every occurrence of it in your writings with one of "unknown", "personal unsubstantiated belief", or
    "mythic tradition." All mentions of the supernatural (not just by you),
    I think you will find, fit in one or more of those categories.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Mark Isaak on Sun Sep 24 19:56:49 2023
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 10:55:47 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/22/23 11:51 PM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism)
    , and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?
    You refer to the supernatural a lot, but the term is very poorly
    defined. I suggest you replace each and every occurrence of it in your writings with one of "unknown", "personal unsubstantiated belief", or "mythic tradition." All mentions of the supernatural (not just by you),
    I think you will find, fit in one or more of those categories.

    Yes, it could be as unspecified as "not natural", but I'd suggest a definition along the lines of "transcendent supernatural agency" or an "intelligent designer", which I think is commonly accepted, at least in broad terms. Investigating this is the
    province of theology etc.

    To reiterate: The supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power. A fraction of
    these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 25 08:26:11 2023
    On 25/09/2023 03:56, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 10:55:47 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/22/23 11:51 PM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism)
    , and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?
    You refer to the supernatural a lot, but the term is very poorly
    defined. I suggest you replace each and every occurrence of it in your
    writings with one of "unknown", "personal unsubstantiated belief", or
    "mythic tradition." All mentions of the supernatural (not just by you),
    I think you will find, fit in one or more of those categories.

    Yes, it could be as unspecified as "not natural", but I'd suggest a definition along the lines of "transcendent supernatural agency" or an "intelligent designer", which I think is commonly accepted, at least in broad terms. Investigating this is the
    province of theology etc.

    You've committed recursion in defining "supernatural" as "transcendent supernatural agency". You've also either narrowed the scope of
    supernaturality greatly, or narrowed the scope of potential interaction
    between science and the supernatural greatly.

    I wouldn't expect many people to exclude ghosts, leprechauns and souls
    from the supernatural, or to include angels, djinn and genii loci among
    the transcendent.

    For supernatural abiogenesis you can restrict the sets of supernatural
    agencies processes somewhat, but not for the more general question of
    the relationship between science and the supernatural.

    Science is a process to describe (if you're a realist) or model (if
    you're an anti-realist) the world. Supernatural explanations are only
    useful to scientific explanations if they're more than a placeholder for ignorance. To convert Intelligent Design from the propaganda arm of a religiously motivated political movement to a scientific research
    program you have to investigate how the Intelligent Design filled
    whatever gap you're appealing to. For example you have to attempt to
    answer the question as to why your Intelligent Designer intervened to
    generate life rather than create a universe in which it spontaneously
    occurred (is life an afterthough, or are there two different Intelligent Designers. or ...?)

    To reiterate: The supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power. A fraction
    of these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell


    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Martin Harran@21:1/5 to Ernest Major on Mon Sep 25 01:34:20 2023
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 8:30:48 AM UTC+1, Ernest Major wrote:

    [...]

    Science is a process to describe (if you're a realist) or model (if
    you're an anti-realist) the world. Supernatural explanations are only
    useful to scientific explanations if they're more than a placeholder for ignorance. To convert Intelligent Design from the propaganda arm of a religiously motivated political movement to a scientific research
    program you have to investigate how the Intelligent Design filled
    whatever gap you're appealing to. For example you have to attempt to
    answer the question as to why your Intelligent Designer intervened to generate life rather than create a universe in which it spontaneously occurred (is life an afterthough, or are there two different Intelligent Designers. or ...?)

    From a religious aspect, I'm still waiting for someone from the ID camp to explain to me how they get from a God fiddling about with molecules to a personal God with whom I can have a relationship.

    [...]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 25 04:09:14 2023
    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 11:00:47 PM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 10:55:47 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/22/23 11:51 PM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological
    naturalism), and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's
    not to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural
    processes alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim
    be legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?
    You refer to the supernatural a lot, but the term is very poorly
    defined. I suggest you replace each and every occurrence of it in your writings with one of "unknown", "personal unsubstantiated belief", or "mythic tradition." All mentions of the supernatural (not just by you),
    I think you will find, fit in one or more of those categories.
    Yes, it could be as unspecified as "not natural", but I'd suggest a definition along the lines of "transcendent supernatural agency" or an "intelligent designer", which I think is commonly accepted, at least in broad terms. Investigating this is the
    province of theology etc.
    .....
    To reiterate: The supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right.

    Here's the problem I have with those two sentences. You say the supernatural origin of life is a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. But you do not treat it as such. You give no details. You give no methodology by which one might decide whether such
    a supernatural hypothesis were correct. You do not demand of it the same level of detail and empirical support (provided within a time limit) that you demand for non-supernatural hypotheses.

    In fact, you only ever act as though an unspecified supernatural hypothesis was the default in the case that non-supernatural hypotheses are not shown to be well-supported within some finite span of time. You never provide empirical evidence for a
    supernatural hypothesis, except to the extent that you seem to think that evidence against, or lack of definitive evidence supporting some specific set of non-supernatural hypotheses is evidence in favor of the supernatural. So while you claim that the
    supernatural is its own legitimate hypothesis, you only ever treat it as a default. ANd you do not justify why it should be treated as one.

    And it is all, in a sense, a waste of time, from a theological point of view. God's existence is in no way threatened by a natural explanation for the origin of life (since God would be the author of nature itself and all its laws). Nor is the failure of
    humans to understand OoL, or how to unify General Relativity and Quantum Mechanics, or whether the Standard Model of particle physics is correct or any other scientific problem, be evidence for the existence of God.


    Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power. A fraction of these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.


    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Mon Sep 25 07:34:38 2023
    On Sun, 24 Sep 2023 15:58:42 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:00:46?AM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Fri, 22 Sep 2023 23:51:29 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45?PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote: >> >> > >

    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F
    The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not
    in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a
    God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound
    in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions
    about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated
    but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.

    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological naturalism)
    , and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's not
    to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural processes
    alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim be
    legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    This thread took a wrong turn when it failed to distinguish between
    objective facts and subjective values/priorities. Debates about
    science can involve both, but often become bogged down in
    question-begging and taking past each other. Raising NOMA is a good
    first step toward mitigating those problems.

    Agreed. It seems difficult to establish provisional, generally accepted guidelines. Anyone aware of previous threads or articles that attempt this?


    To be clear, you need to adjust your position wrt NOMA. OoL is not a
    matter of value/priority, the supernatural is not a matter of
    objective facts, and NOMA isn't an excuse to conflate the two. People
    can discuss for example the meaning of life, and opinions about the supernatural could be relevant to that. OTOH the supernatural has no
    relevance to an objective, material explanation of how life
    originated, any more than covalent bonds have any relevance to
    personal happiness.

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to jillery on Mon Sep 25 05:36:54 2023
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:35:48 PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Sun, 24 Sep 2023 15:58:42 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:00:46?AM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Fri, 22 Sep 2023 23:51:29 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote: >> >> > > > On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45?PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F >> >> > > > > The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not
    in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a
    God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound
    in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions
    about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated
    but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.

    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological
    naturalism), and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's
    not to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural
    processes alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim
    be legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    This thread took a wrong turn when it failed to distinguish between
    objective facts and subjective values/priorities. Debates about
    science can involve both, but often become bogged down in
    question-begging and taking past each other. Raising NOMA is a good
    first step toward mitigating those problems.

    Agreed. It seems difficult to establish provisional, generally accepted guidelines. Anyone aware of previous threads or articles that attempt this?


    To be clear, you need to adjust your position wrt NOMA. OoL is not a
    matter of value/priority, the supernatural is not a matter of
    objective facts, and NOMA isn't an excuse to conflate the two. People
    can discuss for example the meaning of life, and opinions about the supernatural could be relevant to that. OTOH the supernatural has no relevance to an objective, material explanation of how life
    originated, any more than covalent bonds have any relevance to
    personal happiness.

    Worth clarifying. NOMA proposes a hard separation (if I understand correctly), and accordingly doesn't offer scope for conflation?

    I recognise these are different domains of knowledge and enquiry, with an inherent risk of category error. I wonder if Gould's purpose in formulating NOMA was a genuine attempt to respect both and guard against category errors, or disingenuously telling
    religion to butt out. In any case, as I've argued (unconvincingly for many), the God hypothesis is competing or at least overlapping with naturalistic causation; moreover, the more science struggles to support the latter, the stronger the case for the
    former becomes, all else being equal.

    In broadest terms, is it a dichotomy of materialism ("the theory or belief that nothing exists except matter and its movements and modifications") or supernaturalism ("phenomena or entities that are beyond the laws of nature")? I'm not sure of the answer
    btw.

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From MarkE@21:1/5 to Ernest Major on Mon Sep 25 05:56:48 2023
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 5:30:48 PM UTC+10, Ernest Major wrote:
    On 25/09/2023 03:56, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 10:55:47 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/22/23 11:51 PM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological
    naturalism), and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's
    not to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural
    processes alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim
    be legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?
    You refer to the supernatural a lot, but the term is very poorly
    defined. I suggest you replace each and every occurrence of it in your
    writings with one of "unknown", "personal unsubstantiated belief", or
    "mythic tradition." All mentions of the supernatural (not just by you), >> I think you will find, fit in one or more of those categories.

    Yes, it could be as unspecified as "not natural", but I'd suggest a definition along the lines of "transcendent supernatural agency" or an "intelligent designer", which I think is commonly accepted, at least in broad terms. Investigating this is the
    province of theology etc.
    You've committed recursion in defining "supernatural" as "transcendent supernatural agency". You've also either narrowed the scope of supernaturality greatly, or narrowed the scope of potential interaction between science and the supernatural greatly.

    Fair point, that was sloppy of me to double up on "supernatural".

    Narrowing the scope was intentional, on the basis that creation of the universe and life is presumably above the pay grade of ghosts, leprechauns and souls.


    I wouldn't expect many people to exclude ghosts, leprechauns and souls
    from the supernatural, or to include angels, djinn and genii loci among
    the transcendent.

    For supernatural abiogenesis you can restrict the sets of supernatural agencies processes somewhat, but not for the more general question of
    the relationship between science and the supernatural.

    Science is a process to describe (if you're a realist) or model (if
    you're an anti-realist) the world. Supernatural explanations are only
    useful to scientific explanations if they're more than a placeholder for ignorance. To convert Intelligent Design from the propaganda arm of a religiously motivated political movement to a scientific research
    program you have to investigate how the Intelligent Design filled
    whatever gap you're appealing to. For example you have to attempt to
    answer the question as to why your Intelligent Designer intervened to generate life rather than create a universe in which it spontaneously occurred (is life an afterthough, or are there two different Intelligent Designers. or ...?)

    There are many complaints here that ID doesn't offer an alternative empirically testable hypothesis. I don't think anyone is suggesting that we perform experiments to discover the identity and nature of the designer, or specifically how a designer
    assembled say the first cell. However, these calls for a theory of ID may have some legitimacy I think, e.g. if life was created by a designer with super intelligence and foward-looking ability (in sharp contrast with evolution), then make predictions on
    this basis, and as science advances compare them with the predictions of evolutionary model. Surely the respective predictions will be very different...


    To reiterate: The supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power. A fraction
    of these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mark Isaak@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 25 07:46:55 2023
    On 9/24/23 7:56 PM, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 10:55:47 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    [...]
    You refer to the supernatural a lot, but the term is very poorly
    defined. I suggest you replace each and every occurrence of it in your
    writings with one of "unknown", "personal unsubstantiated belief", or
    "mythic tradition." All mentions of the supernatural (not just by you),
    I think you will find, fit in one or more of those categories.

    Yes, it could be as unspecified as "not natural", but I'd suggest a definition along the lines of "transcendent supernatural agency" or an "intelligent designer", which I think is commonly accepted, at least in broad terms. Investigating this is the
    province of theology etc.

    First, "natural" is as poorly defined as "supernatural"; if anything, it
    has even more ambiguity. Styrofoam packing material, e.g., is not
    natural but (I think most would agree) is not supernatural.

    "Intelligent designer" (excepting those, like writers and engineers,
    that exist physically) falls squarely in the "personal unsubstantiated
    belief" category. Their existence is not commonly accepted.
    "Transcendent supernatural agency" is part of mythic tradition and is
    commonly accepted as such, but as an actual being or beings, has no
    common acceptance as to qualities it or they may have, including
    existence. More importantly, there is absolutely no way to *reach*
    agreement on such matters, short of exterminating unbelievers (and even
    that doesn't last).

    To reiterate: The supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power. A fraction
    of these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.

    To reiterate: The supernatural origin of life is an unsubstantiated
    personal belief which does not, by any stretch, qualify as a legitimate hypothesis. To be a scientific hypothesis, it would need to say
    something which could be tested to distinguish it from other hypotheses.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Mon Sep 25 13:39:22 2023
    On Mon, 25 Sep 2023 05:36:54 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22over7@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:35:48?PM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Sun, 24 Sep 2023 15:58:42 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 4:00:46?AM UTC+10, jillery wrote:
    On Fri, 22 Sep 2023 23:51:29 -0700 (PDT), MarkE <me22...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:55:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:35:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 12:25:45?AM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 10:15:45?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote: >> >> >> > > > On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 11:55:45?PM UTC+10, Lawyer Daggett wrote:
    On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:40:46?AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:


    Thanks, that's all I'm suggesting. And it's just one reason to prompt you to investigate whether you might be open to belief; collect the set:
    - possible eternal consequences, good or bad, for yourself and others
    - possible positive benefits or pitfalls avoided here and now for yourself and others
    - a search for truth and meaning
    - curiosity

    Not worth a bit of a look around? Anyone?
    123456789A123456789B123456789C123456789D123456789E123456789F >> >> >> > > > > The curious thing is that you presume that people are unfamiliar with the varied
    claims and promises of various religions. Why? Why do you presume that?
    .
    Similar to my reply to Bill, I'm only suggesting that consideration of the claims and
    promises of various religions would be a reasonable response. If one has already
    made such a consideration, good.

    What is fascinating here is the absolute unwillingness to concede this, even allowing
    any amount of clarification, qualification or correction.
    The arrogance you display by presuming that others are unfamiliar with the "claims
    and promises" of various religions works against you. Protip: saying things that
    presume the target of your prose is ignorant tends to piss them off, especially
    when it becomes clear that they are better educated than you.

    Is this your mission? To offend and alienate others? I'm trying to help you out here
    and explain to you that, from the perspective of what you seem to be trying to
    accomplish, you are utterly failing. Take and pause and think.
    Try to keep up. My aim here is not evangelism. It's asking for responses to the hypothetical I previously set out:
    If, after 500 years on sustained research into origin of life, all available* naturalistic avenues and hypotheses have been demonstrated to be inadequate, and this is the consensus a large majority scientists in the field, would you say:

    1. We may never work this out
    2. Keep looking
    3. Let's consider the God-hypothesis**
    4. Other (please elaborate)
    You may choose more than one option.
    * all the ones anyone has thought of yet
    ** terms, definitions, options etc are a separate matter
    And you've been answered. Your question has myriad problems.
    It is ill posed for reasons already provided by me and others.
    Your list of answers is poorly constructed, among other reasons, 3 is not
    in opposition to 1 or 2. And in respect to recent posts, there's a presumption
    behind your inclusion of option 3 that people have not considered a >> >> >> God-hypothesis.

    Your arguments are approaching word salad. These things must seem profound
    in your head but out in the wild they have deep flaws that you are refusing to
    recognize. It appears that underneath it all, you have some misconceptions
    about what people think and why they think them. These are mostly unstated
    but here's what's coming through:

    1 You seem to think people are unfamiliar with the claims and promises of religions.
    2 You seem to think that people want to not believe in gods to evade moral constraints.
    3 You seem to think that people believe in naturalism on dogmatic grounds.

    There's more but that's enough for now. I suggest you are wrong regards 1, 2 and 3
    but are unwilling to reorganize your views accordingly.

    Let me propose a truce of sorts. If I need to adjust my position or way of expressing it, okay.

    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological
    naturalism), and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's
    not to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural
    processes alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim
    be legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?

    Genuine question - suggestions welcome from anyone reading this.
    This thread took a wrong turn when it failed to distinguish between
    objective facts and subjective values/priorities. Debates about
    science can involve both, but often become bogged down in
    question-begging and taking past each other. Raising NOMA is a good
    first step toward mitigating those problems.

    Agreed. It seems difficult to establish provisional, generally accepted guidelines. Anyone aware of previous threads or articles that attempt this?


    To be clear, you need to adjust your position wrt NOMA. OoL is not a
    matter of value/priority, the supernatural is not a matter of
    objective facts, and NOMA isn't an excuse to conflate the two. People
    can discuss for example the meaning of life, and opinions about the
    supernatural could be relevant to that. OTOH the supernatural has no
    relevance to an objective, material explanation of how life
    originated, any more than covalent bonds have any relevance to
    personal happiness.

    Worth clarifying. NOMA proposes a hard separation (if I understand correctly), and accordingly doesn't offer scope for conflation?

    I recognise these are different domains of knowledge and enquiry, with an inherent risk of category error. I wonder if Gould's purpose in formulating NOMA was a genuine attempt to respect both and guard against category errors, or disingenuously telling
    religion to butt out. In any case, as I've argued (unconvincingly for many), the God hypothesis is competing or at least overlapping with naturalistic causation; moreover, the more science struggles to support the latter, the stronger the case for the
    former becomes, all else being equal.

    In broadest terms, is it a dichotomy of materialism ("the theory or belief that nothing exists except matter and its movements and modifications") or supernaturalism ("phenomena or entities that are beyond the laws of nature")? I'm not sure of the
    answer btw.


    You assert a false dichotomy. There are many different explanations
    which fit in those categories, so you can't reasonably say
    "struggling" with one material hypothesis supports all supernatural
    hypotheses.

    Also and once again, scientific explanations necessarily focus on
    material evidence. This doesn't mean supernatural phenomena don't
    exist. It does mean explanations which invoke the supernatural aren't scientific.

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 25 11:13:37 2023
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:00:50 AM UTC-4, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 5:30:48 PM UTC+10, Ernest Major wrote:
    On 25/09/2023 03:56, MarkE wrote:
    On Monday, September 25, 2023 at 10:55:47 AM UTC+10, Mark Isaak wrote:
    On 9/22/23 11:51 PM, MarkE wrote:
    [...]
    It might be helpful to first return to an earlier and more basic question I raised, i.e. what are the terms of engagement in/for this debate? Specifically, with respect to the relationship between science (perhaps defined as methodological
    naturalism), and supernaturalism (perhaps defined as intervention by transcendent agency). Happy to refine those definitions, or consider a different question.

    One starting point might be Gould's "non-overlapping magisteria" (NOMA) - its Wikipedia article outlines some of the factors and perspectives on the relationship between science and religion (whatever you may think of NOMA itself). https://en.
    wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-overlapping_magisteria

    Another approach is to consider how people think about this issue generally. For example, those who identify as atheists commonly say (in many conversations I've had), I don't believe in God and I don't need to, as science explains things. That's
    not to suggest that if science did not explain things, they would or should change their view. Rather, my point is that at a popular, "commonsense" level, there is a (reasonably common?) assumption that either some higher power created, or natural
    processes alone are a sufficient explanation.

    A focal point of this issue is the god-of-the-gaps. At times I think this is a legitimate protest by materialists, i.e. creationists are premature in claiming gaps in today's scientific knowledge. On the hand, when/how might the creationist claim
    be legitimate?

    But back to the original question, how would you frame the terms of engagement for debate involving the relationship between science and the supernatural?
    You refer to the supernatural a lot, but the term is very poorly
    defined. I suggest you replace each and every occurrence of it in your >> writings with one of "unknown", "personal unsubstantiated belief", or >> "mythic tradition." All mentions of the supernatural (not just by you), >> I think you will find, fit in one or more of those categories.

    Yes, it could be as unspecified as "not natural", but I'd suggest a definition along the lines of "transcendent supernatural agency" or an "intelligent designer", which I think is commonly accepted, at least in broad terms. Investigating this is
    the province of theology etc.
    You've committed recursion in defining "supernatural" as "transcendent supernatural agency". You've also either narrowed the scope of supernaturality greatly, or narrowed the scope of potential interaction between science and the supernatural greatly.

    Fair point, that was sloppy of me to double up on "supernatural".

    Narrowing the scope was intentional, on the basis that creation of the universe and life is presumably above the pay grade of ghosts, leprechauns and souls.


    I wouldn't expect many people to exclude ghosts, leprechauns and souls from the supernatural, or to include angels, djinn and genii loci among the transcendent.

    For supernatural abiogenesis you can restrict the sets of supernatural agencies processes somewhat, but not for the more general question of
    the relationship between science and the supernatural.

    Science is a process to describe (if you're a realist) or model (if
    you're an anti-realist) the world. Supernatural explanations are only useful to scientific explanations if they're more than a placeholder for ignorance. To convert Intelligent Design from the propaganda arm of a religiously motivated political movement to a scientific research
    program you have to investigate how the Intelligent Design filled
    whatever gap you're appealing to. For example you have to attempt to answer the question as to why your Intelligent Designer intervened to generate life rather than create a universe in which it spontaneously occurred (is life an afterthough, or are there two different Intelligent Designers. or ...?)
    There are many complaints here that ID doesn't offer an alternative empirically testable hypothesis. I don't think anyone is suggesting that we perform experiments to discover the identity and nature of the designer, or specifically how a designer
    assembled say the first cell. However, these calls for a theory of ID may have some legitimacy I think, e.g. if life was created by a designer with super intelligence and foward-looking ability (in sharp contrast with evolution), then make predictions on
    this basis, and as science advances compare them with the predictions of evolutionary model. Surely the respective predictions will be very different...

    Why would you not want to make and test hypotheses about the nature of the designer? All the things you bring forward as evidence for a designer entail consequences as to what that designer must be like. Why not try to flesh that out?

    You might want to read about the Luria-Delbruck experiments, which addressed whether evolution could be "forward looking", specifically whether antibiotic mutations occurred more frequently after exposure to antibiotics than before exposure. The finding
    was that, no, antibiotic resistance mutations occurred at the same rate in populations regardless of whether they were exposed to antibiotics or not, although they were of course selected for and amplified after they occurred only in populations exposed
    to antibiotics. So that's evidence that, on a short time scale evolution is not forward looking. Of course you can always explain any such result away simply by hypothesizing a different forward looking intention on the part of the designer - that's the
    nifty thing about supernatural hypotheses.

    To reiterate: The supernatural origin of life is not just a fallback "default" option if natural explanations fail. It's a legitimate hypothesis in its own right. Moreover, a large number of scientists believe in some form of higher power. A
    fraction of these may have a belief in a higher power that would still be compatible with naturalistic explanation, but many would not.

    --
    Mark Isaak
    "Wisdom begins when you discover the difference between 'That
    doesn't make sense' and 'I don't understand.'" - Mary Doria Russell

    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to MarkE on Mon Sep 25 20:54:35 2023
    On 25/09/2023 13:56, MarkE wrote:
    There are many complaints here that ID doesn't offer an alternative empirically testable hypothesis. I don't think anyone is suggesting that we perform experiments to discover the identity and nature of the designer, or specifically how a designer
    assembled say the first cell. However, these calls for a theory of ID may have some legitimacy I think, e.g. if life was created by a designer with super intelligence and foward-looking ability (in sharp contrast with evolution), then make predictions on
    this basis, and as science advances compare them with the predictions of evolutionary model. Surely the respective predictions will be very different...

    For example, the genetic code (the mapping from DNA codon to aminoacyl
    residue) is more or less arbitrary (though it is debated to what degree
    it was path-constrained). This means that an intelligent designer could
    give each (group of) species their own highly divergent code, which
    would have the effect of preventing viruses from jumping species. (A
    different genetic code would result in the translation of viral genes
    giving effectively randomised proteins, prevent viral replication.)

    So we have the conclusion the intelligent designer lacked foresight, or
    wanted viruses to jump species, or was incapable of constructing genomes
    with widely divergent codes. (The last seems unlikely; I would expect
    humanity to be able to do that not all that longer after achieving
    directed abiogenesis.)

    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Carnegie@21:1/5 to All on Thu Oct 12 15:15:37 2023
    This may be the wrong place to jump in, but since <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assembly_theory>
    was recently described on a BBC radio programme,
    I would like to know whether (1) it is what your book
    is about, and (2) it is the "Intelligent Design" argument
    heavily disguised to pass for legitimate work.
    Which doesn't mean that the book is that.

    "Assembly theory" sounded like saying "Complexity
    can't happen naturally, it happens for a purpose",
    and there's a formula to calculate how complex
    a thing is. In other words, it sounds like
    intelligent design?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Ernest Major@21:1/5 to Robert Carnegie on Thu Oct 12 23:28:48 2023
    On 12/10/2023 23:15, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    This may be the wrong place to jump in, but since <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assembly_theory>
    was recently described on a BBC radio programme,
    I would like to know whether (1) it is what your book
    is about, and (2) it is the "Intelligent Design" argument
    heavily disguised to pass for legitimate work.
    Which doesn't mean that the book is that.

    "Assembly theory" sounded like saying "Complexity
    can't happen naturally, it happens for a purpose",
    and there's a formula to calculate how complex
    a thing is. In other words, it sounds like
    intelligent design?


    PZ Myers thinks it sounds like Intelligent Design. I'm not so sure, but
    I have the impression that it's grossly overhyped.

    --
    alias Ernest Major

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From brogers31751@gmail.com@21:1/5 to Robert Carnegie on Thu Oct 12 15:35:15 2023
    On Thursday, October 12, 2023 at 6:16:05 PM UTC-4, Robert Carnegie wrote:
    This may be the wrong place to jump in, but since <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assembly_theory>
    was recently described on a BBC radio programme,
    I would like to know whether (1) it is what your book
    is about, and (2) it is the "Intelligent Design" argument
    heavily disguised to pass for legitimate work.
    Which doesn't mean that the book is that.

    "Assembly theory" sounded like saying "Complexity
    can't happen naturally, it happens for a purpose",
    and there's a formula to calculate how complex
    a thing is. In other words, it sounds like
    intelligent design?
    No, the book is just a straightforward review of OoL research as of 2019 - the author is a fan of freshwater volcanic pools as a starting place, but he covers lots of the major ideas. Nothing to do with the "Assembly Theory" you mentioned.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From jillery@21:1/5 to rondean-noreply@gmail.com on Thu Nov 2 23:58:04 2023
    On Sat, 23 Sep 2023 22:13:53 -0400, jillery <69jpil69@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Thu, 21 Sep 2023 14:07:31 -0400, Ron Dean
    <rondean-noreply@gmail.com> wrote:

    As I pointed out earlier, I was forced into early retirement because of a >>heart attack, & kidney failure, but I was offered my job back as a >>contractor
    w/no benefits, but w/a bit more income. So, I'm employed now. You've
    been a good supporter through these trying times. It meant a lot to me! >>Thank you;
    Ron Dean


    Thank you for your kind words. I am glad to see you separate your self
    from your arguments.


    On Fri, 27 Oct 2023 14:15:31 -0400, Ron Dean
    <rondean-noreply@gmail.com> wrote:

    What's the point with discussing anything with you: if I said it's warm
    and sunny here in
    Raleigh- Durham, you'd say no it cold and windy. So, there is no point!
    G-bye


    The above is evidence that my diagnosis was premature. Too bad R.Dean
    has lapsed into immaturity. Not sure why some willfully blind troll
    doesn't accuse those who continue to "bicker" with him.

    --
    To know less than we don't know is the nature of most knowledge

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)