• =?UTF-8?Q?January=E2=80=99s=20Dunkelflaute?=

    From Spike@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 09:57:49 2025
    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a
    15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of 4TWh.

    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again,
    for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas
    was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem that battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of Hydrogen.

    --
    Spike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From N_Cook@21:1/5 to Spike on Sat Feb 1 11:29:40 2025
    On 01/02/2025 09:57, Spike wrote:

    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a 15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of 4TWh.

    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again,
    for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas
    was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem that battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of Hydrogen.


    Was there surplus interconnector lecky available from abroad but the
    price was wrong compared to gas generation?

    There is next to no "green" hydrogen in the uk and more generally it
    cannot be distributed via the existing gas grid pipeline as hydrogen is
    too small and would leak through those pipes.

    --
    Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Natural Philosopher@21:1/5 to Spike on Sat Feb 1 11:15:44 2025
    On 01/02/2025 09:57, Spike wrote:

    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a 15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of 4TWh.

    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again,
    for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas
    was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem that battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of Hydrogen.

    She probably lights her own farts
    --
    "When one man dies it's a tragedy. When thousands die it's statistics."

    Josef Stalin

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Andy Burns@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 12:10:13 2025
    N_Cook wrote:

    There is next to no "green" hydrogen in the uk and more generally it
    cannot be distributed via the existing gas grid pipeline as hydrogen is
    too small and would leak through those pipes.

    Two schemes (Redcar and Ellesmere Port) to convert local mains gas to
    hydrogen were cancelled ...partly due to residents being against it and
    partly due to lack of green hydrogen.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From RJH@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 12:33:18 2025
    On 1 Feb 2025 at 11:29:40 GMT, N_Cook wrote:

    On 01/02/2025 09:57, Spike wrote:

    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a
    15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of 4TWh. >>
    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again,
    for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas
    was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem that >> battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of Hydrogen. >>

    Was there surplus interconnector lecky available from abroad but the
    price was wrong compared to gas generation?

    There is next to no "green" hydrogen in the uk and more generally it
    cannot be distributed via the existing gas grid pipeline as hydrogen is
    too small and would leak through those pipes.

    Just came from a presnetation about this:

    https://www.sheffieldrenewables.org.uk/2024/09/03/mooving-ahead-with-renewables-feasibility-study-at-our-cow-molly/

    They're at the stage of installing solar; next stage is converting surplus electricity to hydrogen.

    I (clearly) can't follow the science - they and the assembled seemed very enthusiastic.

    --
    Cheers, Rob, Sheffield UK

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Fredxx@21:1/5 to RJH on Sat Feb 1 13:05:34 2025
    On 01/02/2025 12:33, RJH wrote:
    On 1 Feb 2025 at 11:29:40 GMT, N_Cook wrote:

    On 01/02/2025 09:57, Spike wrote:

    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a >>> 15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of 4TWh. >>>
    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again, >>> for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas >>> was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem that >>> battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of Hydrogen. >>>

    Was there surplus interconnector lecky available from abroad but the
    price was wrong compared to gas generation?

    There is next to no "green" hydrogen in the uk and more generally it
    cannot be distributed via the existing gas grid pipeline as hydrogen is
    too small and would leak through those pipes.

    Just came from a presnetation about this:

    https://www.sheffieldrenewables.org.uk/2024/09/03/mooving-ahead-with-renewables-feasibility-study-at-our-cow-molly/

    They're at the stage of installing solar; next stage is converting surplus electricity to hydrogen.

    I (clearly) can't follow the science - they and the assembled seemed very enthusiastic.

    Given the current feed in tariffs are so low, it does make some sense to convert the excess solar into hydrogen.

    It would make more sense to have some batteries so you can avoid using
    power at peak tariffs. Perhaps they already do that?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From The Natural Philosopher@21:1/5 to RJH on Sat Feb 1 13:20:04 2025
    On 01/02/2025 12:33, RJH wrote:
    On 1 Feb 2025 at 11:29:40 GMT, N_Cook wrote:

    On 01/02/2025 09:57, Spike wrote:

    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a >>> 15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of 4TWh. >>>
    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again, >>> for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas >>> was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem that >>> battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of Hydrogen. >>>

    Was there surplus interconnector lecky available from abroad but the
    price was wrong compared to gas generation?

    There is next to no "green" hydrogen in the uk and more generally it
    cannot be distributed via the existing gas grid pipeline as hydrogen is
    too small and would leak through those pipes.

    Just came from a presnetation about this:

    https://www.sheffieldrenewables.org.uk/2024/09/03/mooving-ahead-with-renewables-feasibility-study-at-our-cow-molly/

    They're at the stage of installing solar; next stage is converting surplus electricity to hydrogen.

    I (clearly) can't follow the science

    They are counting on that.

    - they and the assembled seemed very
    enthusiastic.

    They are paid to be. Astroturfing. Let's face it if you weren't already
    dead keen or being paid to be there and do the ra-ra thing, why would
    you be there?

    The renewable blob is looking for any conceivable way that renewables
    might in theory be made to work in order to preserve their façade of
    actually being a serious power generating solution.

    In reality the grid is boring well understood electrical engineering.
    Bang in nuclear power plants as close to the cities that need the power
    as possible, have a very small grid for balancing between them only, use
    what hydro and pumped storage is feasible and economically viable to
    cover daily peaks, and use gas in an emergency.

    Do routine maintenance in summer, when demands is lower

    Stabilise the grid by taking all intermittent renewables off it

    Jobs a good un!


    --
    "The great thing about Glasgow is that if there's a nuclear attack it'll
    look exactly the same afterwards."

    Billy Connolly

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From N_Cook@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 13:51:48 2025
    On 01/02/2025 11:29, N_Cook wrote:
    On 01/02/2025 09:57, Spike wrote:

    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a
    15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of
    4TWh.

    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again,
    for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas
    was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem
    that
    battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of
    Hydrogen.


    Was there surplus interconnector lecky available from abroad but the
    price was wrong compared to gas generation?

    There is next to no "green" hydrogen in the uk and more generally it
    cannot be distributed via the existing gas grid pipeline as hydrogen is
    too small and would leak through those pipes.


    Seeing the term dunkelflaute, I realised I'd forgotten what the opposite
    term is.
    In the German summer in a hot spell, so much lecky is generated off the
    roofs midday their grid manderins have to pay a fortune to neighbouring countries to take the surplus .

    --
    Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Andy Burns@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 14:01:29 2025
    N_Cook wrote:

    Seeing the term dunkelflaute, I realised I'd forgotten what the opposite
    term is.

    Apparently "hellbrise".

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From alan_m@21:1/5 to Spike on Sat Feb 1 14:48:31 2025
    On 01/02/2025 09:57, Spike wrote:

    From (the real) Gridwatch, it appears that Gas outperformed Wind for a 15-day period, from the 8th to the 22nd inclusive.

    Judging by eye, the difference was an average of 11GW, for a total of 4TWh.

    In December there were four short periods where Gas had to step in again,
    for an estimated 2TWh.

    And in November there was another series of days, totalling 18, where Gas
    was the main provider, for some 4TWh of Wind shortfall.

    Since there was insufficient surplus energy available to recharge any
    battery farms that could have supplied these shortfalls, it would seem that battery storage is a non-starter as backup to Wind.

    Rachel Reeves was on the radio this week extolling the virtues of Hydrogen.



    I took the gamble of going for the Octopus tracker tariff (October
    version and my region seems to be more expensive than most). For the
    whole of November I paid around the same as the capped rate for both gas
    and electriity. December and January I paid significantly more than
    their fixed rate, at rate lower than the capped rate. There were only a
    few days when the price fell below the fixed rate by more than 10p/unit
    for electricity. I can confirm that the prices were high(er) during the multiple Dunkelflaute events when demand was also high.

    --
    mailto : news {at} admac {dot} myzen {dot} co {dot} uk

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  • From alan_m@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 15:03:19 2025
    On 01/02/2025 11:29, N_Cook wrote:

    There is next to no "green" hydrogen in the uk and more generally it
    cannot be distributed via the existing gas grid pipeline as hydrogen is
    too small and would leak through those pipes.

    As I understand it when the manufacturers say that their boilers are
    suitable fo Hydrogen they are referring to a 10% Hyrogen, 90% Natural
    Gas mix. I don't believe that there are any proposals to distribute 100% Hydrogen through the existing gas pipelines. Politicians and the Green
    lobby may have got the wrong idea.

    --
    mailto : news {at} admac {dot} myzen {dot} co {dot} uk

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  • From Theo@21:1/5 to junk@admac.myzen.co.uk on Sun Feb 2 11:11:04 2025
    alan_m <junk@admac.myzen.co.uk> wrote:
    I took the gamble of going for the Octopus tracker tariff (October
    version and my region seems to be more expensive than most). For the
    whole of November I paid around the same as the capped rate for both gas
    and electriity. December and January I paid significantly more than
    their fixed rate, at rate lower than the capped rate. There were only a
    few days when the price fell below the fixed rate by more than 10p/unit
    for electricity. I can confirm that the prices were high(er) during the multiple Dunkelflaute events when demand was also high.

    We're a couple of weeks away from a full year on Tracker - the December 2023 tariff which is a bit cheaper than the current one. With heating being ASHP most of our electricity demand comes in the winter (heating runs 24/7).
    Here's the numbers (first two weeks of Feb 24 on the flexible tariff):

    £ kWh St.chrg£ p/kWh exc st.ch.
    Feb24 177.71 724.25 12.18 22.85
    Mar 150.92 742.04 13.02 18.58
    Apr 115.49 572.23 12.60 17.98
    May 101.17 442.29 13.02 19.93
    Jun 92.17 402.00 12.60 19.79
    Jul 90.18 392.44 13.02 19.66
    Aug 90.48 417.92 13.02 18.53
    Sep 94.55 398.37 12.60 20.57
    Oct 121.71 505.00 13.02 21.52
    Nov 197.71 794.41 12.60 23.30
    Dec 210.32 889.06 13.02 22.19
    Jan25 322.33 1193.06 13.02 25.93

    Total 1764.74 7473.07 153.76

    Average cost per kWh exc. standing charge 21.56p
    Average cost per kWh inc. standing charge 23.6p

    So even after a heavy winter it's still beaten the flexible rate, although
    not by so much - and the current tracker tariff is worse.

    I'm waiting until it expires and will then ponder where to go next.
    Some of Tomato's tariffs look interesting.

    Theo

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  • From alan_m@21:1/5 to Theo on Sun Feb 2 21:27:58 2025
    On 02/02/2025 11:11, Theo wrote:
    alan_m <junk@admac.myzen.co.uk> wrote:
    I took the gamble of going for the Octopus tracker tariff (October
    version and my region seems to be more expensive than most). For the
    whole of November I paid around the same as the capped rate for both gas
    and electriity. December and January I paid significantly more than
    their fixed rate, at rate lower than the capped rate. There were only a
    few days when the price fell below the fixed rate by more than 10p/unit
    for electricity. I can confirm that the prices were high(er) during the
    multiple Dunkelflaute events when demand was also high.

    We're a couple of weeks away from a full year on Tracker - the December 2023 tariff which is a bit cheaper than the current one. With heating being ASHP most of our electricity demand comes in the winter (heating runs 24/7). Here's the numbers (first two weeks of Feb 24 on the flexible tariff):

    £ kWh St.chrg£ p/kWh exc st.ch.
    Feb24 177.71 724.25 12.18 22.85
    Mar 150.92 742.04 13.02 18.58
    Apr 115.49 572.23 12.60 17.98
    May 101.17 442.29 13.02 19.93
    Jun 92.17 402.00 12.60 19.79
    Jul 90.18 392.44 13.02 19.66
    Aug 90.48 417.92 13.02 18.53
    Sep 94.55 398.37 12.60 20.57
    Oct 121.71 505.00 13.02 21.52
    Nov 197.71 794.41 12.60 23.30
    Dec 210.32 889.06 13.02 22.19
    Jan25 322.33 1193.06 13.02 25.93

    Total 1764.74 7473.07 153.76

    Average cost per kWh exc. standing charge 21.56p
    Average cost per kWh inc. standing charge 23.6p

    So even after a heavy winter it's still beaten the flexible rate, although not by so much - and the current tracker tariff is worse.

    I'm waiting until it expires and will then ponder where to go next.
    Some of Tomato's tariffs look interesting.


    On the October 2024 tracker tariff my average* cost for electricity November/December/January exc. standing charge was 25.1p/kWh

    Instead of signing up for the tracker tariff I could have signed up for
    their fixed deal @ 24.26p/kWh

    Gas over the same period
    Tracker = 6p/kWh compared with their fixed price of 5.6p/kWh

    The figures are somewhat skewed for December because I was away from
    home for 3 weeks and the gas CH set for frost protection @ 12C. It did
    come on a few times. The electricity during the same period was
    supplying all electrical goods left on, fridge, freezer, PVR, Router,
    dawn to dusk outside lights, security cameras , alarm etc.

    *Figures based on the average of around 4500 smart meter readings.


    --
    mailto : news {at} admac {dot} myzen {dot} co {dot} uk

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