• Re: Current Literature on Gun Safety and Defensive Use

    From Hut-Sut Ralson@21:1/5 to All on Tue Feb 25 13:39:29 2025
    In 2020, I began a careful literature review if the scientific
    evidence regarding guns and their effect on individuals' safety and
    security focusing primarily on home safety. To this end, I included
    only scholarly papers published in peer-reviewed scientific journals, >preferably within the past decade; however, there wasn't a sharp
    cut-off date.

    I restricted the search to include only those studies where the data
    were publicly available... which excluded "Gun Ownership as a Risk
    Factor for Homicide in the Home" Kellermann, et. al. because their
    data are HIPAA protected and Dr. Gary Kleck (various studies) because
    his data are exclusively unvalidated, anonymous telephone survey
    responses. (I'm looking for studies on gun use, not how people
    respond to surveys.)

    I find 37 studies matching my criteria (list attached in alphabetical
    order by author.) My research question is: "What is the position of
    the scientific community on gun ownership and personal safety?" In
    the interest of objectivity, are there any that should have been
    included and aren't?

    Published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal.

    Data available to the public.

    Published in the last decade (or so).




    Anglemyer A, Horvath T, and Rutherford G. (2014). The accessibility of >firearms and risk for suicide and homicide victimization among
    household members: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Annals of
    Internal Medicine.

    Bangalore S & Messerli FH. (2013). Gun ownership and firearm-related
    deaths. American Journal of Medicine.

    Barber C, Cook PJ, Parker ST. (2022). The emerging infrastructure of
    US firearms injury data. Preventive medicine.

    Benjamin Jr AJ, Kepes S, and Bushman BJ. (2018). Effects of weapons on >aggressive thoughts, angry feelings, hostile appraisals, and
    aggressive behavior: A meta-analytic review of the weapons effect
    literature. Personality and Social Psychology Review.

    Campbell JC, Webster D, Koziol-McLain J, Block C, Campbell D, Curry
    MA, Gary F, Glass N, McFarlane J, Sachs C, Sharps P, Ulrich Y, Wilt
    SA, Manganello J, Xu X, Schollenberger J, Frye V, & Laughon K. (2003).
    Risk factors for femicide in abusive relationships: Results from a
    multisite case control study. American Journal of Public Health.

    Crifasi CK, Ward J, McCourt AD, Webster D, Doucette ML. (2023).The >association between permit-to-purchase laws and shootings by police.
    Injury epidemiology.

    Daigle MS. (2005). Suicide prevention through means restriction:
    Assessing the risk of substitution. A critical review and synthesis.
    Accident Analysis and Prevention.

    DeSimone J, Markowitz S, Xu J. (2013). Child access prevention laws
    and nonfatal gun injuries. Southern Economic Journal.

    Doherty C, Kiley J, Oliphant B, Hartig H, Borelli G, Daniller A, Van
    Green T, Cerda A, Gracia S, and Lin K. (2023). For most U.S. gun
    owners, protection is the main reason they own a gun. Pew Research
    Center.

    Donohue JJ, Aneja A, & Weber KD. (2019). Right?to?carry laws and
    violent crime: A comprehensive assessment using panel data and a
    state?level synthetic control analysis. Journal of Empirical Legal
    Studies.

    Doucette ML, McCourt AD, Crifasi CK, & Webster DW. (2023). Impact of
    changes to concealed-carry weapons laws on fatal and nonfatal violent
    crime, 1980-2019. American Journal of Epidemiology.

    Doucette ML, Ward JA, McCourt AD, Webster D, Crifasi CK. (2022). >Officer-involved shootings and concealed carry weapons permitting
    laws: analysis of gun violence archive data, 2014-2020. Journal of
    urban health.

    Grinshteyn E & Hemenway D. (2019). Violent death rates in the US
    compared to those of the other high-income countries, 2015. Preventive >Medicine.

    Gun Ownership in America, 1980-2016. (2020). RAND Corporation.

    Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health. (2000). Lethality of
    suicide methods: Case fatality rates by suicide method, 8 U.S. states, >1989-1997.

    Hemenway D, Azrael D, and Miller M. (2017). Whose guns are stolen? The >epidemiology of gun theft victims. Injury Epidemiology.

    Karp A. (2018). Estimating global civilian-held firearms numbers.
    Small Arms Survey.

    Kaufman EJ, Karp DN, and Delgado MK. (2017). US emergency department >encounters for law enforcement-associated injury, 2006-2012. Jama
    Surgery.

    LaFrance A. (2016). The Americans who stockpile guns. The Atlantic.

    Lethality of suicide methods. Means Matter. Harvard T.H.Chan School of
    Public Health.

    McCarthy J. (2014). More than six in 10 Americans say guns make homes
    safer. Gallup.

    Miller M and Azrael D. (2022). Firearm storage in US households with >children. JAMA Network.

    O'Toole M, Szkola J, and Burd-Sharps S. (2022). Gun thefts from cars:
    the largest source of stolen guns. Everytown Research and Policy.

    One in Five American Households Purchased a Gun During the Pandemic.
    (2022). NORC at the University of Chicago.

    Owens D, Horrocks J, & House A. (2002). Fatal and non-fatal repetition
    of self-harm. Systematic review. British Journal of Psychiatry.

    Reeping PM, Cerdá M, Kalesan B, Wiebe DJ, Galea S, and Branas CC.
    (2019). State gun laws, gun ownership, and mass shootings in the US:
    Cross sectional time series. British Medical Journal.

    Schaeffer K. (2023). Key facts about Americans and guns. Pew Research
    Center.

    Schnippel K, Burd-Sharps S, Miller T, Lawrence B, Swedler DL. (2021). >Nonfatal firearm injuries by intent in the United States: 2016-2018
    Hospital Discharge Records from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization
    Project. Western Journal of Emergency Medicine: Integrating Emergency
    Care with Population Health.

    Siegel M and Rothman EF. (2016). Firearm ownership and suicide rates
    among US men and women, 1981-2013. American Journal of Public Health.

    Siegel M, Ross CS, and King C. (2014). Examining the relationship
    between the prevalence of guns and homicide rates in the USA using a
    new and improved state-level gun ownership proxy. Injury Prevention.

    Tate J, Jenkins J, & Rich S. (2021). Fatal Force. Washington Post.

    Three-year average, 2019-2021. Centers for Disease Control and
    Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Underlying Cause of
    Death.

    Three-year average, 2019-2021. Centers for Disease Control and
    Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Underlying Cause of
    Death.

    Villarreal, S., Kim, R., Wagner, E., Somayaji, N., Davis, A., &
    Crifasi, C. K. (2024). Gun Violence in the United States 2022:
    Examining the Burden Among Children and Teens. Johns Hopkins Center
    for Gun Violence Solutions. Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public
    Health.

    Webster DW, Starnes M. (2000). Reexamining the association between
    child access prevention gun laws and unintentional shooting deaths of >children. Pediatrics.

    Webster DW, Vernick JS, Zeoli AM, and Manganello JA. (2004).
    Association between youth-focused firearm laws and youth suicides.
    JAMA Network.

    Zeoli AM, Malinski R, & Turchan B. (2016). Risks and targeted
    interventions: Firearms in intimate partner violence. Epidemiologic
    Reviews.


    Bralla Bralla Sooit

    Reading through the scientific literature (Intro, Methodology,
    Conclusion), I see some themes emerging. The community seems to be in agreement on some basic facts:

    There is no positive correlation between arming oneself and personal
    safety. The studies are either neutral or find that gun ownership
    correlates with a greater probability of being a victim of violence.

    There are *far* more crimes committed with firearms than there are
    defensive uses. This one is tricky because, although we know how many
    violent gun crimes are committed, we simply have no way even to
    estimate the number of defensive uses. (Current surveys tend to show
    many defensive uses; however, none of these are validated.)

    A society's crime rate is more solidly coupled by the population's
    acceptance of and faith in the country's legislative process than it
    is by gun proliferation.

    Those are a few of my current take-aways.

    Bralla Bralla Sooit

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