• NATO and mutual self-defence

    From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Tue Jan 28 19:45:08 2025
    It is a little off the topic of UK law, but since this group possesses expertise in interpreting legal documents I wonder if anyone can tell me if
    the NATO agreements have anything to say about an unprovoked attack on one
    NATO member (or its dependent territories) by another?

    Casual googling has not really answered this question to my satisfaction.


    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Martin Brown@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Tue Jan 28 22:06:42 2025
    On 28/01/2025 19:45, Roger Hayter wrote:
    It is a little off the topic of UK law, but since this group possesses expertise in interpreting legal documents I wonder if anyone can tell me if the NATO agreements have anything to say about an unprovoked attack on one NATO member (or its dependent territories) by another?

    I doubt it was even considered as a possibility when NATO was created.

    Casual googling has not really answered this question to my satisfaction.

    Under present circumstances if the USA really decided invade Greenland
    or attack Denmark then I doubt if any NATO ally would do more than tut.

    US has previous in this area. ISTR that when former UK dependency
    Grenada democratically voted in a communist government the US didn't
    like in 1984 the US invaded to restore a more pliable puppet government.

    Two different takes on it Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_invasion_of_Grenada

    And a much more critical academic review from professor at Yale:

    https://sociology.yale.edu/sites/default/files/invasion_of_grenada_foresight.pdf

    It seems the post truth world started earlier than you might think...

    --
    Martin Brown

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Tue Jan 28 21:10:39 2025
    On 2025-01-28, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:
    It is a little off the topic of UK law, but since this group possesses expertise in interpreting legal documents I wonder if anyone can tell me if the NATO agreements have anything to say about an unprovoked attack on one NATO member (or its dependent territories) by another?

    The treaty is here:

    https://www.nato.int/cps/eu/natohq/official_texts_17120.htm

    It does not really contemplate the possibility of one member party
    attacking another member party, and *especially* not if the aggressor
    party is the United States.

    The aggressor party would be in breach of multiple articles of the
    treaty, and in theory all the other parties should take up arms against
    it.

    I suspect in practice it is not a compelling enough document to cause
    any of the parties to effectively declare war on the United States,
    or perhaps even to station troops where they might be inconveniently
    in the way of US soldiers, especially if that place were far away.

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  • From Nick Odell@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Tue Jan 28 21:04:47 2025
    On 28 Jan 2025 19:45:08 GMT, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:

    It is a little off the topic of UK law, but since this group possesses >expertise in interpreting legal documents I wonder if anyone can tell me if >the NATO agreements have anything to say about an unprovoked attack on one >NATO member (or its dependent territories) by another?

    Casual googling has not really answered this question to my satisfaction.

    It may not be a matter for UK law right now but there's (at least)
    another four years to go yet and plenty could change.

    Nick

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to All on Wed Jan 29 10:24:03 2025
    On Tue, 28 Jan 2025 22:06:42 +0000, Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:

    On 28/01/2025 19:45, Roger Hayter wrote:
    It is a little off the topic of UK law, but since this group possesses
    expertise in interpreting legal documents I wonder if anyone can tell me if >> the NATO agreements have anything to say about an unprovoked attack on one >> NATO member (or its dependent territories) by another?

    I doubt it was even considered as a possibility when NATO was created.

    Casual googling has not really answered this question to my satisfaction.

    Under present circumstances if the USA really decided invade Greenland
    or attack Denmark then I doubt if any NATO ally would do more than tut.

    US has previous in this area. ISTR that when former UK dependency
    Grenada democratically voted in a communist government the US didn't
    like in 1984 the US invaded to restore a more pliable puppet government.

    That's not really true. Grenada wasn't invaded in response to electing a communist government, it was invaded when that government in turn was overthrown by a military coup. And Grenada wasn't invaded in order to incorporate its territory into that of the USA, it was invaded in order to restore democratic independence.

    It is arguable that the military coup was merely a convenient opportunity
    for the invasion of Grenada, and that getting rid of communism on the island was the real goal. But, nonetheless, the US didn't invade until there was a supportable justification for doing so in international law, and Grenada's independence was subsequently fully restored under a new administration.

    Either way, it's not at all equivalent to a potential annexation of
    Greenland. Greenland, despite having a great deal of autonomy, isn't an independent nation and is not under the control of a military dictatorship.

    Possibly a little counterintuitively, it would suit the US more if Greenland was independent, because then they could argue that it was none of Denmark's business. And an independent Greenland would need to negotiate membership of NATO, which the US could then block. That would enable annexation without
    being in breach of the NATO treaties. But getting to that point would
    require playing a long game, and the current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    Mark

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Mark Goodge on Wed Jan 29 11:58:22 2025
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

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  • From Jeff Gaines@21:1/5 to vnd54u$1sc4r$8@dont-email.me on Wed Jan 29 12:50:45 2025
    On 29/01/2025 in message <vnd54u$1sc4r$8@dont-email.me> Jethro_uk wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    Next step presumably will be to remove any limit on how many terms can be served, perhaps followed by president for life?

    --
    Jeff Gaines Dorset UK
    When you think there's no hope left remember the lobsters in the tank in
    the Titanic's restaurant.

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Jeff Gaines on Wed Jan 29 13:47:09 2025
    On 2025-01-29, Jeff Gaines <jgnewsid@outlook.com> wrote:
    On 29/01/2025 in message <vnd54u$1sc4r$8@dont-email.me> Jethro_uk wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:
    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    Next step presumably will be to remove any limit on how many terms can be served, perhaps followed by president for life?

    That is one of the major issues it seems in the US - a Supreme Court
    that doesn't seem remotely concerned by whether its judgements are
    supportable by the actual law or logic.

    When the 22nd Amendmnent says "No person shall be elected to the office
    of the President more than twice", it seems quite possible that they
    could decide that the election is merely a precursor process and the
    person actually *becomes* president through a process of *inauguration*
    and therefore nobody is ever "elected to the office of the President"
    and therefore Trump can be President as many times as he likes. Or,
    frankly, they could decide that "three times" is not "more than twice".

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Jeff Gaines on Wed Jan 29 13:48:47 2025
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 12:50:45 +0000, Jeff Gaines wrote:

    On 29/01/2025 in message <vnd54u$1sc4r$8@dont-email.me> Jethro_uk wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those
    terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    Next step presumably will be to remove any limit on how many terms can
    be served, perhaps followed by president for life?

    There is already an amendment to the 22nd being tabled.

    However, if running for POTUS a 3rd time (or taking office a 3rd term,
    which is the prohibition) is illegal, then surely the presidential
    immunity makes it un-illegal.

    Considering the ballyhoo the colonials made about getting rid of their
    King, it seems a bit rich they have not only recreated one, but given
    them more powers than King George ever had.

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Wed Jan 29 17:10:31 2025
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    He can still be impeached. A president doesn't have automatic immunity for everything.

    Mark

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Mark Goodge on Wed Jan 29 17:39:01 2025
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 17:17:30 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 13:48:47 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 12:50:45 +0000, Jeff Gaines wrote:

    On 29/01/2025 in message <vnd54u$1sc4r$8@dont-email.me> Jethro_uk
    wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>>>current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those >>>>>terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>would you ?

    Next step presumably will be to remove any limit on how many terms
    can be served, perhaps followed by president for life?

    There is already an amendment to the 22nd being tabled.

    The prospects of it being successful are pretty slim.

    However, if running for POTUS a 3rd time (or taking office a 3rd term, >>which is the prohibition) is illegal, then surely the presidential
    immunity makes it un-illegal.

    It's not illegal in the sense of being a criminal offence. It's illegal
    in the sense of being legally impossible.

    To use an analogy, it's not like lying on your nomination form when
    standing for election in the UK (a criminal offence), it's like
    submitting your nomination form a week after the deadline. You wouldn't
    be prosecuted for doing that, you'd just be ignored.

    Best wait and see how SCOTUS interpret it (if they so choose). I have a sneaking suspicion that - aided by a supine congress - this will be
    Trumps enabling act. Already I am hearing ICE agents acting without
    warrants, on informant complaints, and racially profiling people selected
    for deportation.

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Wed Jan 29 17:17:30 2025
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 13:48:47 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 12:50:45 +0000, Jeff Gaines wrote:

    On 29/01/2025 in message <vnd54u$1sc4r$8@dont-email.me> Jethro_uk wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>>current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those >>>>terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>would you ?

    Next step presumably will be to remove any limit on how many terms can
    be served, perhaps followed by president for life?

    There is already an amendment to the 22nd being tabled.

    The prospects of it being successful are pretty slim.

    However, if running for POTUS a 3rd time (or taking office a 3rd term,
    which is the prohibition) is illegal, then surely the presidential
    immunity makes it un-illegal.

    It's not illegal in the sense of being a criminal offence. It's illegal in
    the sense of being legally impossible.

    To use an analogy, it's not like lying on your nomination form when standing for election in the UK (a criminal offence), it's like submitting your nomination form a week after the deadline. You wouldn't be prosecuted for
    doing that, you'd just be ignored.

    Mark

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Mark Goodge on Wed Jan 29 17:40:18 2025
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 17:10:31 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those
    terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    He can still be impeached. A president doesn't have automatic immunity
    for everything.

    Has SCOTUS actually ruled that ? Also, what if congress is partisan and declines to impeach ?

    And impeachment is a political not criminal process.

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Wed Jan 29 18:08:25 2025
    On 2025-01-29, Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 17:10:31 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those
    terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>would you ?

    He can still be impeached. A president doesn't have automatic immunity
    for everything.

    Has SCOTUS actually ruled that ?

    Has SCOTUS ruled that a President can be impeached? I doubt it has ever
    been asked.

    Also, what if congress is partisan and declines to impeach ?

    We already know the answer to that, since it has happened to Trump twice before.

    And impeachment is a political not criminal process.

    It's kind've both. It's a criminal process where the judges are
    politicians.

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  • From Handsome Jack@21:1/5 to Jeff Gaines on Wed Jan 29 16:09:14 2025
    On 29 Jan 2025 12:50:45 GMT, Jeff Gaines wrote:

    On 29/01/2025 in message <vnd54u$1sc4r$8@dont-email.me> Jethro_uk wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those
    terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    Next step presumably will be to remove any limit on how many terms can
    be served, perhaps followed by president for life?

    The New York Times is already reporting that Trump has booked Nuremberg
    for a series of rallies next year to celebrate the annexation of Canada.

    Moreover, last night, DC saw widespread devastation on a scale comparable
    with Krystallnacht, with hundreds of shopkeepers having their windows
    smashed in, and running battles in the streets between heavily armed
    thugs. However, later reports suggested this was just a normal evening in
    U Street.

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Wed Jan 29 15:14:37 2025
    On 2025-01-29, Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 12:50:45 +0000, Jeff Gaines wrote:
    Next step presumably will be to remove any limit on how many terms can
    be served, perhaps followed by president for life?

    There is already an amendment to the 22nd being tabled.

    That's one thing I don't think he will be able to achieve, even with
    the entirety of the federal system controlled by Trump thralls. Amending
    the constitution requires approval by three-quarters of the states.
    I don't see how that would happen. I don't really see three quarters of
    the states formally agreeing that water is wet or the sky is blue, let
    alone amending the constitution to make the Trump Dynasty "Presidents
    for Eternity".

    However, if running for POTUS a 3rd time (or taking office a 3rd term,
    which is the prohibition) is illegal, then surely the presidential
    immunity makes it un-illegal.

    That's a bit circular, because if he can run a third time then clearly
    it isn't illegal and so he doesn't need immunity, and if he can't then
    it is illegal but also he isn't president and so doesn't have immunity.
    Not to mention the 22nd Amendment doesn't make someone who purports to
    be a third-term president a criminal, it just makes it so they're not
    the president.

    Considering the ballyhoo the colonials made about getting rid of their
    King, it seems a bit rich they have not only recreated one, but given
    them more powers than King George ever had.

    It would be an error to expect anything about their current situation
    to make any kind of sense.

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jan 31 15:41:04 2025
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk ><jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him. Truss resigned because she was told, in no uncertain terms, that if she
    didn't then she would be on the receiving end of a no confidence motion from her Parliamentary colleagues, and would quite probably be the first Prime Minister ever to lose one. Not even a lettuce has ever managed that.

    Trump, however, cannot be forcibly removed from power simply because his political party has lost confidence in him. He can be impeached, but that requires him to commit a sufficiently egregious criminal offence. Merely
    making bizarre decisions does not cross that threshold.

    Mark

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  • From Spike@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Fri Jan 31 13:37:05 2025
    Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    It could be worse than Trump emulating Truss - he could emulate the current Labour government, perhaps, and fall as far in popularity as they currently have. But he got off to a far less gloomy start than they did, so at least doesn’t have that particular hill to climb.

    --
    Spike

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Martin Harran on Fri Jan 31 17:09:55 2025
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those
    terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump will
    do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even his
    most ardent fans will turn against him.

    Unlikely, based on his first term.

    Donald Trump is 78.

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jan 31 17:04:28 2025
    On 31 Jan 2025 at 09:47:23 GMT, "Martin Harran" <martinharran@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    Sadly, I think his fans are a bit more committed, and stupider, than Truss's.
    If things go spectacularly bad they will probably blame homosexuals,
    atheists, Obama, and the deep state in one or another order, and back him through the chaos.

    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Fri Jan 31 18:11:00 2025
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 17:04:28 +0000, Roger Hayter wrote:

    If things go spectacularly bad they will probably blame homosexuals, atheists, Obama, and the deep state in one or another order, and back
    him through the chaos.

    They already are.

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Fri Jan 31 18:25:33 2025
    On 2025-01-31, Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 17:04:28 +0000, Roger Hayter wrote:
    If things go spectacularly bad they will probably blame homosexuals,
    atheists, Obama, and the deep state in one or another order, and back
    him through the chaos.

    They already are.

    Except they just call it by vague terms like "DEI" or "woke", so they
    don't have to feel bad about being prejudiced against any group in
    particular, and all the Trump fans can pretend they agree with each
    other because they can all agree the enemy is "woke" and just not
    mention that they have different ideas as to what it actually means.

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Spike on Fri Jan 31 18:18:07 2025
    On 2025-01-31, Spike <aero.spike@mail.com> wrote:
    Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    It could be worse than Trump emulating Truss - he could emulate the current Labour government, perhaps, and fall as far in popularity as they currently have. But he got off to a far less gloomy start than they did, so at least doesn’t have that particular hill to climb.

    Well yes, in that he's the insane incompetent one following a vaguely
    sane and competent government, whereas Labour are a vaguely sane and
    competent following an insane incompetent one. He's causing a mess
    while they're trying to fix one.

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  • From Martin Brown@21:1/5 to Mark Goodge on Fri Jan 31 21:21:15 2025
    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms. >>>
    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Not sure if Prague style defenestration is better or worse...

    Truss resigned because she was told, in no uncertain terms, that if she didn't then she would be on the receiving end of a no confidence motion from her Parliamentary colleagues, and would quite probably be the first Prime Minister ever to lose one. Not even a lettuce has ever managed that.

    Another historic first that she missed out on!

    Trump, however, cannot be forcibly removed from power simply because his political party has lost confidence in him. He can be impeached, but that requires him to commit a sufficiently egregious criminal offence. Merely making bizarre decisions does not cross that threshold.

    In a country where they arm bears other options are available.

    --
    Martin Brown

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  • From Owen Rees@21:1/5 to Martin Brown on Sat Feb 1 02:09:51 2025
    Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:
    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> >> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>>> current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms. >>>>
    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Not sure if Prague style defenestration is better or worse...

    Truss resigned because she was told, in no uncertain terms, that if she
    didn't then she would be on the receiving end of a no confidence motion from >> her Parliamentary colleagues, and would quite probably be the first Prime
    Minister ever to lose one. Not even a lettuce has ever managed that.

    Another historic first that she missed out on!

    Trump, however, cannot be forcibly removed from power simply because his
    political party has lost confidence in him. He can be impeached, but that
    requires him to commit a sufficiently egregious criminal offence. Merely
    making bizarre decisions does not cross that threshold.

    In a country where they arm bears other options are available.


    Impeachment is a political process. Is there anything to stop someone
    inventing grounds for impeachment and initiating the process? If enough politicians vote to impeach then how can that be challenged?

    We then move on to the issue of how a president is removed from power if impeached. January 6 should alert us to the possibility that an organised
    and armed mob will oppose any attempt to remove a president voted out of office. Perhaps a secret service agent will kill an impeached president who refuses to relinquish his office. Perhaps the would be dictator will
    anticipate that and surround himself with those he believes will be loyal
    to him removing anyone who might not have that personal loyalty.

    Perhaps start by firing anyone who was involved in prosecuting the would be dictator.

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Owen Rees on Sat Feb 1 09:54:45 2025
    On Sat, 01 Feb 2025 02:09:51 +0000, Owen Rees wrote:

    We then move on to the issue of how a president is removed from power if impeached. January 6 should alert us to the possibility that an
    organised and armed mob will oppose any attempt to remove a president
    voted out of office. Perhaps a secret service agent will kill an
    impeached president who refuses to relinquish his office. Perhaps the
    would be dictator will anticipate that and surround himself with those
    he believes will be loyal to him removing anyone who might not have that personal loyalty.

    They would be forgetting the long and proud history of the Praetorian
    guard ....

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 13:45:32 2025
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 21:21:15 +0000, Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:

    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> >> wrote:

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Not sure if Prague style defenestration is better or worse...

    I would certainly not dismiss the possibility of another assassination
    attempt. But I also think it would be unlikely to succeed.

    Trump is 78, though. A medical crisis may be somewhat more probable.

    Mark

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to All on Sat Feb 1 13:58:01 2025
    On Sat, 1 Feb 2025 02:09:51 -0000 (UTC), Owen Rees <orees@hotmail.com>
    wrote:

    Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> wrote:
    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> >>> wrote:

    Trump, however, cannot be forcibly removed from power simply because his >>> political party has lost confidence in him. He can be impeached, but that >>> requires him to commit a sufficiently egregious criminal offence. Merely >>> making bizarre decisions does not cross that threshold.

    In a country where they arm bears other options are available.


    Impeachment is a political process. Is there anything to stop someone >inventing grounds for impeachment and initiating the process? If enough >politicians vote to impeach then how can that be challenged?

    The politicians most likely to want to remove Trump are also those most
    likely to care about things like due process and the rule of law. I think
    you'd struggle to find a majority of Congress willing to fabricate grounds
    for impeachment, and even more so to find a two-thirds majority of the
    Senate to vote for removal on fabricated grounds.

    We then move on to the issue of how a president is removed from power if >impeached. January 6 should alert us to the possibility that an organised
    and armed mob will oppose any attempt to remove a president voted out of >office. Perhaps a secret service agent will kill an impeached president who >refuses to relinquish his office. Perhaps the would be dictator will >anticipate that and surround himself with those he believes will be loyal
    to him removing anyone who might not have that personal loyalty.

    That's another reason why, I think, most Representatives would be very wary
    of taking action on trumped-up (pun intended, sorry) grounds. Even if it was successful, it would create a very real risk of significant disorder.

    Mark

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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Mark Goodge on Mon Feb 3 16:38:07 2025
    On 2025-02-03, Mark Goodge <usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:
    On Mon, 03 Feb 2025 06:34:56 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Sat, 01 Feb 2025 13:45:32 +0000, Mark Goodge >><usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:
    Trump is 78, though. A medical crisis may be somewhat more probable.

    In which case we would get JD Vance as president. Oh dear ....

    Vance would probably be a better option. He doesn't come across as particularly intellectual, but neither does he seem to be quite as
    chiroptera faeces psychotic as his boss. Given a decent set of advisors around him, he's probably be competant enough.

    But we don't *want* them to be competent! Imagine for example the
    extra damage the previous Tory government could have done to our
    country if they hadn't been utterly incompetent as well as evil.

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  • From Mark Goodge@21:1/5 to All on Mon Feb 3 15:40:53 2025
    On Mon, 03 Feb 2025 06:34:56 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Sat, 01 Feb 2025 13:45:32 +0000, Mark Goodge ><usenet@listmail.good-stuff.co.uk> wrote:

    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 21:21:15 +0000, Martin Brown <'''newspam'''@nonad.co.uk> >>wrote:

    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> >>>> wrote:

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even >>>>> his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Not sure if Prague style defenestration is better or worse...

    I would certainly not dismiss the possibility of another assassination >>attempt. But I also think it would be unlikely to succeed.

    Trump is 78, though. A medical crisis may be somewhat more probable.


    In which case we would get JD Vance as president. Oh dear ....

    Vance would probably be a better option. He doesn't come across as
    particularly intellectual, but neither does he seem to be quite as
    chiroptera faeces psychotic as his boss. Given a decent set of advisors
    around him, he's probably be competant enough.

    Mark

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  • From Adam Funk@21:1/5 to Martin Brown on Tue Feb 4 13:36:17 2025
    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:

    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> >> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>>> current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms. >>>>
    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions,
    would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime
    change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Adam Funk on Tue Feb 4 15:43:19 2025
    On Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:36:17 +0000, Adam Funk wrote:

    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:

    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran
    <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and
    the current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in
    those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>> would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to
    eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime
    change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

    You are forgetting the JFK assassination, ordered by Edgar J Hoover.

    Apparently.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Tue Feb 4 18:20:26 2025
    On 2025-02-04, Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:36:17 +0000, Adam Funk wrote:
    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:
    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran
    <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:
    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and >>>>>>> the current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in
    those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>>> would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even >>>>> his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to
    eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime
    change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

    You are forgetting the JFK assassination, ordered by Edgar J Hoover.

    Apparently.

    Who do you think the "62 years ago" was referring to?

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  • From Sam Plusnet@21:1/5 to Adam Funk on Tue Feb 4 19:15:19 2025
    On 04/02/2025 13:36, Adam Funk wrote:
    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:

    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> >>> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>>>> current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms. >>>>>
    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>> would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even
    his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime
    change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

    A few more, if you include serious attempts which didn't quite hit home.
    I suspect a graph would show a rising trend.

    --
    Sam Plusnet

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  • From Roger Hayter@21:1/5 to All on Tue Feb 4 19:39:09 2025
    On 4 Feb 2025 at 18:20:26 GMT, "Jon Ribbens" <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu>
    wrote:

    On 2025-02-04, Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:36:17 +0000, Adam Funk wrote:
    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:
    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran
    <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:
    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and >>>>>>>> the current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in >>>>>>>> those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>>>> would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump >>>>>> will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even >>>>>> his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to
    eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime
    change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

    You are forgetting the JFK assassination, ordered by Edgar J Hoover.

    Apparently.

    Who do you think the "62 years ago" was referring to?

    You missed the implication that J Edgar might have been considered a representative of a Praetorian Guard fixed on preventing any rapprochement (actually illusory) with a fundamental enemy.


    --

    Roger Hayter

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  • From billy bookcase@21:1/5 to jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com on Tue Feb 4 20:16:03 2025
    "Jethro_uk" <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote in message news:vntcim$1sc4r$58@dont-email.me...
    On Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:36:17 +0000, Adam Funk wrote:

    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:

    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran
    <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and >>>>>>> the current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in
    those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>>> would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even >>>>> his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to
    eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime
    change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

    You are forgetting the JFK assassination, ordered by Edgar J Hoover.

    Apparently.

    How so ? Hoover "apparently", had successive Presidents in his pocket,
    on account of his inside knowledge of their indiscretions.

    Just so long as Kennedy was still around, as it subsequently turned out, servicing a succession of cuties in the White House Swimming Pool, almost
    on a daily basis ( Kennedy was a virtual cripple who relied on medication ) Hoover knew his career was assured.

    And its doubtful whether he would ever have got a tenth as much dope, on LBJ


    bb





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  • From Jon Ribbens@21:1/5 to Roger Hayter on Tue Feb 4 21:30:59 2025
    On 2025-02-04, Roger Hayter <roger@hayter.org> wrote:
    On 4 Feb 2025 at 18:20:26 GMT, "Jon Ribbens" <jon+usenet@unequivocal.eu> wrote:
    On 2025-02-04, Jethro_uk <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Tue, 04 Feb 2025 13:36:17 +0000, Adam Funk wrote:
    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:
    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran
    <martinharran@gmail.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:
    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:
    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and >>>>>>>>> the current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in >>>>>>>>> those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>>>>> would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump >>>>>>> will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even >>>>>>> his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to
    eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime >>>> change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

    You are forgetting the JFK assassination, ordered by Edgar J Hoover.

    Apparently.

    Who do you think the "62 years ago" was referring to?

    You missed the implication that J Edgar might have been considered a representative of a Praetorian Guard fixed on preventing any rapprochement (actually illusory) with a fundamental enemy.

    I did not, in fact, miss that.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Adam Funk@21:1/5 to Sam Plusnet on Wed Feb 5 11:52:42 2025
    On 2025-02-04, Sam Plusnet wrote:

    On 04/02/2025 13:36, Adam Funk wrote:
    On 2025-01-31, Martin Brown wrote:

    On 31/01/2025 15:41, Mark Goodge wrote:
    On Fri, 31 Jan 2025 09:47:23 +0000, Martin Harran <martinharran@gmail.com> >>>> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the >>>>>>> current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>>>> would you ?

    The way things are going, I think there is a good chance that Trump
    will do a Liz Truss and make such a dreadful mess of things that even >>>>> his most ardent fans will turn against him.

    The difference is that there's no mechanism for even his party to eject him.

    USA has a nasty habit of assassinating it's presidents instead.

    Huh? Four in 236 years, with the last one 62 years ago, and no "regime
    change by Praetorian Guards" situations.

    A few more, if you include serious attempts which didn't quite hit home.
    I suspect a graph would show a rising trend.

    Fair point. There are quite a few "other attacks, assassination
    attempts, and plots" after JFK.

    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_presidential_assassination_attempts_and_plots>

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  • From Adam Funk@21:1/5 to All on Wed Feb 12 11:40:11 2025
    On 2025-01-29, Jethro_uk wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 17:10:31 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 11:58:22 -0000 (UTC), Jethro_uk
    <jethro_uk@hotmailbin.com> wrote:

    On Wed, 29 Jan 2025 10:24:03 +0000, Mark Goodge wrote:

    But getting to that point would require playing a long game, and the
    current US administration doesn't seem inclined to think in those
    terms.

    If you had a president that had immunity for their official actions, >>>would you ?

    He can still be impeached. A president doesn't have automatic immunity
    for everything.

    Has SCOTUS actually ruled that ? Also, what if congress is partisan and declines to impeach ?

    What do you mean if? Most of the Republicans in the Senate voted to
    acquit in 2020 and 2021.


    And impeachment is a political not criminal process.

    It's a special case and the penalties are restricted to removal from
    office and disqualification from further office.

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